Drew Bennett68
Regular
471 messages
joined Dec 2009
I’ll admit, I’ve let my "specialty sector"—IndyCar—slip a little bit from my radar lately.
Here is how the landscape looks after 12 races:
1. Will Power (Penske) sits at 379 points, with 3 total wins
2. Ryan Hunter-Reay (Andretti Autosport) has 374 points, also with 3 wins
3. Hélio Castroneves (Penske) has 353 points, with 2 wins
4. Scott Dixon (Ganassi) follows closely with 351 points and 2 wins
If we’re being objective here, these four drivers are going to be locked in a dogfight for the championship until the very end. Sure, a few others might have a theoretical mathematical chance, but let's be honest—that's basically entering the realm of science fiction at this point, isn't it?
We have three races left on the schedule: Sonoma, Baltimore (the street circuit), and Fontana (the big 500-mile oval).
What’s interesting is that none of these drivers have been truly consistent; they’ve all dealt with these wild swings of incredible highs and frustrating lows.
Take Will Power, for example. He had an absolutely electric start with three consecutive wins, only to seemingly vanish into thin air for much of the season, before finally resurfacing recently with a couple of podium finishes.
On the flip side, Ryan Hunter-Reay has had almost the exact opposite experience. His hot streak of three straight wins just happened recently, whereas he spent most of the first half of the season just hovering around the top ten.
Hélio Castroneves had a solid start—a win followed by a podium—and then maintained steady momentum with a long string of top-ten finishes that kept him right in the hunt. That recent win of his really signaled that he's officially back in the conversation.
Then there's Scott Dixon, who has arguably had the worst luck of the bunch. He’s suffered through so many retirements while running in prime positions. However, thanks to a win in the last race and some questionable form from his rivals, he’s clawed his way right back into title contention.
My predictions:
Will Power is a beast on street circuits and standard road courses, but he’s only mediocre when it comes to ovals. This year's calendar should have been practically tailor-made for him, but he somehow managed to squander that advantage.
I don't see him taking the crown. He’s going to need massive results in Sonoma and Baltimore just to stand a fighting chance once they head to the oval at Fontana.
Hunter-Reay has been the real surprise of the season. He’s performed well across the board, but I find myself lacking faith in him and his team right now; I can't help but feel he might have already used up his best run of form.
As for Castroneves, the old fox... he could very well snatch this in the final race. The only hurdle might be the fact that he and Power are teammates. On the plus side, he is phenomenal on ovals and is easily the most seasoned veteran among the top four.
And finally, looking at Dixon, it feels like he’s already paid his dues in bad luck for the entire year. Isn't it about time the universe gave him something back?
He’s got the best crew in the pit lane, a very focused environment within the team, and he performs well everywhere. I have a nagging gut feeling that he might just pull this off and become the champion.