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Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

Started by Carol Moore5 · · 👁 5 views · 34 replies

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Participants Carol Moore5Ethan Jones5Jesse Brown12Joshua Garcia8Jesse Sullivan2wiredcanyon39Jacob Torres21Daniel EdwardsDrew WrightDaniel Watson9electriccyclist20Kate SanchezEric Fox7Richard Doyle16Michael Myers
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 NewcomerOP
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#1 ·
AIK vs PSV Eindhoven 1 DNB (a.h.) 4.25

I honestly think AIK can pull this one off—maybe even grab a win against these visitors if things go their way.😁
AIK wrapped up their season last weekend, finishing up in 4th place overall.
Their record stands at 15 wins, 10 draws, and 5 losses.
The fans are really itching to see them replicate that performance they put on about two weeks ago over in Eindhoven.
They might actually be able to push for something bigger today if they show some real grit and hunger, especially since the visitors are showing up shorthanded without four of their heavy hitters:
PSV is missing Ola Toivonen, Jeremain Lens, Mark van Bommel, and Georginio Wijnaldum.
Let’s be real, PSV hasn't looked particularly convincing in the Eredivisie lately. Sure, they've been stringing wins together, but that’s mostly because they’ve had an easy schedule—they struggle big time on the road. Even bottom-tier sides like Willem and PEC Zwolle almost nicked points from them recently...
With those absences today and the home side feeling fresh, there's massive value here. I'm riding with them. They didn't lose back in Eindhoven, so there's no way they shouldn't be able to avoid a loss in Stockholm too.
In Sweden, AIK is known for being a tough, defensive unit—they've only conceded 12 goals at home all season.
The weather is chilly and the pitch isn't exactly pristine, which definitely won't make life easy for the traveling squad...
2/10.
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#2 ·
Lisa Ramos59 said:Hey, I see a ton of Europa League matches today. Anyone got suggestions on goal counts? Which games do you think will be high-scoring—specifically Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5?

Anzhi Makhachkala vs Liverpool FC looks like a solid bet..

Last time it ended 1-0, but that was because Liverpool played their strongest lineup while Anzhi sat deep in defense. Today, the Americans playing in Russia will be pushing for the win, and Liverpool's subs will definitely be hungry to score to prove they deserve a spot in the starting XI..

Even jadedrifter28 feels the same way, so we probably shouldn't miss out on both scoring.. I'm going to tweak the parlay a bit now; I just wrote this dream down yesterday..

Still, I won't stick strictly to this one pair for today. I don't like forcing the Europa League; it always ends badly for me..
Jesse Brown12 Jesse Brown12 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Jan 2013
#3 ·
For a small stake, maybe a little more if you're feeling it

Tottenham vs Maribor X2 3.35
The English teams don't really care about this tournament, they'll probably just bench their stars to prep for the next Premier League match, while the Canadians are desperate to prove something... ended up a 1-1 draw in Maribor
With a bit of luck, the Canadians might at least walk away with a point

But if you want to go bigger on the stakes
Partizan vs Inter 2-2
Inter has been picking up momentum lately, and honestly, their quality is leagues above Partizan... I don't see Partizan having much of a shot at even grabbing a draw. Anything can happen, but passing up this price on Inter feels like a mistake
Joshua Garcia8 Joshua Garcia8 Member
11 messages
joined Mar 2012
#4 ·
Lisa Ramos59 said:Hey, I see a ton of Europa League games today. Anyone got picks for goal-fests? Looking for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.

Asking this feels a lot like someone walking up and asking, "there are good odds today, any tips on betting on the home team?".

Maybe try throwing out a suggestion first—give us some actual reasoning why you think it's a good bet—and then ask what we think?
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 NewcomerOP
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#5 ·
Roger Phillips said:AIK vs PSV Eindhoven 1 DNB (a.h.) 4.25

FT 1:0

Man, I gotta correct myself there—I totally botched the odds in my previous post... it was actually 4.15, not 4.25🙂...
Jesse Sullivan2 Jesse Sullivan2 Active Member
58 messages
joined Dec 2010
#6 ·
I just placed some live bets online on Partizan Belgrade vs Inter Milan and Basel vs Videoton.
The stakes are tiny; I was scrolling through the lines earlier this afternoon, but honestly, nothing really caught my eye.

