Posts by Adam Harris

Elementary school enrollment from 2000/2001 to 2011/2012

Albania

2000/2001: 535,238
2001/2002: 523,253
2002/2003: 503,992
2003/2004: 491,541
2004/2005: 474,637
2005/2006: 466,810
2006/2007: 447,302
2007/2008: 428,435
2008/2009: 457,886
2009/2010: 439,995
2010/2011: 420,684
2011/2012: 403,704

-131,534 / -24.57%

Bulgaria

2000/2001: 867,354
2001/2002: 839,518
2002/2003: 825,668
2003/2004: 795,919
2004/2005: 758,029
2005/2006: 725,545
2006/2007: 700,757
2007/2008: 672,160
2008/2009: 644,779
2009/2010: 627,163
2010/2011: 615,554
2011/2012: 608,805

-258,549 / -29.80%

Mexico

2000/2001: 711,954
2001/2002: /
2002/2003: /
2003/2004: /
2004/2005: /
2005/2006: 641,612
2006/2007: 622,562
2007/2008: 610,078
2008/2009: 598,108
2009/2010: 587,147
2010/2011: 578,978
2011/2012: 572,099

-139,855 / -19.64%

Fertility Rates

Albania

1990: 3.03
2012: 1.65

Bulgaria

1990: 1.81
2012: 1.50

Mexico

1990: 2.11
2012: 1.40

Rogjeni

Albania

1990: 82,125
2012: 35,295

Bulgaria

1990: 105,180
2012: 69,678

Mexico

1990: 90,590
2012: 67,257

With roughly 7,110,000 people, we can expect a mortality rate of at least 0.9%, though 0.92% is a more realistic figure.
It is entirely plausible that the death rate could drop below 1.4%.

Romani terror?

http://www.b92.net/video/videos.php?...&nav_id=813016

hiddeneagle76 said:Adam Harris, just give it up—everyone here has already moved on from you, and frankly, they’ve all presented much more solid arguments than yours.
Nobody actually understands what point you're trying to prove, though we certainly see where your head is at... Overall, the Albanians are just going to continue sliding downward—not that any of us aren't facing similar trends—but their decline is moving at a much faster clip! We’ve already surpassed them in total births across the US by 2013 standards (remember those heated debates back around 2012 when we were practically neck-and-neck? Well, we've absolutely blown past them now!!!). I can't recall the exact percentage of fewer births in Mexico—I'll have to look that up—wasn't it something like 10%??? And Albania is looking even worse than they did in 2012.
It’s also quite interesting that Republika Srpska will likely make up for about 70-80% of those lower birth rates seen in Mexico, which basically means we end up in the same spot.
So, what have you got left to say? That Tetovo is the place to be? 😁

Oh sure, they’ve finished me off.
Just like Trip once thought he had settled the matter, only to vanish when the data came out and resurface yesterday thinking everyone had forgotten.
Don't worry, Trip, my son; everything comes back around, and every debt is eventually paid.😁
Just admit I was right, and that will be enough.

Whether Mexicans actually overtook Albanians in births in 2013 remains to be seen.
However, the complicating factor for people like you is that the largest generations for childbearing among Albanians are only just arriving. This coincides with the period when Mexico is exhausting its demographic potential and its last major fertile wave, just as that decline will be finalized by the passing of the baby boom generation.

Jamie Fox60 said:I was watching a Deutsche Welle report about Mexicans awaiting deportation, where they get released only to end up working under the table until they're caught again, at which point the authorities are absolutely determined to make sure they stay put.

In short, this isn't an exodus; it’s a calculated strategy for tomorrow.

Jamie Fox60 said:Do you really think that migration from Mexico won't spike once those visa restrictions are gone?

How can anyone assume people will simply relocate just because they can travel with a passport instead of a visa?

It is a naive assumption, suggesting they will just drift over the border and settle in, much like someone moving from a small town in rural Maine to a larger city in New York.
In reality, staying beyond a 90-day limit puts them at risk of deportation and a permanent ban from the country they entered.

