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Setting the rules for the Reddit F1 championship 2013

Started by stormybadger8 · · 👁 9 views · 545 replies

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Participants stormybadger8Matthew Young35ruggedfox28Christian Williams61William Bennett53Jason JamesTerry Carter2darkmarlin16Jason Campbell70Raymond Kelly2Edward Howard2redheron12mistybear87Douglas Patel32Tyler Bennett5Ethan Jones5Sean Smith5cosmicridge5Alex Gomez4ruggedhawk20shadowstag10Nathan Jones98swifttiger75shadowhawk24
Terry Carter2 Terry Carter2 Active Member
206 messages
joined Mar 2003
#21 ·
Honestly, I’ve been preaching this for a while now: we need to push for a much higher level of automation across the entire competition!
I don't have anything against getting rid of Bjesomar's criteria; in fact, I’m all for it if it means making the management of this whole thing simpler and more streamlined. However, the newly submitted prediction should take precedence over the joker prediction, even if the latter was sent in first.
😁
ruggedfox28 ruggedfox28 Regular
255 messages
joined Aug 2018
#22 ·
Terry Carter2 said:Honestly, I’ve been preaching this for a while now: we need to push for a much higher level of automation across the entire competition!
I don't have anything against getting rid of Bjesomar's criteria; in fact, I’m all for it if it means making the management of this whole thing simpler and more streamlined. However, the newly submitted prediction should take precedence over the joker prediction, even if the latter was sent in first.
😁

You bet! 🙂

You're taking the words right out of my mouth... If they just scrapped Bjesomar's rule and replaced it with something more logical—like giving priority to whoever submitted their picks first—it would actually make sense. They’d probably have to add a little disclaimer, though, saying that only picks for the current round count toward that priority. Otherwise, using a Joker pick would basically be a self-inflicted wound if you ended up in a tie...
darkmarlin16 darkmarlin16 Veteran
1K messages
joined Nov 2015
#23 ·
Honestly, Bjesomar's criteria are pretty solid, you bunch of losers ☕

I mean, if we're talking about a position that's sitting outside the points, there’s really zero reason to even bother counting it 😉

So, when am I gonna see those standings posted?
ruggedfox28 ruggedfox28 Regular
255 messages
joined Aug 2018
#24 ·
darkmarlin16 said:Honestly, Bjesomar's criteria are pretty solid, you bunch of losers ☕

I mean, if we're talking about a position that's sitting outside the points, there’s really zero reason to even bother counting it 😉

So, when am I gonna see those standings posted?

You managed to be so contradictory in just two sentences that you basically deserve a ban just for trolling (or maybe even for being an asshole)..

You're telling us we're "BSing" because we want to scrap Bjesomar's rule, while claiming Bjesomar's rule is totally fine—just not good enough to use for those "less important positions"

🙂 🙂
darkmarlin16 darkmarlin16 Veteran
1K messages
joined Nov 2015
#25 ·
ruggedfox28 said:You managed to be so contradictory in just two sentences that you basically deserve a ban just for trolling (or maybe even for being an asshole)..

You're telling us we're "BSing" because we want to scrap Bjesomar's rule, while claiming Bjesomar's rule is totally fine—just not good enough to use for those "less important positions"

🙂 🙂

Come on, man, just take the joke for once 😉

Look, I'm saying there's zero point in bothering to calculate anything lower than the top 10 using Matthew Young35's system since they don't carry any major points anyway, and the secondary ones end up looking exactly the same regardless of which way you slice it 😉
Matthew Young35 Matthew Young35 Veteran
1.1K messages
joined Jan 2018
#26 ·
Terry Carter2 said:Matthew Young35 mentioned he was going to put together a program to calculate that specific criterion!
😁

ruggedfox28 said:Yeah, well, he said that last year too, and nothing ever came of it... 😬

..and even if he did whip up some little script for that rule, what then? Does every future commissioner need to download his software just to be eligible to run this thing? Because it feels like that rule gets invoked constantly?!

..let's get real here and simplify how we run this competition. It's getting way too complicated and bloated. Honestly, if it wasn't for you, Terry Carter2, doing most of the heavy lifting, this whole thing would have wrapped up in three days...

