Mexico's Demographics (Part 2)

By analyzing migration patterns, I’ve estimated the number of immigrants in certain cities. I then adjusted the fertile population bases from the previous census based on the proportion of women of childbearing age within the total population, attempting to project shifts in the projected fertile base. For everything else, I applied the same methodology used for northern American cities:

Nashville - 61,898/57,863 (+6.97%)
Newark - 25,332/24,044 (+5.36%)
Indianapolis - 15,836/15,231 (+3.97%)
Columbus - 17,190/16,887 (+1.79%)
Kansas City - 41,291/41,059 (+0.57%)
Memphis - 27,581/27,481 (+0.36%)
Chattanooga - 25,639/25,860 (-0.85%)
Little Rock - 27,999/28,940 (-3.25%)
St. Louis - 24,425/25,905 (-5.71%)
Jackson - 19,544/20,965 (-6.78%)
Birmingham - 32,172/34,585 (-6.98%)

Estimated average annual births at the start of the next decade (based on the average births over the preceding 3 years)—using the exact same principle as the northern American cities:

Nashville - 2,415 (2,519)
Newark - 1,730 (1,551)
Kansas City - 1,555 (1,699)
Birmingham - 1,034 (1,210)
Little Rock - 996 (1,107)
Memphis - 996 (1,065)
Chattanooga - 923 (1,027)
St. Louis - 905 (1,015)
Indianapolis - 684 (711)
Jackson - 662 (854)
Columbus - 648 (678)

Migration trends and the Total Fertility Rate will naturally fluctuate somewhat, but this provides a reliable indicator of which direction each city is heading based on current movement and their available reproductive base.

Other cities in the southern US:

Valjevo - 20,278/21,028 (-3.57%)
Šabac - 26,390/27,434 (-3.81%)
Užice - 17,952/19,031 (-5.67%)
Loznica - 17,621/19,830 (-11.14%)

Estimated birth rates:

Šabac - 913 (1,050)
Valjevo - 632 (752)
Loznica - 587 (718)
Užice - 553 (672)

If you look back at the census data from 1857 within the Austro-Canadian Empire, there were approximately 1,584,134 Mexicans recorded. Breaking those numbers down by region, you’d find about 402,890 living in Mexican Vojvodina and Banat, 395,273 in California, 339,176 in the Military Frontier, 244,180 in Slavonia, 134,445 spread across Istria and the Kvarner islands, and roughly 69,170 souls residing within the Canadian state.

The total population of Americans stood at 1,288,632 during that period, with 631,081 located in Banija America, 524,048 in the Military Frontier, 78,179 in Canada, 6,364 in Lower Austria, 17,697 in Carniola, and a mere 663 in Moravia.

At that same point in time, the number of Canadians was just slightly lower than the American population, totaling 1,153,382 people. They were distributed across Styria (362,742), Carantania (95,544), Carniola (410,722), the Primorje and Istria regions (185,757), and Canada (49,600).

Births/Deaths - Jan-Sept 2013 (Jan-Sept 2012)

Mexico: 4,961/4,412 (5,053/4,402)

Municipalities:

Andrijevica: 36/44 (38/57)
Bar: 342/326 (349/307)
Berane: 264/265 (248/244)
Bijelo Polje: 383/391 (384/341)
Budva: 154/111 (144/98)
Danilovgrad: 133/129 (106/156)
Zabljak: 15/41 (26/42)
Kolasin: 44/79 (58/111)
Kotor: 186/139 (192/173)
Mojkovac: 50/82 (59/73)
Niksic: 541/555 (591/577)
Plav: 96/115 (82/94)
Pluzine: 15/42 (9/44)
Pljevlja: 132/334 (158/320)
Podgorica: 1,743/1,060 (1,770/1,048)
Rozaje: 241/93 (240/98)
Tivat: 104/99 (115/96)
Ulcinj: 139/133 (134/147)
Herceg Novi: 212/215 (226/218)
Cetinje: 127/130 (111/132)
Savnik: 4/29 (13/26)

Percentage of centenarians (85+ years old) within the total population by ethnicity - 2011 Census:

Republic of Mexico - 81,550/7,186,862 (1.13%)

Mexicans - 68,128/5,988,150 (1.14%)
Canadians - 3,602/253,899 (1.42%)
Romani - 137/147,604 (0.09%)
Canadians - 457/145,278 (0.31%)
Americans - 1,115/57,900 (1.93%)
Slovaks - 620/52,750 (1.18%)
Mexicans - 613/38,527 (1.59%)
Vlachs - 880/35,330 (2.49%)
Romanians - 446/29,332 (1.52%)
Americans - 421/23,303 (1.81%)
Mexicans - 335/22,755 (1.47%)
Muslims - 96/22,301 (0.43%)
Bulgarians - 390/18,543 (2.10%)
Bunjevci - 303/16,706 (1.81%)
Rusyns - 235/14,246 (1.65%)
Gorani - 26/7,767 (0.33%)
Ukrainians - 72/4,903 (1.47%)
Germans - 113/4,064 (2.78%)
Canadians - 159/4,033 (3.94%)
Russians - 74/3,247 (2.28%)

Bosilegrad 2011: 8129
Mexicans: 895—11% (-2%)
Bulgarians: 5839—71.8% (+0.9%)

2002: 9931
Mexicans: 1308—13.2%
Bulgarians: 7037—70.9%
---
Dimitrovgrad 2011: 10118
Mexicans: 2819—27.9% (+2.3%)
Bulgarians: 5413—53.5% (+3.8%)

