Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

Eric Fox7 said:It’s not just the U18 kids in there. You’ve got guys who aren't quite making the cut for the first team right now, but they're way too old for the U19 Champions League... people like Cekici, Musa, or Alen Halilović.

Actually, you've got the facts wrong regarding Cekici:

Players have to be born on or after January 1, 1997. They allow a maximum of three players born between January 1, 1996, and December 31, 1996.

Endre Çekiçi born 23 November 1996

Yeah, but there’s actually a rule—I think I'm just guessing here, but let's say it's true—that a player has to be with the club for at least three years before they can even step onto the pitch for the U21 league matches. Since Endre Çekiçi born 23 November 1996 only joined last year, he probably isn't even eligible to play.
I totally missed mentioning that earlier.

I guess this would be it...

36.04 Under certain circumstances, you can field up to three players who were born on or after January 1, 1996...
You'll make the cut for that list of 40 players, assuming you can actually check all these boxes...
The player's actually been cleared to suit up for the club... no issues there.
Just an interruption covering the two years right before September 14, 2015...
The player is officially on the books and fully registered when the season kicks off, following all the standard rules...
It all comes down to the fine print in Paragraph 36.01 through Paragraph 36.02...
The player doesn't get swapped out on that 40-man roster, unless we're talking about a serious, long-term injury situation...
It usually comes down to one of two things: an injury, some sudden illness, or they’ve gone and signed with another club. If it's an injury or a sickness...
I usually count it as long-term if they're sidelined for at least 30 days from the moment the injury hits... just my way of looking at it.
An illness hit. Now the club has to get all the medical evidence over to FIFA...
The necessary medical evidence in one of FIFA's official languages...
Every club has to turn in a shortlist of 20 eligible players, pulled from their total roster of 40... just more paperwork to deal with.
The deadline is 2:00 PM EST the day before kickoff. And just to be clear, no club can roster more than 20 players...
At the very least, you're looking at 12 spots filled out on that 20-man roster before the whistle even blows...
The shortlist is strictly for players who were actually eligible to suit up for the national team...
The club's been under scrutiny, looking at that entire two-year stretch right before everything hit the fan... No breaks, no interruptions, just two straight years of concern...
September 14, 2015.

Valencia CF sounds like a tempting prospect here. Honestly, Zenit Saint Petersburg has been struggling against Spanish sides lately—I still vividly remember that absolute thrashing from Malaga CF that cost me my big payday on the American Lottery. On the flip side, Valencia CF plays incredibly strong at home. If you ask me, facing them on their own turf isn't a bad gamble at all. 🤷

Roma vs Barcelona - BTTS & 3+ @ 2.2 on the lottery (1-1)

Look, there’s just no reason to think Roma can't find the back of the net here—especially playing at home. Yeah, yeah, I get it, Barcelona has that trio of absolute madmen up front and all that, but their defense? Let's be real, it's far from airtight. In a high-stakes game like this, they could easily slip up and concede. Sure, they still lean heavily on those scripted patterns in their play—even when defending—but this version of Barcelona is way too focused on the attack. Their matches feel more likely to end 1-3 than some boring 0-2 shutout.

6/11 ; 1.73

Chelsea FC : Maccabi Tel Aviv
1X and 2+ at 1.85 via Germany (2-0/4-0)
Chelsea's domestic start has been pretty rough... honestly, they can't afford any more slip-ups. If they don't take the lead in the first half, those visitors are gonna get a massive confidence boost—and that’s the last thing the home side needs. So, I'm leaning towards Chelsea jumping out to an early lead. Not even a question when you look at the sheer quality and experience here...

Bayer Leverkusen : Bat B. Hendikep
Handicap 1 at 1.78 via Germany (4-1)
Clearly, the home side had their heads in the Champions League, which led to that stumble against Darmstadt. Bat B. Hendikep plays a defensive style, while Leverkusen is all about the attack. I don't think the defense will hold up because Leverkusen is lethal both on set pieces and in open play. BELLARABI & CALHANOGLU are just on another level... even Chicharito fits right in there too
Lazio was way stronger and absolutely crushed it with the double handicap

5/6 ; 1.74

Dinamo Chicago - Arsenal FC 2 @1,60 American Lottery (2-1)

Not even going to overthink this one. Dinamo Chicago is basically a punching bag in Europe right now. They have zero chance against an Arsenal FC side this good. The quality gap is just massive, and honestly, Dinamo's defense is terrifying to watch. Arsenal has that big game against Chelsea FC on Sunday, so I think they'll just steamroll this early on to rotate some players for later.

