NBA Betting: Vol. 2

What kind of bet do you guys see for Bryant K(dk)-James L sub 04:30 1.75 1.95? Thinking about a moderate wager on LeBron and pairing it with the Lakers at 1.15

urbandrifter10 said:what do you guys think about Bryant K(dk)-James L sub 04:30 1.75 1.95... maybe a medium bet on LeBron and pairing him with the Lakers at 1.15

trash

I’m just sitting here hoping the Lakers can really push those exhausted Clippers back in the first quarter, maybe even pull off a 29-11 lead,
then you'll get to see Kobe basically lounging on the bench for most of the game,
just sipping on a vanilla milkshake and grabbing some fajitas with Jack Nicholson sitting right behind him in the stands.
It’s a totally plausible scenario if you ask me, though I'm holding onto my luck like someone playing a desperate round of Powerball. 🙂

Charlotte and Pao fell behind—it was basically 1.85 to 1.7

wiredcanyon39 said:Phoenix vs. New Jersey - Under 197.5

And man, that one hit at 1.7 odds too... I mean, how do they keep wrecking everyone's parlays like this? It's actually wild.🙄

Terry Cook48 said:Just checking in... I reached out to them around 2 PM and got told that their bookmakers approve the offers, and that odds and limits depend on a ton of different factors..

So I suggested they just offer a standard selection, similar to what DraftKings does, but they claimed that wouldn't be profitable for them....🙂

It’s laughable. Even if they had used different margins and odds for individual players, it would still be nonsense.

But picking a random number—like 19 points—and applying it to every single player? That’s just pure stupidity. Whoever set this up clearly picked the wrong profession.

So, what, is 19 points going to be the magic number in every offer from now on? 🤣 🤣

🤣

shadowjackal27 said:Man, these guys are a joke. It’s like they just threw out different lines and odds for players without even thinking about it.

But picking some totally arbitrary number—like 19 points—and applying it across the board to every single player? That’s just straight-up moronic. Honestly, whoever decided on this probably picked the wrong career path entirely.

So what, are we just supposed to expect 19 points being on the board every single day now? 🤣 🤣

🤣

I mean, if you look at it from another angle, there might be a silver lining where you can actually find some value in specific ranges or odds, like grabbing a Wall over @ 4.05 or maybe Jennings @ 2.4.🤷

shadowjackal27 said:So what, are we just going to have 19 different basket options on the menu every single day now? 🤣 🤣

🤣

Give it a few days—I'm betting the odds will shift to those ridiculous "yes/no" style bets at @ 1.01 or @ 100.

Keith Moore21 said:Man, this just tanked down to 1.7... I mean, they are seriously nuking everything in real time, aren't they? Just absolute chaos. 🙄

I mean, honestly, once they realized I was actually playing this thing, it was game over. They totally saw me coming. 😁

I honestly think Cleveland is being overlooked here, both by the oddsmakers and by this community. While the Lakers are objectively a class—maybe even two classes—above them, the Cavs are coming in with massive momentum after yesterday's road win. Sure, they might be a bit more fatigued than LA, but these guys are pros used to this kind of grind. I expect Kobe to get at least thirty minutes of action, which should be more than enough to clear his line. Looking back at the last three Lakers games, it’s pretty obvious the offense is being forced through him; everyone else seems to score only when he's on the floor or setting them up. I'm leaning towards taking the over on Kobe's points, though I'll keep the stake a bit lower. Just be careful with those spreads.

10 wins, 14 losses — plus 0.94 units. ROI sits at +0.90%.

Indiana vs. Toronto.

The pick: Indiana.

Odds: 1.25

Betting Site: DraftKings

Rating: 5/10

I’ll admit it—I underestimated the Raptors this season. Their defensive improvements have been immediate and tangible. I originally pegged them as one of the bottom-tier teams, but they're clearly positioned to climb several spots higher than last year. Ultimately, their success hinges on the duo of Bargnani and DeRozan. Bargnani is a solid asset—averaging 22.3 points on an impressive 48.9% shooting, alongside 6.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Had he landed with a more high-profile franchise, he’d be a legitimate All-Star candidate. However, he’s sidelined tonight due to injury—he missed the team shootaround this morning and looks unlikely to suit up against the Indiana Pacers. That leaves the heavy lifting to DeRozan, who has struggled significantly since the season opener. His production has dipped sharply compared to last year—specifically his scoring average and field goal percentage—and over the last five games, he’s averaged a meager 8.8 points (down from 14.2 on the season) while shooting barely above 30%. That is exceptionally poor.
With Toronto dealing with injuries to both Toronto and Bayless—their offensive options are looking pretty thin today. Sure, the defense has stepped up, but let’s be real: it’s far from perfect. Last season they were routinely giving up over 100 points, so this is progress, I suppose. As for the offense, the rest of the roster is fairly limited. It’ll be interesting to see how Kleiza handles things—he's a heavy ball user, and if he starts settling for contested threes, his shooting percentage could easily tank again.

Indiana is a solid squad—top 6 in the East, in my estimation. They possess a balanced roster and decent depth. Their interior presence is formidable, anchored by West and Hansbrough at the four and Hibbert at center. Their star, Granger, has finally found his rhythm, and with a reliable shooter like George in the rotation, they have Collison running the point. They defend well and have plenty of offensive options—I think they actually take this Toronto team. It's worth noting they've already faced them once this season, right here in Toronto, and walked away with a 90-85 win. Back then, Bargnani and Bayless were in the lineup and combined for 34 of the Raptors' 85 points—21 from Bargnani and 13 from Bayless—shooting a collective 54%. Neither of them is in the picture today.
Look, it’s their fourth game in five days here in Toronto—it's going to be a grind.

Boston vs. Chicago. A classic matchup.

Boston.

