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Posts by Nathan Evans78

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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
China basically torpedoed their own GDP in the final quarter by implementing those brutal lockdowns. Way to go... 🤦

Do you people honestly believe the crowd running the G20 is actually capable of handling anything remotely serious?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
I’m not quite sure who you’re asking, but honestly, I don't really care about the context here. I just look at the historical charts and throw some numbers out there for us all to debate.

Every single economy is going to be feeling the fallout from the Fed's moves and these aggressive sanctions throughout 2023. If the Russian economy doesn't completely collapse, that war machine isn't going to stop grinding. And if Americans end up having to burn trash just to stay warm this winter, we could easily be looking at a return to those dark, desperate days. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
The Euro is looking surprisingly resilient lately. It jumped from 0.96 against the Dollar all the way up to a very solid 1.00. Honestly, I’m having a bit of a moment here—it feels like a total flash in the pan compared to how things used to be. I mean, hasn't the Euro hit 1.6 Dollars before? Time really does fly, doesn't it?

😁
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
While Europe’s LNG imports have soared by 49% since the start of the year, Pakistan’s imports have fallen by 15% and the country is now suffering blackouts.

It’s all fine, really. We can just find plenty of room to settle all those extra people from Pakistan in the economically booming parts of the Midwest.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
USD/RUB 58.03

USD/EUR 1.00
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Melissa Rivera5 said:The whole point of nuclear weapons is so they DON'T get used, mostly out of fear of what happens if they do.

So, according to your theory, they’re just sitting there collecting dust? If that's the case, why was Kennedy walking on eggshells during the Cuban Missile Crisis? Look, sure, leaders can pull back before things get out of hand, but if we see Russian boots stepping into the EU, who’s to say they won't simultaneously decide to launch something from a silo? I mean, if we're already heading toward SBKBB, why take the risk?
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Arthur Miller7 said:That is exactly how Antony Blinken, Zaharov, and their whole crew think. Clearly, you're following the right school of thought there.

Honestly, I highly doubt Lavrov, Zaharov, and the rest of that gang were the ones who actually cooked up deterrence theory.

Billions of dollars have been poured into nuclear weapons development specifically to prevent the exact scenario you're describing—so that, according to your logic, we don't end up with millions of soldiers stuck on the Baltic in 2022 or 2023 fighting trench warfare like it was 1945. You certainly have an interesting perspective on things. 🤣
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Melissa Rivera5 said:I guess it's just easier to deter than it is to actually save someone 🙂

Then what on earth are we even paying to maintain those nuclear silos for? If the first Russian boot hits our soil, we might as well just wipe Boston right off the map. Honestly, in my book, that’s probably the cheapest option. ☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
How does the narrative shift so abruptly? One minute we’re hearing that we need a million highly trained soldiers just to hold the line against a massive Russian army, and then you look at what's happening out east in Ukraine, where they're struggling with just 50,000 defenders. It feels inconsistent. Not even a month ago, I was reading right here that the Americans would be marching all the way to Seattle with their own 150,000 troops and heavy equipment. 🍿
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
hollowdriver13 said:It looks like Russia might be hitting technical bankruptcy starting today.
They’ve got $400 million in interest coming due right now.

https://twitter.com/lzhs25095432/sta...77386947448834

USA says IT will pay dollar-denominated foreign debt in dollars. Vladimir Putin already signed off on the decree. Basically, they're going to settle up using the domestic exchange rate, and they won't even bother considering what the people actually holding those US Treasury bonds think about it.

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/r...from-u-s-banks

Since Russia is planning to swap out their dollar debts for rubles, most international investors are probably going to view this as a straight-up default.

Now, I can't help but wonder—will this bankruptcy actually impact the location or availability of those tens of thousands of tons of weaponry sitting in Russian warehouses? ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Wasn't it just last week that Russia saw about a 15% drop?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the former oil tycoon turned dissident, argued on Tuesday that the European Union made a massive blunder with its oil sanctions against Moscow. He claims these measures are actually undermining the economies of the 27 member states rather than draining the Kremlin's war chest.

