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Posts by bluepuma9

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Andrew Booth29 said:I’m just not convinced they’re going to sacrifice the entire planet for 15% of Ukraine. Does that actually look like a smart trade to you? If I were sitting on the sidelines, I’d be shorting the whole thing. lol.

The problem is, they're essentially selling this deal to Putin. So, the real question is: is he actually ready to trigger a nuclear apocalypse just for 15% of Ukraine? Plus, you've got other heavy hitters like China watching closely, too. They'll have a massive stake in how this plays out.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Andrew Booth29 said:Honestly? I almost hope we don't solve this dilemma right away.

There isn't even a dilemma to begin with, and there shouldn't be. This is high-stakes theater, and the first one to blink loses. Putin needs to go to bed tonight knowing that if he even thinks about touching the nuclear button, he'll wake up to mushrooms sprouting all over Russia.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Andrew Booth29 said:Look, he’s just using nuclear weapons as a way to mitigate what would otherwise be catastrophic losses from a conventional invasion. That is the crux of the matter—it has nothing to do with annexation. I mean, if the US had the capability to drop nukes back then, why wouldn't Russia have the same option now? That is exactly what this precedent is about.
From the Russian perspective, you have Nazis and NATO teaming up against them. The fact that we view this as blatant aggression or territorial seizure... well, that doesn't really factor into how they perceive the situation. It’s a different reality entirely.
Anyway, if things actually escalate to that point, NATO isn't going to step in directly—instead, the West is just going to build a wall. They’ll start demanding that countries pick a side, and they won't hold back when asking China or India to make their stance clear.

They'll have to react, otherwise Iran and others will just follow the Russian playbook. According to the NATO Secretary General, the response is going to be devastating for Russia.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Michael Davis9 said:Honestly, none of that is even strictly necessary given the current trajectory—Russia is already sliding toward losing this war in Ukraine.

On one hand, you have to look at the massive leap in capability; the Ukrainian military in 2022 is a completely different beast compared to back in 2014.

On the other hand, Americans have never been more efficient at converting taxpayer dollars into direct damage against the Russian forces.
It reminds me a bit of what the Soviets were doing during the Vietnam War—even though they had direct involvement with their own pilots and air defense crews, I’d argue that the efficiency of resource conversion we're seeing in Ukraine right now is exceptionally high.

And regarding the whole nuclear question—it's not realistic to expect the US to trigger a nuclear holocaust just because of a few tactical nukes being used in eastern Ukraine. Of course, using them is basically Russia's only way to avoid a total loss, but the fallout from such a move would be incredibly difficult to predict. In my view, it would likely result in Russia facing absolute global isolation and some sort of forced ceasefire along a wasteland buffer zone.

Sure, but if you stretch them too thin, eventually the whole system starts to snap.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Chloe Jackson15 said:Where on earth are you getting the idea that nobody is going to react? It’s been done before, and everyone knows exactly who it was used against and why. If you honestly think Russia should just start dropping nukes because "there's a precedent," then something is seriously wrong with your logic. Get real. Using nuclear weapons is a direct ticket to WWIII and a total nuclear holocaust. Stop pretending this could somehow just "happen" and be brushed aside. It won't. That is the ultimate line in the sand.

Besides, even if it did blow over... what do you think happens next? How many countries would immediately scramble to kickstart their own nuclear programs? And what kind of message does that send to regimes like Iran, South Korea, and the rest? Obviously, using them isn't an option—it won't happen without a massive response.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Andrew Booth29 said:You're underestimating how likely a nuclear strike actually is. If Russia pulls the trigger, they won't back down afterward—especially not now, after they've already seized those territories and claimed them as their own. In his speech, he made it very clear: he believes a precedent for using nuclear weapons has already been set.

We need to push Putin to the breaking point. That's when his own people will finally ditch him. There are plenty of soft spots to hit. Look at Syria, or some of those various Russian republics that aren't exactly thrilled with how things are playing out. Then you've got Armenia, Azerbaijan, and Tajikistan. Too many vulnerabilities, and not enough resources to cover them all.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Lukashenko would be facing a massive revolt from both his military and his people in no time at all. I just don't buy it.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:Do you honestly believe a surface vessel loitering at a site for extended periods wouldn't raise eyebrows? I think it would. Besides, once you have to descend to those depths—maybe 300 feet?—you need both the personnel and the specialized gear to pull it off. It isn't quite that straightforward.

