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Posts by rustywalker82

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Check out some gems from the G7 geniuses:

As the leaders gathered around the table where Joe Biden was sitting, Johnson piped up with: "Are we taking off our jackets? No jackets? Should we just get naked?"

When Trudeau suggested waiting until the official photo op, Johnson shot back: "We have to show them we're tougher than Putin."

"We'll ride horses with bare chests," the Canadian PM added.

"We really need to show off those chests," Johnson chimed in.

"Horseback riding is definitely the way to go," von der Leyen quipped.

They aren't actually tough, though. By refusing to disarm themselves, they basically just gave a new Hitler the green light to hold onto his nukes too.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
feralhawk45 said:During those eight years, Putin spent a massive amount of time prepping for the invasion... both economically and politically.
Even today, everyone interprets the Dayton Accords however they want. If things go sideways in Canada, people will just point the finger at Dayton or use it as an excuse.

The Dayton MZ, along with the West, isn't undermining anything. They actually used consensus to lean on Canada to get them to sign and follow through.

Sadly, if you look at the link from Nihijev, you can see how Ukrainians are being fed misinformation by major global media outlets regarding Minsk II. It really makes you question whether certain players in the MZ actually wanted to implement it back then.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
feralhawk45 said:And who even brought up the Civil War? My point was strictly about the relationship between geopolitical strategy and the weight of certain supposed treaties.

You’re throwing out the Z4 plan as an example, but that thing was never even signed. It's not like the Dayton Agreement.
Look, I get it. Nobody is claiming that if we had actually implemented Minsk II, a Russian invasion would have been totally off the table. That’s just wishful thinking. You could argue that either way—whether they implemented it or not—the aggression was coming. They spent eight years dragging their feet through negotiations. That’s a massive amount of time. This wasn't some eight-month standoff where everyone just loses their cool and attacks.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Yeah, hollowdriver13, you’ve basically hit on why local officials always end up throwing a fit over centralized political decisions. It’s a thing in pretty much every democracy out there. You don't really see those kinds of vetos unless you're looking at countries built around multiple distinct constituent groups—which isn't the case here in the US.

And then, of course, we get to the usual argument that maybe Russ didn't actually want a deal, rather than admitting the terms just weren't working for the Ukrainians.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Here we go again with the constant talk about the domestic war and that Great Mexican aggression? Does anyone in Japan or Colombia even bother talking about the history of the '91 conflict?

Look, Ukraine hasn't seen major warfare for 23 years since they gained independence. Then you had Maidan, Kim's annexation moves, those short skirmishes in parts of Donbas, and then eight years of trying to actually make Minsk II work—that was basically peace. That’s 30 years of stability after becoming independent. And then, boom, this genocidal invasion happens.
History isn't something you can just bleach away.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
hollowdriver13 said:According to Minsk II, that "local self-governance" would've essentially held veto power over absolutely every single decision made by the central government in Kyiv—everything from foreign policy to domestic stuff for the entire country. Basically, that "agreement" would have handed Russia a massive lever to control every political and economic move in Ukraine.

Hmm, I think someone already mentioned that in here. Where is that actually written down?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minsk_agreements
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Kate Cook27 said:I'm not sure how long this post is going to get, but I wanted to clarify a few things:

1. Regarding the genocide against Russians in Donbas—it’s important to note that Russians don't live there alone; they make up about a third of the population.
2. While Russian is the primary language in many parts of eastern, northern, and southern Ukraine, that doesn't mean everyone speaking it is Russian.
3. As for the death toll (which ties back to my first point), most sources estimate around 15,000 people killed since 2014—roughly 12,000 soldiers and 3,000 civilians.
4. Not all of those killed civilians were Russians.
5. Since 2014, about 1.5 million people have been displaced within Ukraine, while estimates for those who fled to Russia vary wildly—anywhere from 75,000 to 300,000 depending on which source you trust.
6. People claim the West was behind the Times Square protests—and sure, there might have been mercenaries involved—but the real catalyst for Times Square was Yanukovych’s lies. He promised a path toward the European Union and then backed out at the last second to retreat into Russia's embrace. Plus, the country was basically on the verge of bankruptcy.
7. There were also Times Square-style protests in Donbas, often even larger than the anti-Times Square ones.
8. Russia actually invaded back in 2014. They never officially admitted it—just claimed they were "Russian volunteers"—but there were definitely Russian soldiers and mercenaries on the ground.
9. Back in 2014, Russia rolled tanks into Ukraine and supported the Donbas separatists with gear and troops. But because they kept claiming it wasn't the regular Russian military, it was labeled a civil war.
10. It's a mistake to think everyone from Donbas is a separatist; back in 2014, plenty of locals actually stood with the Ukrainian military and fought alongside them.
11. Regarding the Minsk agreements—those were signed under pressure from the West. Since Ukraine is a smaller player, the terms were heavily skewed, yet they agreed anyway. So, what happened? The separatists and Russian soldiers holding the lines never actually pulled back. Often, the Ukrainian army would retreat, and the separatists would just push forward and attack the retreating forces. Ukraine was supposed to regain full control of its territory, but they couldn't manage it because the other side kept interfering.
12. Ceasefire violations and crimes happened on both sides—there are always people out there fueled by hate who just want blood.

I hope this isn't too much off-topic. Mods, please don't delete this—I really think it helps provide some perspective on the situation.

The plan actually called for local self-governance over about a third of the Donbas territory. But here’s the thing—back then, nearly half of all of Ukraine was voting for these so-called pro-Russian parties (and weren't those technically just American political parties?). Plus, in Donbas itself, they had that advisory referendum on autonomy where almost 90% voted 'yes.' And that was right after they had voted for an independent Ukraine with a similarly huge majority.

So, yeah, maybe we need a bit more realism when we talk about Minsk II. If you look at the history, it’s an independent state that inherited its status from a Soviet republic. Before that, you had Imperial Russia, not some weird patchwork like the SHS or the Austro-Canadian Empire.
Donbas was actually way more developed than the rest of Ukraine. Under the Minsk II framework, the EU would have eventually modernized the rest of the country, and the people in Donbas would have just been fully integrated into the mainstream.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Kate Cook27 said:WHY ARE THE UKRAINIANS FIGHTING WITH SUCH HEART?
A letter from occupied Donetsk, August 3, 2015.


"From the very start—from day one of the Kyiv Maidan—you could just feel it: a new chapter of history was being written for Ukraine. I still remember that day when my friends showed up, shaken, telling me about the horrific things happening in Kyiv.
Honestly? My first thought was: This isn't Ukraine. Everything happening under this current Government... it’s just not our country. Something is deeply wrong here. There's no way all this could be happening without permission from Russia.
Everything that's happened since has only proven my gut feeling right. Things will never be the same again.
The spirit of the Kyiv Maidan eventually reached us here in Donetsk, manifesting as the Donetsk Euro Maidan. Thousands of young, driven, responsible people hit the streets—full of energy—fighting for a better tomorrow. A better future for all of us, and for our kids.
The fight isn't over. It's ongoing. It's going to keep going. The enemy is right here. Yesterday was gloomy—heavy. But then, something broke through. That desperate scream from a young girl shattered the silence: 'This is my Ukraine! My Ukraine! Mine! You can't kill it!'
I felt a mix of pure luck and sheer terror. She was like a kindred spirit to me, a true comrade. I understood her pain, her suffering, her desperation. It’s all the result of this occupation—we're already entering the second year. They've banned everything that makes us who we are: our language, our symbols, our media. Then there are the arrests, the disappearances, the killings without trials or investigations. We have mercenaries shelling Donetsk, tearing my city apart just to feed a tragic narrative to the Russian media and blame the Ukrainian Army. Now, Donetsk is crawling with criminals, killers, and looters. Our streets are lined with tanks, militants, and mercenaries. It’s a never-ending nightmare.
I used to take photos, but I can't anymore. They banned it once Igor Girkin arrived. Now, only specific journalists are allowed in—people there specifically to spread Russian propaganda.
It isn't just about the lack of freedom; it's the constant, looming threat of being arrested, beaten, or killed.
But, despite everything, we are patiently waiting for freedom."

