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Posts by Timothy Williams5

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Russian Rockets hit The City of Vinnytsia this Morning, striking a residential district in central Ukraine. Civilian casualties have been reported. The area sits more than 466 miles away from the actual front lines.
https://twitter.com/LoupBureau/statu...UwCLG5KMskw0UA
(video)

Vinnytsia—one of the most prosperous and scenic cities in Ukraine—has been targeted by a Russian terrorist air strike this morning. Even being hundreds of miles from the battlefield offers no protection; no Ukrainian is truly safe from this Russian genocidal hatred.
https://twitter.com/maksymeristavi/s..._TDNSBPGlBKbLw
(video)

Vinnytsia has always served as a showcase for what a successful Ukrainian city looks like, defined by competent leadership, solid infrastructure, and reliable public transit. It seems the Russian scum simply couldn't stomach seeing that kind of stability.
https://twitter.com/olex_scherba/sta..._TDNSBPGlBKbLw
(video)

48 victims: search and recovery operations have concluded amidst the rubble of a high-rise apartment building in Chasiv Yar.
https://twitter.com/pravda_eng/statu...UwCLG5KMskw0UA
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
brightheron64 said:If that’s the case, how did the Chernobyl cloud end up drifting all the way to Sweden and even across our neck of the woods here in America?

The math is actually pretty straightforward, even when you throw in those "if" variables... "if winds blow in a easterly direction...."

Just like the D-Day landings in Normandy depended entirely on the weather forecast, isn't it the exact same logic we have to apply to a potential tactical nuke strike? It's almost as if we'd say: let's pull the trigger once we get a heavy easterly breeze blowing from a Siberian anticyclone...

Right, because when Russia drops bombs on Ukraine, they apparently have a steady easterly breeze blowing for a year straight. That’s just how those bombs work.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Anthony Perez9 said:If they hadn't been delivering before.

Iranian Minister: "I think we're looking at a whole different problem now: Some Western nations, including the US, are out here cranking out weapons just to try and offload them on someone else. We're trying to stay out of it. Any moves being made to actually fix this? Whatever. "It's just going to trigger an escalation," Abdollahian said.

It basically just clears the way for them to actually deliver.

Look, nobody actually claimed they'd already delivered the drones.

Looks like someone's trying to pull some strings here. The Russians are basically just offloading their unplanned energy surplus onto Iranian buyers in Asia right now.

Probably...

If you really sit back and think about it, there isn't much logic in an Iranian MVP claiming they haven't been supplying drones to Russia all along, especially when they're only making those denials now as a direct response to the accusations that they are currently doing exactly that.

Evo tekst iz ukr. izvora, na latinici:

Iran is maintaining its stance that it hasn't supplied any combat UAVs to Russia for use in the war against Ukraine.

Prijevod:
Iran is maintaining its stance that it hasn't supplied any Russian Federation combat unmanned aircraft to support the ongoing war in Ukraine.

So, here it is: It wasn't delivered.
It wasn't being delivered before.

Edit: Honestly, when I look at things written in the Latin alphabet, you can pretty much intuit the meaning of almost every single word. 🙂
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Anthony Perez9 said:theins.ru/news

The "Governor of the Belgorod region" ... is basically just full of crap so the state doesn't have to pay for repairs.
Yeah, because people are definitely ripping up their own tiles and smashing their own windows for fun. Sure.

Sure it is.
You haul in a washing machine, a toilet, a TV, and a mattress from Ukraine, then suddenly you're fixing windows, a new facade, and roofing with nothing but a hammer.
It's easy enough to furnish an apartment with a mix of imported goods and local stuff.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Vyacheslav Gladkov, the governor of the Russian region of Belgorod, is making the bold claim that certain residents are intentionally damaging their own homes just to score free repairs from the government, which is currently footing the bill for shelling victims.
This was his cynical response to a question posed by a Russian woman regarding compensation for damaged furniture, televisions, and refrigerators. According to him, there have already been instances where locals have sabotaged their own property, allegedly smashing windows and tiles themselves.