I went with Inter Milan to score under 1.5 goals (at 1.80 odds), and then bet that Basel wouldn't put more than 2.5 past Videoton (1.50).

As for Partizan Belgrade, if I remember right, they're doing pretty well in their league—solid form, usually knocking in a couple of goals... I wouldn't say Inter Milan is in any special kind of shape either, though I don't really follow the Italian teams because I try to stay away from their league. Every time I've ever bet on Italian clubs, they've ruined my parlay, even when they looked like absolute sure things. I actually think the guys from Belgrade might hold their own here.

Basel can definitely drop three or four on someone, but Videoton isn't a bad side; if memory serves, they actually beat Basel when they were playing at home, maybe 2-1 or something like 3-1, I can't quite recall...
Videoton is looking decent in their domestic league, maybe even sitting first or in the top 3.
Basel could score, sure, but I don't see them hitting three or more.

Total odds are 2.70...

Wish me luck.
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 NewcomerOP
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#7 ·
Man, this one looks solid. Playing this Saturday:

Levadiakos vs Aris 1-2
Poulido, Kaznaferis, Papasterianos, and Aganzo are all out for the visitors. Honestly, because of that, I’m leaning toward the home side—they’ve been playing well enough lately, it’s really just a matter of when they finally get that win... they've put in three good performances now but just haven't been rewarded for it yet.
Aris has been pretty weak this season, and last round they somehow scraped by Veriu only because the visitors ended up with just nine men on the pitch after two red cards.
They’re heading into this away game missing four of their starters, so they’ve got a massive mountain to climb. Losing Aganzo—their top scorer and most dangerous threat—makes this an even uglier situation for them.
Levadiakos isn't doing great in the standings, but they aren't actually playing that badly at all.
Last week on the road, they just couldn't finish their chances, and they ended up getting punished for it—totally undeserved loss if you ask me.
They'll be stronger with Napoeleoni back in the lineup, plus they’re playing at home against a depleted Aris squad. They are right on the edge of a breakthrough, and I think they should pull it off.
Given how bad things look for the visitors—missing their main striker and traveling thin—they’re probably just looking to scavenge a single point. An Under 1.5 at 1.55 looks like a killer option here, too... it’s hard to see more than two goals happening given the circumstances.
Hoping for a 1-0.

GL
Jesse Brown12 Jesse Brown12 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Jan 2013
#8 ·
Jesse Brown12 said:just some casual bets or whatever...

Lakers-Celtics Over 2 @ 3.35
The English teams don't even care about this tournament, they'll probably just bench their stars to save them for the next Premier League match, while the guys in Cleveland are desperate to prove something, ended up being a 1:1 draw there...
if they get lucky, Cleveland might walk away with at least a point

but there's a bigger play here too
Yankees-Red Sox Over 2 @ 2.00
Inter Miami has been heating up lately, they’re way better than the New York Knicks, I really don't see the Knicks having any chance of holding onto a draw. Anything can happen, but passing on those Inter Miami odds would be a mistake...

Tottenham Maribor 3:1 👎
Knicks Heat 1:3 👍
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#9 ·
Way to go, Jesse Brown12, I just gave you a shoutout 🙂
Jesse Brown12 Jesse Brown12 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Jan 2013
#10 ·
wiredcanyon39 said:Nice one, Jesse Brown12... caught you red-handed... 🙂

First time diving into the Europa League this season, just to keep an eye on the scores and see how things shake out... $67 Just hits you out of nowhere... 😁

image
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 NewcomerOP
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#11 ·
Roger Phillips said:Bolivar-Blooming 1 1,60

FT 1:0
Jacob Torres21 Jacob Torres21 Active Member
145 messages
joined Apr 2012
#12 ·
Injuries:
US Grosseto vs. Spezia Calcio
US Grosseto: Bremec (10/0 GK), Jadid (7/1 M), Delvecchio (11/0 M), Crimi (6/0 M)
Spezia Calcio: Di Gennaro (8/4 M)

Middlesbrough vs. Sheffield Wed
Middlesbrough: Miller (7/1 F), Emnes (8/3 F), Thomson (5/0 M) (doubts), Carayol (3/1 F), Main (2/0 F), Arca (1/0 M), Williams (7/2 F)
Sheffield Wed: Corry (4/0 M) (doubtful)

