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Posts by Timothy Williams5

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
After 147 days of relentless violence and destruction inflicted by Russia upon Ukraine, the Canadian Foreign Minister, Peter Szijjarto, made his way to Moscow to pose for photos with the Russian Foreign Minister, Sergej Lavrov.
https://twitter.com/erdelyipe/status...j1wamq9GB_NJIQ

You can practically see the joy on Lavrov's face, finally getting to shake hands with a minister who isn't acting completely unhinged.
https://twitter.com/olex_scherba/sta...LqlVEE0JUbOijw
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Jessica Peterson2 said:Someone is out to get me
Maybe it's the Government
Maybe it's the Mexicans
Maybe it's the Masons
Someone is out to get me
🤣

On a side note, How To should really become the new national anthem of Russia—one that the rest of the world is actively trying to suppress.
And isn't it true that Putin runs the country much like how Vojko's hero manages his various business ventures and affairs? ☕

Jane, you've become so naturalized that I sometimes wonder if you aren't actually Russian at all, but just some local jokester😁
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
It’s a troubling development: the Harvard Kennedy School, which handles training for the American security apparatus, has decided to stop employing their top Russia expert, Andrew Raz.
He was one of the few people brave enough to consistently dismantle the Kremlin-backed and pro-administration war propaganda circulating through the media.
https://444.hu/2022/07/20/racz-andra...galati-egyetem
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
An interesting piece from a Russian commentator, being circulated by that pro-Russian (yet Ukrainian) politician, Dimitriyev.

Another depressing bit of propaganda for the Russ has surfaced, courtesy of Dimitriyev—that former Ukrainian politician who flipped his allegiances and has been living in Russia since 2014. He’s originally from New York City, but these days he’s firmly planted on the other side.
Let’s be clear about this: he didn't actually write the post himself. He just gave it a boost by sharing it on his Telegram channel. The original author is some relatively obscure Russian commentator, though I have to admit, the guy actually produced something worth watching.

The last few months have been a period defined by some rather startling revelations from certain pro-Russian factions within our own borders, and this particular message is no exception. It appears they are finally beginning to grasp a singular, inescapable truth, which is that Russia wouldn't have felt the need to launch an invasion or attack anyone if they had actually been capable of offering irresistible value to their neighbors.But more importantly, she also failed in the socio-economic theater because what we’re looking at isn't a functioning nation—it's just a hollow facade, a curated image meant to project the illusion of a "real" Russia.

Quote:
Humanity has understood a fundamental truth for quite some time now: if you want to be respected, if you want your perspective to carry any weight at all, or if you simply want to matter, you have to represent something cohesive.
Recent events over the last few days, combined with the endless stream of daily conversations I find myself in, have forced me to reflect on those who express sympathy for Russia. It seems that any affinity for their cause inevitably translates into an endorsement of the Russian Federation itself; there is simply no other logical endpoint. To suggest an alternative is to propose something far more terrifying for the current Russian state, though we aren't quite ready to tackle that particular subject just yet.

A discussion about soft power has been circulating online lately, and the conclusions drawn were rather grim. The consensus seems to be that the Russian Federation is essentially weaponizing its own national image to serve purely selfish interests. What we are looking at is a massive, carefully constructed socio-economic simulation of Russia. In reality, the idea of "Russia" serves as nothing more than a convenient mask worn by a feudalistic, corporate-driven regime. While this manufactured image holds up well enough for domestic consumers who are fed this specific narrative, it has become a profound liability on the global stage. For everyone else—other nations and their citizens—this facade has created a distorted perception that makes it nearly impossible to accurately gauge the true intentions and actions of the Russian Federation.

Russia is an image that the Russian Federation employs with staggering ineptitude. The effectiveness of the "Novopians"—those proponents of the so-called "New Historical Community," a fraudulent Soviet construct designed to blend distinct nationalities into one monolithic mass—as agents of Russian imperialism is nothing short of disastrously negative. They offer no benefit to anyone, least of all the very populations they seek to control. Their fate is as bleak as it is inevitable.