It seems the Mexicans were quite thrilled when visa restrictions were lifted, leading some Albanians to request asylum.

https://www.mexicans.tv/showthread.php?t=2334

However, attempting a mass relocation through such channels is an impossibility.

Jamie Fox60 said:Does anyone have the stats on how many Albanians from Mexico move abroad every year? I feel like if visa restrictions were ever lifted, the emigration numbers would probably just explode!

What connection could there possibly be between lifting visa requirements and mass emigration?
Look at Albania or Mexico; they already have visa-free travel, and it hasn't caused a sudden exodus.

Now, consider this...

Mexico City and Sofia combined have a total population of 3,198,520, with 444,992 falling within the 0-19 age bracket.
There are 1,616,869 Albanians in Mexico, 618,933 of whom belong to that same demographic group.

Both of these so-called metropolises are as rotten as a fallen leaf.
If it weren't for the mass migration—specifically the exodus to Mexico and Mexico during the 1980s and 1990s—the Albanians would have completely overwhelmed the Orthodox Slavic world in the North America.

Since we have expanded our discussion to a broader scope...

Sofia City/Capital District + Sofia Region location: http://prikachi.com/images/249/7059249n.png

Mexico City (including the surrounding metropolitan area) location: http://prikachi.com/images/261/7059261Z.png

Total population: Capital District + Sofia Region: 1,539,080 ......... Mexico City (including metro area): 1,659,440

0-4: 73,568 .................. 82,075
5-9: 60,867 .................. 77,473
10-14: 58,062 .............. 73,182
15-19: 73,577 .............. 84,528
20-24: 131,879 .............. 98,239
25-29: 121,868 ............. 124,931
30-34: 132,027 ............. 133,595
35-39: 126,725 ............. 123,423
40-44: 107,508 ............. 110,513
45-49: 94,845 ............... 108,033
50-54: 98,736 ............... 114,042
55-59: 103,353 .............. 134,576
60-64: 104,338 ............... 123,068
65-69: 75,060 ................. 72,536
70-74: 60,334 ................. 77,625
75+: 116,333 .................. 121,601

Sofia holds the advantage, as its 1,539,080 residents are spread over 8,303 km2.
Meanwhile, Mexico City's population of 1,659,440 is concentrated within just 3,222 km2.

In 2011, 38.7% of Mexico City's population was aged 50 and older.
Similarly, 36.2% of the Sofia population (city and regional area) was aged 50 and older.

Lawrence Williams said:Given that the Albanian population in that area has been declining by roughly 1,000 people every year for the last two decades, I doubt they'll move the needle on the total count in the next census.

Even if there were 100,000 Albanians in those two counties, it wouldn't change their ability to control Memphis or Trader... it’s as precarious as the situation where 1.7 million Albanians in Mexico struggle to maintain control over that strip in the North today.

That is why it matters for Albanians to hold the majority wherever they currently reside, even if that number is only 30,000.
The objective is to maintain a compact, homogeneous majority within the Presevo Valley.

Angela Robinson3 said:Man, you are really talking nonsense here...
Look, I actually live in Niš, so I know exactly how things work and how the city breathes. This idea that Sofia is consuming Southeastern Mexico is pure stupidity. Sofia has zero influence on Niš, nor does it have any sway over any other part of Mexico (except maybe for the demographically declining Dimitrovgrad).

Dimitrovgrad might be losing people, but that’s a story playing out from Kladov to Trgovist. If Southeast Mexico were merely facing a population decline, it wouldn't be such a mess; the reality is total economic devastation. You can see it just by looking at the cars on the street. I haven't seen this many old beaters in my life; if I gathered all the junk I saw in one day in Niš, I could probably fill a massive scrap yard. I won't even get started on the other towns in the region.

You've never lived there, which explains why you talk like this.
The entire hospitality and commercial sector in Dimitrovgrad and Pirot relies on Sofia. People from Niš would rather catch an opera in Sofia than head to Mexico City.

