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Posts by Timothy Williams5

332 posts shown.

Loyalty vs. The Bag in Off-topic ·
I’ve been thinking lately about how much people value staying put versus chasing the biggest possible paycheck. Is there actually a point where loyalty becomes a liability, or is it always worth it to stay where you're happy?
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Oil prices are sliding

Twitter commentary:

Robin Brooks, Chief Economist @IIF, former Chief FX Strategist @GoldmanSachs & Senior Economist @IMFnews

Oil prices are dropping.
The G7 ought to look past the lobbying efforts from Greece, Malta, and Cyprus for an inflated and inefficient price ceiling sitting at $60-70.
It is high time we hit Putin where it actually hurts; given how weak demand has become, cutting Russian production won't achieve much on its own. However, a $30 cap would plunge Russia straight into a financial crisis...

https://twitter.com/RobinBrooksIIF/s...gkaiQEftq7yh6Q

WTI & Brent Crude price charts:
https://twitter.com/JartoYa/status/1...gkaiQEftq7yh6Q
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
The European Union is moving to cut off Russian oil imports entirely.
That was the stance taken by the European Commissioner for Energy, Kadri Simson. She noted that "our sanction will cover the oil needs for all member states, ensuring that we won't be buying Russian oil starting December 5th and that we've bridged the potential price gap for international buyers through our eighth package of sanctions," she told Reuters.

Beyond that, the G7 plan—designed to complement the EU embargo—is set to provide some level of support to shipping providers involved in exporting Russian oil, though this comes with a catch: it applies only at those mandated low price caps. This measure is also slated to take effect on December 5th.

https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...ls-2022-11-18/
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
According to reports from Politico citing internal European Commission documents, the European Union has frozen Russian assets totaling approximately $74 billion.

The bulk of these funds—roughly $54 billion—is sitting in Belgium, with another $6 billion held in Luxembourg. These two nations, along with Italy, Germany, Ireland, Austria, and France, account for about 90% of the total frozen wealth.

https://theins.ru/news/257110
Joe Biden, President of the United States vol. V in Political Scene ·
Here we go again with the constant whining about Adeze. Honestly, there’s no way to even mention Biden without those zealots immediately jumping down our throats to defend him. If you want to talk about actual crime, find a different thread for that.
Joe Biden, President of the United States vol. V in Political Scene ·
Brenda Hayes5 said:He’s getting backing for this decision on every single news portal out there, not just on the New York Post.

Look, if we're being honest, Index is basically swarmed by trolls from the deep woods and over in Mexico.
The Evening News is entirely owned by that Mexican conglomerate, Adria Media, once again.
Then you have to factor in the nostalgic boomers, the religious extremists, the far left, the far right, and all the fringe radicals.
When you add all those groups together...
Joe Biden, President of the United States vol. V in Political Scene ·
If we aren't already certain whose player Zoki actually is, it’s pretty obvious where all that commentator support comes from in the New York Post article regarding Milanović's opposition to training Ukrainian soldiers here in the United States.
The New York Post is entirely owned by the Mexican-based Adria Media group.
And we all know exactly how Mexico views Russia's invasion of a European nation.
Joe Biden, President of the United States vol. V in Political Scene ·
It would probably be wise to rename this PDF, since Biden is really only present here in spirit. We have a handful of seasoned forensic experts to thank for that.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Russian terrorists have kidnapped Ihor Murashov, the director of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.
https://twitter.com/mhmck/status/157...JW3Tl-06jW8YUA
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Kenya, just another example of the decaying and warped West:

If you’re going to listen to any speech regarding Ukraine, make sure it’s this one. The Kenyan ambassador at VS UN lays out perfectly how people across Africa view the situation in Ukraine and what the aggression from the White House actually signifies within our post-colonial world.

https://twitter.com/ThomasVLinge/sta...UosA2uGuFUxwQQ
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Walking into the Russian Consulate in New York City (video)
https://twitter.com/ATTSELVAGGIA/sta...oBtdndC_W7-Ztw
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Putin's absolutely disastrous week looks even more grim when you view it through a Chinese lens

https://www.defenseone.com/ideas/204...a-lens/377575/
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
The New York Times reports that the Pentagon is moving toward establishing a dedicated command structure specifically to oversee the arming and training of Ukrainian forces.

