NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Bryan Adams6 said:Scola over 17.5 points
Houston Rockets
Miami Heat
@3.37

Think it works? ☕

You could try it, but honestly, I'll probably be riding with the Miami Heat too ☕

Yesterday, Oklahoma City Thunder basically saved my day (and yeah, obviously that parlay hit) 😁

But man, the Chicago Bulls totally wrecked two of my tickets 😠

Keith Moore21 said:You can try that, but honestly, I’m probably riding with the Miami Heat too ☕

Man, yesterday the Oklahoma City Thunder totally saved my life (and yeah, obviously that pick from the gods) 😁

But then the Chicago Bulls absolutely wrecked two of my tickets 😠

Maybe it's smarter to just bet that the San Antonio Spurs won't lose against the spread—I think it's sitting at 7.5 right now🤷--since they're looking solid, whereas the Miami Heat seem to be on a three-game skid if I'm seeing this right🤷--so, what do you guys think, should I throw some cash on the Carlos Boozer or Luol Deng over???🤷

stormyseal9 said:Maybe it's better to bet on the Spurs not covering—I think the spread is at 7.5🤷. They seem to be in pretty good shape, whereas Miami looks like they've dropped three straight, if I'm reading that right🤷. So, what do you think, should I go over on Boozer or Deng?🤷

hmm, you know, looking at it now, that could actually work. Miami is missing Dwyane Wade, and the Spurs are without Manu Ginobili and T.J. Ford—maybe even some others too... but honestly, because of those recent losses, Miami might just show up today. And that spread isn't crazy; I'm thinking maybe something like 100-92 wouldn't be a total blowout, so I don't know, I probably need to dig into the stats a bit more before deciding...

Honestly, if I had to pick someone to trust in the NBA today, I’d probably lean toward the Houston Rockets and taking the +13.5 spread against the San Antonio Spurs

Maybe just hold off on those bets until tonight once all the info is actually out 🤷
I don't see the point in rushing when we're still flying blind, especially since DraftKings usually drags their feet on adjusting margins until later in the evening, which is basically an invitation to make some money.

Joshua Garcia8 said:Maybe just hold off on those actual bets until tonight, once all the news actually starts trickling in... 🤷
I don't really see the point in forcing it when we're basically flying blind—plus, our US sportsbooks usually lag behind on adjusting their margins late in the evening, so that's really when you can actually find some value and grab a profit.

After watching that smoke show against the Chicago Bulls last night, I’m definitely waiting until later tonight before I drop any money on a bet.😁

Why on earth is Denver at 1.8 against Milwaukee?! 🤷
Denver looks stronger here—they've got a rest day, while Milwaukee is stuck playing a back-to-back... hmm, I might dive into this matchup later this afternoon, maybe even put together a full analysis if I feel like it... anyway, just don't go blindly copying ☕

Keith Moore21 said:Why on earth is Denver at 1.8 against the Milwaukee Bucks?! 🤷
Denver looks strong. They’ve got a rest day while the Milwaukee Bucks are stuck on a back-to-back. Hmm. I'll dig into this matchup this afternoon; might even drop an analysis. Just don't go copying my work. ☕

Don't even worry about it, I'm sitting this one out. 😁

Bryan Adams6 said:don't even sweat it, I'm definitely sitting this one out 😁

so, yeah—that matchup is looking pretty solid ☕

Casey White13 said:Basically betting against my own Celtics—thinking Kevin Garnett would play like he's under 14 and Kevin Love would act like he's over 24.

🙂

What are your thoughts on the Dwight Howard over? Given that he went under the line last game, do you think he’s due for a big bounce back today?🤷

Gregory Cooper5 said:What’s the play on the Dwight Howard over today? Given that massive miss last game, shouldn't he be bouncing back today?🤷

Maybe he won't even sleep before tip-off—could end up under again. Maybe he breaks a leg, maybe something else entirely happens...😁

Blake Griffin (DraftKings)-Dwight Howard 1....1.70

First bet is the spread on the Rockets and the under for Cleveland vs Golden State.

I'll need to look closer at those numbers this afternoon.

I'm looking at the lottery for over 22.5 on Lee @2. If there's any value to be found here, this might be it. Looking back at the last six games, the scores have been 15, 13, 20, 25, 24, and 24. We’re hovering right near that margin, but I think I’ll follow the trend at these odds.

Keith Moore21 said:Why on earth is Denver at 1.8 against Milwaukee?! 🤷
Denver’s clearly the better squad here, they've got a rest day while Milwaukee is stuck playing a back-to-back... man, I'll probably dive deep into this matchup later this afternoon, maybe even drop a full analysis if I'm feeling it... seriously though, stop just blindly copying ☕

Maybe it's because Milwaukee is sitting pretty with a 4-0 home record🤷,they're one of those classic home teams that averages about 102 points when they're at their own arena, which is a massive jump from the 15 points they usually drop when they're on the road, so if you're really so convinced, why not grab the Bucks with a +2.5 spread or just play the moneyline 2🤷

Today's parlay

Jefferson over 18.5 at 1.85
Jennings over 17.5 at 1.85
Parker over 17.5 at 1.85
Boozer over 14.5 at 1.85
Gallinari over 15.5 at 1.85
Miami (h-7.5) vs San Antonio 2 at 1.85
Scola over 17.5 at 1.85

6/7 system bet☕🙂

Jesse Wright68 said:Looking at the over 22.5 line for Lee @2.05. There’s some value there—his last six scores were 15, 13, 20, 25, 24, and 24. He's hovering right near that margin, but I’m going to ride this trend at these odds.

Make sure to check if Curry is playing tonight. A lot of Lee's recent production comes from having more shot attempts while Curry is out. Plus, he'll have Varej shadowing him today—it won't be an easy night.

James Taylor3 said:You might want to check if Curry is actually playing tonight. Lee's recent numbers have been heavily inflated because Curry hasn't been on the floor, which has opened up way more shot attempts for him. Plus, he’s going to have Varej draped all over him today—it won't be an easy night.

Look, Curry has been out for a while now, so for this last stretch of six games, Lee has essentially been the primary shooter alongside Ellis, especially considering Curry's scoring output has been zero during this period. I'm not planning on putting a massive amount on this specific parlay, but personally, I think there's some real value in these odds. I figured I'd share it here in case anyone wants to take a shot at it. Thanks for the tip.

stormyseal9 said:maybe it's just because Milwaukee is sitting on a 4-0 home record🤷—they’re basically a typical home team that averages about 102 points at the buzzer, whereas they tend to drop about 15 points when they're on the road. honestly, I'd say take the Bucks with a +2.5 spread, or if you're really feeling yourself, just bet 2 bucks on them🤷

I mean, I get where you're coming from, but Denver is just a better squad. They've been taking down much tougher teams than what I'd call an average Milwaukee lineup... plus, even the best teams have to slip up at home once in a while. I think taking Denver at 1.8 is probably the smart play here...

Houston (-6.5) vs Detroit 1 1.83

Houston's averaging a +8 point cushion at home, while Detroit is struggling with a -11 average on the road...

G. Henderson under 15.5 @ 1.85
L. Scola over 17.5 @ 1.85
B. Jennings under 18.5 @ 1.85
@ 6.33 ☕