AS Nancy vs. Stade Rennais
AS Nancy: Moukandjo (10/0 F), Rachid (0/0 M), Dampha (0/0 M), Jeanvier (0/0 D), Sané (11/1 M)
Stade Rennais: Montaño (5/0 F), Pajot (9/0 M)

Ruch Chorzow vs. Lechia Gdansk
Ruch Chorzow: Piech (8/5 F), Niedzielan (4/0 F) (doubts), Janoszka (4/0 M), Zieńczuk (10/0 M), Straka (5/0 M)
Lechia Gdansk: Małkowski (0/0 G), Hajrapetian (3/0 M), Bajić (0/0 M), Kostrzewa (0/0 M), Traore (10/7 M), Duda (1/0 F), Kaniecki (4/0 G), Rasiak (6/1 F), Madera (10/0 D)

Gil Vicente vs. Paços de Ferreira
Gil Vicente: Brito (7/0 F), Tiero (2/0 M), Daniel (4/0 D), Luan (0/0 M)
Paços de Ferreira: Figueiras (1/0 D), Poulsen (1/0 F)

Gazélec Ajaccio vs. Sedan Ardennes
Gazélec Ajaccio: Martin (0/0 D), Rachidi (11/0 D)
Sedan Ardennes: Diallo (12/2 F), Rame (13/0 GK), Dielna (6/0 D), Beziouen (6/0 M), Tchenkoua (2/0 M), Yahiaoui (5/0 M)

Le Havre AC vs. Clermont Foot
Le Havre AC: Louvion (8/0 D), Le Marchand (8/0 D), Placide (6/0 G)
Clermont Foot: Bayod (13/1 M), Sylla (13/0 M), Fomen (10/0 D), Salze (5/0 D), Esor (9/0 D), Lacombe (13/1 M)
Daniel Edwards Daniel Edwards Newcomer
2 messages
joined Sep 2012
#13 ·
LA Galaxy vs. Inter Miami @1.80 SS

Is there any actual reason to skip watching Inter Miami right now? Honestly, I don't see one—unless you still take those "legendary" motivational coaches too seriously, the type who should probably just move into a TV studio and leave the football alone... ☕ Miami is on an incredible run, their play is actually improving, they're scoring consistently, and they're fighting hard for that second seed. LA isn't looking great, and frankly, all the motivation in the world can't fix a lack of pure talent on the pitch...
Drew Wright Drew Wright Newcomer
8 messages
joined Mar 2017
#14 ·
Daniel Edwards said:LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders 2 @1.80 SS

Is there any actual reason not to be following Seattle at the moment? Personally, I can't see one—unless, of course, you still find himself deeply moved by the legendary motivational tactics of someone like a certain aging Hollywood director who probably needs a Netflix documentary more than a coaching gig to get him away from the pitch. ☕ Seattle is on an incredible run right now; they aren't just winning, they're actually playing with some cohesion, consistently finding the back of the net while fighting tooth and nail for that second seed. Meanwhile, LA is looking pretty lackluster, and frankly, all the motivation in the world won't compensate for a glaring lack of raw talent on the field...

The odds on the underdog are tempting, but the management seems totally fixated on...

http://www.espn.com/soccer/news...article-472551

electriccyclist20 said:That’s easily the most tedious matchup on the schedule today. Honestly, I’d rather spend my afternoon watching paint dry than sit through that game.


😂 🤣
Jesse Brown12 Jesse Brown12 Newcomer
5 messages
joined Jan 2013
#15 ·
Daniel Edwards said:LAFC vs. Seattle Sounders 2 @1.80 SS

Is there actually any reason not to be watching Seattle right now? Not really, unless you're still buying into whatever hype machine the legendary motivator is spinning lately, thinking he needs a prime-time talk show appearance just to find the will to coach football again... ☕ Seattle is on a tear, they’re playing even better than their results suggest, consistently finding the back of the net while fighting for that second seed. LAFC looks rough, and honestly, all the motivation in the world won't fix a lack of actual talent on the pitch...

