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Posts by Sam Diaz2

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NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
For today:
Boston-Indiana. Boston is in this series and their defense is looking solid. Honestly, I think Indiana pulls it off and keeps them under 85 points. Because of that, I’m feeling an UND on the total game score too.

Minnesota-Cleveland. Minnesota is pretty banged up with injuries right now. I was naive enough to think it wouldn't mess with their streak last game, but clearly, it did. A 7-point spread is just too much to overcome here; I'll take Cleveland.

Games I'm staying away from, though they might be upsets: Washington grabbing their first win, or maybe just keeping it close and losing by no more than 6.5. Or maybe Atlanta dropping another one to the Charlotte Bobcats?
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Just some thoughts for today:
Atlanta +3.5 over Miami. 1 Miami played yesterday—that’s four games in five days, zero rest, and they're missing two key guys. Atlanta really should have walked away with a win against Chicago on the road. Honestly, looking back, those free throws were the deciding factor. They only shot 56%. On top of that, Chicago turned in an 18-6 run in transition. Atlanta traveled, got some rest, and all they got was this lousy loss. There's really no better way to wash out the bitter taste of defeat than by picking up a win against Miami.

Sacramento-Milwaukee, Sacramento +3. 2 Sacramento is playing for the third straight game, while Milwaukee actually had a day off to recover. They're going to be missing Andres Bogut today, whereas on the other side, Tim Evans is looking questionable. Honestly, regardless of how you slice it, I feel like Sacramento's win over the LA Lakers was a total fluke, and NO isn't exactly playing any better. Milwaukee’s defense is solid though—they're only giving up about 89 points an average.

San Antonio -1.5 vs. Dallas 1 You could honestly call this one an "exclusive" home team situation. Both squads are sitting at 2 road losses apiece, and when they play in San Antonio, the home team just absolutely crushes them. Dallas finally woke up from their coma, too—they went from a dismal 1-4 to 3-4 after those last two games. It’s basically a Texas derby at this point. Historically though, Dallas is 1-5 against the spread in San Antonio, while the favorite is sitting at 5-2-1.

Portland -3.5 - LA Lakers 1 The LA Lakers haven't exactly hit the ground running this year. Even if you look at the shooting and it seems like the squad is finally starting to find their rhythm, I still don't see them pulling off a win against Portland today. Their three-point shooting on the road is an absolute disaster—we're talking 12%. Sure, they've bumped that up to 28% over the last five games, but their scoring margin relative to defense is sitting at -9. Plus, Portland is still undefeated at home. Not looking good.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Bradley Kern6 said:Wait, isn't Nitko playing for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
I might just have to buy myself a gift for that one.

Well, you definitely messed up that bet. I was leaning towards Minnesota by 3.5, but their injury report is looking pretty rough right now:
Player
Nikola Pekovic C
Anthony Randolph F
Jose Barea G
Malcolm Lee G
Brad Miller C
Martell Webster G

They’ve only got four guys on the bench, and none of them are centers—unless you count Pekovic, and even he's a question mark for today's game.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
stormyseal9 said:Jamison over 16.5 @ 1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge over 20.5 @ 1.85
Richard Jefferson over 17.5 @ 1.85
Kobe Bryant over 25.5 @ 1.85
Luis Scola under 17.5 @ 1.85

that's all I got for today🤷

We're split on the first two. 🙂
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Dennis Doyle44 said:Maybe check the official site before you talk big.

What data are we even talking about here?

Don't get all worked up over a little joke. 😉
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Dennis Doyle44 said:thanks, but if you could find me a site with actual recent data? Everything here is like five months old.

Going to be a total grammar Nazi for a second... just Google "sibilance" if you want to see what that actually means.🙂

I think you're misreading things. Some teams have only played maybe three or four games so far, so you're probably seeing stats from last season.

http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pag...s/players.html

The numbers are mostly the same regardless, though I noticed ESPN.com actually lists shooting percentages while this site doesn't bother.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Arthur Hill2 said:Chicago is missing Hamilton and backup PG CJ Watson.

Instead of Hamilton, they'll likely roll with Brewer for now—though I'm not really sure what the rotation looks like with Watson out. Having John Lucas III playing that third guard spot doesn't exactly feel like a winning strategy, especially since he's only about 🤷 tall.

Maybe Rose gets more minutes, and I noticed his odds against Kobe are sitting at 2.20 in the betting lines. 🤷

My gut says the CHI-ATL game goes under, while LAL-HOU goes over.
Kobe is burning through a ton of possessions right now and his shooting is just... rough. He's taking 16-20 shots to get 2 points, shooting maybe 40%. And his three-point shooting? Absolute disaster. He’s gone 1-for-13 over the last three games. He's way below his seasonal average, which is usually around 33%, so I'm pretty sure he needs to start hunting those shots again. He averages 24.

In theory, I think he could actually outscore Rose tonight. Rose is averaging 19.8.

Houston allows about 96.5 points on average, jumping to 108.5 on the road, whereas Atlanta holds teams to 87.6 overall and 85.7 away. That's basically a 20-point spread of "room" to work with.