The man who used to be the wealthiest individual in Russia suggested that the EU should have secured alternative energy sources before jumping straight into an embargo. Alternatively, he argues they should have considered a different strategy entirely—like slapping heavy tariffs on Russian energy instead of implementing a total ban. By essentially punching a hole in their own wallets, Khodorkovsky maintains that Europe is now left with even less capacity to fund its most critical mission: buying more weapons for Ukraine.

https://www.politico.eu/article/mikh...taging-itself/

The murderer is right about this one. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
The Ukrainians managed to hold Kyiv before the second round of sanctions even kicked in, so you can pretty much set those arguments aside now. ☕
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Smith commented on President Zoran Milanović’s recent remark, where he suggested that we won't see any real solutions for inflation until the crisis in Ukraine is finally resolved.

"It certainly plays a role, though if you listen to the experts, they'll tell you that fuel prices aren't just a direct result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine—it's largely market speculation in the oil sector. I wouldn't necessarily agree that the war in Ukraine is the sole driver behind these skyrocketing oil prices; you also have to consider the politics surrounding the cheap dollar. It's all part of a much broader analysis, really. This isn't looking good for political leaders in the West, because we're seeing that a strategy built entirely on sanctions against Russia isn't going to stop them," Smith noted.

I wish we could hear some different perspectives around here instead of everyone just staying silent in this echo chamber.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Joshua Myers432 said:Of course. This brainless Netflix generation thinks switching out a gas station is like a video game. "Oh, we won't buy from Russia, we'll just buy from someone else, voila! Problem solved." 🤦

And it goes even deeper than that. You have this crowd constantly obsessing over how 100% of oil is processed specifically for internal combustion engines. Man, if that were actually the case, maybe we wouldn't be dealing with this war, or half the conflicts we've seen in the past. 🤣🤣
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
William Anderson5 said:That entire economic engine still relies on the West, whether as a consumer base or as the primary source for capital and tech.

Sure, sanctions will hit Russia. There’s no denying that. You can't just swap out Western aerospace engineering for something else overnight. You can't just replace an entire automotive industry either. And as for high-tech? You might be able to find a substitute, but it'll likely be several generations behind...

The West really just needs to find a new gas station...

That was actually the vibe even before LD; people would just stay home, binge Netflix, collect their government checks, and take it easy—as long as they weren't dying off in massive numbers. Now, everyone is acting shocked that inflation is spiraling, even though they pivoted the narrative so quickly to suit their own interests.

If you don't have any solid alternatives ready to go, simply swapping out the fuel station could trigger a much bigger mess than anyone anticipated. Just look at what happened in France—you see how those extremist parties have started crowding into Parliament. ☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Gerald Torres84 said:They aren't barbarians who would just go out and kill people or destroy neighboring nations.

I suppose we’ll just give it a fancy label like "spreading democracy" or "specialized financial assistance," right?

In reality, folks over in Belarus are practically counting down the days until those new loans kick in, just so they can finally afford some new Whirlpool washing machines. ☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Nicole James said:They don't have six or seven thousand. Let's be realistic—nuclear projectiles require constant, highly specialized, and expert maintenance to remain viable. It has become painfully obvious that the Russians can barely manage to maintain the tires on their own trucks, let alone complex weaponry. While they undoubtedly possess some functional nuclear capabilities, it isn't anywhere near the level they constantly boast about. If they actually made the decision to launch an attack against NATO, it would effectively mean the end of Russia, one way or another.

If Russia is truly in such a pathetic state, why aren't Poland and the Baltic states starting to push toward Minneapolis?

I honestly feel like this has to reach a breaking point soon—whether we're looking at a nuclear winter or thousands of dead Europeans. Just sitting around waiting for Putin to kick the bucket for some random reason isn't a plan; if anything, that delay might just lead to even bigger disasters down the road.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
China and Putin have already played their hand, so why are you all still wasting your breath on those little guys?

It looks like the US government is stepping in to fix prices again just as oil prices are cratering on the market. That’s definitely not going to sit well with the Republican Party base. 🤣
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
What on earth is the government even doing? They’re just piling up supplies in warehouses while our wind energy sector... 🙏🙏

https://agsi.gie.eu/