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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by George Morris3 · · 👁 6 views · 57 replies

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Participants George Morris3Drew WrightHannah Collins2Jerry Grant51Steven Ross35shadowjackal27Kenneth Baileyboldgull20neonangler10wiredcanyon39Eric Patel9Keith Moore21Bryan Adams6Arthur Hill2Jesse Wright68rustyseal92Nicholas Chase34ruggedgull32Bradley Kern6darkmarlin16Alex Cookstormyseal9Megan Gray32Lawrence Castillo76 …
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#21 ·
Bryan Adams6 said:I don't know if it’s just a coincidence, but I had Miami on my little slip too 🙂

Come on, man, quit messing around—actually sit down, study the odds, and give me at least five solid winners 😉

Or, hey, if it makes it any easier for you, I already picked my own set, so maybe try to avoid what I chose 😍
image

Why didn't you lead with that?! Now I totally get why Miami blew it 🤣

I’ll dive into the matchups a bit later, once everyone in the States wakes up and our local bookies actually bother to post the lines for all the games 😬
But honestly, your ticket isn't half bad—I just think I’d definitely play Orlando, especially if Ronda and Allen end up sitting out, but we'll have to wait and see... got some fresh intel from last night...
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#22 ·
Honestly, if you aren't playing the Orlando duo today, you're just not serious about this game.

Updated Player Pos Injury Expected Return
01/10/12 Jeff Green PF Heart Out for the season
01/22/12 Ray Allen SG Ankle Questionable for Jan. 23 vs. Orlando
01/22/12 Keyon Dooling PG Knee Questionable for Jan. 23 vs. Orlando
01/22/12 Rajon Rondo PG Wrist Questionable for Jan. 23 vs. Orlando
01/22/12 Chris Wilcox C Calf Out until at least Jan. 26 at Orlando

And let’s not forget they haven't faced any legitimate competition all season, and right now, Orlando is sitting right at the top of the Eastern Conference.

Bryan Adams6, why on earth are you betting on Dallas without Dirk? 🤷
Bryan Adams6 Bryan Adams6 Active Member
80 messages
joined Jul 2012
#23 ·
Arthur Hill2 said:Anyone who doesn't play the Orlando duo today is a total joke.

Not to mention they haven't even faced a real powerhouse this season, and Orlando is sitting at the top of the East right now.

Bryan Adams6, why are you playing Dallas without Dirk? 🤷

If they can handle a Phoenix squad like this at home without Dirk, they can honestly go screw themselves.🙂
Jesse Wright68 Jesse Wright68 Member
44 messages
joined Nov 2009
#24 ·
Memphis Grizzlies 2.10
Orlando Magic 1.75
Houston Rockets 2.15

$7.90 per unit
rustyseal92 rustyseal92 Newcomer
6 messages
joined Jan 2012
#25 ·
Arthur Hill2 said:Anyone who doesn't back the Magic right now is kidding themselves.

Not to mention they haven't faced any real heavyweights this season, and Orlando is sitting right at the top of the East.

Bryan Adams6, why would you ever bet against Dallas without Dirk? 🤷

Personally, I wouldn't go charging blindly against Boston. They cruised to a 15-point lead yesterday with ease, holding it until Paul Pierce picked up his fourth foul and hit the bench. And today, we might see both Rajon Rondo and Marcus Smart back in the lineup.
If you ask me, the smarter play is looking at the over for Pierce; he took the most shots yesterday, and that's likely to be the case again tonight. Besides, he even admitted it himself: "I'm one of our, if not our main scorer on this ballclub," Pierce said. "That's my role. I haven't been doing a good job of it lately, but a lot of that has to do with just being in game shape, getting my legs stronger, being able to get up and down and jump." I expect him to be more careful in defense to avoid those fouls.
Furthermore, Dwight Howard has been averaging over 30 points these last two matchups against Boston, so that’s another solid option to consider.

