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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Nov 21, 2022

sykorian said:The real issue is that this financial tax we're paying comes at a much steeper price in blood—specifically from the children and civilians over in Yemen.

So, why lie to ourselves and pretend this is all about supporting Ukraine? Let's just be honest: this is about being against the Russians, and apparently, innocent blood is just acceptable collateral.

Who actually gives a damn about those Yemenis or other Arabs? Arming Ukraine while slapping sanctions on Russia is a total win-win. Russia’s military and its entire state structure are getting absolutely wrecked, yet not a single NATO soldier has been lost.
100,000 dead Russians isn't bad for a start, and that's before you count the survivors coming home in a few years—only to deal with PTSD and causing scenes in local grocery stores with a bottle of vodka in hand. Milina. The smarter class of Russians is just going to flee the country in even larger numbers.
These sanctions are going to stick for the next twenty years or so; the collapse of Russia is inevitable.
And just wait until you see the body count of Russian soldiers by the time they reach Lisbon or the Thames—what was that "seven-day plan" again? Just gotta get through Bakhmut first.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Nov 18, 2022

Melissa Rivera5 said:Man, copying stuff isn't nearly as simple as people make it out to be. I mean, sure, you can rip off a chair design or some clothes because everyone pretty much knows how that works. But the higher you climb up that tech ladder, the harder it gets to just mimic what's at the top. Like, I guess anyone who finished high school physics probably understands the basic concept of a nuclear bomb, but that doesn't mean they could actually build one even if they had a hundred years to try. It’s the exact same deal with chips. The US is facing a massive hurdle when it comes to the specialized know-how and the designers behind it all; trying to move an Intel plant over to the States so it runs just like it does in Taiwan is a huge mountain to climb. And if that's the case for them, imagine how tough it is for anyone else. All those sanctions that were put in place... honestly, I don't think decades of blind copying is ever going to make up for that.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Nov 13, 2022

If that Russian state bank funding their entire agricultural sector doesn't get reconnected to the SWIFT international payment system—which they were cut off from by Western sanctions—we're going to see issues.

The United Nations reported that 10 million tons of grain and other food supplies have been shipped out of Ukraine under the Black Sea initiative agreed upon back in July, a move designed to stave off a global food crisis.

But the Russians are whining, claiming that even though their own shipments of grain and fertilizer aren't technically targeted by Western sanctions, they're effectively blocked because those sanctions make it impossible for shipping companies to access financing, insurance, and port services.

https://news.yahoo.com/russia-says-r...UPXEP0IsY98IG1

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Nov 3, 2022

Joshua Myers432 said:It’s a real concern for me. I filled my tank to the brim, much like how those Germans used to fill their gas tanks. 🍿

Germany has about 23.3 billion cubic meters (bcm) in underground storage capacity,
but they burn through roughly 95 billion cubic meters of imported gas annually—though they’ve managed to cut that by 20% down to 75 billion cubic meters lately. About 50 billion comes from the Benelux region and Norway, plus another 25 billion via ExxonMobil.
So where are the Russians? They're gone. And where are our local Russophiles now? How exactly do they plan on surviving this?

NEW YORK CITY, Oct 24 (Associated Press) - Germany, the largest economy in Europe and a historical heavy lifter when it comes to importing Russian gas, is scrambling to lock down alternative supplies now that flows from Russia have cratered following the invasion of Ukraine. Here is the breakdown of what Germany is doing:

WHERE ARE THE REPLACEMENTS COMING FROM?
Germany is pulling significantly more gas from Benelux, Norway, and France.

According to data from the EIA, Germany’s imports from Norway jumped to 37.6% in September, compared to just 19.2% during the same month last year. Meanwhile, shipments from the Netherlands climbed to 29.6% of total imports, up from 13.7%.

NEW YORK CITY, Oct 24 (Associated Press) - Germany, the largest economy in Europe and a historical heavy lifter when it comes to importing Russian gas, is scrambling to lock down alternative supplies now that flows from Russia have cratered following the invasion of Ukraine. Here is the breakdown of what Germany is doing:

WHERE ARE THE REPLACEMENTS COMING FROM?
Germany is pulling significantly more gas from Benelux, Norway, and France.

