Posts by Dana Baker2

Keith Moore21 said:I'm out on Jamison. They just slashed the odds on the under—they're totally screwing us.
These two bold idiots are playing around...

The odds for Houston just took a slight dip.😕As for Memphis—I don’t know, man. That line looks shady as hell to me. Honestly? I’d rather take the under.
From what I’ve been reading on the US betting forums, everyone is playing it pretty safe—nobody is treating Memphis like an absolute lock. Most of the consensus is leaning toward taking the points with the Suns at -5.5 instead.
The Suns just don't mesh with Memphis. They’ve handled them in 16 of their last 21 matchups—and honestly, they’ve been dominant on the road there too, going 9-4. Plus, they're sitting on a 5-1 run over their last six games.
I wouldn't touch this matchup with a ten-foot pole—at least not if you're looking for a clean win.🧐

Matthew Rodriguez9 said:Jamison under... 20.5... easy money for me today... 👍

Same thing happened yesterday with that over call.🤣
Honestly, I think the Pacers should shut him down today—but you never know with these things.

EDIT: Is there seriously no breakdown for San Antonio vs. LA Lakers!?🤷

Matthew Rodriguez9 said:Evans was right on the edge for me... margin was at 16.5... 😍

Lucky you, you dodged a bullet on that 1/4!🤣
Whatever—if someone else cleaned up on it, fine by me.

Another day, another bust. Moving on. Honestly, looking at my bankroll, I’m worried I won't be doing this much longer...🤣

Blake Griffin under 19.5
The Clippers are heading to face the Thunder—who are fighting for the top seed in the West—and honestly, they're massive underdogs here. Looking back at their two matchups this year, Griffin dropped 22 (in a home win) and then just 7 (in an away loss). In his last five road games, he’s only cleared this line once—that was 21 against the Hornets. Plus, today's matchup is terrible for him. Serge Ibaka is turning into one of the premier interior defenders in the league, and Oklahoma is basically elite when it comes to rebounding. On top of that, Jordan has been taking way more shots lately, which isn't typical for him—just another reason why I'm leaning toward this pick.

Antawn Jamison under 20.5
That jerk flopped last night, but let's be real—he didn't even play the whole fourth quarter. Still, that shouldn't be an excuse to ignore the under. This season, he’s put up 12 and 13 points against the Pacers. Those guys might be scrappy, but their pick-and-roll defense and rebounding are actually solid. I think they'll step it up tonight since they're fighting for positioning heading into the Playoffs.

Houston (-5.5) @ Utah 1
Houston is on a roll right now; they need these home wins to lock in a Playoff spot. Sure, Utah has a shot at the postseason too, but objectively? They aren't on that level. You saw it against the Spurs—they barely scraped by without even relying heavily on the three-pointer. While Utah plays well at home, they don't show that same grit on the road. In both meetings this year, the home team walked away with decisive wins (by 15+ points), and I expect a repeat performance today.
With their backcourt defense being a total mess and dealing with injuries there, Houston has the edge—especially with Goran Dragic playing great and having Chris Paul back in the lineup.

Oklahoma vs. LA Clippers 1
Already covered this above. OKC is chasing the West crown, while the Clippers are hit-or-miss, though definitely better when they're at home.

@8,23 SS

I'd grab another spread on the Spurs if I could, but it looks like nothing is posted yet. Everyone is just waiting on injury updates.😂

In the end, I’m just going with my gut—going to wait a bit longer before making a call...
Anyway, those odds were absolute garbage.🙂

Can anyone else weigh in on Williams over 20.5? Because honestly, looking at Jamison's 20.5 line right now... I'm not feeling it anymore.
Wallace is a lock to be out, and Green is a game-time decision—sounds like some oral surgery drama, maybe a wisdom tooth or something, who knows. They're basically the Nets' entire scoring punch alongside Williams, yet I still don't buy that Philly, in this kind of form, can just walk in and steamroll them on the road.🤷

rapidhound19 said:They just bumped Jamison's line up to 20.5 points over at DraftKings.

