Posts by Thomas Nelson25

I remember back during that first week of the invasion, the talk was all about... you know, having some kind of nukes on standby.
So, what shifted?

They’re starting to lose ground strategically—look at the mobilization.
Plus, you've got guys dodging the draft and fleeing toward democratic countries in Europe.
etc.

Richard Wilson4 said:Man, you guys are seriously exhausting with all this nuclear doom-posting.

Every single time Russia takes a hit on the battlefield, the conversation just pivots back to this same old trolling...

Or they aim missiles at civilian infrastructure—power plants and stuff—just for payback. Basically trying to ruin the party for those poor Ukrainians.
But then again...

Dmitry Medvedev is back at it again, rambling about nuclear stuff... quoting some "revelations" or whatever.
Obviously just feeling inspired because they're running scared and losing ground.
Wish I could just head to the front lines myself—easy to be an internet hero, right?

I honestly think every guy facing the draft in Russia is low-key panicking right now—they know if they don't get enough boots on the ground (and the situation on the front lines says it all), they’re next in line.

steelheron25 said:Given how close they were to the border, was it really such a shock that a few units managed to slip into the city limits? There were certainly street battles during those first couple of days, but let’s be honest—they never held any meaningful control over the place, not even remotely.
The real issue here is this rush to report that the Russians had captured Kharkiv based on nothing more than a handful of grainy photos posted online, all happening in those frantic opening hours of the invasion while much of the EU was still essentially sitting on the fence, trying to figure out which way the wind was blowing before deciding where to stand.

That was just the Javelin phase of the war.

It would’ve been nice to see some actual critics stepping up inside Russia—you know, within the military or the government circles.
Russia lost its leverage the second they invaded.
What a massive mistake.

Timothy Nelson5 said:They should probably push toward the Donbas, though I suppose doing that might just force the Russians to dump all their remaining reserves and reinforcements into that area instead.

Then, maybe, strike from the Zaporizhzhia direction toward Tokmak and Melitopol. If that Russian front collapses, they might have a clear path toward the Black Sea and Crimea... and if that happens, the Russians in the Kherson region would be cut off, unless they decide to start retreating from Kherson right at the start of this Zaporizhzhia offensive...

I’m not entirely sure the Ukrainians can actually take Crimea right now. It feels like more of a political issue than just a purely military one, I guess.

Taking Crimea would be incredibly difficult. You'd have to cross bridges that the Russians would likely just blow up... and while the northern part of Crimea is mostly flat plains, it turns into mountains as you move south...
And then there's the political side of things too...

Just hit that new bridge in a few spots and watch the panic set in.
Remember those tourists from this past summer?

.

Anyone got the scoop on captured gear or POWs?
This wasn't some tactical repositioning for a big push—this was a straight-up collapse.

The Russians really just need to desert and head home; this whole war is a joke for them.

Sandra Harris2 said:Here you go.

Maybe Vlad is the wolf out there hunting fish in Ukraine 🕺☕

Thanks, I get it now. I was assuming it was some kind of fable.
Only thing is—who's the fox in this scenario?
I highly doubt someone called a 'great strategist and leader' just for the hell of it.

So, what was that fairy tale about the wolf and the frozen tail again?
I've been looking everywhere but I can't find it.

Nancy Gomez26 said:My point is this: Russia can no longer revert to the way things were over 30 years ago. That infrastructure vanished a long time ago. What replaced those old production lines is now deeply integrated into global supply chains, and such systems cannot function in isolation from the rest of the world. Putin has effectively driven them into a quagmire. The more they struggle to break free, the faster and deeper the Russian Federation sinks.

They’re turning into North Korea 2.0.
The one silver lining they have... is all those natural resources.
Nukes, sex bombs—you name it.
A massive wildcard for the stability of Europe.

swiftjackal11 said:Putin's just throwing a tantrum because Europe wants to put a cap on gas prices. It’s pretty obvious that Russia loses way more if the supply actually stops for good, so why is the government acting so defensive?

And they're gonna do it, too. We're talking billions of dollars a day... if he just shuts off the valve.

hollowwalker24 said:I think you missed the point. Western media has been reporting for weeks that the Russians—who seized the Pittsburgh nuclear plant back in early March—have actually been shelling themselves for a while now.