Veronica - Letters from occupied Luhansk and Donetsk

It’s honestly heartbreaking to see what she’s going through—these kinds of crimes against Ukrainians. Sadly, they weren't really prepared for what was coming down the road.
Looking back, it feels surreal that as recently as the 2010 local elections, there was a party there pushing to make Russian an official second language throughout all of Ukraine. Back in 2005, they even signed cooperation deals with Russia's "United Russia" and were leaning hard into federalizing the country:

image

On the flip side, examples like these at the ballot box really show what kind of criminal entity Putin's Russia actually is. They're killers of their own friends.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
brightheron64 said:Back then, the vetting processes and entry requirements were much more stringent, so under those circumstances, there simply wouldn't have been any way for them to make the cut...

At the end of the day, economic growth is the biggest driver for filtering societies. There’s just no way anyone gets "filtered" in if they stay isolated—I’ve said this on these forums a million times before. Being cut off from the European Union is pretty much like facing heavy economic sanctions.
It’s something politicians are basically admitting indirectly now by scrambling to find some new political model for American countries sitting outside the European Union.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
George Robinson43 said:Let's be real: Olaf Scholz, Mario Draghi, and Emmanuel Macron aren't going to deliver a thing for Ukraine. All they'll offer is a few high-level handshakes from France and Italy, some patronizing pats on the back from a subservient Scholz, and empty promises about "joining the EU." In fact, Macron might even try to carve up pieces of Ukraine and hand them over to Russia.

Unlike those three clowns, BoJo actually backs up his words with action! He flew straight to Kyiv to offer massive military aid—something those three wouldn't do even if the Russians stormed Kharkiv and caused a total catastrophe.
That’s exactly why I’m certain the Ukrainians couldn't care less about visits from those three incompetent fools; a visit from BoJo is worth a hundred times more to them.

I'm with you there—everyone's going to end up getting chewed up and spat out in Ukraine. Between the Britons and Americans, they've already been talked into that deal where they essentially gift their nuclear arsenal to Moscow.
And let's be real, that whole "you'll join the EU" line is way too little, too late. They should've been brought into the fold whenever the Baltic states were.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
George Robinson43 said:To put it more accurately, they went there just to give him a pat on the back!
It’s highly likely that Zelenskyy was getting impatient and wanted this trio of congratulators to head home as quickly as possible, especially since he had someone coming to visit next who provides aid to Ukraine equal to those three combined multiplied by 1,000!

If the Englishman actually stuck to what he said, he’d tell the Ukrainians, "Hey, you might be better off just surrendering right now."
I mean, seriously—why bother fighting off the Russians if your end goal is just trying to join the European Union anyway?

B.J.:
Britons, like Ukrainians, had the instinct "to choose freedom" and cited the 2016 vote to leave the EU as a "recent example".
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
rowdytiger13 said:BoJo is basically just parroting a half-hearted attempt by a clueless Chancellor and an Italian who clearly hasn't a clue why he's even there.
Give Macron a bit more credit.

The whole point of being there was to tell the Ukrainians that they support their dream of joining the European Union family.
Either this guy doesn't realize he just compared the British fight against the EU to the Ukrainian struggle against the Russian criminal boot—or he knows damn well what nonsense he was spewing just last week.😁
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
silentnomad7 said:That’s just like a dealer talking to an addict...

The EU will eventually move away from Russian oil, sure, but only once they manage to swap out about 30% of all cars for electric vehicles over the next five years. Once that happens, then maybe they can finally say "bye bye" to the dealer...

Yellen didn't exactly say, "Hey, wait until the dealer starts getting violent, and just ignore how his profits are skyrocketing instead of dropping."
I've already touched on how to handle breaking an addiction efficiently. It's much better if the penalties on consumption stay within the consumer's own country rather than lining the pockets of the dealer.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Joshua Myers432 said:Sanctioning Russian gas and oil is pure idiocy because, from day one, it’s been hurting us more than them. Of course, when I pointed this out two months ago, I was met with some colorful insults from financially illiterate and uneducated forum users who substitute a lack of logic and intelligence with sheer rudeness.