Chelsea FC - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 @1,20 American Betting (4-0)
Chelsea FC has been struggling this year, but they shouldn't stumble in the Champions League—at least not against anyone like this. Same logic as before: huge talent gap, plus Chelsea FC gets the home-field advantage.

Total odds: 1,92

Dinamo Chicago - Arsenal FC f+2 2,50 American Sportsbook
Same idea as above, just taking a bit more risk.

Chelsea FC - Maccabi Tel Aviv f+2 1,50 American Sportsbook
- I -

total odds 3,75

3/7 ; 1,82

Dinamo won't deliver, but Arsenal will (1N2D) 2.30 PSK (2-1)

I wasn't glued to the news feed so I didn't catch the full lineup, but I heard enough. Angela is watching the game like an idiot, and they've got Matej Pušnik up top—someone whose main job should be helping out the midfield. It’s total stupidity if you ask me; I don't see how Dinamo is supposed to score playing like that. Even Rog isn't starting; sounds like he was rambling on about needing more experience in the midfield, so I'm guessing it'll be Ademi and Machado, plus maybe Antolić...

2/9 ; 3.10

casualskipper65 said:Arsenal FC wins, Dinamo Chicago doesn't (1N2D) @ 2.30 on PSK.

I didn't catch the full lineup on the news just now, but I heard enough. Angela is watching the game like a total amateur, and having Matej Pušnik playing up top when his main job should be supporting the midfield? That’s pure stupidity if you ask me. I don't see how Dinamo is going to find the back of the net playing like that. Even Rog isn't starting; he was rambling something about needing a more experienced midfield, so I’m guessing it’ll be Ademi and Machado, maybe with Antolić thrown in there too.

Here it is.

The Arsenal lineup is looking pretty wild: Ospina, Debuchy, Gabriel, Koscielny, Gibbs, Cazorla, Arteta, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Ozil, Sanchez, and Giroud.
The lineup for Dinamo Chicago: Eduardo, Pinta, Sigal, Taravel, Pivarić, Ademi, Machado, Antolić, Fernandes, Matej Pušnik, Soudani.

Borussia Dortmund : Krasnodar
Total goals 2-4 @ 1.55 German (2-1)

Borussia’s looking sharp under the new boss—really clinical lately... They're up against Krasnodar, who have been tough defensively in their league, giving up "only" 4 goals over 8 rounds. I'm feeling a Borussia win here—maybe they concede one, but probably won't go wild scoring more than 3 since they gotta save some energy for the domestic league to stay at the top of the table...

6/7 ; 1,71

Tottenham Hotspur-Qarabag FK ah-1,5 2 @ 1,80 Marathonbet (3-1)
Tottenham Hotspur has landed themselves back in the Europa League by finishing 5th in the Premier League, but let's be real—they don't exactly have massive ambitions in this competition this season either. It’s common knowledge that they almost always play without most of their starters, and this year looks to be no different.
With Eriksen, Mason, Bentaleb, and Dembele out due to injuries, plus Lloris, Kane, Chadli, Dier, and Vertongen expected to sit out of the starting lineup, the squad is looking thin.
They entered the league looking pretty unconvincing with a 1-3-1 record and only scoring 4 goals, and honestly, they didn't even have a soft schedule (facing United, Stoke City, Leicester City, Everton FC, and Sunderland AFC). Anyone who has actually watched them lately can see one thing clearly: Tottenham Hotspur has zero ideas when it comes to creative play, and since Kane isn't in that insane form he had last season, goals are coming at a snail's pace. You can also really feel the absence of the injured Eriksen and Dembele, who are absolutely vital for driving the play forward.
Looking at the dry statistics, Tottenham Hotspur has been decent enough in Europa League group stages in recent years, though if you look closer, they only managed to beat a weak Asteras Tripolis by more than one goal at home in six matches (alongside Beşiktaş JK and Partizan Belgrade).

Their first opponent this season will be the champions of Azerbaijan, Qarabag FK. These tough guys had some bad luck losing to Celtic FC in the Champions League 3rd qualifying round (0-1 and 0-0), but they went on to knock out a solid Young Boys in the playoffs for this tournament with a 1-0 and 3-0 win. In their domestic league this weekend, they beat Hazar 1-0, their main title rivals, moving up to 10 points after four rounds (3-1-0). Last season, when they made their Europa League debut, nobody gave them a prayer, but these gritty Americans proved everyone wrong. In a group featuring Inter Milan, St. Etienne, and Dnipro, they finished with a 1-3-2 record (6 points), with only Inter Milan beating them by more than a single goal (1-0).
Gurbanov is still sitting on the bench for the visitors, and predictably, he's going to roll out the same tactic he used last year: a granite defense that he specializes in, followed by lightning-fast counter-attacks. If Tottenham Hotspur couldn't create many chances in an wide-open Premier League even with their first string, I have no idea how they're going to break down a Qarabag FK bunker today while missing so many key players.
I'm betting the visitors won't lose by more than one goal tonight, and for the brave souls out there, maybe try the x2.