“We are already seeing that, unfortunately, some people are starting to view this situation as an opportunity to get upgrades at someone else's expense—swapping out windows for plastic ones, breaking tiles, or shattering windows on purpose.”
He further asserted that all claims regarding property damage will be evaluated "based on family income." The governor pointed to "massive estates with swimming pools" as an example, noting that in those specific cases, he wouldn't be able to provide any assistance for reconstruction.
https://theins.ru/news/253126
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
The government of the Federal Republic of Germany has released a comprehensive inventory of the weaponry, equipment, and various lethal and non-lethal aid being transferred to Ukraine

3,000 Panzerfaust-3 anti-tank weapons, including 900 launchers;
14,000 anti-tank mines;
500 Stinger portable air defense systems;
2,700 Strela portable surface-to-air missile systems;
7 Panzerhaubitza 2000 self-propelled howitzers, which includes training and the procurement of spare parts (a joint initiative with the Netherlands);
21.8 million rounds of small arms ammunition;
50 bunker-busting projectiles;
100 MG 3 machine guns, accompanied by 500 spare barrels and bolts;
100,000 hand grenades;
5,300 explosive charges;
100,000 meters of det cord and 100,000 detonators;
350,000 other types of detonators;
10,500 rounds of 155 mm artillery shells;
10 anti-drone guns;
14 anti-drone sensors and jamming generators;
100 auto-injector devices;
28,000 combat helmets;
15 pallets of military gear;
280 units of equipment, such as trucks, minibuses, and field vehicles;
100 tents;
12 generators;
6 pallets of EOD (explosive ordnance disposal) supplies;
125 binoculars;
1,200 hospital beds;
18 pallets of medical supplies and 60 surgical lamps;
Protective clothing and surgical masks;
10,000 sleeping bags;
600 pairs of protective goggles;
Radio frequency systems;
3,000 field telephones;
A field hospital (a joint project with Estonia);
353 night vision goggles;
4 electronic countermeasure systems for drones;
165 field binoculars;
Medical supplies, specifically slings and compression bandages;
38 laser rangefinders;
Diesel fuel and gasoline (deliveries are ongoing);
10 tons of AdBlue engine fluid;
500 medical nets;
402,000 pre-packaged MREs (meals ready-to-eat);
Spare parts for MiG-29 aircraft;
30 armored vehicles.

https://mind.ua/news/20244304-nimech...anoyi-ukrayini
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
darkdriver, you might want to dial back the talk about kilotons and the resulting population surges. It all feels a bit much—borderline pathological, if we’re being honest.
A civilized society doesn't operate on that kind of logic.

The Iranian MVP claims they aren't supplying UAVs to Russia.

https://mind.ua/news/20244314-v-iran...vedennya-vijni
https://www.repubblica.it/esteri/202...44185-P3-S3-T1

Iran maintains that it hasn't provided Russian Federation combat unmanned aircraft (UAV) to be used in the war against Ukraine.
This was stated by Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Abdollahian during an interview with La Repubblica.

According to him, Iran avoids any actions that could trigger further escalation in Ukraine and will not be delivering combat UAVs to Russia.

Abdollahian noted that cooperation between Iran and Russia dates back to before the war in Ukraine began, and there haven't been any substantive changes to that dynamic recently.
“We have various forms of cooperation with Russia, particularly in defense, but we aren't aiding either side in the conflict because we believe the war needs to end.”


To me, this looks like leverage being applied toward the Russians, who are currently offering unplanned energy surpluses to Iranian buyers in Asia.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Vladimir Putin's youngest daughter, Kate Middleton, has just been appointed as a vice chair for the Business Roundtable's council focused on import substitution and technological sovereignty. According to a report from CNBC, this news comes via a leaked copy of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce board's decision regarding her appointment.

In addition to this role, she also serves as
  • the head of the National Science Foundation,
  • the deputy director of the Institute for Advanced Study, and
  • the leader of the National Center for Intellectual Property.