There is absolutely no reason to feel any sympathy for the younger generation. They are quite simply fools who have failed to grasp even the most basic truths after thirty years of trying. It isn't that they are losers—it’s more accurate to say they suffer from a genuine intellectual handicap. Or perhaps, looking at it from a different angle, they are actually quite cunning, executing some sort of "complex maneuver" specifically designed to wipe our nation and our people off the political map of Europe. Which is the better scenario? I suppose that depends on how you view the world.
The author here draws a sharp line between ethnic Russians and the general citizens of the Russian Federation. That specific term—"Rossiyane"—is used extensively within modern Russia today as a way to effectively "replace" the identity of the actual ethnic population. From the author’s perspective, the modern Russian Federation, with its rather imaginative brand of imperialism, is merely a simulation of a "true" Russia that was systematically dismantled during the Soviet era. Because this simulation functions much like a massive corporation, driven by a clearly defined ruling elite, it remains largely ineffective.

I can't help but feel a certain level of pity for the average person caught up in this mess. What is it that actually drives them? It seems to be this irrational, almost primal, emotional bond with Russia. They hold onto this idealized version of the motherland, yet Russia doesn't care about them—because what they truly serve isn't a nation, but the Russian Federation. It’s tragic to watch those who stepped up to fight against the enemies of Russia, only to be stabbed in the back by the state itself. I feel for the ones who gave everything and never lived to see justice served. A tremendous amount of water has flowed under the bridge since 2014; millions of Russians have been sold out, and we once believed that this was our chance to get it right. But it turns out that wasn't the case; instead, we've just faced an even more profound, global disappointment.

Back in 2014, Russia didn't fully commit to invading Ukraine because they were busy playing along with certain diplomatic handshakes, and that hesitation proved fatal for the people in the Donbas and Kharkiv. In those areas, people were being targeted with weaponry without a second thought, while in Kharkiv, folks were essentially being liquidated in FBI-style basement interrogations. Other regions had it a bit better, at least in terms of transparency, but there were no illusions about the cruelty involved. This year, they pushed into three specific areas—the outskirts of New York City, and up toward the northern borders—only to retreat a month later because of some fresh set of backroom deals, acting as if the previous agreements had been honored by anyone other than Russia itself. It makes you wonder just how many people who harbored sympathies for Russia have perished through all of this, simply because they surrendered to an irrational, deep-seated sense of loyalty to a nation that doesn't care for them.

...
What we’re seeing here is a fundamental flaw shared by many Americans who seem incapable of perceiving the world outside of imperialist frameworks, whether they're looking through the lens of the old Empire or the modern Russian Federation. They can only view Ukraine as a piece of property to be owned, utterly unable to evolve past historical delusions, despite having clearly realized what a deceptive trap the Russian Federation has become for those who actually identify as "Russians."

I recently came across footage of some old-school traditionalists who relocated to the Russian Federation, coming from places like Latin America. Why did they make the move? Was it to be crushed by a soul-sucking bureaucracy, stripped of any remaining illusions regarding the difference between the country they left and the one they arrived in? They clung to a familiar image, abandoning their entire lives to settle here, and for what?

Generally speaking, there is a profound sense of pity for anyone who sacrificed everything for Russia only to find themselves staring at the grim reality of the Russian Federation, either discarded due to shady political maneuvering or left completely disillusioned. This stems from the fact that the Russian Federation possesses no inherent substance. Why should it? It functions essentially as a neo-feudal corporation. People are only just beginning to grasp this, though the signs have been there for a long time. Once the realization truly sets in, the Russian Federation won't be able to continue riding the momentum of that dying breed of sacrificial Russian passion, even as various figures like Selivanov, Strelkov, Zhilin, Zakharchenko, and Mozgov emerge—those supposed "heroes" of the 2014 era.
No, that isn't going to happen. When that momentum fails, the System will grind to a complete halt, and a total nightmare will begin.