might even be safer betting on both teams to score first, seems like a smoother ride since the odds are basically the same anyway...
Carol Moore5 Carol Moore5 NewcomerOP
1 message
joined Sep 2014
#16 ·
Atlanta United vs. FC Cincinnati 1 1.65
The visitors are going to be hurting without their main man, Miguel Caneo, and honestly, that’s gonna be a massive hole in their lineup... On the flip side, Atlanta United is sitting pretty with one of the absolute best squads in the league—probably even got the best manager in the business too. They’re undefeated this season, rocking a 5-1-0 run at home, five straight wins, and they play in front of a wild crowd at one of the most packed stadiums in the country (it's called Mercedes-Benz Stadium😁)

I’m expecting another dominant performance from them in front of their home fans. Plus, Heinze is coming back into the rotation, and since this squad is known for being a defensive powerhouse that barely concedes anything, it's a perfect fit. Martino is the kind of coach who demands that grit in the backline—that tough, lockdown defense is basically the foundation of everything they do.
They’ve got a really solid roster put together, too... they actually have a few guys returning from stints playing over in Europe, like Gabriel Heinze, Maxi Rodriguez, and Ignacio Scocco.
It's looking like a real uphill battle for Cincinnati to avoid a loss here. I mean, sure, they might pull off an upset if they were playing at home, but trying to do it on the road against the best home team in the league? Yeah... that's a tall order.
Daniel Watson9 Daniel Watson9 Member
11 messages
joined Nov 2012
#17 ·
Analysis No.: 1
Match: Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund
Pick: 2
Odds: 1.55
Bookmaker: DraftKings
Time: 11.10. 2012 / 3:30 PM
Stake: 5/10

Dortmund has been showing some truly impressive form in the Champions League lately, particularly in their matchups against Real Madrid. It seems they possess a certain kind of special strength in their midfield line; the way they managed to dismantle Real at the Santiago Bernabeu this past Tuesday was quite something. I suppose Ilkay Gündogan and Sebastian Kehl have once again proven they are in peak condition. Now, Kehl is dealing with a bit of an injury, though I suspect that might not be much of an issue, as Sven Bender is likely waiting in the wings for his chance to step in. Eventually, Jakub Błaszczykowski should return as well, and he was playing quite well before that ankle injury about five weeks ago. After some rather unconvincing performances in the domestic league, they finally have a real opportunity here to try and close the gap with the teams at the top of the table. On the other hand, Augsburg is arguably one of the weaker sides in the league right now, which is probably reflected in the fact that they've only scored 5 goals while conceding 15 so far this season. I imagine Dortmund will employ a high press against them, and I suspect Augsburg might struggle to even hold out through the first half without giving up a goal. The mere fact that they 7.1 miles outpaced Mourinho's Real Madrid says a lot about their current capability, especially in that midfield. They just really need to translate that momentum back into league play.

Missing Players:
Augsburg: Dominik Reinhardt (DEF 1/0), Paul Verhaegh (DEF 8/0), Giovanni Sio (ATT 4/0), Ronny Philp (DEF 0/0), Ioannis Gelios (GK 0/0)

Borussia Dortmund: Patrick Owomoyela (DEF 0/0), Mustafa Amini (MID 0/0), Zlatan Alomerović (GK 0/0), Sebastian Kehl (MID 10/0) - questionable

---------------------
I have a feeling that Dortmund might walk away with a fairly convincing victory, so I think I'll go ahead and put my money on the handicap as well.

Match: Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund
Pick: Away -2
Odds: 2.50
Stake: 3/10
Daniel Watson9 Daniel Watson9 Member
11 messages
joined Nov 2012
#18 ·
Analysis No.: 2
Match: SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV
Pick: Double Chance X2
Odds: 1.60
Sportsbook: DraftKings
Time: 11.10. 2012 / 3:30 PM
Stake: 5/10

HSV has been attempting to piece together a new roster this season, blending some fresh faces with more seasoned veterans. I suppose their goalkeeper is steadily improving; his recent performances have actually caught the eye of the US National Team manager enough to earn him a recall. In the midfield, Badelj is starting to assert himself—he seems like a very solid investment, I guess—and playing alongside him is van der Vaart, who is looking increasingly reminiscent of his prime days back at Ajax or during his peak years with HSV. With these reinforcements in place, we might see the veteran Austrian center-back Paul Scharner make his debut against Freiburg. Hamburg’s playstyle still feels a bit inconsistent, alternating between hot and cold streaks, but there is a sense of promise in how they are playing. On the other hand, Freiburg plays a fairly decent attacking game, though they seem to have a glaring issue: they simply lack a clinical finisher. It’s quite striking that among five different forwards, they have only managed to find the back of the net once.

