NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Roger Phillips said:LA Lakers-Miami 2 1.65

Tonight we have the Lakers-Heat showdown.
I am looking at a Miami victory because they are:
physically imposing, stronger than the home team, and they score heavily in transition, which doesn't suit the LA style.
Furthermore, LA struggles with perimeter defense, an area where Miami could exploit them significantly given their quality shooters.
Then there is the tip-off time at 12:30 PM, a slot that historically hasn't worked well for this squad; even though the Lakers managed to beat the Denver Nuggets on the final day last year, it’s about time LA took a loss at home, despite playing great in their own arena.
That recent loss to the Utah Jazz will serve as a wake-up call for Miami, likely sparking another winning streak.
It is very rare for Miami to drop two games in a row.🤷

We aren't seeing eye to eye here. I have a feeling the Lakers take it today. Setting aside my lack of sympathy for the Heat, my gut feelings regarding the Lakers effectively cancel each other out.

One must consider that the Lakers have dropped two home games this season, with a combined margin of only 3 points—those losses coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Indiana Pacers.
Miami, meanwhile, has already suffered two consecutive losses this season—if memory serves, those were against the Denver Nuggets and then the Clippers, both Western Conference matchups played on the road.

Bryant is locked in. I see that fraud Nicholas Chase lying to and deceiving the public; if Bryant doesn't go over, I'll put Denga in my avatar.☕(I assume Battier will be tasked with guarding Bryant since Wade is far too weak a defender for those last-second God is Jesus moments, but even that won't save them!!!!).

Strictly speaking, if Miami plays to their potential, the Lakers simply don't stand a chance. That is just the factual reality, damn it.

Good luck to everyone tonight. I'm putting the betting side on the back burner; tonight is just about the fun of it!

(p.s. If I had to pick one "lock" tonight, I'd say Rose in his matchup against Griffin or New York City with those beautiful odds against the Boston Celtics, but since I don't feel like writing a full analysis, just ignore this sentence.)

Joshua Gonzalez33 said:Parker is overrated

I find myself in agreement.

ps. [F] 03/03/2012 - Danilo Gallinari doubtful Sunday vs San Antonio Spurs ( Ankle )
[C] 03/03/2012 - Nen Hilario is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. San Antonio Spurs ( Calf )
[G] 03/03/2012 - Rudy Fernandez missed the previous matchup, probable Sunday vs San Antonio Spurs ( Back )
[C] 03/03/2012 - Timofey Mozgov doubtful Sunday vs. San Antonio Spurs ( Ankle )

I’m sticking to just one 3/4 system play today.
Gasol over 16.5 points
Toronto vs Golden State /192.5/ under
Nash under 13.5
Lin under 17.5

I've been crunching some numbers for those first three picks—just playing the stats a bit and hoping they land. As for Lin, he's got his work cut out for him against King Rondo today, so that might be a tough one.
On another note, if Wade really is dealing with that Ankle injury, taking the under on 25.5 looks pretty tempting, even though the guy has been absolutely cooking lately. Right now, I'm strictly following the NBA. I actually lost about 70% of my bankroll this month, which was rough. I'm based out here in the States and usually just play through a local US sports lottery app.

Could someone please help me out...
I was wondering if Carmelo Anthony is actually playing tonight? I don't see him listed in the SS offerings, even though he's showing up on the ESPN NBA scoreboard.

Thanks.

Arthur Hill2 said:Bryant is totally locked in, though I see that little trickster Nicholas Chase34 out here trying to mislead the crowd; if Bryant doesn't go over, I'm putting Danilo Gallinari in my avatar ☕.

and Bones,

which avatar should I hunt down for you, the one with Danilo Gallinari rocking the mohawk or the plain version? 🤣 😂
😍

Arthur Hill2 said:S ☕

Sure thing, I just found one and he's practically itching to get put to work. 😁😛

S ☕

I honestly think Garnett could end up finishing under 17.5 points today.

