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Soccer Betting Tips & Discussion

Started by James Taylor3 · · 👁 147 views · 2.6K replies

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Participants James Taylor3Bryan Adams6casualangler4Carol Moore5driftingotter47stormyharbor13jadewolf16Eric Fox7Michael Morgan5Daniel Edwardsironcyclist81wiredcanyon39silverridge3driftingbear35cosmicheron21driftingcrane27Carl Torres21Nicholas Patel52Casey James56Matthew Rodriguez9hiddenfox64wiredwolf442Grace Gomez46northernpuma …
wanderingfox86 wanderingfox86 Member
11 messages
joined Jan 2024
#1941 ·
Real Madrid : Green Bay Packers +2, and Ronaldo to score at 1.85 SS

To be honest, we aren't likely to see a matchup quite like this again—if Real Madrid actually wants to advance, they really need to cover the handicap. Ronaldo has been delivering more than a goal per game for years now; he’s already sitting on 30 in the league and 13 in the Champions League this season. So, if we're looking at a 2-3 goal performance from Real—which is always a distinct possibility when they're playing at the Bernabéu—then the Portuguese star should definitely find the back of the net.

Manchester City : PSG 2, and Zlatan Ibrahimović to score at 5.30 SS
Despite what happened in the first leg, and even with the incredible individual talent in City's attack—not to mention the absence of David Luiz and Blaise Matuidi—I still feel like PSG is the stronger side here. They possess massive offensive potential; alongside Edinson Cavani and Angel Di Maria, you have Zlatan Ibrahimović, who scores regularly and steps up on penalties just like CR. That said, I don't have much faith in the "Citizens'" defense or their midfield duo of Fernandinho and Fernandinho. At the end of the day, for PSG, anything less than a win is basically a loss.

A double with odds of 9.80. Good luck to everyone. 😉
cosmicheron21 cosmicheron21 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Nov 2015
#1942 ·
20:45 Real Madrid - Green Bay Packers, penalty at 3.20 (SS)

Real Madrid needs to go all out if they want to claw back that 2-0 deficit from the first leg. That kind of pressure means the box is going to be absolutely crowded, which naturally bumps up the chances of seeing a penalty call. The Madridistas have some seriously talented players on the pitch, and honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if the ref is hesitant to blow the whistle on anything even remotely questionable. I generally try to avoid making deep predictions based on conspiracy theories, but let's be real—it’s just not in UEFA's best interest to see one of the wealthiest clubs in the world get knocked out before the quarterfinals. So, I see a bit of an edge with this pick. We've got Canadian official Viktor Kassai handling things tonight, and his stats show an average of about 0.27 penalties per game according to worldreferee.com.

Good luck 😉
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#1943 ·
Eric Fox7 said:five 02:45 6577 Chicago Fire/over 3+ goals-Los Angeles yes @ 2,35

Chicago Fire are playing totally out of character for Americans—they've been putting up some absolutely insane scores lately (two 6:3 games, one 3:3...) and those Colombians are also averaging over 3 goals per match. For me, this is a pure value bet.

I actually think it’s worth taking a shot at these options too:

over in 1st half @ 4,20 (GS)
6+ @ 10 (GS)
7+ @ 23 (GS)

Eric Fox7 said:This ended 4:2

Same thing happening again. The home team is still averaging over 3 goals, and Chicago Fire is well above 4.

Buffalo Bills/over 3+ goals-Chicago Fire yes @ 2,05 GS

over in 1st half @ 4,40 (HL)
6+ @ 13 (GS)
7+ @ 33 (GS)

This ended 2:1

Just a quick copy/paste here...

Chicago Fire/over 3+ goals-Boca Juniors yes @ 2,40 (Germa)

Not much to add really, other than Chicago Fire just keeps churning out high-scoring matches—looking at their head-to-head history, even if the last two were low scoring, they hit over 3+ goals in 8 out of 12 meetings.