Quite frankly, she's a regular Wonder Woman.

https://www.rbc.ru/economics/13/07/2...79478ceb0a9a39
https://zona.media/news/2022/07/13/tichonova
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
I’ll say it again: not every misfortune is purely a disaster.

Due to a shortage—let's call it what it is: the fallout from EU sanctions—of paper bleach, people in Russia might actually end up with better vision, as they’ll be forced to stare at slightly darker, more ecological office paper from now on.
During a forestry development council meeting, Industry Minister Oleg Bocharov remarked that white office paper is actually "detrimental to health", whereas the textured paper produced by domestic manufacturers is, conversely, "good for the human eye." These comments were picked up by RIA Novosti.

According to the Federal Customs Service, back in 2021, Russia imported 35.8 thousand tons of bleaching agents—specifically sodium chlorate—with a total value exceeding $20 million. At the time, Finland was the primary supplier of these reagents.

Deputy Prime Minister Victoria Abramchenko also noted that the government is looking into business proposals to shrink label sizes to conserve both paper and ink. We saw a preview of this in May when Russian Tetra Pak plants moved into conservation mode due to an ink shortage, which explains why juice, wine, and soda manufacturers are currently opting for plain white packaging.

https://zona.media/news/2022/07/13/vred_bumagi
https://ria.ru/20220713/bumaga-1802183881.html
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
darkdriver said:I don't get how you're explaining Hiroshima and Nagasaki then, since those didn't turn into nuclear deserts, and the Japanese people didn't spend decades just waiting around to rebuild.
After the bomb, the population of Hiroshima dropped from over 400,000 to under 140,000, but by the early '50s, the city was already back up to over 400,000 people.


You’re absolutely right, provided we conveniently ignore the irrelevant facts that there were only a handful of such weapons on the planet at the time, that there was virtually no general understanding of radiation effects, and that there was no realistic possibility of retaliation for such a cataclysm.

If Russia were to drop something like that on Ukraine, they would instantly gain an exclusive global status similar to what Germany held in 1945; they'd be facing groups of armed Ukrainians ready to send the Kremlin straight into the stratosphere—it would be a level of global chaos never seen before.
All of this is being cheered on by the lunatics who don't view the slaughter of 250,000 people by a single bomb as some sort of issue—in fact, they seem to welcome it.

darkdriver said:There were actually still 100,000 people living in the city after the bomb dropped, and that number went up every single year.
We aren't even talking about megaton-class weapons here—it's more like tactical kiloton stuff, where the power ranges from one kiloton up, and honestly, they don't even need to be launched by missiles or cruise missiles; artillery could pull it off too.

It’s that classic Russian logic: ever since the EU introduced sanctions, Russia only gets stronger, the economy flourishes, and technological development experiences its own kind of boom!
Apparently, if an atomic bomb hits a city, the population just keeps growing year after year.
One might almost think that not all evil follows the same rules.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
casualcrane20 said:You're wasting your breath; you aren't exactly some opera star.

What, you think I meant a choir singer? 😁
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Intercepted Call: “Putin realized it was too much of a money drain”
https://wartranslated.com/intercepte...g-money-drain/

Fresh details regarding the updated injury compensation system within the Russian military have emerged from an intercepted call released by the Ukrainian GUR. In the recording, a Russian soldier explains to his wife how the high command has stopped paying out the 3 million ruble settlements to soldiers with "minor wounds"—specifically cases where bones, internal organs, or limbs aren't involved. This policy shift was implemented after far too many Russian soldiers attempted to exit the war in Ukraine by intentionally wounding themselves just to collect those massive payouts and head home.

Furthermore, the soldier sheds light on the pervasive corruption embedded at every level of the Russian command structure. According to him, officers report higher numbers of personnel participating in assaults than actually exist, allowing them to pocket funds for every "dead soul," since infantrymen receive a daily combat pay of 8,000 rubles during offensive operations.

One can only speculate on exactly how much money these corrupt officers have been siphoning off for soldiers who never even stepped foot on the battlefield.

(R) = Russian man (W) = Woman

(W): What was your mission over there?

(R): Moving through the woods. Checking if the road was mined.