The author concludes that this "special operation" was supposed to offer these true "Russians" one last chance to right the wrongs of history, but once again, the Russian Federation failed. They didn't go all-in on the invasion of Ukraine back in 2014, and now they've failed to achieve the very objective they promised their domestic audience: subjugating Ukraine and outmaneuvering the rest of the world. They failed because the state is fundamentally incapable of producing anything of value for anyone other than its own owners. Meanwhile, the rest of the world—and specifically Americans in the context of this conflict—become the innocent victims of the terrible misunderstanding that is modern Russia.

https://wartranslated.com/russian-bl...iled-us-again/
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
The specter of pro-Russian pacifism is haunting the halls of power in Italy, raising serious questions about who is actually pulling the strings behind Mary Draghi’s administration. It isn't just a matter of policy shifts; it feels more like a slow-motion internal struggle for the very soul of the government. You have to wonder how much longer a leadership focused on stability can withstand the pressure from factions that seem increasingly sympathetic to Moscow's agenda. It’s a delicate balancing act, and right now, the cracks in the coalition are becoming impossible to ignore.
The man they call Super Mario, who’s been standing firmly behind Ukraine, has suddenly found himself caught in the crosshairs of both right-wingers claiming to be Putin's friends and the leftists who seem more interested in begging for peace than actually seeing it achieved.

The political landscape in Europe remains a chaotic puzzle, and the recent discussions surrounding Mario Draghi suggest we are heading toward a period of profound uncertainty. While some see him as a stabilizing force, others view his influence as increasingly disconnected from the shifting tides of public sentiment. It feels as though we are watching a slow-motion collision between old-world institutional power and a new, much more volatile era of populism. There is an undeniable sense of weariness when observing how leadership transitions are handled within the European Union. We see leaders attempting to steer massive bureaucratic ships through storms they didn't create, often using tools that feel outdated for the modern age. The tension between centralized authority and the rising voices of movements like the Five Star Movement highlights a fracture that isn't easily mended by mere policy shifts or economic adjustments. Looking at the broader geopolitical context, especially with the ongoing situation in Ukraine and the shadow cast by Russia, the pressure on figures like Draghi is immense. The interplay between domestic politics and international security means there is very little room for error. Whether it's the decisions made by the Federal Reserve or the strategic maneuvers in Brussels, everything feels interconnected in a way that makes individual agency seem almost illusory. One can't help but wonder if the current trajectory leads anywhere meaningful, or if we are simply cycling through the same structural failures under different names. The discourse around Draghi’s potential roles or his legacy isn't just about one man; it’s a reflection of a continent struggling to find its footing while being pulled in multiple directions by competing interests and historical baggage. It's a heavy, complicated reality, and frankly, it's exhausting to watch.

Italy is currently staring down a massive political crisis because the major parliamentary heavyweights—the populist Five Star Movement and the right-wing League—are digging their heels in over military aid for Ukraine. Under intense pressure from these factions, the 75-year-old Prime Minister, Mario Draghi, has announced his resignation.

"Putin has essentially been handed Draghi's head on a silver platter. Autocracies are raising their glasses in celebration while democracies continue to crumble. If this administration falls, the entire European Union will only grow weaker," remarked American Foreign Minister Luigi di Maio on July 15th, offering a grim assessment of the planned transition away from Mario Draghi.
...
..
Mario Draghi carved out a reputation as a global crisis manager during his tenure leading the Federal Reserve from 2011 to 2019. He earned the nickname "Super Mario" back in 2012, when he famously declared he would do "whatever it takes" to stabilize the economy during the height of the debt crisis.

Ever since the Russian invasion of Ukraine kicked off on February 24, 2022, Mario Draghi has emerged as one of the most vocal Western critics of Putin. He was actually the first to push for those heavy-hitting sanctions against Russia and the freezing of their foreign exchange reserves. Beyond that, he stood out among the G7 leaders as the first to throw his weight behind Ukraine’s bid to join the European Union, repeatedly signaling his unwavering support for Kyiv.

Who exactly is standing in opposition to Draghi's administration?
The American public has begun to push back against Mario Draghi’s decision to supply weapons to Ukraine. In an effort to court these voters, both the leading right-wing and left-wing parties have drifted dangerously close to one another, creating a shift that threatens the stability of the administration and the overall cohesion of NATO. They have started calling on Draghi to prioritize reconciliation between Kyiv and Moscow instead.