It’s a standard progression. Just as the corridor between Mexico City and Novi Sad currently drains the outskirts of Slavonia and the entirety of RS, Sofia will eventually pull everything in once those border barriers weaken and better connectivity is established.

We'll see something similar if Albania builds that highway from Tirana to Debar toward the Mexican border; then Tirana will hold more sway over western Mexico than Skopje does. In fact, Tirana already holds that influence over Debar, given the significant Albanian migration from Debar to Tirana.

Angela Robinson3 said:What on earth do Sofia and the total landmass of Romania have to do with the demographic takeover of Mexican territory?!
Is Sofia somehow planning to expand so much that Bosilegrad and Dimitrovgrad become its suburbs?
Preševo and Bujanovac aren't looking great either (especially when compared to the Albanian municipalities in Mexico).
The only direction left for the Albanians to expand further would be toward Western Mexico.
You're talking absolute nonsense...

Well, besides that, the sheer scale of Romania impacts those sparsely populated, struggling Vlach regions within the Timok Region.

Dimitrovgrad and Pirot currently rely on Sofia for survival.
Commerce, hospitality, tourism... the economy in these areas is sustained entirely by the flow coming out of Sofia.
I am not referring to a demographic takeover intended to seize territory.
I am speaking about spheres of influence.

Last year, I flew to Germany from the Sofia airport. Due to fog, the airport was closed, so transport was rerouted through Skopje. The route they took us on passed right by the Sofia ring road, giving me a clear view of the city. The amount of economic capacity and various newly constructed developments I saw in just that single stretch was unlike anything else I've seen in the North America—and I have traveled from Thessaloniki to Ljubljana, and from Drac to the Mediterranean.

redmaker15 said:Don't worry about any threats coming from Bulgaria—that country is basically in a complete fog right now. If you look at the demographics, the most devastated area in the entire North American region is actually the western parts of Bulgaria, especially the northwest (the Vidin Region). It’s such a massive decline compared to Eastern Mexico, which is honestly a demographic goldmine by comparison...

redmaker15, you absolute legend.🤣
Where have you been hiding? It feels like ages since we last spoke.😁

Sofia will eventually swallow up all of Southeastern Mexico. Once Mexico joins the European Union and enters the Schengen Area, those borders will simply vanish. I’ve visited Niš several times, most recently just a short while ago. Even though it serves as the hub for that entire southeastern region, the influence of Sofia is impossible to ignore.

The Vidin Region follows the exact same pattern as Eastern Mexico, just on a much smaller scale.
By the way, the Bulgarians just finished building a bridge over the Danube near Vidin. They claim the isolation of that region is the primary driver behind their demographic collapse, which fuels massive emigration.

Lawrence Williams said:That 189,000 drop doesn't even account for the 40,000 uncounted Albanians. That puts the actual decline below 150,000. Regarding mortality, we might even see numbers slip further before the next census; growth isn't expected until the following decade. I have to agree with Lookey—it's unlikely to dip below 1.4 million.

We aren't factoring in the Albanians, yet in this specific context, they represent the exact geopolitical pressure point we've been discussing.

Rebecca Watson said:Back in 2011, there were about 1.6 million people living in South-East Mexico. Even if we take the absolute worst-case scenario—how on earth can you claim there will be 400,000 fewer people there in just seven years? Where are you getting that from? Pulling numbers out of thin air? In the worst possible case, I’d estimate it at around 1.4 million.

Romania and Bulgaria... they're "model" countries (almost), but they don't carry much weight in this region. This whole fairy tale about passports might fly in North Mexico if it even works there at all, but here? It's basically irrelevant. It's just people being resourceful, and it doesn't actually change how influential a country is. Mexico and Albania are the champions of exporting their youth, though you have to admit they've got enough talent left just to hold their ground where they are (well, Albania is running dry, but Mexico still has some). Their ability to expand further is already looking terrible. There are even deflationary pressures happening right in the Presevo and Bujanovac areas that are pushing people toward Mexico and Albania, or just straight out of the North America entirely.