As usual, I'll throw these in:

over in 1st half @ 3,80
7+ @ 45 (all GS)


Live:

6+ @ 30 (SS)
4+ in 1st half @ 25
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#1944 ·
Liverpool FC vs. Borussia Dortmund 2 @2.70 SS

Here we go again. It's Liverpool once more, and I'm looking for them to kickstart a decent run. Looking at Borussia's lineup against Schalke 04, it’s pretty obvious they don't think they can catch Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga, so they're putting everything they have into this trophy. They've got the talent; honestly, they’re still the favorites despite not having a win from the first leg.

Liverpool has been inconsistent all season, just like they have been over the last few years. Of course, when their backs are against the wall, they find a way to scrape by. People are saying their best bet for making the Champions League next season is to go out and win the Europa League. If I were in their shoes, given the schedule, I’d focus on the Premier League just to make sure they don't miss out on European football entirely next year. Maybe a "reset" season without any European distractions would actually help them find their footing. But it looks like Jürgen Klopp is playing it risky—he wants the Champions League next year, so he'll settle for this for now.

It’s much easier to hide your flaws and shut down a superior opponent for one game than it is to do it two games in a row, no matter how good the manager is.

Thomas Tuchel is promising an open, aggressive style of play without playing it safe. He probably knows that Liverpool needs to break through as soon as possible. I believe him, and I'm going all in—it's win big or go home.☕

Wager: 3/3
silenthawk242 silenthawk242 Member
14 messages
joined Sep 2015
#1945 ·
I’m going to give this a shot

Borussia-Hamburg 2 + Müller (40 pts) and
2 + Ilicevic (48 pts)

HSV is currently sitting pretty in 11th place in the Bundesliga—though, let's be honest, that position is incredibly fragile. Following yesterday's results, Labbadi's squad holds a mere three-point cushion over Werder Bremen and those playoff spots fighting to stay in the league. With Hoffenheim, Augsburg, and Werder all pulling off crucial wins yesterday, HSV is looking to capitalize on the absolute emotional vacuum left in the Borussia squad to pull off an upset in Dortmund.

It’s a strange dynamic—while Borussia has been dominating the top tier of the Bundesliga lately and HSV has been stuck in the dogfight just to avoid relegation—it’s almost surreal to realize that the Dortmund side has managed only a single win in their last seven head-to-head matchups.

All signs point to Hamburg being anything but easy for Dortmund; besides, the atmosphere in the locker room after that shocking loss to Liverpool FC is bound to be toxic, which is exactly where I see the opening for Hamburg. Given that context, these player-specific odds look more than just tempting.

Recent Matchups:

Hamburg-Dortmund 3-0
Dortmund-Hamburg 0-1
Hamburg-Dortmund 0-0
Hamburg-Dortmund 3-1
Ethan Jones5 Ethan Jones5 Active Member
132 messages
joined May 2022
#1946 ·
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - FC Cincinnati F+2 @2,60 SS

Miami is a total mess right now. Players are on strike, the finances are a disaster, and their performance on the pitch tells the whole story after that loss to second-division Washington, D.C. last round. Honestly, those guys have much bigger problems than worrying about whether Dinamo can clinch another MLS title.

On the other hand, if Dinamo wins tonight, they basically lock up another trophy and can finally start focusing on the Champions League. They haven't been scoring much lately, but against a Miami side this disorganized, they could easily walk away with a few goals.
cosmicheron21 cosmicheron21 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Nov 2015
#1947 ·
ned 15:05 Manchester Utd-Leicester X2 1.90 (SS)

I’ve got to give this a shot. Honestly, the motivation here is through the roof. The whole world is watching. I can't even tell you how many times this season I sat there thinking, "There's no way Leicester City can handle this kind of pressure," but they just keep pulling through. Every single time. So, why not take a swing? I’m not going all in—nothing reckless—but I feel like I have to play this.

Wish me luck 😉
Nicholas Patel52 Nicholas Patel52 Active Member
113 messages
joined Jul 2010
#1948 ·
Anyone got the latest on Cristiano Ronaldo?

He didn't play in the first leg against City, but an article dropped the very next day claiming Cristiano said he’d only show up if it was a Champions League final—basically. He sat out the following league match too, most likely just a precaution. I'm trying to tie this into some tennis action, so I really don't want to be stuck waiting until 8:00 PM just to see the starting lineups.