In short, caution is advised. Boston is playing at home, they are a veteran squad, and it's highly probable they'll show up with their full roster.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#26 ·
rustyseal92 said:I wouldn't go poking the bear when it comes to Boston. They cruised to a 15-point lead yesterday without breaking much of a sweat, and they kept that momentum going until Pierce picked up four fouls and had to head to the bench. Plus, if they get both Allen and Rondo back in the mix today, things could get spicy.
If you ask me, it might be smarter to look at the over for Pierce; he was taking most of the shots yesterday, and I’d bet my bottom dollar he’ll be doing the same thing tonight. He even spilled the beans himself: "I'm one of our, if not our main scorer on this ballclub," Pierce said. "That's my role. I haven't been doing a good job of it lately, but a lot of that has to do with just being in game shape, getting my legs stronger, being able to get up and down and jump." My guess is he'll try to play it smart on defense and stay out of foul trouble so he can stay on the floor.
Also, don't sleep on Dwight Howard—he's been averaging over 30 points against Boston for the last two games, so that's definitely an option worth considering.

Bottom line though, we gotta be careful here. Boston is playing at home, they're a seasoned squad, and there's a really high chance they'll show up with their full strength.

Boston, back-to-back, Orlando to win at 1.75, yeah, thanks ☕

Honestly, you should just target Boston whenever they're playing back-to-back all season long. They aren't exactly built to handle that kind of heavy schedule, especially with this shortened season format. So far, Boston hasn't managed to snag a single win against any of the heavy hitters.
I mean, if they can't even beat those old-timers from Phoenix, what are they supposed to do against Orlando and Howard? 🤷☕
ruggedgull32 ruggedgull32 Active Member
92 messages
joined Jan 2012
#27 ·
Hey, I've been lurking and reading all your takes for ages, but I rarely actually post anything...
Decided to finally chime in today because, honestly, I think most of you are right about Orlando coming out on top—even with the spread (too bad my local sportsbook doesn't offer that option here in the States)...
I’m definitely riding with Howard over 21.5. I mean, if that klutz McGee dropped 13 on them last night and racked up three blocks, how is O'Neal supposed to shut Howard down tonight? No way.
If Allen and Rondo are sitting this one out, it’s a no-brainer to take Pierce over his 17.5 line...
...good luck tonight...🙂
Bradley Kern6 Bradley Kern6 Active Member
86 messages
joined Apr 2012
#28 ·
It’s absolutely hilarious how it takes a massive outfit like DraftKings an entire business day just to upload their full slate of NBA odds. 🙂
darkmarlin16 darkmarlin16 Veteran
1K messages
joined Nov 2015
#29 ·
So, an NBA offer finally landed on my desk ☕

They finally bumped Love's line down from 24.5 to 23.5, which is about time. Honestly, I’ve been consistently hitting the under on him lately, so this is looking pretty sweet ☕
Alex Cook Alex Cook Active Member
157 messages
joined May 2009
#30 ·
You guys think Westbrick hits more than 20.5 buckets tonight? What’s the move...
Bradley Kern6 Bradley Kern6 Active Member
86 messages
joined Apr 2012
#31 ·
darkmarlin16 said:well, an NBA offer finally hit the table ☕

They finally bumped Love's line down from 24.5 to 23.5. Honestly, I’ve been consistently hitting the under on him lately, so this feels like a small win for my sanity.☕

We're still missing some spreads and total point counts.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#32 ·
Alex Cook said:Thinking Westbrick goes over 20.5 points, what do you guys think?

If you ask me, I’m leaning toward the under on this one, because his home average is sitting right around 17, and he’s actually taking about five fewer shots per game when he’s playing at home compared to when he's on the road. Plus, once Oklahoma gets a lead against a team like Detroit, they might just cruise through the fourth quarter and let their starters chill out a bit.