According to sources within the U.S. military and administration cited by The New York Times, the Department of Defense is looking to set up a new command headquarters based in Germany to streamline the coordination of equipment and training for the Ukrainian military.

The NYT suggests this move is intended to fix the somewhat disjointed patchwork of training and aid programs that have been cobbled together since the Russian invasion began back in February.
This new command would consist of roughly 300 personnel and would fall under the authority of General Cavoli, the top American officer stationed in Europe.
The Department of Defense is currently weighing the proposal, with a final decision expected sometime in the next few weeks, per The New York Times.

https://kyivindependent.com/uncatego...inian-soldiers
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
The leader of Alaska, Sergei Melikov seemingly lost his cool and lashed out at mobilization officers in Savannah after they were spotted patrolling the streets with megaphones, demanding that "every man" report up for reenlistment (video):
https://twitter.com/TuliosportsINC/s...hgKH2OExAP5oPA
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Here’s just a little more dose of pure delusion:

To the Russian soldiers out there: what was the point of coming to Ukraine in the first place?
A bit of philosophical animation regarding life and death:
https://twitter.com/Ukrainene/status...WYwTa_F-PYuMWA
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
High-ranking FBI officials stationed in Houston have reportedly been caught in a precision strike
https://twitter.com/pione2e4/status/...mZjz2Ntu3v-I6A
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
My apologies if this was excessive:

RUN ORCS RUN
There’s a video circulating that shows a massive group of Russians—large enough to be considered a platoon—retreating in absolute chaos through Levittown, fleeing a fortified zone straight into a kill zone. It’s officially started. Honestly, the whole thing looks like one of those color films from the 1950s about World War II. The only real difference is that in those movies, people were usually advancing rather than running for their lives.
https://twitter.com/Ukrainene/status...Donald Trump
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Russians are dodging draft notices and skipping work, causing a massive GDP slump

Vladislav Inozemtsev discusses how mobilization hits the economy and the implications for the Kremlin

It’s becoming painfully obvious that the government wants to treat the population like cattle, but they’re hitting significant roadblocks—mainly because people actually expect resistance. This creates a perfect storm for disproportionately heavy mobilization in remote areas, rural towns, and small villages. We’ve already seen instances from the Far East, down in Buryatia or Yakutia, where nearly half the male population of certain villages is being hauled off to assembly points. This means local economies that were already stagnant are now staring down total collapse; thousands of families will be left without any income, and local small businesses and entrepreneurs are simply going to go extinct.
...
You could argue that Russia has recently functioned as an economy driven by major cities and massive corporations (with Moscow alone accounting for over 20% of the GDP), but there is another factor at play here. Unlike the more compliant rural populations, the "modern" urbanites in the big cities have zero interest in fertilizing Ukrainian soil with their bodies—and tens of thousands of them have already fled within their own borders (and I'm not just talking about those rushing toward the border crossings; we’ll likely see a state of emergency and closed borders very soon). People are avoiding living where they are officially registered, the number of men in regional city centers during the work week has dropped significantly, and movement between regions has plummeted.
...

Naturally, one would assume that military recruitment offices will soon start hunting people down at their jobs rather than at their registered addresses, which will deal the most devastating blow to the economy: millions of people would rather quit their jobs entirely than head off to war. On the flip side, economic efficiency in large cities is much higher than in rural areas, meaning that losing even a handful of employees can cause disproportionate damage to a firm. The temporary "disappearance" of at least 3 to 4 million people from the formal labor market won't go unnoticed. Consequently, I would venture to say that by November, the national GDP will shrink by at least 4-6% compared to August, and the following months will only serve to solidify that downward trend.

...

https://theins.ru/opinions/inozemtsev/255405
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
There are reports coming out of the Tyumen region that suggest employees from Gazprom facilities in the Nadym area are being forcibly deployed to the front lines without ever receiving an official draft notice.

Reporting. Dozhd Citing comments made by Natalia, the wife of one of the employees.