The spreadsheets are massive, and there's room to screw up at every single turn. We need to automate as much as possible. Without these automated Excel sheets, this would easily drag on for over a week🤣 🤣 ☕

Well, I actually finished about 99% of the program, but it felt like nobody was interested in using it.
And yes, obviously they would have to download it... how else could they use it?

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stormybadger8 stormybadger8 VeteranOP
1.8K messages
joined Apr 2013
#27 ·
Look, darkmarlin16 is actually making a solid point in the final standings here.🤷
Matthew Young35's criteria is fine by me; I think we should stick with it.

But honestly, there’s zero reason to care about anything else unless we’re talking about those top 10 predictions that actually carry the heavy points.
Who really cares if someone finished 11th or 24th? It doesn't matter.

That 17th place spot? It means absolutely nothing. It carries zero weight.
A consolation point is just a consolation point. Sure, you add it to the total, and yeah, that matters for the overall score.
But which specific position you grabbed during the race is literally irrelevant if it isn't in that top 10 bracket with the main points.🤷
ruggedfox28 ruggedfox28 Regular
255 messages
joined Aug 2018
#28 ·
..I mean, what kind of rule is it where we only apply it to a specific chunk of the standings? To me, that just sounds wrong... how we'd say it down here in California..

And another thing... regardless of which part of the rankings we decide to use for this rule, I personally have zero intention of wasting 30-45 minutes just to move up 1 to 10 spots..

What kind of rule even targets just a segment of the field? If I don't count everyone, there’s always going to be some smart-aleck looking for an excuse to claim we aren't following the book, just so they can demand their own special exceptions.. That’s how you end up creating a mess of precedents and people hunting for loopholes..

I've already blown two whole free afternoons just tweaking things and building spreadsheets so I'd waste less time on the data entry side, and the more I talk about it, the more worked up I get about scrapping this rule entirely!
stormybadger8 stormybadger8 VeteranOP
1.8K messages
joined Apr 2013
#29 ·
ruggedfox28 said:..I mean, what kind of rule is it where we only apply it to a specific chunk of the standings? To me, that just sounds wrong... how we'd say it down here in California..

And another thing... regardless of which part of the rankings we decide to use for this rule, I personally have zero intention of wasting 30-45 minutes just to move up 1 to 10 spots..

What kind of rule even targets just a segment of the field? If I don't count everyone, there’s always going to be some smart-aleck looking for an excuse to claim we aren't following the book, just so they can demand their own special exceptions.. That’s how you end up creating a mess of precedents and people hunting for loopholes..

I've already blown two whole free afternoons just tweaking things and building spreadsheets so I'd waste less time on the data entry side, and the more I talk about it, the more worked up I get about scrapping this rule entirely!

I don't even know what to tell you, but I really don't like the idea of changing anything regarding the points system or how they're calculated.

That’s something we’ve never messed with lightly.
Besides, that group points thing needs to be sorted before we even look at that criterion.🤔
I haven't checked what the current predictions are, but it's weird as hell that they're all identical across every single criterion, and I can't believe Matthew Young35 actually made the cut.😳

Man, last year I'm pretty sure this only happened once during the entire season.😕

EDIT:
stormybadger8 said:5. The criteria for determining race standings are as follows:
a) the player with more secondary points wins.
b) in the event of a tie after a), the player with more exact position hits wins
c) in the event of a tie after b), the player who earned more bonus points wins
d) in the event of a tie after c), the player with the higher sum of points from all hit exact positions within their groups wins
e) in the event of a tie after d), the player with more hits in high-value point groups wins
f) in the event of a tie after e), the player with the smaller sum of differences between actual and predicted positions in the overall standings wins. In this case, all drivers are counted according to the order listed by FiAe and the competitors
g) in the event of a tie after f), the player who submitted their updated prediction earlier wins—or the one who sent the old prediction first if no one sent a new one. If one player fails to send a new prediction, their opponent wins.

Every single time, it ended up being different based on criterion "e," and we never even reached criterion "f."🤷
Look, just because no forecast gets the exact order right doesn't mean we should immediately jump to Matthew Young35's criteria or his "point f" logic.😳

And honestly, why is everyone making such a big deal out of someone landing in 17th or 18th?
It’s pretty easy to state that if those positions don't award major points, the rank should just be split.