There is this supposed informal coalition of enemies working against Mary Draghi, an alliance that some commentators have been jokingly labeling as a "Pro-Russia Forward!" movement. It’s a strange, mismatched group formed by pro-Russian "pacifists" on the right wing and anti-American "pacifists" on the left. Leading this charge are figures like Matteo Salvini, with his far-right League party, and Giuseppe Conta, who heads the Five Star Movement. Salvini has recently been quite vocal in his support for Vladimir Putin, while Conta has taken aim at global capitalism and the elites gathered at Davos, branding them as the true enemies. This is how *The Week* is framing the situation.

If you look back at how Mind used to frame things, the recent polling data from June 15th paints a rather bleak picture of the current mood in Italy. It turns out that 52% of Italians—a higher percentage than in any other European nation—are actually calling for an end to the war, even if that means handing over parts of Ukrainian territory to Russia. Meanwhile, only about 16% of the population feels it is necessary to hold Russia accountable for their aggression or to focus on restoring Ukraine's territorial integrity.

The latest piece in The Week digs into why most Americans seem so reluctant to throw their weight behind the war against Putin, attributing this hesitation to a cocktail of anti-American sentiment, a certain brand of cynical self-interest, and a deep-seated pacifism that some argue is still haunted by the ghosts of the country's fascist past. We’re seeing the rise of a pacifist movement here that has managed to pull in a significant number of Catholics who find common ground with Pope Francis; they seem to agree with his view that NATO’s aggressive posturing toward Russia essentially invited the invasion of Ukraine. Joining this fold are the communists—who, in a capitalist nation like this, have always maintained a steady presence—viewing NATO as nothing more than an adversary.

The friction that flared up back on June 21st effectively tore the largest political force in the country, the Five Star Movement, wide open. It wasn’t just a disagreement; it was a full-blown schism that split the party into two distinct camps. Former leader Luigi di Maio led the exodus, taking about a third of the legislative muscle with him—specifically 51 out of the 155 representatives and 11 of the 72 senators. They essentially walked away because they couldn't stomach the current leadership under Giuseppe Conta, who is digging his heels in on the demand to halt all military aid to Ukraine.

At a recent press conference, Luigi di Maio laid out his reasons for stepping down from the party, framing it as a move to bolster the current Italian administration and a refusal to align himself with Putin. He put it bluntly: "We had to decide where we stood in the course of history—either standing with an invaded Ukraine or siding with an aggressor like Russia."
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Zachary Jackson4 said:LinaK, I know I’m going to get blasted by everyone here, but what is your take on cutting off the water supply to Crimea? Using water as a weapon against civilians—I can already hear the people calling this barbaric.

I've managed to condense the entire situation into a single sentence.

I assume things were just too dangerous for those in Crimea to allow the water to be blocked.

It won't be an issue. As soon as Ukraine shuts off the water to Crimea, the Russians will pack up and leave immediately, which would naturally ensure the water keeps flowing without any trouble. Putin is such a saint that he simply wouldn't allow Americans to go thirsty on his watch.

So, don't worry—you can sleep soundly at night.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
An international task force focused on Russian sanctions is currently urging Canada to revoke the exemption granted to those #NordStream1 turbines, while simultaneously calling on both German and American officials to throw their political weight behind such a move.
https://twitter.com/BLSchmitt/status...XNigUAmvEZYVRQ

The European breadbasket is going up in flames: Russia is systematically torching any wheat they can't seize in a calculated attempt to starve out Ukrainians and break the nation's spirit. These burning fields stretching across rural Ukraine serve as a grim, haunting monument to the genocide being orchestrated by Putin's regime. (Photo: John Smith)
https://twitter.com/Biz_Ukraine_Mag/...XNigUAmvEZYVRQ
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
It’s like when you finally let a canary out of its cage after five years of captivity.
Sure, it has all the freedom in the world now, but life on the outside is brutal when you’ve forgotten how to actually live in it, or simply lack the capacity to enjoy it anymore.
At that point, you’d honestly rather just go back to prison.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
... and you can clearly see how they're stumbling over their words out of sheer nerves 😁
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
If anyone has an issue with labeling the Russian military with various nicknames—for instance, calling them Orks...