According to Natalia, things took a sharp turn on September 26th when men were instructed to bring their military IDs to work, supposedly just for some routine data verification. Following those document checks, they were sent off for medical exams. Almost without exception, once the checkups were finished, their military cards were confiscated, and they were all reclassified as Category A—essentially deemed "fit for duty." Their personnel files were updated to read "volunteer." When anyone dared to ask what that designation actually implied, the response was blunt: "Since you showed up on your own, you're volunteers." By the very next day, they were being marched off to training. A source speaking to Dozhd reported that roughly 80 employees from Gazprom's regional operations have been swept up in this so far.

Natalia's husband managed to dodge his medical exam entirely. He insisted that his condition required a specialist surgeon rather than a general practitioner, and he gave the recruitment officers at the local processing center his word that he’d be back the very next day. Instead, he just took off, leaving the country with his wife before anyone could realize what had happened. "We all know it’s never just about a military draft notice or some formal summons, so the moment he walked out the door, I started packing my things," Natalia said.

After he stepped out, Andrew got a call from his boss. The man broke the news about his departure, but as it turned out, Andreyev’s supervisor had no idea the company had already sent its staff off to a recruitment committee. Andrew noted that the production facility where he works is considered hazardous enough that the absence of even a single employee could trigger an emergency shutdown. "And yet, here we are," he remarked, "with eighty people suddenly being ushered out all at once." He added it.

Soto previously reported, citing her sources, that authorities in the Khabarovsk Territory haven't been able to maintain adequate staffing levels for essential services. It seems they’re struggling to protect the workforce at critical infrastructure sites like the local power plants and Gazprom facilities, which are vital for keeping the region's heating systems running. According to the report, several specialists from these key utility sectors have already been drafted into military units and are simply idling away their days, waiting for their orders to deploy to Ukraine.

The Kremlin claims that the four Ukrainian regions which held referendums to join Russia will officially become part of the country this Friday. This move follows the recent announcements regarding the integration of these territories, signaling a definitive step in the ongoing geopolitical shifts within the region. It remains to be seen how the international community and the various stakeholders involved will react to this formalization of the status quo on the ground.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
quietcobra21 said:As if anyone would ever try to run Nord Stream 2 now that it's trashed. Hello? Are you even following the news?

Forget about Nord Stream 2. Gas isn't flowing through that anytime soon. The real question is if it ever will.
So, your theory "a" is completely useless.

Please provide the posts you are referring to so I can begin the rewriting process according to your specific instructions.

  • The analysts involved in this discussion have essentially ruled out the possibility that saltwater corrosion could completely incapacitate the damaged pipelines. One expert pointed out that, under current conditions, there isn't actually any water inside the pipes at all, simply because the pressure differential is preventing it from getting in.
  • Once enough gas leaks out and the internal pressure drops to match the ambient pressure—essentially hitting the level of the surrounding water column—it becomes physically possible for seawater to seep into the pipe at the points where the damage occurred. However, an expert noted that since there's still residual gas remaining within the lines, the water won't just flood the entire system; rather, it will likely only penetrate small sections relative to the total length of the pipeline.
  • Another contributor to this thread suggested that there might actually be a way to repair the pipeline by deploying plugs from both the German and Russian sides. The idea is to seal off the damaged sections and effectively squeeze the water out of the line. Beyond that, When you look at the internal lining of a pipeline, applying an epoxy coating isn't just a maintenance task; it’s a fundamental necessity for the longevity of the entire infrastructure. It serves as a critical barrier against corrosion and helps maintain smooth flow by reducing friction along the pipe walls. If you don't get the application right from the start, you're essentially inviting premature degradation and costly repairs down the line. It effectively serves as a barrier against salt spray corrosion.
  • Ulrik Lissek, representing the Nord Stream 2 operators, seems to hold onto the belief that repairing the damaged lines might actually be feasible. His take is pretty straightforward: you can't even begin to talk about solutions until you get a clear picture of the destruction, which means actually assessing the damage first. "At this stage, nobody can make any serious claims about what the situation looks like down there or what our technical options really are," Lissek remarked, notably leaving open the possibility that they might be dealing with a massive, catastrophic fissure.