NBA Betting: Vol. 2

I’ve been following most of your picks lately, so I ended up pulling a local newspaper with two tennis matches included:

Danny Granger over
Carmelo Anthony over
Andrew Bynum over
Dwight Howard over
Golden State-Milwaukee 2
Azarenka 1st set under 9.5 games
Federer 1

Expecting an easy win here. ☕

Man, Portland’s bench is looking incredibly thin right now. If this game ends up being a total blowout, I honestly think Aldridge will cruise past 21 points without much trouble. Not really feeling anything specific on Pekovic, and as for the Oklahoma over, everyone online is hammering that one—you can't find any lines lower than 208.5 anywhere.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Given how incredibly thin the Portland bench is right now, if this game ends up being even remotely competitive, I think Aldridge will cruise past 21 points quite easily. I don't have much of an opinion on Nikola Pekovic, and regarding the over in Oklahoma, everyone online is hammering that side; you can't find anything listed lower than 208.5 anywhere.

If we don't end up looking at a total blowout, this specific stat is actually worth noting:

LaMarcus Aldridge has averaged 35.7 points in his last three games against the Chicago Bulls, including a massive 42-point performance during Portland's 109-103 win back on February 7, 2011.

Golden State Warriors-Milwaukee over 206.5
Over the last five games, Milwaukee has been playing at such a frantic, efficient pace—and now they’ve got Monta Ellis coming in to turn that up even more... it's gonna be fast.
Even without Monta, Golden State proved they can still drop 100+ points whenever they want (look at that 103 they put up against Boston).

LaMarcus Aldridge over 21.5
The Bulls have been averaging about 37.5 points over their last three outings.
He’s really the only one consistently showing up for Portland, especially with this new coaching situation...
With Chris Camby out and Ben Wallace likely seeing more minutes, plus having Boozer and Gibson there—I honestly don't see them being able to stop him from putting up another big number against Chicago.
🤷

Brandon Clark5 said:what do you guys think about this:

LaMarcus Aldridge UNDER 21.5 (given his recent slump, he couldn't even hit the mark against the Knicks, so I highly doubt he can do it against the Bulls :/ )
Nikola Pekovic UNDER 16.5 (the Lakers held Garnett to 14 points on just 8 or 9 shots, so I don't see him having much of a chance today facing Gasol and an elite Andrew Bynum)
Oklahoma-Spurs OVER 206 (we could be looking at an absolute shootout between two of the most explosive duos this year) both teams are known for high-scoring games..

Pekovic dropped 25 on the Lakers exactly a week ago, and while there wasn't much love lost there, he's been heating up lately averaging around 20, plus Love tweaked his left thumb last night so who knows what kind of shape he'll actually be in.🤷

Aldridge-21.... I simply adore this 🙂🙂

I think I’m actually starting to get better at calling these NBA scores...

Unbelievable. Portland actually pulls off the win(!!) and yet Aldridge still doesn't hit the over. What on earth happened there?

Nicholas Chase34 said:Looking ahead to the 3:30 matchup between the Golden State Warriors and the Milwaukee Bucks, I’m leaning toward Monta Ellis staying under 20.5 points, currently sitting at 1.85. It feels like one of those games where the defense might tighten up more than people expect, keeping him just shy of that mark.

🙂

Man, give it a rest. You drop two or three paragraphs and suddenly you're a psychic hitting everything perfectly. Then we take one of your picks, try to run with it, and end up totally screwing it up. 😁

I'm testing out a system to grab some quick cash on the NBA.

I've run this virtually a few times now, and if I actually put money down, I’d come out ahead every single time just by using small stakes.

The idea is to bet on a draw (X) for every single NBA game. How? You put the minimum stake ($1.75) on the highest odds (18). For every other matchup—even if the odds are also 18—you increase the stake by just a tiny bit ($1.75), and so on. The image explains it better.



To give you an idea, during my last three virtual runs, there was at least one tie in every single round, and in one of those attempts, we even saw three ties. So, look at that and decide for yourself if there's any money to be made here. Nobody can guarantee there will be a tie in tonight's games (March 17, 2012), but it's worth trying out virtually first. Good luck.

I think I'm going to take a shot at Ray Allen over 14,5 @ 1,85

Last night he was absolutely cooking, playing one of his best games of the season so far, and looking ahead, he’s facing a squad similar to the Sacramento Kings when it comes to how they handle perimeter defense. Arron Afflalo isn't exactly a lockdown defender—especially when it comes to stopping spot-up shooters—which should give Ray Allen a nice little window to work with, especially since he gets about half of his looks from those spot-ups and off-screen plays that Denver struggles to cover. I'm just crossing my fingers that the fatigue doesn't catch up to him too much before tip-off.