I'm done playing today!🙂
Clearly you have to get your bets in by 1:00 or 2:00 PM latest if you want anything decent.

analoghound21 said:Magic in the NBA at 1.50, and at SS it’s 1.65 😕
...plus the online odds are hovering around 1.42

It's 1.45 at SS. Unless they bumped it up recently—I haven't been checking.

analoghound21, James Taylor3, what's the play on Jamison? Lawrence Castillo76 thinks he won't go over again.😁
But honestly—looking at this Cleveland roster—I don't see anyone besides him who can actually score, especially now that Kyrie's gone.
And let's be real, the matchup isn't exactly a cakewalk either.🙂

Tarik's odds just dropped to 1.7!🙂

Chicago vs. New York under 186.5? 🤷 It jumped straight to 2.0!

When did they drop the odds on Jamison? Around noon?🙂

The matchup James-Anthony 2 2.10 doesn't look half bad—especially if Wade gets some minutes and Ružica stays on the bench.

I’ve got a gut feeling that if I took Evans under 17.5 against Dallas, he’d drop at least 25!😁
The guy is playing out of his mind right now—he dropped 3 on them in the first game, then went off for 17 at home.

If Rose doesn't go, Deng should hit a light over 15.5. His last five home games have been 23, 9, 20, 24, and 26.
Rose against the Knicks went 32-32-29.😲

Anyway, I'm looking at Terry over 15.5. Honestly, the only thing that kills him is an early blowout—which isn't out of the question when you're facing the Kings. 😁 We all know how "elite" the Kings' defense is, and Terry’s already dropped 23 and 21 on them (though he played fewer minutes there because it was a total blowout). Thornton is out, so Fredette will likely be playing shooting guard.

EDIT: And D-Will over 20.5 actually looks solid. Philly is in a total slump—four straight losses—while the Nets are riding three straight home wins. He already put up 34 on the road this season. Plus, Wallace probably won't play.

28 points in the last two minutes of Indiana vs. Toronto!😲🙂
I have never seen anything like this in my life.
It really sucks when you're playing the under. 🤣 And man, they were off to such a beautiful start...

Just a bunch of lunatics out of Milwaukee...🤣

Lawrence Castillo76 said:The official confirmation just landed too—now comes the massive wave of bad bets, and then we’ll all be sitting here at 6:00 AM cursing the universe.

Why isn't anyone from that big three playing?
It's like they were handed the win on a silver platter.

Pacers-Raptors 21:16 in the first.🤣
Dammit, those odds dropped—and now I'm sitting here regretting not placing my bet when I had the chance.🙂

placidranger19 said:Obviously, it’s better to place bets closer to kickoff.

Most players here start seeing the shifts around 4 or 5 PM—that's when the big American books drop their offers, and we just end up adjusting lines or margins to keep up.

Look, adjusting a line is one thing, but a dropping odd is something else entirely.
A drop happens because someone actually put money down.

The point is, waiting is smarter. If it isn't already the standard, I'd say people should probably wait longer to even release their "expert" analyses too.
I mean, if that's not how everyone does it, fine.
But make no mistake—every massive bet moves the needle, and from what I can see, there are some serious sharks in this group making heavy moves.😁

EDIT:
Lin hasn't weighed in yet...😢

placidranger19 said:Wait, you actually think odds shift because of some random online forum? 🙂🙂🙂

Of course not—but if it helps nudge things in a certain direction, then yeah. Look, if thousands of dollars suddenly flood in on one specific player in a short window, a sportsbook like DraftKings or FanDuel isn't just going to sit there—they’ll move the line or hike the vig immediately. Plus, you can always find "spies" lurking in forums.
Don't laugh at me here—I used to bet pretty seriously back in the day (not on the NBA, mind you) and I know exactly how public bets work and how bookies protect themselves. 🙂
In my opinion, it's way smarter to place your bets later—partly for those last-minute injury updates, but also because of the shifting lines. But hey, do whatever you want.
I see plenty of newbies who think they've found three "guaranteed locks" by 2:00 PM, only to watch the same pattern repeat over and over again.

Just look at the pros—the best bettors don't even post their picks until the evening, which makes perfect sense (guys like Lin or Lawrence Castillo76).

It’d be a lot better if they stopped posting these picks before 8 or 9 AM. Most of us are playing online anyway. When they drop them this early, the lines just get crowded—and I’m looking at DraftKings right now, half the odds have already tanked since this morning because everyone jumped on. Besides, you can always find some solid last-minute info right before tip-off.

Gary Ruiz13 said:Premier Betting... Canada? Nah, let's talk about the real action over at DraftKings.

Solid offer. Can you stack them?
Our crew just can't get it together—won't even upload.🙂