#3501 ·
wiredseal7 said:Oh yeah, they’re headed for a total collapse—just like what happened to the ruble a few months back.
The ruble actually strengthened because of draconian capital controls, specifically those mandates forcing companies to convert 80% of their foreign currency into rubles.
Now that exporters are starting to complain, there is even talk of lowering that requirement to 50% just to bring the ruble back to a somewhat tolerable 80:1 ratio against the dollar.
Furthermore, since citizens are effectively blocked from importing Western goods, they aren't exactly scrambling to get their hands on euros or dollars, which further bolsters the ruble—not to mention that the key interest rate is sitting at a staggering 14%. If you saw an interest rate like that within the European Union, wouldn't you be writing about its total ruin right now?
One has to wonder: what would the exchange rate of the ruble actually look like if the Central Bank wasn't intervening so heavily with capital controls, and if oil barrels weren't trading at such inflated levels?