According to data from the EIA, Germany’s imports from Norway jumped to 37.6% in September, compared to just 19.2% during the same month last year. Meanwhile, shipments from the Netherlands climbed to 29.6% of total imports, up from 13.7%.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Nov 3, 2022

German gas storage facilities are sitting at 99.19% capacity, according to the latest preliminary data released last night by the European gas storage operator

And without Nord Stream or the pipeline... what on earth are those poor Russians going to do with all that gas?

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 28, 2022

Nathan Evans78 said:Brent is hovering near $95, TTF contracts have climbed past €110, and the German CPI just spiked to 10.04%...

Everything is still sitting way higher than it used to back in those better days. 🍿

Meanwhile, the Russians are busy melting through their central bank reserves—just burned through another few billion dollars there.

At this point, I don't think FOR NOW anyone has actually come out on top in this economic war. ☕

It doesn't matter—what matters is that Urals crude is at $65-68 👍 😁
https://www.neste.com/investors/mark...rices#f328d0a2

and once they cover the shipping costs to India and China, we'll see what little they actually have left.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 25, 2022

Massive ships loaded with LNG are practically idling off the coast of America... "It’s blindingly obvious we're looking at a massive shift here."
The LNG tankers have already reached American waters, though they haven't started unloading just yet.

Well, obviously—if nobody wants the gas, what are they supposed to do with it? It just sits there.

What's going to happen to those poor Russians and their stinking gas now?

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 25, 2022

Arthur Miller7 said:Can someone give me the TL;DR—is LNG pricing dropping too, or is this just talking about natural gas?

Every single speculator who jumped in on LNG—whether they were buying from the Chinese, Americans, Russians, or Europeans—is currently sitting on such massive losses that it would actually be cheaper to just give the gas away for free than to pay the storage fees for those LNG tankers. Everything they managed to scrape together since the war started has evaporated.
That’s why you’re seeing natural gas hitting zero or even dipping into negative territory regardless of the market conditions.

Basically, Russia is practically handing out gas for free at this point because nobody in the European Union wants it; there's no demand. It won't be long before crude oil follows suit and crashes below $20 or $30 a barrel.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 25, 2022

We're looking at a massive, sudden surge in gas supply across the US.

Is there any chance we see prices hit zero? 🤯 Let’s dive in. 1/n
https://twitter.com/AndreasSteno/sta...50621356134400
And now we've got a whole different set of headaches because the pro-Russia crowd is spiraling into a depression, and we're stuck footing the bill for their medication.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 24, 2022

Spot prices for natural gas have tumbled down to the €23–€33 MWh range.

https://www.eex.com/en/market-data/natural-gas/spot

Even the futures—looking at November and December—are sitting under €100 MWh.
But honestly? Liquidity is dead. There’s practically no one buying right now.

https://www.eex.com/en/market-data/natural-gas/futures
I mean, who is going to buy that stinking gas from the Russian trolls now?

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 24, 2022

European gas prices have finally dipped below $100 per MWh
https://finbold.com/europes-natural-...nce-june-2022/
I wonder what Russia is going to do now with their stinking gas supplies.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 16, 2022

So, who’s actually left to buy all that Russian crude?
China is pulling in about 7.5 million barrels a day. That means they might pick up maybe 1.5 to 2 million from the Russians at most—though that’s up from just 1 million previously. Then you’ve got India importing 4.4 million barrels, and they might take on maybe 1 million from them too.
Meanwhile, Russia is pumping out 5 million barrels a day. Good luck finding enough buyers for that remaining 3 million barrels every single day.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Oct 15, 2022

Chris Williams said:Look, casualtiger2, they aren't going to buckle. The Russians have just redirected the oil and gas that the European Union isn't buying toward India and China. It's the same with grain and those essential rare metals everyone needs. The European Union has about 477 million people, whereas India and China alone represent over 2 billion. Then you have the other 148 nations—including Turkey, Israel, Mexico, all of Africa, Asia, and Latin America—none of whom have imposed sanctions.

The USA has to maintain the petrodollar because there’s no other backing for the dollar, so they ensure things stay this way by fueling conflict rather than pursuing negotiation, which any rational actor would do instead of throwing gasoline on the fire.

The real objective seems to be for the USA to weaken the European Union, specifically Germany, while exhausting Russia, all while keeping China as the ultimate target... and they're managing the whole thing through maneuvering without having to fire a single shot so far.

Unless everyone else kneels, they'll have to act this way just to maintain their status and avoid bankruptcy.