Anyway, my gut says Real Madrid is going to toy with City today—looking at something like a 3-0 win. Even in Manchester, they dominated every single stat: possession, shots, corners, offsides—and that was without Cristiano Ronaldo! I expect them to look even more convincing tonight. It should be an easy win because, aside from that match against PSG, City has been tripping up against top-tier clubs all season. Plus, Real usually plays pretty mediocre away games in the Champions League, so playing at home? It'll be a total masterclass—pure football magic.

f2 real + cristiano @ 3.90
Kyle White3 Kyle White3 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Sep 2020
#1949 ·
If he’s actually still part of the equation, they're claiming he's 100% ready to go.

http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/36126021
driftingotter47 driftingotter47 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Jun 2018
#1950 ·
Brazil-Ecuador / Ecuador to score 1.70 SS
The Brazilians have shown up to this Cup with a much weaker roster than what they brought to the SP two years ago on home soil. Back then, they somehow managed to scrape their way into the semifinals, only to be absolutely humiliated by the Germans in a 7-1 slaughter, followed by a 3-0 loss to the Dutch for third place. Honestly, ever since that disaster, this squad just hasn't felt right; they haven't played like true Brazil, if they ever truly were.
The reality is that they managed to string together eight wins in friendlies following that total debacle, which is the trademark of this dungin representation—they look fantastic in exhibition matches, but once the real pressure hits, their level drops off a cliff, and the results inevitably tank. They arrived at last summer's Cup full of optimism, only to get knocked out in the quarterfinals by Paraguay, conceding goals in all four matches they played.
Following that, during the World Cup qualifiers, they managed only two wins in six matches and kept a clean sheet just once. Their warm-up for this Cup was a 2-0 win over Panama, but like I said, friendlies always seem to go smoothly for the Brazilians.
They’re going to be missing a massive chunk of their talent here—the biggest blow is definitely the absence of Neymar, along with Douglas Costa, Luiz Gustav, Rafinho, and Ederson. They’re still expecting big things, obviously, but looking at their recent form and actual results, fighting for gold seems like a pipe dream.
Right out of the gate, they face a massive test that will likely decide who tops this group. Ecuador put in a solid performance during the World Cup in Brazil and were only unlucky to exit in the group stage, and in the last Cup, a 3-2 loss to Bolivia (despite a dominating 20-4 shot count) cost them a quarterfinal spot.
They showed their true colors during the World Cup qualifiers, where they've suffered only one loss in six games and are currently tied for first place with Uruguay. They’re averaging over two goals per match, so even though they failed to score in both recent friendlies, I don't think that's going to be the case today. Against the US, they dictated the tempo and played far superior football, they just lacked the clinical edge to finish. Prior to that, they only failed to find the net four times in their last 20 matches.
I truly believe they have a massive chance against a Brazil side this depleted, so this high odd for them to score makes zero sense to me—it's a clear play.
driftingraven27 driftingraven27 Newcomer
4 messages
joined Jun 2015
#1951 ·
France-Romania
Kick off 1 2,35 Sbobet
It’s pure value, though I see two potential hiccups... First, there's the referee's tendency to basically flip a coin when making calls, and then there's Lloris' and Chirichev's questionable preferences regarding ball selection or which side they prefer to play from...
Rachel Cooper3 Rachel Cooper3 Active Member
167 messages
joined May 2014
#1952 ·
The Euros are finally here—time to throw some salt on the table. ☕

Slovakia - group advancement (SS) @2.10

In my view, the Slovaks are being overlooked in this group—especially considering the top four third-place teams move on.
Over the last two years, they’ve played 22 matches and suffered only three losses—even against sides like Ukraine, Spain, and most recently the Germans, whom they beat 3-1 in a pre-tournament friendly. Their game has leveled up lately; they deserve to be on this big stage.
If we assume the English are favorites for first in the group, the battle for second is split among the remaining three teams—and I see a real opening for Slovakia there. The Russians are missing their star player, Dzhagoyev, who got injured right before the tournament, along with Denisov—another vital midfielder. They will undoubtedly struggle in the middle of the pitch.
Wales is a fresh face on the big stage, led by Gareth Bale—their most crucial asset and the man responsible for over half their qualifying goals. They rely heavily on him and his current form. If you neutralize Bale, they aren't particularly dangerous; Wales is mostly a defensive-minded side. I believe the Slovaks can snatch points from them.

