Let's kick things off with a double from Germany:
01:00 Kevin Martin
pick: over 19.5 points @ 1.85
I honestly think Kevin Martin should put up a massive performance in tonight's game because the Utah Jazz are absolutely struggling to defend the backcourt, sitting right at the bottom of the league (#29) in that department. Devin Harris and Raj Bell just aren't elite defenders, especially when you look at how they handle pick and roll ball handlers or spot-up shooters; while Bell might hold his own in isolation, looking at the big picture, they simply aren't stout enough to be considered a quality defense. The Jazz are pretty vulnerable in one-on-one situations, so I expect Martin to tear through their perimeter defense with those spot-up jumpers and maybe some isolation plays or hand-off shots, which have been a weakness for the visitors lately. When you factor in that the Jazz lead the league in sending opponents to the free-throw line (averaging 7.1 per game), and Martin is a specialist at drawing contact (averaging 4.3 FTA), betting on him to hit 20+ feels like a safe bet. In their last four matchups, Martin has been averaging a cool 25.75 points and getting to the stripe about 11.75 times on average. The Rockets' backcourt is definitely going to control the tempo just like they have in previous meetings, and I see Martin playing a huge role in that dominance.
01:00 Deron Williams
pick: under 24.5 points @ 1.85
The Brooklyn Nets finally get their starting center Brook Lopez back into the lineup after he's been sidelined for a while with that foot injury. With him back in the mix, there's going to be more movement and more players demanding touches, which means Deron Williams will likely see a dip in his shot attempts. Plus, he logged a heavy 42 minutes against the Chicago Bulls last night, so fatigue is definitely going to be a factor here. He hasn't really exploded for huge numbers against the Milwaukee Bucks in their recent matchups anyway, and he tends to play a bit below his usual level when he's at home, so I'm hoping he focuses more on feeding Lopez. Personally, I think this line is set way too high considering the roster shift, so grabbing the under feels like a solid value play.