#21 ·
I need to make this crystal clear. There’s going to be plenty of confusion tomorrow from fans who just don't quite grasp how this race works.
Fernando on the race, and his thoughts on the commentary.
Started by stormybadger8 · · 👁 9 views · 82 replies
I need to make this crystal clear. There’s going to be plenty of confusion tomorrow from fans who just don't quite grasp how this race works.
ruggedfox28 said:It’s funny how people can just twist a situation to fit whatever narrative they find convenient. Everyone has their own version of reality, usually tailored to make themselves look like the hero or the victim. 🤣 😁
I’m not looking to start a fight here, but let’s be real: Vettel actually made the smarter move. He knew he couldn't match Alonso's pace, and trying to force a confrontation would have been a disaster. If he had tried to push it, we could have ended up with a massive wreck and zero points for both drivers—exactly the kind of mess that happens when someone like Alonso decides to dig their heels in.
Even if you consider that attempt at resistance, it was basically the equivalent of a wounded kitten fighting back. He honestly didn't stand a chance because his tires were absolutely shredded. If anything, you could argue Alonso's move was actually "stupider" than Vettel's, given there wasn't even a theoretical path to success. All he really did was risk losing everything for nothing.
Jason Campbell70 said:Look, despite all those massive tactical faceplants from Ferrari, I actually have to give them credit for one absolutely legendary, masterstroke level play here.
I'm talking about letting Vettel through right before Casino Corner, thinking they could just use Ferrari's DRS to completely neutralize the advantage of Vettel's superior rubber.
At the end of the day, the move totally tanked, but man, props to whatever genius actually came up with that logic.
And if it was actually Alonso himself...🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏
steelmaker83 said:Why on earth would anyone assume they couldn't catch Lewis Hamilton?! Ferrari was killing it on those supersofts during the first stint, actually looking better than McLaren. Why would they think they stood no chance?
I think they just overestimated how well they could manage tire degradation. They clearly thought the rubber would hold up longer, plus they were terrified that if Sebastian Vettel stayed out, he’d just blow it at the end and lose that spot entirely...
In the end, they blew it even harder... but hey, you live and learn, I guess...
Roger Wright94 said:The only real window was that first lap right after Lewis Hamilton's second pit stop.
But by the second lap on those fresh tires during the third stint, Lewis Hamilton is setting the fastest lap and cutting the Net distance down to about 10 seconds. If there were any doubts—or even a shred of hope—before, it becomes crystal clear right then that nobody is passing Lewis Hamilton.
That's what I was saying.
Now, regarding the supersoft which would have been a legit option for 15-20 laps, the question is: were there any fresh ones left (meaning actually usable for chasing and overtaking)?
I doubt it.
stormybadger8 said:That would only be true if we actually trusted those "expert" commentators on TV🤣
The Net distance was about Alonso vs Vettel at 3 seconds, then Vettel vs Lewis Hamilton at around 10-11 seconds.
Basically, at that moment, Lewis Hamilton was trailing Alonso by roughly 14 seconds. What these two don't seem to grasp is that the gap on the screen wasn't just between the leader and 3rd, 4th, 5th, etc.☕
http://www.fia.com/en-GB/mediacentre...ce-history.pdf
Just look at the situation from lap 50 (when Lewis Hamilton pitted) onwards.😳
It wasn't until lap 56 that the gap to Alonso closed to 10 seconds.☕
Roger Wright94 said:I’m looking specifically at Alonso's pit call on lap 51.
If he had pitted then, he almost certainly would have rejoined behind Lewis Hamilton, but likely ahead of Romain Grosjean. Even if Grosjean had been in front, he wouldn't have been much of an obstacle since he would've been easy to overtake.
A mistake, plain and simple.
They’ll try to argue that the tires still had decent life left at that point. But we were 20 laps from the finish, so that argument holds zero water.
It’s a known fact with these compounds that once they hit the cliff, they fall off a cliff—we're talking 3 to 5 seconds per lap. The people making those calls in the garage should know that better than anyone else.
You just can't gamble on the assumption that these tires will hold up for another 20 laps after they've already put in 30 or 40.
darkmarlin16 said:How many laps did Grosjean and Perez run, versus how many Alonso and Vettel did after the tire swap?
Roger Wright94 said:I’m looking at Alonso's pit stop on lap 51.
If he’d pitted then, he likely would've come out right behind Lewis Hamilton, probably ahead of Romain Grosjean. Honestly, even if Grosjean had been in front, he wouldn't have been much of an issue—easy enough to overtake.
Total mistake.
They’ll try to argue the tires still had decent grip back then. Please. That was 20 laps from the end; that excuse is dead on arrival.
Everyone knows how these tires work—once they fall off a cliff, they fall off hard (we're talking 3, 4, or 5 seconds per lap). The people making decisions there should know that better than I do.
You just can't gamble on the assumption that these tires will hold up for another 20 laps after already grinding through 30 or 40.
steelmaker83 said:That’s true, but the real question is... do we actually want to watch a race, or just a parade of people missing turns?
shadowtinker29 said:You don't really see how much that bad start hurt him until you realize he was stuck behind Stay, which cost Grosjean yesterday. As soon as the driver from Scotland pitted on lap 13, Romain picked up a second or two per lap, but those first thirteen laps meant he dropped nearly fifteen seconds compared to Hamilton.
Lewis wasn't actually fighting Vettel or Alonso for the win yesterday—he was fighting Grosjean.
stormybadger8 said:If Vettel had ducked into the pits, you can bet your life Ferrari would've followed suit. Same goes for Alonso—if he’d gone in, they would've jumped on that too. And honestly? I'm pretty sure Lewis Hamilton would have been right there behind them.
stormybadger8 said:It felt like a total mess. My gut tells me they were terrified that Mark Webber might end up blocking Alonso, so they held him back. Meanwhile, Felipe Massa was just sitting there stalling Sebastian Vettel, which left Red Bull Racing hanging while they waited on his pit stop too.
Once Webber headed to the pits, what else were they waiting for? They couldn't just sit there watching Vettel go first, only to have Massa block him on the track before Alonso could even make a move.
stormybadger8 said:Honestly, if Vettel had pitted somewhere between laps 43 and 51—since that's when his gap to Hamilton started blowing out in lap 44—I’m not so sure Hamilton wouldn't have been fighting both him and Alonso for the win.
In that scenario, those three would've almost certainly pitted in a tight group, which means Grosjean and Perez probably wouldn't have even stood a chance at getting on the podium.
With that kind of strategy, we would've seen a total dogfight between Alonso, Vettel, and Hamilton.😉
Instead, what we got was this whole mess involving DRS and the Goodyear tires.
Vettel clocked a 1:15.752 on the final lap.
The fastest Grosjean did was a 1:17.264 back in lap 57.😳
And get this—Vettel wasn't actually faster than Alonso or Hamilton during the race (at least, that's what we know).
That tells me Alonso could have definitely been pressured if he'd gone for fresh rubber, and clearly, Hamilton dialed back his pace once he saw the guys behind him weren't a threat.
So, it's definitely not all black and white.
The real headache came from the strategists—that hesitation caused by fearing Felipe Massa (Red Bull Racing) and Mark Webber (Ferrari)—and everyone just waiting on each other.
But if Vettel had pitted, you can bet Ferrari would've mirrored him (and the same goes if Alonso went in), and I'm pretty sure Hamilton would've followed suit too.
Roger Wright94 said:Second of all, what kind of stalling are we talking about? This isn't Abu Dhabi or Monaco. Out here, if you can manage to be two or three tenths faster per lap, the tech systems will handle the overtaking for you.