A few other interesting picks on my radar:
Tim Duncan under 14,5
Boozer over 14,5

🤷

Justin Robinson4 said:

Or, to put it more simply—you just play a single system slip, like a 1/8, for about $5. 🤷

The system itself? Honestly, it's pretty solid.

Anyone got any intel Derrick Rose tonight?

What's the verdict on the Pierce Stoudamire matchup?

Last night, Stoudamire finished with just 8 points.

It is highly unlikely he will suit up tonight.

Kemba Walker ‏ @KCJHoop Close
#Bulls still calling Derrick Rose day-to-day but don't expect to see him Saturday vs. 76ers.

Denver - Boston ki1 1,45
The Celtics are wrapping up this four-game Western Conference road trip tonight, and man, they’ve had a weird run. They split it at the Staples Center, then managed to scrape by a Golden State Warriors squad that was missing Stephen Curry—though Monta Ellis showed up to play. Even with that win, they looked pretty gassed, which I guess makes sense given how veteran-heavy this roster is. Yesterday, though? Absolute disaster. They got absolutely shredded by the Sacramento Kings on the road, losing by 25 because they just couldn't handle anyone running in transition. Now, the Celtics are staring down a b2b2b situation, and honestly, for an older group like this, that’s brutal. I wouldn't be surprised if they look just as lost tonight as they did against Sacramento. On the flip side, Denver had yesterday off, so they should be feeling a lot fresher. I'm kind of expecting Denver to just run wild, especially in the second half.

Stanleybet NJ-NO under 199,5 10/10

Denver is looking pretty solid here, cruising through against those tired Celtics. I mean, honestly, I don't see anything crazy happening

Luis Scola over 15.5 1,85
So, looking at the Phoenix Suns vs. Houston Rockets matchup, we're talking about two teams that basically live and breathe offense. I’m expecting a total shootout here, probably north of 200 points. I decided to grab this pick because, man, the Suns have been absolutely terrible lately when it comes to defending the power forward spot—they're giving up like 23.5 points per game there. Given how good Luis Scola has been playing recently, I really think he could easily hit 20. Honestly, against a defense this porous, even just getting 16 points seems like a safe bet.

Chris Paul over 20.5
The LA Clippers are such a solid home team, and they're facing a Detroit Pistons squad that's been struggling big time on the road, especially out West. Detroit's defense is pretty much a sieve when it comes to guarding point guards, letting in about 18.5 points per game in that slot. Now, Chris Paul usually puts up at least 21.5 when he's at home, so against a weak defensive guard like what Detroit has, he should definitely clear this line. I'm guessing he gets his usual minutes, and I don't see a massive blowout happening since the Clippers haven't exactly been blowing everyone out this season.

Sacramento Kings - Minnesota Timberwolves 2 1,83
The Sacramento Kings have been finding their rhythm lately—I mean, that win over the Celtics a few days ago was pretty impressive. But, I've got my doubts today because their interior defense is arguably the worst in the league when it comes to protecting the paint. On the other side, the Timberwolves have Kevin Love, who's having an absolute MVP-caliber season, and he's going to feast in the paint against a Kings team that's just... well, they're terrible down low. Plus, Nikola Peković is playing better every single game, and he and Love are becoming the main offensive engines for Minnesota.

Rudy Gay over 19.5 1,85
Memphis is playing at home against a pretty shaky Washington Wizards team that's consistently one of the worst defensive units out there. The Wizards are giving up around 21 points per game specifically to guys playing in Rudy Gay's position, and since they lost Demps Young, they're even more vulnerable there. My only real worry is if it turns into a complete blowout, but I'm leaning towards wall & CO keeping things competitive enough for the starters to get what they need.

Now that Zach Randolph is back in the mix for the Grizzlies, I’m fully expecting them to absolutely steamroll the Wizards.
With Zach Randolph and Pau Gasol patrolling the paint, they’re going to totally overpower the Wizards' frontcourt; I’m eyeing at least 12 offensive rebounds between just those two because, honestly, I don't see anyone on Washington capable of slowing them down. Because of that, I'm throwing out two picks:
Wall under 18,5 (since he’s pretty much always struggled when playing on the road anyway)
Rudy Gay under 20,5 (with guys like Zach Randolph and Pau Gasol doing the heavy lifting, I just don't think the offense is going to need him to score that much).