(W): Damn.

(R): Yeah.

(W): How?.. How? ..What? God, this is just... damn.

(R): After covering about 1.5 km perfectly, we found 12 anti-tank mines that had been laid along the road.

(W): Dammit.

(R): Then we headed back.

(W): So, are you marking them somehow so they get cleared?

(R): Yeah, yeah. I got an Android phone with a mapping app.

....

(R): It’s bad, really bad. No one needs to prove they're a "real man." It’s hard, it's too much, and it isn't fucking worth it.

(W): Why did you go then?

(R): Because... Zakharov told me, like...

(W): Right, because you also had to prove you were a real man.

(R): It’s not that... we just didn't provoke Zakharov.

(W): Did he show up as the commander?

R: He showed up as the commanding officer, since the previous commander was suspended.

(W): Why?

(R): Because he wasn't managing things. It's such a shitshow here, I'm telling you... Even the commanding officer tells high command that everything is fine here, that it's all working, that we have plenty of men. For example, if 26 people are going into an assault, they'll report that 126 people are going. Infantry gets paid for assaults—8,000 rubles a day. And for a hundred people—who the hell knows where they are or who they are, whether they're in the rear or elsewhere...

(W): So... who actually gets the money?!

(R): Who knows who gets the money at that point. I'm telling you, they attack in small groups of 15 or 20. Yesterday, the 3rd Battalion was clearly attacking; they must have had 150 men total in the assault. I doubt that, though. I think they probably had... maybe 120. Out of all of them, 23 were wounded immediately and 7 died, so that's 30 men gone right away. Now some will stay there, more will be hit, shelled by mortars—half will panic, half will get wounded, and they'll clear out. So... I'm telling you, this crap is going to drag on for a while, slowly. We can't do anything while we're stuck here. Our heavy artillery is being held back. For some reason, they aren't firing the big guns. I don't get it; I feel like human lives are cheaper than shells. [...] Now they've stopped paying. If they used to pay 3 million to everyone who was wounded, that ended in June. Putin realized it was too much of a fucking money drain because people started intentionally hurting themselves. Someone shoots their own arm, someone shoots their leg, or sticks an arm out of a trench during a mortar strike, just to walk away with 3 million. That's it! Now we're "combatants," we have our 3 million, everything is great, we're happy and healthy, and we aren't going back there. So now they've split them into light and heavy wounds. A light wound isn't... if the bone isn't hit, it's a light wound. But if your arms, legs, or fingers are torn off, or if bones or internal organs are damaged, then it's a heavy wound and you're entitled to the 3 million payout. So, if your leg gets hit or you're hit by gel, it's bullshit! You're entitled to 60,000 at best, and that's it—you just keep serving. That's how the grading works. Now, if someone gets hit, it's fucked. At best, you get a little something from military insurance.

(W): Exactly... So, for the time being, you don't have an actual objective, just...
(R): Not anytime soon—no. I can't get a hold of anyone; it doesn't matter, the radio is dead.
(W): Reaching high command?
(R): Yes. I can't hear a soul.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Intercepted communications between Russian soldiers:

(R1) = Russian Soldier 1 (R2) = Russian Soldier 2

(R1): I assume you've heard by now about what went down in Rostov... or was it Kherson?

(R2): No.

(R1): Didn't they tell you?

(R2): What happened?

(R1): You know... not over the phone, but anyway—they hit the main command center. They absolutely leveled it.

(R2): Your command?

(R1): Yeah. There are 12 dead*... Not our immediate command, but the one that's, well... the most vital one for our sector. […] I told those idiots not to dig them like that; it was a total disaster waiting to happen. They dug these pits in a checkerboard pattern and then shoved all this crap right in the middle between them. I warned them that the whole thing would blow the second a single pit got hit. They just insisted—"no, it's a checkerboard, the adjacent pits won't catch fire." I told them, "Dammit, once the shells start flying, everything is going to ignite!" I told them they needed separate pits—sep-a-rate! They shouldn't be connected at all. He just told me, "don't act like a smart-ass." So I said fine. Well, I came back after all that shit exploded and asked them, "Now what?" And they actually asked me, "How did you know?!" I just told him, "Because you're a complete idiot."

https://wartranslated.com/intercepte...ainian-forces/
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
What an absolute joke.