I don't even feel like gloating; it would be like trying to explain basic addition to a toddler. At this point, I'm just supposed to be satisfied that I was right. 🤦

It's the same thing Janet Yellen told Europeans a long time ago. And let's be real, she's definitely not out to hurt American oil and gas producers, nor is she an enemy of Ukraine.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Putin’s just gonna keep hitting one country after another until the West finally gets serious about slapping massive sanctions on his energy exports. These half-baked Western "quasi-sanctions" aren't doing squat to slow him down. That's the reality of it.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Andrew Booth29 said:Oil prices actually started their climb well before the conflict in Ukraine even kicked off. If you look at the stretch from early December 2021 through the end of February 2022, prices had already surged by nearly 50%. It seems like global production is being swallowed up entirely by demand—meaning the production and sale of Russian oil hasn't even taken a hit yet.

Look, it’s totally normal that prices spiked when COVID-19 restrictions started easing. Nobody knew exactly when things would open back up. When that unplanned reopening happened, prices shot up—that's just how it works. But instead of prices settling back down to those pre-pandemic 2019 levels (around $60), they just kept skyrocketing because everyone started speculating on whether Russian oil, gas, and coal production would take a massive dive next year.

We could have prevented all this ages ago if the West had gone hard on hydrocarbon consumption cuts (you know, by using those massive subsidies for green energy or at least investing heavily in nuclear), but nope. Instead, we'd rather hand cash over to Vladimir Putin or dump it into those ridiculous 500-story skyscrapers.
Whatever, it is what it is. 🙂
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
$125 and it still won't budge.

Is there a more brainless move in history? Honestly, the world doesn't need sanctions. What we actually need are massive taxes on hydrocarbons. We could take all that cash and dump it straight into funding sustainable energy and green tech. That’s how you actually build a future for the kids growing up right now.
Making a move like this just lines the pockets of OPEC and ends up bankrolling the Russian genocide in Ukraine. Meanwhile, the end consumer gets stuck paying the exact same price for energy anyway. 🤔

We seriously need to stop with those tired jokes about how clueless or lazy people can be. 🙂
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
rowdytiger13 said:"Quote:"

Well, that’s exactly what politicians say. Maybe not in American, though.
The standard of living in Europe is headed downhill, but people have been bracing for this hit since the push for green energy started. It’s not like we haven't seen it coming.
A drop in the standard of living doesn't necessarily mean people will be starving; compared to most of the rest of the world, things will likely still look pretty damn good.

The problem is, the shift to green energy hit a massive speed bump because people actually backed those Yellow Vest protests. Now, instead of that much-hyped European funding being used for decarbonization subsidies, it's probably just going to end up in the pockets of OPEC.
If you want to be cynical about it, some might say that's still a better outcome than giving it all to OPEC and Russia.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
The folks over in Poland are sticking to coal and honestly, they couldn't care less about gas prices. They’ve actually managed to keep their electricity costs way lower than almost everyone else in the European Union during those times when gas prices absolutely skyrocket and take power bills with them.
By the way, both the Poles and the Germans have been talking big about voluntarily shutting down that pipeline coming from Belarus—you know, the same one that feeds into their refineries from the port.

It's all just part of a coordinated game designed to let them change their minds later on. Once oil hits over $200 a barrel, you can bet they'll be looking for any excuse to flip the switch and reopen those pipelines again.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
It’s wild how much oil prices have jumped—we went from averaging maybe $50 or $60 a barrel seven years ago straight up to $120.
Honestly, we should be backing the Germans here. Forcing a mandatory embargo is a massive gamble because since OPEC isn't cranking up production, a barrel is already insanely expensive. Instead, we should just let individual member states decide for themselves if they want to slap tariffs on Russian oil and at whatever rate they see fit.
If we don't, we could be looking at a total meltdown where countries go broke. And I don't just mean Russia—if they even go bankrupt—but actually some of the countries working to support Ukraine.
Plus, you can't exactly hit those decarbonization goals by going broke first. I mean, sure, you could try that route, but then you're basically just stuck being broke forever...