Christian Harris11 said:TBF, I’m with you. This only makes sense if there’s some solid intel or actual hope regarding Honda... or if things go south at Mercedes (which is easy enough, especially if Rosberg snatches the title). Plus, it obviously places a massive amount of pressure on Ferrari, which hurts the team because everything starts revolving around one guy. On the flip side, Ferrari landed Vettel—he's much younger, he’ll be around longer, and it’s smarter to build around him than someone who's basically just waiting for their patience to run out.
The worst part is that everyone is gambling big. Alonso is taking a huge risk moving to McLaren, which is currently a total mess and a complete wildcard for next year. Then you've got Vettel jumping into a clearly struggling Ferrari where there's zero guarantee they'll actually improve. Meanwhile, Mercedes has a car that's barely holding together between drivers, and the whole thing could blow up at any second.
Either way, next year is going to be a ride. Mercedes will probably come out on top regardless of how this plays out; they have at least a slight edge in the car and the drivers, so they'll keep their momentum and grab the title with whoever they can.
Look, Vettel isn't actually taking that much of a gamble.
If anything, Ferrari is already hovering around Red Bull's level, and it's unlikely they'll screw up the engine again, whereas Renault is looking pretty shaky. 😉
On the other hand, Red Bull is definitely going to struggle with aero once Newey leaves, while Ferrari can only gain by finally getting a proper car from Alison.
So, it wouldn't be a shock if Ferrari is ahead of Red Bull by 2015, and by 2016? Almost a sure thing...
Not to mention, the Ferrari brand carries way more weight in racing than Red Bull does, and let's be real—Vettel definitely felt those boos after his win at Indianapolis...
He can claim he doesn't care all he wants, but it definitely gets under his skin.
Then there's Alonso, who clearly overplayed his hand. It didn't even cross his mind that he doesn't actually need anyone serious besides McLaren.
In reality, he had zero shot at Red Bull, and honestly, he hasn't got a prayer at Mercedes unless Hamilton leaves.
Because the real question is: which kid is Mercedes going to pick if they have Hamilton? 🤷
Good grief, they could pick literally anyone on the grid and that person would be good enough in that car to rack up points for the constructors' title. Actually, it might be smarter to grab someone like Mass, who'll just grind out points without causing drama, rather than someone like Alonso who'll make their lives a nightmare and test their nerves way more than Rosberg ever would.
And honestly, with a German engine and car that strong, Mercedes doesn't even need Hamilton. They could easily cruise to a title with Rosberg and Hulk, which might even be the smoother move given they're a German outfit. 😉