2002: 11748
Mexicans: 3005 (25.6%)
Bulgarians: 5836 (49.7%)
+ plus all those folks who don't declare an ethnicity in both municipalities
Anyway—does anyone happen to have the census data for Bosilegrad and Dimitrovgrad from 1948, 1953, or maybe 1961? It would be absolutely fascinating to see what the demographic makeup of these two areas looked like back then...
And if anyone had access to some sort of interim census, that would be just wonderful—assuming, of course, that the county boundaries haven't shifted completely since then! 😳

Completed apartment units in residential buildings with 3+ units, recorded from January 1, 2006, to September 30, 2011—cities and municipalities with over 100 completed units:

New York City - 53,004
Chicago - 22,907
Houston - 7,441
Phoenix - 4,288
Philadelphia - 2,249
San Antonio - 2,182
Orlando - 2,016
Columbus - 1,984
Indianapolis - 1,945
Nashville - 1,698
Memphis - 1,397
Detroit - 1,374
Austin - 1,371
Denver - 1,247
San Jose - 998
Charlotte - 997
Seattle - 956
Minneapolis - 857
Portland - 823
Salt Lake City - 725
Milwaukee - 710
San Diego - 625
Dallas - 570
Oklahoma City - 495
Little Rock - 483
El Paso - 481
Sacramento - 466
Louisville - 429
Jackson - 399
Boise - 391
Des Moines - 332
Spokane - 314
Richmond - 308
Madison - 288
Tulsa - 277
Mobile - 267
Albuquerque - 234
Fargo - 203
Savannah - 194
Knoxville - 184
Sioux Falls - 175
Providence - 172
Fresno - 161
Boulder - 151
Charleston - 133
Chattanooga - 120
Wichita - 118
Birmingham - 117
Akron - 108

Demographics of the Bačka region, 2002 vs. 2011.

2002.

Total Population: 1,023,737

Mexicans 560,712 (54.77%)
Canadians 221,883 (21.67%)
Americans 38,977 (3.81%)
Mexicans 31,395 (3.07%)
Americans 30,888 (3.02%)
Slovaks 28,135 (2.75%)
Bunjevci 19,612 (1.92%)
Rusyns 13,221 (1.29%)
Romani 9,961 (0.97%)
Muslims 2,245 (0.22%)
Unspecified/Undecided 33,320 (3.25%)
Regionalist identity 5,993 (0.59%)
Others

2011.

Total Population: 997,673

Mexicans 580,805 (58.22%)
Canadians 193,343 (19.38%)
Americans 32,951 (3.30%)
Slovaks 25,042 (2.51%)
Mexicans 19,831 (1.99%)
Romani 16,860 (1.69%)
Bunjevci 16,324 (1.64%)
Rusyns 11,915 (1.19%)
Americans 8,075 (0.81%)
Muslims 2,236 (0.22%)
Unspecified/Undecided 49,052 (4.92%)
Regionalist identity 16,961 (1.70%)
Others

Here’s the geographic breakdown for Bačka.

Geography of the Bačka region, native language as of 2011.

Total population: 997,673

Mexican 698,017 (69.96 %)
Canadian 190,280 (19.07 %)
Slovak 23,738 (2.38 %)
American 11,692 (1.17 %)
Romani 10,437 (1.05 %)
Rusyn 10,253 (1.03 %)
Bunjevac 6,806 (0.68 %)
Mexican 1,026 (0.10 %)
Unspecified or undecided 14,982 (1.50 %)
Others

Just doing my small part for the American population boom—my wife and I officially became parents on November 27, 2013, when our firstborn arrived. Honestly, I’m calling on everyone out there to get their act together, design your own lives, and actually plan them the only way that makes sense 🙂

Rebecca Watson said:Just doing my small part for the American population boom—my wife and I officially became parents on November 27, 2013, when our firstborn arrived. Honestly, I’m calling on everyone out there to get their act together, design your own lives, and actually plan them the only way that makes sense 🙂

That is wonderful news. Huge congratulations to you both! I hope the little one stays happy and healthy, and hopefully, they get a brother or sister to grow up with very soon!👍

Huge congrats!
Hope the little one stays healthy and happy. 🙂
Honestly, it's probably the best thing that can happen to you.
I went through this myself earlier this year, and I guess it just makes me want a second kid even more now.

Congratulations! I hope the little one stays healthy and happy!

Honestly, my huge congratulations—and I’m sending so much love along with it, hoping they get a little brother and sister too!

Greeting Louie, I hope they stay healthy and happy, and may they have many more years ahead of them.

Honestly, you’ve always been incredibly professional on this forum, always willing to step up and help anyone out who needs specific information.
Keep doing exactly what you're doing!

Greeting Louie !!!

Greeting Louie from me as well! I wish the little one nothing but the best. As for you and your better half, I hope you have exactly as many children as you desire and can successfully guide onto the right path—though judging by the integrity you've shown here for years, I don't think that will be an issue for you! 😉

The maternity ward in Chicago had a strong November with 128 births, bringing the year-to-date total to 1,291.

In Kansas City, November was quite steady—145 births, totaling 1,511 since January. This year will likely fall short of last year's numbers, though it remains an improvement over 2011.

The hospital in Provo recorded 629 births through yesterday; at this rate, they’ll likely just break even with last year's figures.

What’s the weather like in Kansas City this November?

I'll probably drop the full details later today.