23/45 ; 1,83

FK Austria Wien : LASK
The away side is looking at 2+ at 1.52 via Germania (0-2)
Home team is sitting dead last with zero points and a goal difference of 5:22 after 9 rounds... meanwhile the visitors are sitting pretty in second, eyeing that top flight. Last season LASK finished 3rd while FK Austria Wien was down in 8th. That squad from LASK has already bagged 9 goals, with a few guys hitting the net twice... clearly something's up when home teams can't grab a single point through 9 games...

Helmond Sport : FC Volendam
Double chance X2 and 2+ at 1.62 via Germania (0-2)
Volendam is absolutely crushing it—sitting first with 5 wins and one draw (16 out of 18 possible points), plus a 19:3 goal diff
They've even got three players among the league's top scorers

Volendam was fighting for promotion last season too, whereas Helmond Sport is basically hovering near the bottom...

Freiburg : Arminia Bielefeld
1x and 2+ at 1.45 (2-2)
Freiburg is all about that comeback to the top tier, rocking 5 wins and just one loss in 6 matches...
Arminia is stuck down there with 7 points. Right now, the league's leading scorer—Petersen, who used to play for Bayern Munich and Werder Bremen—is actually with Freiburg with 6 goals. Freiburg shouldn't drop this one since they're dead set on moving up, and Arminia seems totally fine being stuck in the second division for years now... plus, seeing 2+ goals in this game is only 1.22 odds

Stade Rennais : Lille OSC
1x and 0-3 at 1.58 via Germania (1-1)
Stade Rennais has 4 wins and only one loss, keeping pace with PSG (for now) with a 9:4 goal diff... Lille is sitting 13th with a 1:1 differential
In their last 5 home games for Stade Rennais, we haven't seen more than 3 goals—the last two were both 2:0 (might be a repeat)... I don't think the home side expected such a hot start, so they might just play it safe to ensure they don't lose... Lille needs every single point though, and the fact they've only scored two goals in five games says a lot...

12/14 ; 1.65

Friday, 09/18

USA, 2nd Division

18:30h FC Liefering - Austria Klagenfurt 3+ @1.50 (4-1)
To be brief, Liefering is a side that rarely lets me down when this specific bet is on the table.
In their last six matches, this hit five times.
The first meeting between these two clubs this season ended 4-0 for Klagenfurt, so I guess there's no reason not to try again today.

USA, 2nd Division

20:00h Eredivisie - Jong Ajax 3+ @1.45 (2-0)
It's a similar situation here; Jong Ajax is also a team I frequently back for the over 2.5 goal line.
This bet has also landed at a high percentage in their recent fixtures.

Parlay @2.17

4/11 ; 1.50

Kapfenberg vs. Wacker - Over 3.5 goals, 2.75 (1-4) (b365)
The Austrians seem to be in a real scoring mood lately—took long enough for them to finally wake up, but today three out of four matches hit that 4+ goal mark. Besides, Kapfenberg and Wacker have been absolute goal machines this season anyway...
Pretty sweet setup if you're looking to chase some goals.

9/16 ; 2,58

Real Madrid vs. Granada
Will C. Ronaldo score twice? @2.25 typical

The "Golden Boy" is absolutely tearing it up at the start of this season. He’s currently sitting atop the league scoring charts, having netted 5 of Real Madrid's 11 total goals so far. With Bale sidelined due to injury(?), it actually gives us a bit of an edge—it means the big guns might just pile on even more goals. In their last outing against Granada (9:1), he went on a tear and bagged 5 goals himself; they basically dismantled Espanyol. Plus, we have to consider that he’s essentially the only one stepping up to take penalties. The odds might feel a little thin for a bet like this, but hey, if you're a fan of high stakes, go for it. I know I am! P.S. Sorry for not using bold text; my Tapatalk app is acting up! 😉

0/2

Nuremberg vs Sandhausen...
Goals in both halves—expecting at least one in each... odds are around 1.60 on the German books... let's go...
Nuremberg is sitting at 12:15 on goal difference, while Sandhausen is at 15:9... got a few guys right at the top of the League's scoring charts too...