So, if you look closely at who actually has horns and hooves... you might start to see who the real Satan is in this situation.

United States 19,687,287 20.3 %
European Union 18,300 000 19.8
Japan 4,012,877 4.1 %
South Korea 2,605,440 2.7 %
Canada 2,486,301 2.6 %
UK 1,583,896 1.6 %
Singapore 1,357,000 1.4 %
Australia 1,114,645 1.1 %

53.3 %
+ 14.5 %

Saudi Arabia 3,302,000 3.4 %
Russia 3,631,287 3.7 %
Mexico 2,052,607 2.1 %
Iran 1,803,999 1.9 %
United Arab Emirates 896,000 0.9 %
Venezuela 598,000 0.6 %
Algeria 429,000 0.4 %
Nigeria 428,000 0.4 %
Kuwait 359,000 0.4 %
Kazakhstan 325,000 0.3 %
Libya 223,000 0.2 %
Qatar 172,000 0.2 %

They can't sell to 67.8% of them.
+ as for the remaining 32.2%, most of them have their own production or established suppliers for at least 3/4 of their needs.
See how much the market has actually shrunk? Selling goods isn't nearly as easy as some people seem to think.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine · Sep 30, 2022

To all you nuclear enthusiasts

Back in the year 2020, the United States dropped roughly $37.4 billion just to keep its nuclear arsenal running. China came in second with a $10.1 billion price tag, followed by Russia at $8 billion.

Now, just try to wrap your head around the actual condition of those weapons. Setting the USA aside for a moment, look at China and Russia. You’ve got Russia sitting on thousands of warheads while China has a few hundred—yet the Chinese spent significantly more than the Russians just to maintain them.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine · Sep 22, 2022

analogbear70 said:This guy hits the nail on the head:

It’s the same point I keep making: the West needs to dial back the rhetoric because Russia isn't going to budge. I'm convinced that de-escalating the tension could actually lead to somewhere productive. Look, let's be real—they have nuclear weapons, and that’s a reality that could end us all. Regardless of how you slice it, we need a voice of reason coming from the West, because right now, there isn't one to be found in Russia, and nobody there seems interested in finding it either.

No, quite the opposite. The West needs to go to DEFCON 1,
beef up support for Ukraine, and immediately ship out a few thousand tanks, artillery pieces, and the latest high-tech weaponry.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine · Sep 21, 2022

wiredseal7 said:Swiss people aren't allowed to serve in foreign militaries—well, except for those Swiss guards protecting the Pope.
An ideal solution for us, and maybe even for our neighbors too.

But from what I'm reading, flights from Mexico City to Moscow are already fully booked...

Now is the perfect moment. Big Vladimir has called for mobilization! This is war against the West! What are you waiting for? Russia needs you! It wouldn't be a bad thing—if our own Putin-lovers volunteered to go to Putin. A humane relocation of idiots.

Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine · Sep 10, 2022

Can we actually pull off a price cap on the Russian oil industry? Here's an interview with Jeffrey Sonnenfeld via DW News

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine · Aug 22, 2022

crimsongull28 said:The Russians actually wrote "For Dasha and for Dugina" on the bombs they’re using to strike Ukraine https://i.ibb.co/JqRDpYb/Fasqty1-Xo-AEUm-2-8.jpg

Are you blind? Where exactly are the bombs in this picture?

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine · Jul 20, 2022

Donna Wells2 said:Honestly, if someone can actually swallow this nonsense—let alone believe it—I have to wonder about their IQ. Are people really just that easily manipulated, swallowing every single thing they see put in front of them?

They don't necessarily need to be brainwashed. It’s enough just to be an average guy from the Midwest who’s had a few too many shots of bourbon.

Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine · Jul 18, 2022

Rachel Barrett8 said:If that's morbid, then what on earth is this???

So, basically, Saudi Arabia became the biggest importer of ExxonMobil oil and then flips it to the European Union with massive profit margins.🤣🤣🤣

We call the Russians morbid, yet we act like we're some kind of masterminds here.🤦

And honestly, if you actually know how to read English and look at the article, you'll see it's just a measly increase of 24,000 barrels a day. Like anyone is getting rich off that. For those poor souls east of the US border, 24,000 barrels might seem like something, but to the Saudis, it's pocket change. Europe burns through 18,000,000 barrels every single day.