NBA Betting: Vol. 2

lonedrifter68 said:I’m still leaning toward the under on DeRozan and the over on Evans.

DeRozan's got 12 points on just 21 minutes and 14 shots.

Expect at least 25 shots and about 43 minutes of playing time by the end... ☕😢

38 mins

22 shots

Glad it wasn't a 15-20 point game at the end, otherwise that under would've busted.

Now we just need Evans to hit his over... don't screw us over now.🙄

They're gonna screw it up, just 4 teams left in the quarterfinals🙂

Justin Fowler29 said:It's gonna suck. Only 4 in the first quarter.🙂

Only 6 shots on target. That's it. 🙂

Down like 6 buckets in the first half. Smells like a total blowout.
Every time I played him under in the past, he predictably went over.🤣🙂

Total bust. Just fell apart like a house of cards.😢😢
Watching him drop 4 buckets in the first 6 minutes just to miss 3 straight shots plus 2 free throws... honestly, it’s nauseating.🙂

Keith Moore21 said:So, looking at Sacramento vs. Houston... I’m seeing a line sitting around 1.75 for the Kings. Honestly? It feels a little tight—maybe even a bit optimistic on their part. I mean, they've got some spark, sure, but betting against Houston at these odds feels like a gamble I'm not quite ready to take just yet. I guess we'll see how it plays out, but I'm leaning towards caution here.

It’s pretty straightforward when you look at the standings—Houston is fighting tooth and nail for a better playoff seed, while Sacramento is sitting right there as the second-worst team in the West, probably not even dreaming about postseason basketball at this point... Honestly, Houston has been playing some really solid ball lately, especially considering they've been dealing with guys like Lowry and Martin being out of the lineup. Dragic has been killing it running the point, Lee and Parsons are knocking down shots from deep, and you've got Scola, Camby, and Dalembert just doing their thing in the trenches. I mean, they even went out and snagged a win against the Lakers on the road the other day, which is no small feat—plus, they actually had a rest day, whereas Sacramento was stuck playing an away game yesterday. Let's be real, Sacramento's defense is absolute garbage. On top of that, Houston's offense is easily one of the best in the league right now, so based on all that, I’m putting my money on the Rockets. 😁

Well, look at that—he actually nailed one for once. Finally. 👋

Maybe we should put some money on Westbrook today... He's looking sharp lately.

Monroe under 15.5 @ Favorite
(facing Howard, playing away, they've been stuck under that mark in their last three matchups, hitting 4, 7, and 10 points respectively)

Back from a day off and I am hitting them hard today!😉

Milwaukee (210.5) vs. OKC Under 1.85
-The Bucks are locked in this massive battle with the Knicks for that final playoff seed, and honestly, they’re looking hot right now with four straight wins under their belt. But even so, I think this line is just way too high. OKC plays way tougher on the road than they do at home and they don't force shots nearly as much; if you look at the stats, the Bucks have only gone over once in their last six home games, and OKC has stayed under in all four of their recent road trips. It's a lock.
DeRozan Over 17.5 @ 1.85
-With Looney out injured, DeRozan is stepping up into the spotlight again. Since the big man probably won't be ready for tonight, I'm expecting him to clear this easily. The numbers back me up too—he's been averaging over 21 points the last ten games, and he already dropped 22 and 23 against these guys earlier this season. He's due.
Granger Over 19.5 @ 1.85
-Over the last six games, they've been absolutely shredding Toronto, putting up 117 points a night, and Granger has been a huge part of that with a 21.7 average. You only need to look at his recent stretch where he put up 20 against a tough Boston squad and 26 against OKC to see he can blow right past this number.
Gasol P. Over 17.5 @ 1.85
-Since Bryant is out, Pau and Bynum are going to soak up almost all the shots. We saw what happened against Phoenix when Pau went for 30 on 14-of-25 shooting. Let's be real, with the roster they have right now, the Lakers don't really have anyone else who can step up and take responsibility—unless maybe someone like the bench rotation or those role players wants to prove me wrong, but I doubt it.😉

Standard bet, favorites.👍

Ellis Over 17.5 @ 1.85
-As soon as I saw this line, I jumped on it without thinking twice because the books have it at 21.5 elsewhere. Yeah, okay, he burned me against Portland when he didn't score a single point in the second half, but that was purely the coach deciding to rest the starters for the huge matchup against OKC. Don't hold that against him.
Lawson Under 17.5 @ 1.85
-This guy has been the definition of "hit or miss" all season; he rarely puts together two good games in a row. Plus, he takes fewer shots at home than on the road and consistently stays under this mark. And don't forget, Gallinari is back tonight, which makes an "over" even less likely.
Griffin Under 21.5 @ 1.85
-Very few players actually enjoy playing Memphis, and honestly, even Dirk Nowitzki felt the sting of that matchup more than most. Looking at their head-to-head history, Griffin only managed 20 points in their matchups, and he was playing way better then than he is right now.😍
Duncan Over 14.5 @ 1.85
-They're playing their second game in two days against the same opponent. He put up 13 yesterday on 5-of-10 shooting, but I think he could easily replicate that performance from his last trip to Salt Lake City where he dropped 20.
Minnesota Under 103.5 @ 1.85
-That total feels way too high given how they've been playing lately—they've only gone over that number twice in their last ten games. As for their matchups this season, they had one game at 95 and another at 127, so basically, whenever they play, it's like nobody even knows how to play defense.🤷

Low stakes, moderate confidence.

I'm seriously wondering which one of you jokers is going to ruin my night today.😉

What do you all think about A. Bynum going over 18.5 points tonight for the Lakers? He cleared that line last time since Kobe was out, but I haven't seen any updates on whether Kobe will be back on the court this evening. Does anyone have the scoop on whether Kobe is playing? Let me know.

Apr 3 ORL W 102-95 1 33:41 9 11 81.8 0 0 N/A 4 8 50.0 4 7 11 3 2 1 1 3 22 ???

This is what I had in mind for
.
I’m looking at Monroe under 15.5 against the favorite—mostly because from what I can see, he dropped 22 points on Orlando.