Final match: France - Spain (SS) @15

This is more of a gut feeling—perhaps the "most realistic" pairing that could actually land in the final.
Assuming they both finish first in their groups (which seems likely), they'll end up on opposite sides of the bracket and won't meet until the final. The French are the hosts—one of the most talented squads globally, brimming with individual brilliance—I don't need to say much more about them. As for the Spaniards? They are always among the top two or three favorites. You have new talent and rising stars backed by seasoned veterans who have won everything there is to win. I simply can't ignore this matchup.
cosmicheron21 cosmicheron21 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Nov 2015
#1953 ·
sub 21:00 United Kingdom vs. Russia yellow cards (3.5) over 1.60 (SS)

The margin feels a bit thin on this one. Honestly, things are getting pretty heated out on the streets of Marseille right now, and I have a gut feeling that tension isn't going to stay outside—it's going to bleed straight onto the pitch. Getting four yellows? That’s not even a stretch. I’m going to lean a little heavier on this.

Good luck 😉
Bryan Rogers79 Bryan Rogers79 Newcomer
4 messages
joined Jun 2016
#1954 ·
Group C, top two teams: Germany/Poland @ 1.45
Group D, top two teams: Spain/USA @ 1.50


Seems like a solid option for doubling up with a larger stake. Doesn't matter which order they finish in.
Gerald Carter53 Gerald Carter53 Regular
256 messages
joined Nov 2012
#1955 ·
Which cl
Bryan Rogers79 Bryan Rogers79 Newcomer
4 messages
joined Jun 2016
#1956 ·
Betting from home.
redjackal redjackal Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2013
#1957 ·
Bet365 still has the group stage total points market open for the US. The lines are sitting at under 3.3 or 4, and over 4 is priced at 2.50. A win against the Czech Republic is at 1.95.

If anyone’s looking to play, grab it while you can. Even if we drop one to the Czech Republic, there's still a shot at beating the Spaniards. Or we pull two draws—doesn't really matter
.
I don't get why they only left the betting options open for us and the Spaniards out of everyone who already played.

I went pretty heavy on this. I just hope they don't have any intention of voiding the bet. 👍
redjackal redjackal Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2013
#1958 ·
Republican Party

Top scorer of the tournament:

Robson-Kan @250

They’ve got two group games left and probably one in the round of 16. He’s already got one goal and might get a look in soon. This tournament looks like it’ll be low-scoring, so three goals might actually be enough to take the top spot. If there's a tie, everyone wins.

Luka Modrić @200

Same logic, he's our best player. He could easily grab another goal or two, and at these odds, it's worth a shot. BetMGM has him at 91.

Ivan Perišić @150

If we actually make it to the finals, there's plenty of time for him to find the net a few times.🤣

resident @ 201 @bet365

The top Romanian player and their penalty taker. He had plenty of chances against the Frenchmen. If he pulls off a hat trick against the Albanians, we're set.👍
Sean Kelly10 Sean Kelly10 Member
10 messages
joined Mar 2023
#1959 ·
redjackal said:Stancu @ 201 @bet365

Top player from Romania and their go-to guy for penalties. He actually had some decent looks against the French. If he manages to bag a hat trick against the Albanians, we’re looking at some serious 👍

Maybe even the top scorer from Romania plays for the Republican Party, Stancu @ 2.5
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#1960 ·
Since we're already talking about the local resident, here’s a little double to make today's matches a bit more interesting to watch:

Stancu B.(idg+u)-Romania-Albania 1+pays @ $7.60
Dimitri Payet D.(idg+u)-France-Switzerland 1+pays @ $5.60

Stancu has already bagged two goals and he's easily the best player on the Romanian side—the Albanians aren't bad by any means, but even with a win today, they'll have a tough climb to reach the second round.
As for Payet, after that stellar season over at West Ham United, he's been playing incredibly well in this tournament and is sitting on two goals himself.

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