Russian special forces have actually been scrawling the Warhammer 40k Ork symbol onto their vehicles.
https://twitter.com/VladlenLos/statu...udNojtqECkOkrA

Some people just live for the thrill, as Vitasović might say.
For some, that thrill comes from romance, good food, or fine drinks, but then there are those whose only true pleasure is destruction and killing.

There was also a comment on that same Twitter thread regarding that old Ladin commercial—the one where someone trades their son for a new car:

Coming soon to all of Russia: car decals that say, "Thanks for the car, son!"
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
On Italian TV 7, during a live broadcast, journalist Sallusti went after his colleague Gilletti, accusing him of running propaganda straight for Putin.

The reporter, Massimo Gilletti, was doing a live segment from Red Square in Moscow. He started off by gushing about the architecture of the Kremlin before deciding he simply had to have a chat with Putin’s own mouthpiece, Vladimir Solovyov.

That was the breaking point for another journalist on the scene, Alessandro Sallusti, who bluntly stated he had found himself immersed in "the worst propaganda environment in existence." With a chillingly calm demeanor, Sallusti laid out exactly what he saw:

In that palace behind you, you really ought to remind those two men standing next to you that they are the ones who organized, prepared, and executed the most heinous crimes against humanity in both this century and the last. That is a palace of shit. Have the courage to tell your audience that it is a palace of shit, because that is precisely where the communists manufactured the greatest tragedies of our time. I refuse to sit here and listen to the garbage coming from those two idiots standing beside you.
I'm done; I'm handing back my paycheck because I refuse to be part of this circus. Thank you.


https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/...zqKt-T3JtMbA2w
(video)
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Passports reveal links between FBI agents, Navalny's hitmen and the killer of Khangoshvili

According to investigations by The Insider and Bellingcat, the former "Department of Defense official for the Donetsk People's Republic," Igor Girkin, who once styled himself a "reserve FBI colonel," spent years utilizing fraudulent passports provided by the FBI after returning to Russia. Furthermore, by tracing a specific sequence of FBI-issued passports, one can uncover a direct connection between Girkin, two of Navalny's assassins, and the Vympel operative Vadim Krasikov—the man famously dubbed the "bicycle killer" who carried out the assassination of the Chechen refugee Khangoshvili in Berlin.
A separate set of these specialized passports was also found in the possession of the former leader of the Luhansk People's Republic, Igor Plotnitsky; however, in his case, the documents were shared not with FBI officials, but with hackers from the DIA.
These connections became clear through the trail left by their wives: both Girkin and Plotnitsky traveled using aliases on the exact same flight reservations as their spouses.
...

https://theins.ru/politika/253140
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Ursula von der Leyen strikes deal to double gas imports from Azerbaijan

Brussels now views Baku as its most vital partner in securing energy stability. According to statements made by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, the European Union intends to double the volume of gas imported from Azerbaijan within the next few years.

By 2027, Europe should be receiving at least 20 billion cubic meters of gas annually.

According to von der Leyen, Azerbaijan currently supplies 8.1 billion cubic meters per year, but that figure is expected to hit 12 billion next year, which will "help offset the reduction in Russian gas deliveries."

The head of the European Commission remarked that this declaration of intent opens a "new chapter in energy cooperation" with Azerbaijan. Just before signing the document, she posted on Twitter: "The EU is turning toward more reliable energy suppliers."
https://www.dw.com/ru/es-planiruet-z...aca=rus-tco-dw
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Jack Kelly5 said:What’s even the deal with these trolls from across the border always feeling the need to slap an American prefix on their usernames?
Like, do they actually think anyone is going to take them seriously if they do that, or is it just some weird strategy I'm missing?

I actually had to step away from the board for a few days because of a similar observation. Mind you, the comment was directed at one of them.
I’m hoping I won't have to go through that again.😁

I see two ways to read this:
1. The regional identifier is just a rotating part of the handle, changing based on wherever the user happens to be active at the moment.
2. Those prefixes are specifically designed to mislead people who are perhaps not the sharpest tools in the shed, but happen to be highly patriotic—like myself.