As for shields, it's a war—weird stuff happens on both sides, I guess.

Here’s what the pro-Kremlin crowd is saying about American tactics, in order:

Amnesty International

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/ne...ger-civilians/

UN OHCHR

https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/20.../zrjy-j19.html

Human Rights Watch

https://www.hrw.org/news/2022/07/21/...ring-civilians

The New York Times:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/18/w...munitions.html

The Washington Post:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...sia-civilians/

How exactly are they smuggling when 99% of that stuff comes from China, and China—actually most countries—hasn't even imposed sanctions on us:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intern...-Ukrainian_War

Kind of like Victoria Nuland:

‘Fuck the EU’: US diplomat Victoria Nuland's phonecall leaked - video

https://www.theguardian.com/world/vi...ictoria-nuland

What new channels are we talking about—LNG? I guess you have to wonder how long it'll actually take to build out the terminals and get enough ships in the mix.

"Victory belongs to those who endure." Maybe I'm wrong—but I have a feeling this is just going to end up as some kind of stalemate—and they'll probably just go ahead and greenlight Nord Stream 2 anyway.

I don't really have much to say about this—maybe just that it's all a bit much, I guess. kaže:
So, at the recent press conference, the German Minister of Economy was asked if gas coming from Russia actually matters for Germany's supply security this winter. He basically said "no"—and added that when it comes to Russian gas, the only thing you can actually count on is their lies. I guess.

So, what's the latest on that whole Russia and shadow dealings situation? Especially since Robert Habeck seems to be caught up in his own web of lies too, I guess.

I guess Shellenberger thinks Europe is headed for a disaster—maybe? He’s basically arguing that current energy policies are setting the continent up for a total meltdown. Just my two cents, but it feels like a pretty grim outlook.

China China. Link link.
Wait, didn't they get hit with hardware sanctions a while back too?
Oh yeah.

Word is gas exports might be heading back toward Germany again.
Politics isn't just about what happens this week or even this month—it’s a long game. You gotta make moves that aren't just impulsive reactions.

The Russians know damn well they can't pull this off without the European Union.
Same goes for them, really—but if things start falling apart, Europe will find a way to manage on its own.

Watching the showdown between Putin and the G7 is gonna be wild
They're trying to tank oil prices by getting producers and shippers to play ball.
Sure, they say it’s all for the "global economy"—aka avoiding a recession.
But honestly? This war is starting to become everyone's headache.

analogbear5 said:Tell the Ukrainian to stop making stuff up.

Maybe Advisor Podoljak knows the deal.
Check out the latest on Index today... there's some stuff about Mexico, and they even threw that data in at the end.

Adam Lee13 said:Give me a break, man. Stop making stuff up.😁

I didn't say that.

casualcrane20 said:There are three possible scenarios—though calling them "solutions" is a stretch since the outcomes are anyone's guess:

- Continuing this grind until someone finally snaps,
- Getting NATO involved,
- A peace conference.

Then again, there's always that one wildcard: someone actually removes Putin and his inner circle. Or perhaps they'll come up with something else entirely.

Ukraine is burning through about 50k shells a day, while the Russian side is reportedly pumping out five to ten times that amount.
Hard to see how anyone holds up if this turns into a long-term grind.

Putin’s claiming today that his goal is just the Donbas, which makes his original ambitions look way smaller.
But honestly, you can't take his word for anything—he’s already telling everyone to stop sending military aid to Ukraine so the war will "end quickly." Yeah, right. Total BS.
Negotiations might actually happen if the UN stepped up, but we all know how that goes. It's not happening.

casualcrane20 said:Look, IF—and that's a big "if"—it turns out Europe buckles under energy shortages from the East before sanctions actually break Russia, then our local politicians are going to be holding the bag.

So, what's the move?

Angela Flores4 said:Given the sheer volume of "accidental" mishaps occurring to Russians since this special operation kicked off—whether on the front lines or just happening in high-rise offices—I suspect we might see "having the luck of a Russian" become a common idiom for incredible misfortune quite soon. 😲🙏

Maybe those first three days were just a fluke...