Why does there even need to be a long stay... just drop them off nearby, maybe use a dinghy, then circle back later. There's so much traffic out there that anything unusual just blends in. And it's not 100 meters deep anyway; we're talking more like 50 meters.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:As it stands, the Ukrainians likely lack the technical capacity to strike such specific infrastructure—you would need divers, specialized submersibles, or mini-subs designed for sabotage, as a surface vessel would be far too exposed. Even if they could pull it off, they would likely be caught. When targeting infrastructure, it would be much more logical and efficient to hit a pipeline on land—perhaps a critical compressor station deep within Russia that isn't easily repaired. That way, the impact hits major Russian cities directly. Any entity "downstream" from Russia can strike Russia itself without much risk; besides, right now, nobody is truly safe, given how vital this infrastructure was.

The Baltic is pretty shallow, especially in the area where the damage happened. You wouldn't even need a sub; regular divers could handle it easily. It’s actually simpler that way—you could just use any civilian boat to ferry them close to the site.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
rowdyraven112 said:Fine. Let's say he drops one. Or two. They don't even need to be massive—maybe 10 kilotons? Enough to level most of Washington, D.C. Who’s going to react? Who’s going to retaliate? And who wants to gamble with the total collapse of civilization in the Northern Hemisphere?

It's funny how everyone just ignores that famous line from Zakharov about how "Europe is wrong to think Russia can lose this." People ignored it too much. That’s exactly why we’re in this mess. ☕

Using a weapon like that would set a precedent where Putin (or whoever is next in line) could just keep doing it over and over... because of that, you have to be crystal clear that such a move won't be tolerated, regardless of the fallout. Otherwise, this cycle never ends.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
gentlerider7 said:I don't know, maybe he was thinking about NATO stepping directly into Ukraine or Russia launching their ICBMs, because let's be real, a Russian conquest of Europe isn't some realistic scenario we need to be losing sleep over.

If anyone actually launches those things, pretty much the entire Northern Hemisphere vanishes in a heartbeat. At that point, the whole Ukraine situation becomes completely irrelevant.😁
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Elizabeth Wells2 said:I still suspect the worst is yet to come; it feels like we're just waiting for this conflict to spill over further.

I’d certainly prefer to be proven wrong.

Russia can't even manage a war in Ukraine against a relatively small Ukrainian military backed by Western weapons shipments... how are they going to expand the conflict? They just don't have the resources for it.
Jack Kelly5 said:🤦
The guy finished 40 seconds behind the leaders.
If it wasn't for Perez, Russell, and Sainz grabbing trophies today, he probably would've landed in 6th. A masterclass 6th place, if you want to be generous...

It’s not actually that bleak. Hamilton dropped about 19 seconds just fighting his way through traffic, but after that, he basically held steady until the Safety Car came out and there was nothing left to gain.
Last year, they were trailing by about 40 seconds too.
Mercedes actually has some reason to be optimistic here. This track is relatively bumpy compared to Barcelona or Silverstone, and they didn't struggle with the kerbs at all. I suspect Lewis will show decent race pace, though his biggest headache is going to be traffic. Russell is stuck with that old high-downforce rear wing, so he’s unlikely to pull off any overtakes, but he might catch a break with lower tire degradation. With rain forecast for tomorrow morning, the track is going to stay green and grip levels will be low, which could work in his favor by keeping him from sliding around too much.
British GP (Silverstone) | July 1–3, 2022 in Formula 1 ·
The rain started coming down and a few stragglers finally caught up, which would've been a disaster if he hadn't lost so much ground to those two Ferraris. The only real question now is whether the medium tires actually performed better than the softs once they were trailing the Scuderia Ferrari.
British GP (Silverstone) | July 1–3, 2022 in Formula 1 ·
By the way, Daniel Ricciardo ended up behind Latif 😬
British GP (Silverstone) | July 1–3, 2022 in Formula 1 ·
Great race. Congrats to Carlos on his first win, though if we’re being honest, he had more luck on his side than pure pace today. Nicholas Latifi looked solid in that old Williams chassis.
F1 Imola GP: April 24th @ 3 PM ET in Formula 1 ·
In Imola, the whole game changed because Red Bull just wasn't chewing through their tires like everyone else. Sure, Ferrari might have looked a bit quicker on the fresh rubber, but they couldn't stay in the rearview mirror of Red Bull once things settled down for the long haul.
F1 Imola GP: April 24th @ 3 PM ET in Formula 1 ·
Anthony Baker84 said:I get it, it's just weird how their stuff falls apart so easily after even the slightest bit of damage.

They're cutting corners everywhere they can.
Kenneth Rogers18 said:I got a suggestion to try out a lite version of Windows 10... Think that would actually work?

You could give it a shot, but honestly, your biggest bottleneck is having only 2 GB of RAM. At that point, you're better off betting on a specialized Linux distro designed specifically for machines like yours.