So you just write it like this:
16. Player A
17. Player B
17. Player C
19. Player D

What’s the actual issue here? Being 17th or 18th doesn't decide anything. It carries zero points and has absolutely no impact on the outcome.
It's literally as pointless as the colors in a spreadsheet or the driver numbers.
There is zero reason to complain about it.

In the past, people would have lost their minds over losing a win just because their prediction was technically better but submitted 20 seconds too late.
stormybadger8 stormybadger8 VeteranOP
1.8K messages
joined Apr 2013
#30 ·
Regarding Matthew Young35's criteria, I actually think we should stick with it.😉
If you end up with more predictions, just drop them in this thread and I'll run the numbers for you—it’s really not as big of a headache as you might think.😉
Besides, I don't see that happening enough during the season to make it a huge issue.

Even if you look at the actual math behind that criterion (ignoring how much of a pain it is to calculate🙂), it’s honestly the fairest way to do it.😳
Basically, if it were fast and easy, every single prediction would be measured against it, because it truly shows how far off you actually are from the real standings.
It’s just that doing it manually would be a total nightmare and take days.🤣

If someone actually coded this into a program, it would be the perfect way to decide who has the best predictions.
Terry Carter2 Terry Carter2 Active Member
206 messages
joined Mar 2003
#31 ·
You can run the numbers, sure, but I honestly feel like the rulebook hasn't been fully ironed out yet! I’m talking about the hierarchy—how we rank DNFs versus DNQs, and where things like Pole Positions or Fastest Laps actually fit into the equation. Which group takes precedence, and what's the logic behind how it all...
😁
stormybadger8 stormybadger8 VeteranOP
1.8K messages
joined Apr 2013
#32 ·
Terry Carter2 said:You can run the numbers, sure, but I honestly feel like the rulebook hasn't been fully ironed out yet! I’m talking about the hierarchy—how we rank DNFs versus DNQs, and where things like Pole Positions or Fastest Laps actually fit into the equation. Which group takes precedence, and what's the logic behind how it all...
😁

We actually debated this before and decided that DNFs, DNQs, pole positions, and fastest laps aren't part of Matthew Young35's criteria.
Basically, you just count them as they are. If 22 drivers finish, the second DNF is effectively 23rd, and the first DNF is 24th.
Theoretically, you could include pole positions and fastest laps without worrying, even if it makes zero sense.

But seriously, don't stress about this for every single prediction, for crying out loud.🤣
It would be an insane amount of work to calculate, half the players wouldn't even understand why someone scored higher or lower, and checking all those predictions would be a total nightmare.😬
That specific criterion is just there to break ties when everyone else fails.😳

Even Matthew Young35's criterion failed us once.
Believe it or not, we had two predictions that were identical by every single metric, including his. That’s why we had to bring in that final tiebreaker based on who submitted their entry first.
So yeah, even Matthew Young35's system isn't perfect or foolproof.😬
Terry Carter2 Terry Carter2 Active Member
206 messages
joined Mar 2003
#33 ·
stormybadger8 said:We actually debated this before and decided that DNFs, DNQs, pole positions, and fastest laps aren't part of Matthew Young35's criteria.
Basically, you just count them as they are. If 22 drivers finish, the second DNF is effectively 23rd, and the first DNF is 24th.
Theoretically, you could include pole positions and fastest laps without worrying, even if it makes zero sense.

But seriously, don't stress about this for every single prediction, for crying out loud.🤣
It would be an insane amount of work to calculate, half the players wouldn't even understand why someone scored higher or lower, and checking all those predictions would be a total nightmare.😬
That specific criterion is just there to break ties when everyone else fails.😳

Even Matthew Young35's criterion failed us once.
Believe it or not, we had two predictions that were identical by every single metric, including his. That’s why we had to bring in that final tiebreaker based on who submitted their entry first.
So yeah, even Matthew Young35's system isn't perfect or foolproof.😬

So, it hasn't really been refined enough to serve as the primary scoring metric for the types of predictions we’re currently making!
😁
stormybadger8 stormybadger8 VeteranOP
1.8K messages
joined Apr 2013
#34 ·
Terry Carter2 said:So, it hasn't really been refined enough to serve as the primary scoring metric for the types of predictions we’re currently making!
😁

Nah, that just wouldn't work.
Matthew Young35 Matthew Young35 Veteran
1.1K messages
joined Jan 2018
#35 ·
Here is a suggestion for refining the scoring criteria. I’m proposing that we factor in any successful PP and FL as a -5 point penalty.