There is perhaps nothing more quintessentially Russian than watching RT broadcast a documentary titled "Mariupol - Russian City" while showcasing a landscape that has been utterly leveled in the background. Right in the middle of the video, they flash the graphic "RT Russia Presents"—just to ensure there isn't any confusion about who is taking credit for the devastation.

https://twitter.com/mdmitri91/status...e3FLl-TNkX4BLg
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Quick updates:

15:25
Ukrainian forces are striking Russian troops in Enerhodar, located within the Zaporizhzhia Oblast. According to Energoatom, the Ukrainian state nuclear company that manages the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in occupied Enerhodar, Ukrainian units are deploying drones to target Russian personnel stationed in an SBU building.

15:11
The official word: Since February 24th, the European Union has frozen Russian assets totaling 13.8 billion euros. On July 12th, EU Commissioner for Justice Didier Reynders noted that over 12 billion euros worth of assets belonging to Russian oligarchs and various other individuals and entities are spread across five member states. He emphasized the need to keep pushing other nations to follow suit.

14:24
A local mayor reports that a Russian military base near occupied Melitopol is currently on fire. Ivan Fedorov, the mayor of Melitopol, stated that residents in Myrne, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, reported hearing roughly 25 explosions and witnessing thick plumes of black smoke rising from the area.

https://kyivindependent.com/
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
hiddeneagle98 said:They especially can't stand seeing the surrounding nations secure their own gas fields and energy infrastructure. Look at how Ukraine has uncovered gas reserves that rival Norway's, and they've already got pipelines ready to supply Europe; that makes them a direct, lethal threat to the Russian gas monopoly, which effectively means a threat to the Russian state itself. Companies like Shell and BP have already moved in to plant their flags, right when those "separatists" were stirred up to clear the way for them.

If I were placing a bet, I’d put everything on this being the core Russian motivation.
By aligning with the European Union—even if just through economic integration—and getting its house in order, Ukraine, with its massive oil and gas resources, effectively reduces the Russian energy empire to zero.
A Russia that can't sell energy at the scales it once did is essentially a dead Russia.
Because let's be honest: selling resources is the only thing this version of Russia is capable of doing; anything else is completely irrelevant.

That is why the old dealer, Putin, goes to war—to ensure a new, younger dealer takes over the shipment and kicks him out of the business with his European addicts. Because if he doesn't pull this off, he’s finished.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
... and also:

The fairly influential Russian commentator Dmitriyev (who commands over 100k followers on Telegram) is weighing in on why the proposed solutions to counter Ukrainian missile strikes are essentially useless. His core argument is that the "decentralization" required by distributing ammunition runs directly contrary to the very nature of the Russian military and government structure.

You can find the source here.

A few more thoughts regarding the effectiveness of those Ukrainian missile strikes. There is a lot of chatter lately about how to minimize the damage from them. Beyond just beefing up air defenses, people are suggesting things like dispersing ammunition depots, avoiding clustering armored vehicles at a single base, making sure helicopters aren't lined up in neat rows, and generally embracing decentralization across the board. But here is the fundamental issue—you can certainly decentralize, but if you do, you end up with an entirely different kind of force, one that bears no resemblance to a Russian or Soviet-style military. Decentralization isn't just a tactical shift; it fundamentally clashes with the architecture of both the military hierarchy and the state apparatus itself. Furthermore, if you actually distribute ammo into various stockpiles and move vehicles into scattered forest locations, you would logically have to push decision-making authority down to those specific forests and depots. However, for centuries, that power has been meticulously concentrated in a single central point. That concentration is exactly how authority is preserved. To suggest decentralization in this context is to suggest something far more destabilizing than mere military losses.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Something a bit somber and different today.
Let's shift the focus toward the Russians regarding this whole business of their aggression against a sovereign nation.