And honestly, looking back at how he matched up against Detroit last season, he wasn't exactly lighting it up—he averaged just 15 points over those two games while shooting a pretty mediocre 33.3%. 🤷
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#33 ·
Just throwing one out there to play it safe, so let's see what happens🤷

Iguodala over 14.5 1.85
Love over 23.5 1.85
Durant under 28.5 1.85
Pierce over 18.5 1.85
Garnett over 13.5 1.85
Martin under 21.5 1.85
Ellis over 23.5 1.85
Aldridge over 23.5 1.85

7/8 system bet👍
Megan Gray32 Megan Gray32 Member
21 messages
joined Jan 2022
#34 ·
Boozer cleared the 18.5 line last game—do you think he can pull it off again?
If Derrick Rose sits out, I’d bet my life on the over; he would step up and take on a much more significant role within the rotation. That said, it looks like Rose might actually suit up tonight, so the real question is how much rhythm he's actually found following that injury.
I’m also weighing an under on Durant—Detroit is such a mismatch that they might just cruise to a win, potentially allowing him to sit out most of the fourth quarter.
On the other hand, Howard and Pierce could easily hit their overs—I'm honestly not sure who they're matched up against defensively—so what are your thoughts?
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#35 ·
Jeremy Lee67 said:Boozer went over 18.5 last season, you think he can pull it off again?
Man, if Rose wasn't on the roster, Boozer would be hitting the over for sure because he'd be playing such a massive role in the rotation, right? But it looks like Rose might actually suit up tonight, and honestly, the real question is how much shape he's even in after being sidelined with that injury.
I’m also low-key eyeing an under on Durant here; I mean, they’ll probably cruise past Detroit so easily that they might just bench him for the whole third or fourth quarter.
Then you've got Howard and Pierce—they could both easily go over too, but I don't even know who's guarding them, so what do you guys think?

Pierce should hit his number since he's likely grabbing extra shots with Allen and Rondo out of the lineup🤷,and I wouldn't be surprised if Boozer gets plenty of attempts too, especially since from what I'm reading, Deng might be sitting out, though hey, you can never really tell with these guys when injuries are involved🤷,plus Howard usually plays great against the Celtics, but he hasn't been exactly stellar on the road this year, so I decided to pass on him☕
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#36 ·
Triple:
Pierce P(-18,5+) - Boston vs Orlando over @ 1,85
MartinKev(dk) - Westbrook R. 1 @ 1,85
WilliamsD(-18,5+) - Chicago vs NY Nets under @ 1,85

Single:

Milwaukee(h+6,5) - Atlanta 2 @ 3,30
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#37 ·
Coach Collins just told the press that both Hawes and Vucevic are sidelined for tonight's matchup. Brand skipped morning practice due to some stomach issues (gastroenteritis), so he’s a game-time decision right now.
Igi over 14.5 7/10
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#38 ·
Nicholas Chase34 said:I mean, honestly? Russell Westbrook. Man, what can you even say at this point? I guess we’re just living in that reality now—where his whole style of play is basically its own chaotic ecosystem. It’s wild, really—how he can go from being the most electric, high-octane force on the court to looking like he’s fighting against the very flow of the game itself. Maybe it’s just how he’s built, though—that relentless, almost exhausting intensity—but sometimes it feels like he’s playing a completely different sport than everyone else out there. Just my two cents, anyway. 1 @ 1,85

I’m feeling this one—definitely grabbing it. 👍
I'm putting my money on Orlando... damn, they already dropped the odds. 🙂
darkmarlin16 darkmarlin16 Veteran
1K messages
joined Nov 2015
#39 ·
Boston-Orlando Magic 1.65 2
Look, I’m telling you, K. (-23.5+) is way too much juice, honestly just a total joke lesser than what we actually need here
Pierce P (-18.5+) is definitely more likely to hit if you ask me
And Iguodala A. (-14.5+) is just straight up less
than anyone with half a brain would bet on


🤷
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#40 ·
Rondo and Allen will likely suit up today.

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