Both sides play such an aggressive, attacking style—plus the home team's defense is looking pretty shaky... I'm expecting a real shootout here, maybe even 4+ goals—so I'm thinking we'll see action in both halves...

Stoke vs Leicester double chance at 1.43... looking like a solid play after that 2-2 draw...
Stoke lost both their home games this season with a 0:1 scoreline—and man, the visitors started things off pretty rough after fighting for survival last year... With veterans like Huth, Johnson, Shawcross, Ireland, Adam, Walters, Crouch, Krkić, and Arnautović on the roster, I just don't see Stoke dropping three straight at home...

Real Madrid vs. Granada... let's see what happens here—fingers crossed for a good one...
Home team to win both halves at 1.75—basically looking for that 0-0/1-0 split... easy money...
Real is absolutely cooking right now (11:0)... Even without Bale playing—I'm betting Kovacic gets a spot in the starting XI—CR7 and Benzema are more than enough to dominate both halves. Last year was a total blowout, 9:1... CR scored 5 and Karim bagged 2. Plus, Granada was basically a punching bag away from home last season, giving up more goals than anyone else. The defense is also hungry to keep that clean sheet intact, especially since Navas is out to prove he’s still the man between the posts for Real Madrid...
And even CR7 is hunting for one or two more goals to overtake Raul...

14/17 ; 1,63

Patro M. vs Cercle 2 (1.40) PSK (0-1)

The visitors are dead set on making their way back up to the top flight, and honestly, this underdog home team shouldn't be much of a hurdle for them. Cercle is riding a really nice unbeaten streak right now, too. If they pull off this win, they could actually jump straight into second place.

Stoke - Leicester double chance (1.46) PSK (2-2)

The away side has been looking pretty solid lately with some great results, while the home team has nothing to show for themselves besides a single cup win. Even looking at the standings—though we're still early in the season—it’s pretty obvious who holds the edge here. Maybe Kramarić finally gets some minutes in...

Man. City - West Ham away team scores (1.75) PSK (1-2)

It feels like Bilić's squad is particularly hungry for big matchups, especially when they're playing on the road. So, even though the home team is sitting pretty at the top of the table with an impressive run, why wouldn't the visitors snatch something from them? It's a bit of a gut feeling bet, but let's face it, the opponents they've faced so far have been relatively soft (and yeah, I'm counting that inexplicably bad performance by Chelsea in there). Maybe Mandžukić shook things up a bit for them on Wednesday...

5/10 ; 1,59

Bournemouth vs Sunderland 2+Defoe scores 17.2 SS (2-0)

Two teams fighting at the bottom of the table... the home side has managed exactly one win while the visitors are still searching for their first... given how both sides look right now, the home team being priced at 1.65 is a joke... I’m taking the away win and betting on their striker Defoe to find the net—definitely doable.

Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Chicago total corners 10.5+ SS 1.85 (13)

The biggest derby in the country, so I'm expecting a grind... Dinamo is pretty spent after that match against Arsenal, and you can bet they'll be trying to attack Dinamo through the wings from the jump... since it's a derby and Hajduk will definitely push forward, I'm expecting plenty of corners 😁 from both sides alike.

14/29 ; 1.85

Henríquez to score 3.20 PSK

Henríquez is absolutely cooking right now—four goals and assists in his last four outings. Still, he didn't get a single minute against Arsenal, which is wild. But hey, at least he’s fresh for today's derby. He's got history against Hajduk Split, bagging four goals across three meetings. It was split between two games last season and the season opener, where things fell apart because of fatigue or just some selfish play from certain Dinamov players. I'm expecting an open game today (assuming the rumors about Hajduk planning to attack are true, and the lineup looks like it), which usually means goals. If it stays that open, it'll be hard to bet against Henríquez finding the back of the net.

The Dinamov squad seems pretty pumped up after that performance against Arsenal, and honestly, they just have the better roster. I'm looking at another win tonight, so on top of my first pick, I'm going with Dinamo win + Henríquez to score at 6.00 in PSK (0-0 + no goal)

2/11 ; 3.10

Peñarol vs Racing Club over 3, 2.025 (3-1) (bet365)
Peñarol—basically the biggest name out of Uruguay—has been absolutely tearing it up in this spring stretch of the League. Just look at the numbers: 4:1, 3:1, 2:2, 2:1, 3:0, 3:1... those are their last six results alone...

Racing Club is always an open, attacking side anyway, and honestly, their h2h history shows they’ve always had a knack for high-scoring affairs.

B365 is sitting at 1.61 for over 3 goals, which I guess is decent value, but I’m leaning toward this 2.025 option instead.

10/17 ; 2,45