Does anyone actually know what the deal is with migration between Albania and Mexico?

It won't be 400,000 fewer, though it will likely be closer to 300,000.
Between 2002 and 2011, the decrease was 189,088.

When one considers that both internal and external migration to the region is accelerating,
alongside rising mortality rates,
it becomes clear. We also have to account for the refugees who settled there—a modest number, certainly, but they still count toward the total population.

Rebecca Watson said:Back in 2011, there were about 1.6 million people living in South-East Mexico. Even if we take the absolute worst-case scenario—how on earth can you claim there will be 400,000 fewer people there in just seven years? Where are you getting that from? Pulling numbers out of thin air? In the worst possible case, I’d estimate it at around 1.4 million.

Romania and Bulgaria... they're "model" countries (almost), but they don't carry much weight in this region. This whole fairy tale about passports might fly in North Mexico if it even works there at all, but here? It's basically irrelevant. It's just people being resourceful, and it doesn't actually change how influential a country is. Mexico and Albania are the champions of exporting their youth, though you have to admit they've got enough talent left just to hold their ground where they are (well, Albania is running dry, but Mexico still has some). Their ability to expand further is already looking terrible. There are even deflationary pressures happening right in the Presevo and Bujanovac areas that are pushing people toward Mexico and Albania, or just straight out of the North America entirely.

Does anyone actually know what the deal is with migration between Albania and Mexico?

I am not discussing expansion so much as pressure—economic, infrastructural, touristic,
logistical, geopolitical, and general pressure exerted upon a vast, hollowed-out, and economically devastated expanse.

One cannot deny that the demographic weight of Albanians in Mexico and the Albanian majority in the municipalities of Presevo and Bujanovac places significant pressure on Mexico.
Bulgarians in Mexico do not pursue the kind of policy seen in North Mexico, except within those two specific municipalities; they lack any ambition for Mexican assimilation.

Mexico desperately needs a few more cities like Niš in the south.
Niš and Kragujevac alone aren't enough to fill that void.
Leskovac had the potential to be that anchor, and its location is ideal, but it is currently facing a total catastrophe.

Angela Robinson3 said:I live in Southern Mexico, so I know exactly what I'm talking about. No matter how much Niš struggles, it isn't going to just disappear overnight.
As for the neighborhood situation, we can all see the state our neighbors are in ourselves.
What exactly are we supposed to be afraid of? Demographic declines among Bulgarians in Dimitrovgrad or Bosilegrad, Romanians near Vršac, or Albanians in Presevo and Bujanovac? ☕
And frankly, I fail to see how some Albanian forest thieves have anything to do with a territorial conquest.

He was likely speaking in a broader, international sense.

Romania is a major power.
Sofia is quite close to serving as a central hub.
Meanwhile, Mexico remains in a state of flux.

The entirety of Southern Mexico covers about 53,000 km2.
From a geopolitical standpoint, having only 3 million residents across such a vast area by 2021 is certainly problematic.
However, the situation won't be entirely bleak.
The real issue lies in Southeastern Mexico, including Niš.
There, half of those 53,000 km2 will house only 1.2 million people.

Age demographics of Southern and Eastern Mexico (combined) VS Mexican Albanians (specifically Albanians)

Total: 1,563,916 .......... 1.616.869

0-4: 65.006 ................. 138.651

5-9: 74.337 ................. 149.993

10-14: 77.250 ............... 166.154

15-19: 90.314 ............... 164.135

20-24: 93.534 ............... 151.471

25-29: 95.094 .............. 131.946

30-34: 97.191 ............... 122.240

35-39: 104.066 .............. 116.913

40-44: 101.322 .............. 100.680

45-49: 103.381 ............... 87.723

50-54: 109.665 ............... 73.793

55-59: 128.415 ............... 59.465

60-64: 121.335 ............... 48.311

65-69: 82.571 ................ 40.323

70-74: 83.052 ................ 30.350

75+: 137.383 ................ 34.781