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Octopus Paul

Started by Michelle Bennett5 · · 👁 8 views · 34 replies

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Participants Michelle Bennett5Bradley Gonzalez4Elizabeth Newman2Morgan Morris2Kimberly Wood72Scott Wood84steelskipper5Chris Myers2shadoworca3placidjackal36mistyscout2feraltrucker5Joshua Phillips75neonfalcon16vividpilot47shadowseal12Rachel Palmer21Benjamin Mitchell2Joshua Baker2redviper32Scott Gomez98Edward Murphy4Noah Thompson44ambergardener35 …
Rachel Palmer21 Rachel Palmer21 Newcomer
8 messages
joined Jun 2009
#21 ·
(1/2)^number_of_consecutive_wins

1/2 ^ 6 = 1/64

If we consider a standard octopus—just thinking about how unpredictable they can be!—with a 50% success rate, you would expect it to stumble upon such a streak after roughly 120 attempts on average. It’s quite fascinating when you think about the sheer mathematical patience required for nature to align like that!

Code:
<html>
<head>
<style></style>
<script>
function init(){
var serija = 0;
var br_tries, br_tries_start;

var zbroj_tries = 0;
var zbroj_tries_start = 0;
var cnt = 0;

for(var j = 0 ; j < 1000; ++j)
{
for(var i = 0 ; ; ++i){
var predict = Math.floor(Math.random()*2);
var outcome = Math.floor(Math.random()*2);

if(predict == outcome){
++serija;
if (serija == 6) {
br_tries = i + 1;
br_tries_start = br_tries - 6;
break;
}
}
else serija = 0;
}
++cnt;
zbroj_tries += br_tries;
zbroj_tries_start += br_tries_start;
serija = 0;
}

document.body.innerHTML =
'zbroj_tries prosjek:' + (zbroj_tries / cnt) +
'<br>zbroj_tries_start prosjek:' + (zbroj_tries_start / cnt);
}
</script>
</head>
<body onload="init();"></body>
</html>
Benjamin Mitchell2 Benjamin Mitchell2 Newcomer
1 message
joined Jul 2010
#22 ·
If you ask me, this octopus has some kind of inside track over at DraftKings.
😂
Joshua Baker2 Joshua Baker2 Newcomer
1 message
joined Jul 2010
#23 ·
Man, that octopus is absolutely wild 🙂—now there's this parrot popping up too, I was actually watching a segment about it just yesterday... her owner claims she’s got a perfect track record 🤣... she actually picked the Netherlands to win the final... so, if you're looking for a tip, maybe put your money on the Netherlands, haha 🙂🙂
redviper32 redviper32 Member
11 messages
joined May 2012
#24 ·
So, I was scrolling through some news on CNN a couple of days ago—I can't quite find the specific article now, which is super annoying—but I think I read somewhere that some guy actually predicted every single game correctly during the Euro 2008 tournament, except for that one match between America and Germany.
Scott Gomez98 Scott Gomez98 Member
12 messages
joined Jan 2015
#25 ·
When she lined up against Germany, every single German news outlet was out for blood—claiming she’d bring bad luck or that they lost because of her. Give me a break.
Edward Murphy4 Edward Murphy4 Active Member
121 messages
joined Nov 2010
#26 ·
Honestly, I think Paul is pretty awesome.image
Michelle Bennett5 Michelle Bennett5 Active MemberOP
89 messages
joined Dec 2007
#27 ·
looks like she went all out and finished it...
Noah Thompson44 Noah Thompson44 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Jul 2010
#28 ·
What’s the price tag on one of those? It seems they have a much sharper intuition for sports betting than I do 😁
ambergardener35 ambergardener35 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Oct 2010
#29 ·
It’s all just pure psychology, really! Players instinctively know what they're predicting, and on some deep, subconscious level, they start leaning toward that outcome... if that isn't happening, then you're just looking at pure, unadulterated luck. 😁
Thomas Fowler81 Thomas Fowler81 Member
12 messages
joined Jul 2010
#30 ·
Maybe she just prefers the snacks in the Spanish-themed play area.
I'm not sure if anyone mentioned this yet, but they put food in both of those little flag-decorated snack stations, so she probably just picks whichever box looks better to her.

Otherwise, why would she even bother heading over to the snack stations in the first place?
ambergardener35 ambergardener35 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Oct 2010
#31 ·
Thomas Fowler81 said:Maybe she just prefers the snacks over in the Spanish little pool.
I don't know if anyone actually pointed this out yet, but they put food in both of those little pools with the flags, so she basically just picks whichever box looks better to her.

I mean, why else would she even bother heading toward the pools in the first place????


But honestly, you have to wonder HOW she manages to nail the winner every single time! Like, how does the tastier food always end up being in the winning pool? 😁
Thomas Fowler81 Thomas Fowler81 Member
12 messages
joined Jul 2010
#32 ·
It's like octopuses watching football, especially Paul.
His dad used to play for the CNN(underwater soccer club) Sushi.
Paul was too short to play and had a natural defect in his 4th limb (the one you need for ball control), so he decided to approach the game from a different angle.
He tried being a manager and a coach, but without playing experience, he just couldn't quite pull it off.
A sports journalist wasn't meant for him either, since he lacked the writing flair and relied on jargon that the average guy wouldn't understand.
In the end, he decided to become a bettor.
That’s how he became a soccer star without actually playing; he’s played a massive role in betting during this World Cup.
The guy just knows.
See, it's been proven that octopuses have a specific protein stored in their 6th limb that delivers the match outcome directly to an octopus's brain ahead of time.

P.S. Paul is mourning some of his relatives due to certain disgruntled world leaders who got burned by his predictions.

P.P.S. Did I explain that clearly enough??😁
Dana Reyes5 Dana Reyes5 Member
23 messages
joined Jul 2010
#33 ·
How on earth did you think that was a good idea?🤦
casualwolf12 casualwolf12 Member
32 messages
joined Jan 2008
#34 ·
Thomas Fowler81 said:Even octopuses follow soccer, particularly Paul.
His father used to play for the CNN(underwater soccer club) Sushi.
Paul was simply too short for the pitch and suffered from an innate defect in his 4th limb (the one required for ball control), which led him to pursue soccer through entirely different avenues.
He attempted to transition into coaching and management, though his lack of on-field experience made those endeavors rather unsuccessful.
A career in sports journalism proved equally elusive, as he lacked sufficient writing prowess and tended to rely on jargon that the average American couldn't decipher.
Ultimately, he decided to become a professional bettor.
In this manner, he became a soccer star without ever stepping onto the field, playing a pivotal role in betting during this World Cup.
The man simply possesses the knowledge.
It has been scientifically established that octopuses carry a specific type of gambler's protein in their 6th limb, which transmits the match results directly to the octopus brain ahead of schedule.

P.S. Paul is currently mourning his relatives, some of whom were disgruntled world leaders who ended up due to his predictions.

P.P.S. Was my explanation sufficiently lucid?😁

this actually sounds quite plausible🤷
Thomas Fowler81 Thomas Fowler81 Member
12 messages
joined Jul 2010
#35 ·
I was just teasing a little bit.
It didn't actually take me ten minutes to pull this together; I'm just a quick writer when inspiration hits.

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