Paul Martinez73 said:But sure, go ahead and claim the mortality rate is low or similar to the flu. Or maybe argue that the numbers are high only because everyone is getting hospitalized and tested? Do you see the contradiction there? What are you even basing these assumptions on, since you haven't provided a shred of evidence for this "six weeks of mild cases" theory... maybe you'll actually have some proof for this part?
That’s like claiming HIV mortality rates are fake because plenty of people die worldwide without being recorded, or arguing that people aren't being recorded in the stats because there are still huge numbers of cases in Africa that aren't tracked.
Why focus on anything other than reporting the confirmed cases and the outcomes of those reported cases? If there's a massive wave of unreported infections, there's an equally massive wave of unreported deaths. One rises with the other; you can try to nitpick the known figures all you want, but you can't just delete the imaginary ones you think are more accurate...
I can, because I’m using common sense.
At the end of the day, even the Chinese authorities are finding the mortality rate is under 1%—despite those initial estimates of 3-4%—simply because these things are tallied and adjusted once the dust settles, accounting for the probability of undiagnosed cases.
Besides, a janitor in Charleston who was an early patient was only caught through random testing—which just proves it's impossible to track the spread accurately when we don't truly know who's sick and who isn't.
That's like saying HIV mortality rates are fake because people die globally without being recorded, or claiming they aren't recorded because there are still huge numbers in Africa that aren't in the statistics.
I'm not saying it's fake—just that there's room for error in measuring stats like this, especially while the epidemic is still peaking. Accuracy improves over time as tracking continues; I shouldn't have to explain that.
If there are tons of unreported infections, there are also plenty of unreported deaths. One rises with the other—you can cling to the known figures all you want, but you can't just erase the ones you think are imaginary.
Look, I already said there are unreported deaths, but the fact remains that practically no country knows who their "patient zero" is—which means the reliability of the data tracking is low.