Missing Players:

SC Freiburg: Johannes Flum (MID 7/0), Immanuel Hohn (DEF 1/0), Matthias Ginter (DEF 9/0)

Hamburger SV: Ivo Iličević (MID 5/1), Michael Mancienne (DEF 10/0), Petr Jiracek (5/0), Slobodan Rajković (DEF 0/0), Christian Norgaard (MID 0/0), Tom Mickel (GK 0/0), Sven Neuhaus (GK 0/0), Zhi Gin Andreas Lam (MID 1/0)
electriccyclist20 electriccyclist20 Member
15 messages
joined Sep 2014
#19 ·
Good morning ☕

I haven't really felt like digging through the archives this early, but I wanted to say thanks to the folks who suggested the Lakers, New York, and Sao Paulo. Because of you all, I can finally afford to treat myself to a decent sandwich during my afternoon break at work. ☕

Anyway, let's get straight to the picks:

Bastia - Valenciennes Over/Under Goals (1.60 SS)

01.22.12 COU Valenciennes Bastia 3 : 1

They haven't faced off since back in 2006, so I'm certainly not going to pretend that data means anything today. Bastia has been putting up three goals a game in their last two home matches—though, to be fair, those were against much tougher sides like St. Etienne and PSG—while Valenciennes has managed to find the net in each of their last five away games. Valenciennes actually leads the league with 23 goals through 11 rounds, whereas Bastia has been leaking them, conceding 26.
There’s a pretty good chance we see an Over 2.5 here too (1.95 SS).
As for injuries or missing players, I'm completely in the dark on that front. ☕

And here is one more solid play to round things out:

Arsenal - Fulham Over/Under Goals (1.70 SS)

I won't dive into a massive deep dive here. Fulham is sitting third in the league with 21 goals scored, and while Arsenal has been giving up goals a bit too easily lately, they should definitely manage at least one at home.

01.02.12 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 1
11.26.11 PRE Arsenal Fulham 1 : 1
05.22.11 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 2
12.04.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 2 : 1
05.09.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 4 : 0

Plus, Everton vs. Sunderland feels like a safe bet. Everton is tough to beat at home, Sunderland struggles to win on the road (and honestly, not much at home either), and if anyone cares, I've actually been enjoying watching how they play lately.

(1.50 SS)

Total odds come out to 4.08

Good morning once again ☕
electriccyclist20 electriccyclist20 Member
15 messages
joined Sep 2014
#20 ·
Copied from Chat

Seattle Sounders - FC Cincinnati Over 1.5 Goals (1.60 SS)

01.22.12 MLS Cincinnati vs Seattle 3 : 1

They haven't faced off since 2006, so I’m definitely not counting that as anything useful. Seattle has been putting up three goals a game in their last two home matches—though, to be fair, they did get hammered 3-0 and 4-0 by much tougher sides like LA Galaxy and Inter Miami—while Cincinnati has managed to find the back of the net in each of their last five away games. Cincinnati actually leads the league in scoring with 23 goals through 11 rounds, whereas Seattle has surrendered the most at 26.
It feels like an easy play for Over 2.5 goals too (1.95 SS).
I don't have the slightest clue about any injuries or missing players for these squads.

Arsenal - Fulham Over 1.5 Goals (1.70 SS)

I won't dive into a deep-dive analysis here. Fulham is sitting at third in the league's scoring charts with 21 goals, and while Arsenal has been conceding way too easily lately, they should be able to bag at least one on their own turf.

01.02.12 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 1
11.26.11 PRE Arsenal Fulham 1 : 1
05.22.11 PRE Fulham Arsenal 2 : 2
12.04.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 2 : 1
05.09.10 PRE Arsenal Fulham 4 : 0

Also, Everton - Sunderland should be a lock. Everton doesn't lose at home, Sunderland can't seem to pull off a win on the road (and honestly, not really at home either), and if anyone cares to know my opinion, I've actually been enjoying their style of play recently.

(1.50 SS)

Total odds: 4.08

Good luck to anyone jumping in.

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