Houston - LA Clippers: Team Total Over 96.5 @ 1.85
5/10

This looks like a potential playoff matchup if you look at how things are shaking out in the West right now. We’ve got two teams that might be more focused on high-octane offense than actually playing defense. The Rockets are playing out of their minds lately, especially at home; they put together this incredible winning streak that basically vaulted them straight into the top 8 in the West. But here's the thing—even when they're winning, they're giving up around 100 points a night. Still, thanks to that lethal shooting from Scola - Lowry and Martin, they're consistently dropping 105 to 110 points per game. On the other side, the LA Clippers have Paul running the show, and they've got a beast like Griffin to finish plays, plus those two sharpshooters off the bench, Foy and Williams. Butler is an absolute defensive menace, though I guess he might open up some space inside since he's not exactly a knockdown three-point threat. The weak link offensively is probably Jordan, but hey, he’ll throw down a couple of dunks and chip in 5 to 10 points whenever he needs to. One major issue for Houston is that they tend to surrender over 20 points to whoever is running the point, and since the Clippers have one of the most dangerous playmakers in the league in that spot, I suspect their defense is going to have a really rough night tonight.

wiredcanyon39 said:Houston vs LA Clippers, total points over 96.5 at 1.85
5/10

This looks like a potential playoff matchup given how things are shaking out in the West. We’ve got two teams that prioritize offense over defense more than anyone else right now. The Rockets have been playing lights out, especially at home, riding a massive win streak that punched their ticket into the top 8 in the West. But even when they're winning, they're giving up about 100 points a night. Thanks to that killer shooting from Scola - Lowry and Martin, they're consistently dropping 105-110 per game. On the other side, the Clippers have Paul pulling the strings, and they've got Griffin tearing it up along with some solid shooters coming off the bench like Foy and Williams. Butler is a beast on defense, though he probably clears out space under the rim since his three-point shot isn't exactly reliable. The weak link offensively might be Jordan, but he'll chip in with a few dunks and maybe 5-10 points here and there. One big issue? Houston gives up way too many points at the point guard spot. With the most lethal playmaker on the Clippers running the show, their defense is going to be in serious trouble tonight.

...was just about to type that we totally forgot how bad Houston is at guarding the point. Paul could easily cruise to an over tonight...

Miami will be playing tonight without Bosh

Arthur Hill2 said:Miami's going without Bosh tonight

LeBron James is hitting the over again; honestly, I’d even take that bet if Bosh was actually on the court, feels way safer that way.

Garnett is shooting 2-for-9 and can't seem to finish anything at the rim; he's definitely running under, which makes tonight's matchup against Nash look pretty tough.

...then Gasol could easily slide into the over if Bryant doesn't decide to turn the game into his own private solo show...🤷

Chicago vs Phoenix ☕

wiredcanyon39 already covered all the bases regarding Chicago...
Phoenix is honestly one of those offensive powerhouses—I mean, Sacramento’s defense is pretty much bottom-tier in the league right now. I’ve got a feeling Nash and his crew are just going to tear through Sacramento tonight using that pick-and-roll stuff they do so well (they're actually 3rd in the league at it, if you can believe that). Plus, they’ve got solid shooters; if those three-pointers start falling early, the Kings won't stand a chance... And let's be real, Phoenix is playing at home while Sacramento is absolutely struggling on the road (looking at a dismal 4-18 record). They played out in Sacramento a couple of weeks back and Phoenix cruised to a comfortable 15-point win... Phoenix is fully healthy too, whereas Sacramento is missing Hickson...
Obviously, I’m playing it safe and taking both sides with the double chance (x)...

Anyone got a solid stream out of Boston?

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Does anyone happen to have a decent stream for the Boston game?

http://www.firstrowsports.eu/watch/1...icks.html:top:

What do you guys think about Paul over (20.5) and Deng under (16.5)?

William Hughes40 said:What do you guys think about Paul over (20.5) and Deng under (16.5)?

I mean, I honestly think both should hit. I actually touched on this earlier regarding Paul—the Rockets are just struggling big time with point guard defense right now and they're giving up way too many points. Plus, Paul is playing out of his mind lately. As for Deng, he's running into Iggy tonight, who is easily one of the best defenders in the league. I don't see the Bulls forcing him to take a ton of shots given that matchup.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Does anyone have a decent stream for the Boston game?

Here you go.

The Knicks are looking a little bit overextended here ☕