Odds: 2.18

The sportsbook: Pinnacle.

Rating: 3/10

The Celtics haven't exactly hit the ground running this season—they're sitting at 9th in the East with a 4-5 record. However, Paul Pierce is back. He isn't quite at peak fitness yet, but the man lives for high-stakes matchups like tonight’s clash against the Bulls. This is an older roster—a group of veterans who entered the season with that specific "diesel" build—so we'll have to see if they can actually ramp up as the playoffs approach. Ray Allen's shooting has been sharp this year, and Rajon Rondo has officially ascended to superstar status; he’s playing elite ball, evolving from a pure facilitator into someone who actually takes responsibility for scoring. Kevin Garnett had a sluggish start, but he’s finally waking up and finding his rhythm. With Brandon Bass, the Celtics have secured a legitimate spark plug off the bench—certainly a step up from what Big Baby offered. Their glaring weakness remains the glass and the center position. The Celtics are currently 29th out of 30 teams in rebounding, while the Bulls are among the league's best, sitting at second.
Chicago is looking at a shaky Derrick Rose situation—he missed the last one, and while he’s slated to play tonight, he isn't exactly at 100%. On the other side, Rajon Rondo is a savvy defender who can sense blood in the water. If he manages to force Rose into some contested shots, Boston's win probability climbs significantly. Interestingly, Rose has put up monster numbers against Boston, but that's strictly a home-court phenomenon; his production tends to dip once he steps into their arena. Joakim Noah is also nursing a minor injury, though he's expected to suit up. As for Bobby Boozer, he's hit a bit of a slump after a strong start to the season—we'll see how he handles Kevin Garnett tonight, especially since Garnett will undoubtedly be getting in his head during their matchups. 😁

I think the Celtics have the win in them tonight—the odds should be much closer than they are, so I'm taking Boston to win.

New Orleans vs. Minnesota

Pick: New Orleans

Odds: 2.05

Bookmaker: Pinnacle

Unit: 6/10

Both teams sit at an identical 3-7 record right now.
That said, New Orleans deserves more credit—they have a solid, balanced roster. If their core stays healthy through the season, they could easily flirt with a .500 winning percentage. Of course, that depends entirely on avoiding long-term injuries, particularly for their star, Gordon, who has always been injury-prone. He’s out again tonight for that very reason. On the other side, the Timberwolves might see a returning Trevor Ariza. With Okfor, Kaminsky, and Landry providing significant size in the paint, Kevin Love won't have to fight quite as hard for positioning under the rim. Jarrett Jack could also cause some serious headaches for them.

Minnesota is dealing with their own injury issues—they'll be without two key pieces, Barea and Beasley, leaving the load squarely on Love and Rubio. Coach Wolves' coach, Adelman, is even considering a three-man rotation change in the starting lineup, though we'll have to see if he actually pulls the trigger on that.

New Orleans looks like the better bet here. They're playing at home, their defense should be able to stifle Minnesota, and given that Minnesota's defense isn't exactly elite, this is the perfect matchup for the Pelicans to finally get a win on the board.

Tonight's main focus is on...



Plus some secondary international markets...



I might jump back in later to play a little something for $1.75, perhaps just focusing on individual player point totals...

William Price66 said:The big one for tonight is..



And some secondary international ones too..



Maybe later on I'll run a little thing for $1.75 just focusing on individual player points..

Phoenix vs New Jersey under 😕
... why though? Give me a solid reason and I'm in, just looking for a couple of 😁
... ps. I honestly think this could easily clear 200 points

James Stewart94 said:Phoenix vs. New Jersey — Under 😕
... why? Give me one solid reason and I'm in—I could use a couple of 😁
... p.s. I think it convincingly clears the 200-point mark

If you’d bothered to scroll back a few pages, you would've known...wiredcanyon39 already mentioned

Phoenix vs. New Jersey — Under 197.5
We all know most games this season have been trending under. New Jersey is playing absolute garbage right now and can barely put points on the board; meanwhile, the Suns aren't showing that offensive firepower they had in years past. Plus, it's a back-to-back for them—given the age of their roster, I'll probably want to take it easy. Seems like a solid bet to me.

In my book, the Charlotte-Detroit line should be sitting north of 176.5. That number feels way too low to me. 🤷

Then again, I’m no NBA expert, so don't go taking my word as gospel. 😁

So, I blew my whole bankroll on those morning lottery picks and some $19.50 parlays, so I’m running pretty low on cash now. I’m gonna try to swing for a win on the Hornets, Mimica, and Bryant—looking at something like 4/10.

DraftKings
Pick: Denver vs. Miami
Tip: halftime/fulltime 1/2 @6.00
Stake: 2/10

Miami is basically wrapping up this West Coast road trip, and man, you can tell they’re feeling the grind. It’s one thing playing three games in three nights—that’s exhausting enough on its own—but they’ve been dragging these things into overtime almost every single night lately... just brutal. Now, we gotta factor in Denver. It’s a weird place to play, being way up at that altitude, and that thin air usually hits visiting teams hard right out of the gate. Might cause the Heat to have a sluggish start... But then again, they've been losing too much lately. They're probably itching for a win and looking to prove something against a tough Denver squad, so I'm thinking they might just dig deep... maybe...

Sneaky little move by Ciro—clever, really. 👍

It’s like they’re gasping for air at sea level before the second quarter even wraps up,
because it feels like they’ve completely run out of oxygen—they’re basically breathing through gills at this point, and it isn't even the first quarter.
At least they used to know how to handle the fatigue before things fell apart like this.
And honestly, you don't need to lose any sleep over LeBron,
since he just paces himself for the fourth quarter like he always does, whether it was yesterday or the day before. It’s nothing we haven't seen a million times.

The whole Toronto scene is just completely falling apart now...