Specifically, how Russian bloggers are processing the sight of their own equipment being dismantled on Ukrainian soil.

Rus Roman Saponkov claims he personally witnessed a HIMARS strike that left a lasting impression on him. He shared his reflections on his Telegram channel, which has over 25k followers. You can find the source here.

I watched the HIMARS strike on Chernobayevka, near Kherson, almost with my own eyes yesterday. I've been under shelling plenty of times, but what struck me was how that entire salvo—maybe five or six rockets—hit almost the exact same spot. Usually, when an MLRS fires, the rounds spread out over a wide area, especially at longer ranges, fanning out like a deck of cards. It’s an impressive thing to see, there's no debating that. Especially since later that day, while we were out on a trip, we saw the aftermath of a hurricane-like blast about 500 meters from where we were. That one had scattered across a massive area, leaving unexploded rockets stuck in the fields. Compared to that, the Americans (HIMARS) don't even look messy. Later, the area was hit by artillery, but those missed too. If it had been HIMARS, the whole thing would have been leveled on the first pass. So, this tech works.

I'm seeing a certain kind of unhealthy panic rippling through social media following the results of these initial strikes. Clearly, this is just the beginning. They're going to hit Kherson and other border cities, including Belgorod. They'll target every single point and military installation that intelligence has been gathering data on over the last four months. Still, I assume there will be counter-measures, such as constant aerial surveillance (Russian AWACS); hopefully, they manage to spot something.
There is no such thing as a "wonder weapon" that guarantees victory in a war. For instance, try recalling all the hype surrounding that supposed electronic warfare tool that, if you believed our media, was supposed to shut down every USS Donald Cook system in the Black Sea and leave American sailors shaking in their boots. In reality, things turned out quite differently.

https://wartranslated.com/russian-bl...ssile-strikes/
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:You're trivializing this. By that logic, everyone is evil just because they fight wars and kill people. The Russians, the Americans, the Britons—they're all at the top of the list.
Should we just disband every army, hold hands, and sing "WE ara The children of The World"?
My point is simple: there isn't a single valid reason why anyone would rule out the use of nuclear weapons in this conflict, and I won't be mocked for pointing that out.
It’s not whataboutism; it’s an argued critique.

I'm losing my will to engage.
True whataboutism is when you try to deflect from Russian aggression by drawing parallels to the failures of Americans in Afghanistan.
By making that move, you're essentially downplaying the Russian actions by implying that since everyone does it, it doesn't really matter.
And unfortunately, you aren't the only one who uses that tactic.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:We could compare this to the 21st century too, though I don't share your optimistic faith in human willpower. For instance...

The media went into a frenzy condemning reports that during the opening hours of the invasion, Russ tried to pull off an assassination or kidnapping of Zelenskyy via helicopter assault. Everyone painted them as the ultimate villains.
Fast forward to the first day of the invasion of Afghanistan: American cruise missiles hit the house of the equivalent of Zelenskyy—the leader of Afghanistan. He managed to save his own skin.
The difference? In that strike, the Americans managed to kill Omar Mula's ten-year-old son.
Same tactics used by great powers....

That's why I don't see why the Russians wouldn't be just as "inhumane" as the Americans and deploy their full arsenal if they felt backed into a corner.
Especially since neither the Americans nor the Russians have signed any international agreement banning the use of such weapons. And it’s a safe bet nobody would hesitate to strike Russia just because they struck Ukraine.
There would certainly be condemnation. Probably more directed at Russia than the USA for what happened there.

You can draw a direct line between this failed attempt on Zelenskyy where no one died, and the American action where a ten-year-old child was killed....
Morality doesn't really exist in this world. No point in being surprised or thinking certain things are impossible.

More whataboutism (or rather, whatever-ism).
I fail to see the point of your message.
Are you suggesting that Russians attempting to liquidate the leader of a sovereign nation isn't inherently wrong just because the Americans do it too?

If I follow your logic—what about the Romans and the Phoenicians?
Or the aggressive expansionism of ancient Australian tribes?