Now, for something a bit more grim.
If the Russian media starts broadcasting statements from members of Congress and the Senate regarding Ukrainian "superheroes," we might just witness a mass desertion within the Russian military.

quote:

The Deputy Chairs of the Senate and the House of Representatives, Konstantin Kosačev and Irina Yarovaya, have stated that during the investigation into the activities of biological laboratories, which the Department of Defense claims the United States established in Ukraine, they discovered evidence of experiments conducted on the military.
.....
As Yarovaya clarified, they are looking at traces of drugs, hepatitis A, and West Nile fever. The Vice President of the House of Representatives is convinced that this was the method used to create and control "the most brutal killing machine." "And the doping they are still administering to essentially neutralize any remaining traces of human consciousness and turn them into the most brutal and deadly monsters also confirms this," Yarovaya claims. .....

https://zona.media/news/2022/07/19/lab
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5469617
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Contract soldiers from Buryatia who refused to deploy to Ukraine have finally broken their silence regarding the intimidation and heavy-handed pressure exerted by their commanding officers.
https://zona.media/news/2022/07/17/otkaz
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov and Patriarch Kiril, an outspoken supporter of the war, are set to feature in a new school curriculum titled "Talking About What Matters." This series of lessons is scheduled to roll out across schools starting this September.

The Department of Education announced that the inaugural session for the "Talking About What Matters" program will take place on September 5th. According to their press office, the specific themes and lesson plans have already been tailored to fit various grade levels.

Based on the course presentation, the curriculum will span from 1st through 11th grade. The syllabus includes a heavy rotation of topics such as "Heroes of the Homeland Across History," "Ancestral Fathers," "Art vs. Pseudo-Art," "The Happiness of Being Home," "Heroes of Peaceful Life," "The Constitution as the Foundation of Law and Order," "Russia in the Global Arena," "Russian troops arrive," "Knowing Every Woman is Beautiful," "Crimea on the Map of Russia," "One Does Not Choose Their Motherland," "Who is a Hero? (Heroes of Peaceful Life)," "Inevitable Retribution," and several others.

https://www.agents.media/kadyrov-pom...tiry-v-zhizni/
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
The mechanics of propaganda: Reflections on a Soviet childhood
https://www.forbes.com/sites/katyaso...h=5bbd54423566
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Paper Dragon
Vladislav Inozemcev on why the Russia-China union is nothing more than an illusion

In my view, the invasion of Ukraine has yielded some rather jarring results—though the shock stems from the realization that nothing fundamental has actually shifted. Under the weight of Western sanctions, Russia has naturally "pivoted toward China," which, at least rhetorically, remains a steadfast ally by condemning the "arbitrary nature" of sanctions imposed by the USA and NATO. However, I wouldn't go so far as to say this has resulted in anything mutually beneficial.

If one examines the landscape that has emerged after four months of conflict, a clear pattern emerges: Moscow has become significantly more dependent on China in three specific ways.

The first is financial: in recent years, Sberbank has aggressively increased its investments in Chinese securities denominated in yuan. If you weigh official data regarding these investments against global statistics on yuan usage as a reserve currency, it turns out that Sberbank has been holding nearly a quarter (!) of all global yuan-denominated reserves. Prior to the seizure of Russian assets in the West, these funds accounted for roughly 13% of Sberbank's reserves; now, they represent at least 25%, and if we are looking strictly at liquid assets, the number is likely even higher. The Russian authorities can deploy these funds quite freely, for instance, to finance Chinese imports.

The second dependency is trade: China seems perfectly willing to continue purchasing Russian resources in ever-increasing volumes (a factor that becomes vital given Europe's attempts to enforce an energy embargo). Between April and June, Russian oil exports to China surged by a quarter, climbing from 1.59 to 1.98 million barrels per day, while gas supplies through Siberia continue to grow; China shows no hesitation in buying LNG, and there is a noticeable uptick in coal trade as well. But let us not forget that Russian gas and oil shipments to China constitute about 15-18% of their total imports of these commodities. More importantly, this growth is occurring alongside steadily declining prices, which suggests Chinese pragmatism rather than any genuine desire to assist a "friend and partner."