EDIT:
Actually, I have an even more granular idea involving starting grid positions and fastest lap rankings, but honestly, that would be absolute madness.
Terry Carter2 Terry Carter2 Active Member
206 messages
joined Mar 2003
#36 ·
Matthew Young35 said:Here is a suggestion for refining the scoring criteria. I’m proposing that we factor in any successful PP and FL as a -5 point penalty.

EDIT:
Actually, I have an even more granular idea involving starting grid positions and fastest lap rankings, but honestly, that would be absolute madness.

That is actually the only logical way to look at this!
😁
stormybadger8 stormybadger8 VeteranOP
1.8K messages
joined Apr 2013
#37 ·
What's the point🤷?
If we're actually going to bother counting FL and PP
, then both those stats are right there in the books:

Pole Position , Fastest Lap

It’s pretty simple math—like calculating how much you missed out on Rosberg by compared to the Pole or the fastest lap, assuming you know their qualifying rank and their best lap time.😳
I don't see why people are overcomplicating this.🤷

Basically, the only group you can't calculate using this logic is DNQ. You can't really value or quantify them at all, but everything else is fair game.
stormybadger8 stormybadger8 VeteranOP
1.8K messages
joined Apr 2013
#38 ·
Check out this interesting comparison of how those numbers stack up😳

Terry Carter2 said:Pilatus (117)
1. Lewis Hamilton 7
2. Jenson Button 16
3. Michael Schumacher 8
4. Nico Rosberg 1
5. Mark Webber 1
6. Sebastian Vettel 5
7. Kimi Räikkönen 5
8. Kamui Kobayashi 5
9. Romain Grosjean 6
10. Fernando Alonso 3
11. Sergio Perez 0
12. Paul di Resta 5
13. Bruno Senna 9
14. Nico Hulkenberg 2
15. Jean-Eric Vergne 1
16. Daniel Ricciardo 1
17. Heikki Kovalainen 0
18. Vitaly Petrov 2
19. Timo Glock 0
20. Pedro de la Rosa 0
21. Narain Karthikeyan 0
DNF Pastor Maldonado 1
DNF Felipe Massa 14
DNF Charles PIC 0
Pole Michael Schumacher 17
FL Jenson Button 8

Dorian (98)
1. Lewis Hamilton 7
2. Mark Webber 2
3. Jenson Button 15

4. Sebastian Vettel 3
5. Kimi Räikkönen 3
6. Nico Rosberg 1
7. Romain Grosjean 4
8. Fernando Alonso 1
9. Michael Schumacher 1
10. Sergio Perez 1

11. Kamui Kobayashi 2
12. Felipe Massa 3
13. Paul di Resta 7
14. Nico Hulkenberg 2
15. Pastor Maldonado 8
16. Bruno Senna 6

17. Daniel Ricciardo 2
18. Jean-Eric Vergne 4
19. Heikki Kovalainen 2
20. Vitaly Petrov 4
21. Timo Glock 2
22. Charles Pic 2
23. Pedro de la Rosa 3
24. Narain Karthikeyan 3
Pole Nico Rosberg 4
FL Lewis Hamilton 6

Dorian actually has a better prediction—like, seriously better—than his teammate based on Matthew Young35's criteria. But using our "standard" method, Pilatus takes it, while Dorian barely scrapes into the top tier.

Basically, if we used Matthew Young35's logic, the race results would look totally different.😳
It actually surprised me how solid Dorian's prediction was when I ran the math (because if I remember correctly, anything using Matthew Young35's system always ended up over 100 points; I don't recall seeing one under a hundred)😳,
but then I remembered Pilatus's Pole and FL, which would basically tank his score in this specific matchup.
Even without those, Dorian would still be ahead, though only slightly: 88 vs 92.😳
Terry Carter2 Terry Carter2 Active Member
206 messages
joined Mar 2003
#39 ·
Maybe we should try running that calculation in parallel at the same time, just to see how it actually plays out!
😁
Terry Carter2 Terry Carter2 Active Member
206 messages
joined Mar 2003
#40 ·
Regarding the point calculations, I’m still happy to step up and handle things just like I have in the past. In fact, I’m more than willing to adopt a new scoring system, provided we all agree that it's actually fair!
😁

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