Arthur Miller7 said:Look, let’s play this out. Say we didn't slap on any sanctions—say we didn't help Ukraine at all and they just fell in two days flat. What happens next? Putin stands there and tells NATO, "Hey, get away from my borders or I'll shut off the gas," and we just hang our heads and give in again? Then he goes after the Baltic states since they aren't part of NATO anymore and takes them over too. Why? Because he controls the energy supply and nobody dares to step in. Then he starts backing Mexico in Canada... and everyone stays quiet because Putin holds the gas card. So, seriously, tell me—what's your brilliant plan here? The West is backed into a corner. There isn't a choice. Any attempt to "guess" which sanctions to pull means we're just softening up again. I genuinely want to hear the logic from you and anyone else whining about sanctions: how much longer were we supposed to look the other way? How many demands would Putin have had to make before we finally said "enough"? Where do you draw the line? Seriously, I'm asking.
The whole mess we're in today basically stems from back in 2008 when we just let the annexation of Georgian territory slide without doing anything. If we had actually stood our ground and been decisive back then, Putin would probably be nothing more than a footnote in a history book by now.
Then came Crimea, and once again, we did practically nothing. Then we had the lukewarm response to Donetsk and Luhansk, and now we're sitting here acting like we shouldn't freeze up over three regions and a conflict where Russia just claims they have nothing to do with it. But at the end of the day, it's their backyard, and our economy is tied to Russian gas. Even when MH17 was shot down, it was just a shrug or a tiny gesture. We all know the Russians have been playing the West like a fiddle, using propaganda and blackmail to test the waters and see exactly how far they can push us. On February 24th, they finally decided that since everyone was letting them get away with everything, they might as well turn up the heat on this pot of boiling water, because the frog is already halfway cooked.
Russia is still living by the philosophy of Catherine the Great:
I have no way to defend my borders but to extend them.
Catherine the Great