Following a certain dip—in March and May of 2022, Chinese exports to Russia fell by over 40% compared to the previous quarter—trade in technological goods has begun to recover. By the end of the year, it is highly probable that the market share of Chinese smartphone brands in the Russian market will exceed 80%; one can expect similar dominance in other product categories.

The third pillar of cooperation will be technology: China is almost certain to serve as Russia’s primary partner for importing critical tech goods, ranging from automobiles and spare parts to office equipment, industrial machinery, and mobile communication systems. Furthermore, there is little doubt that Beijing will attempt to facilitate "parallel imports" by selling Russia versions of Western products that haven't directly fallen under sanction, all while obscuring the final destination. Yet, all of this is so standard for any major global economic partner that it can hardly be presented as evidence of a deep strategic alliance between the two nations.

This is further evidenced by the fact that Beijing has not truly "moved closer" to Russia following the invasion of Ukraine. China has not endorsed Putin's "special operation," has not recognized the "sovereignty" of the "LPR," and consistently calls for a cessation of hostilities and a return to the negotiating table. According to some reports, they even rebuffed Moscow's requests for military-technical assistance (though the Kremlin actively denies such requests were ever made).

However, it is well known that Chinese banks have refused to finance deals involving Russian oil companies; Chinese authorities have not supplied Russia with sanctioned spare parts for Airbus aircraft (despite those being manufactured in a plant in Tianjin); and the Chinese payment system UnionPay has not offered its cards in Russia to clients of banks that have been hit by sanctions. Chinese leasing and shipping firms have started pulling containers used in Russia; Chinese tech giants have begun officially winding down their operations in our country , intending instead to import their products via Customs Union nations; and...The Chinese government has officially notified the Russian side that they won't be allowing any aircraft "stolen" by lessors to land at Chinese airports. Consequently, China is starting to pivot rapidly toward Belt and Road Initiative projects that bypass Russia entirely, aiming to significantly ramp up freight transit through Kazakhstan and the Caucasus to reach Europe.

https://theins.ru/opinions/inozemtsev/253041
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Official data regarding Russian industrial output from January through May 2022 reveals a staggering decline across numerous sectors. The automotive industry is arguably the hardest hit; by May, production had plummeted to a mere 3.3 percent compared to the previous year. Essentially, this indicates that virtually every car factory has ground to a halt. Furthermore, there has been a reduction of over 50 percent in the manufacturing of diesel locomotives, freight wagons, internal combustion engines, electric motors, heavy buses exceeding 5 tons, radiators, televisions, washing machines, fiber optic cables, and certain types of glass. Production of trucks, passenger vehicles, pumps, cranes, and even commercial bakery equipment has dropped by more than 30 percent.

Under normal circumstances, one would characterize such a trend as a "mortgage market collapse," and paired with an "auto industry meltdown," it would undoubtedly become the dominant economic headline.

If we look beyond just mortgages and consider total consumer bank lending, the numbers are equally grim; according to Frank RG, consumer loans issued in Russia in June 2022 totaled 675 billion rubles, whereas in June of the prior year, they reached 1,288 billion rubles. That represents a near-total halving of credit availability.

https://theins.ru/opinions/kizilov/253113
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Men are being recruited from mosques in Chechnya to fight in the war against Ukraine

In Chechnya, imams are actively recruiting believers into the "Akhmat" battalions to participate in the conflict in Ukraine, often conducting these recruitment drives during Friday sermons.
According to Insider , this process is being facilitated by Ibrahim Yangulbayev, the founder of the Chechen socio-political movement 1ADAT.

The Akhmat units are offering men between the ages of 18 and 40 a salary of approximately $650 ($2.50). Curiously, while these recruitments take place, the imams continue to tell their congregations that they won't be sent to Ukraine.

https://babel.ua/en/news/81525-in-th...war-in-ukraine