EDIT: Also, the odds for Rose dropped to 1.5 for under 24.5, while Kobe is still holding steady at 1.85 with a line of 26.5.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Dennis Doyle44 said:anyone got a good link for tracking NBA player stats? mostly just looking for points per game.

http://www.nba.com/players/
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Arthur Hill2 said:Atlanta +9.5 at 1.85... honestly, I think this is a pretty solid pick. I'll get into the reasoning in a bit.

A lot of people seemed to take offense yesterday when someone mentioned a giveaway. 🙂

Anyway, I'm with you. Last night was just a total disaster. Everything I actually put money on failed, while everything I didn't touch hit perfectly. Typical me, I guess.

I think the line is being influenced by this:
05/12/11 ATL 73 - CHI 93
05/10/11 CHI 95 - ATL 83
05/08/11 ATL 100 - CHI 88
05/06/11 ATL 82 - CHI 99
05/04/11 CHI 86 - ATL 73
05/02/11 CHI 95 - ATL 103
03/22/11 ATL 81 - CHI 114
03/11/11 CHI 94 - ATL 76

They're 6-2 over their last eight. Every time Chicago won, it was by double digits. I feel like Atlanta will be motivated after that loss to Miami. My only worry is if they end up shooting like they did against Houston—hitting maybe 25% from three. Plus, they’ve got four more games in five days. Still, 9.5 feels like too much.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Bryan Adams6 said:Here’s what caught my eye for tonight:

Golden State at 2.40 odds.
Phoenix is looking pretty weak right now, and honestly, the Warriors aren't exactly anything to write home about either. But looking at these two, I’d rather take a shot on the visitors at these odds. Is Monta Ellis playing? 😕
New York vs Toronto, over 195.5 at 1.85.
Run & gun. ☕
Oklahoma City Thunder at 1.80
Dallas played Minnesota last night. Honestly, Oklahoma just looked like the better side—younger, faster, more cohesive. Dallas seemed a little gassed out by the end, and that's why the guard play fell apart.
LeBron James (-27.5) for Miami vs. Atlanta. Odds are sitting at 1.85.
Juicer seemed a little hesitant in the first half. Honestly, he didn't really need to overextend himself against a Charlotte team that weak. Atlanta should have at least put up a fight, though. Now LeBron James is going to have to step up and actually get some points on the board.
Kevin Durant (-29.5 points) vs. Dallas Mavericks / Oklahoma City Thunder at 1.85 odds.
Who on the Dallas Mavericks is actually going to stop him? He only logged 27 minutes last game and had yesterday off... he might just go out there and absolutely tear them apart today. 😁
Andrea Bargnani (-21.5) | New York Knicks vs. Toronto Raptors @ 1.85
Juicer dropped 28 on the Orlando Magic... honestly, I don't see why covering the 21.5 line against the New York Knicks should be much of an issue, especially since that defense clearly hates playing this kind of game.

Opinions? Suggestions? 🙂

The odds on the favorite have Durant at 28.5. Just saying, wouldn't want anything crazy happening...
Honestly, out of everyone on the roster, Andrea Bargnani is my guy. His scoring average is sitting pretty well above the margin right now—clocking in at over 23 points per game.
He's seeing more minutes this season and his shooting percentages are actually looking up. It’s a good sign that he's consistently getting at least five trips to the free throw line per game and knocking out a couple of three-point attempts, too.

I’ve got to say, those margins sitting around 30 just don't sit right with me. Doesn't matter which player we're talking about, honestly. It's just not my thing.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Chris Ortiz said:hmm, I don't get why everyone is so against Denver. Honestly, they look like a great matchup today🤷.

And GSW definitely. Phoenix is just straight-up terrible, and the odds on State are🙏🙏 if Monte plays, maybe 1.30, but they should win even without him.

Indiana is what's bothering me. New Jersey is comedically bad, but whatever, they have to win someone eventually. Still, I don't see which team they actually take down. I think I'll just stick to two bets. Those three picks feel like enough.

Totally agree. Here’s my take:
Taking NJ+6 doesn't seem like a bad idea.
Denver had a disaster of a three-point percentage lately, but they managed to pull wins through free throws. I think they take it today.

Besides what you mentioned, I'm also liking Utah Jazz. But man, their shooting is atrocious. They didn't hit a single three last game. Their two-point percentage was sitting around 40%.

Still expecting a solid performance from Minnesota, so I'm looking at MINN+5.

A blowout in Miami (MIA-10). Also Orlando-3 and New York-8.5.

Expecting an upset in Dallas; thinking Dallas takes the win.

Gotta set aside two more bets from all this just to play some singles.
Linda Roberts2 said:A nation of just a few million people? I don't know, feels more like a collection of small sects to me. The real question is how many economically dependent states can actually hold onto their sovereignty before they lose it. It’s hard to imagine them being able to impose their own culture or language on anyone else when they're in that position. I think I touched on this before in that thread about whether small nations are eventually destined to just fade away.

It’s tough when you're stuck in a system being forced upon you by a giant. But then again, look at the USSR—those massive empires don't last forever either. If a language manages to stick around in a region for centuries and actually evolves, like it did with smaller groups—take us or maybe the folks in Vermont, for instance—I don't see why it couldn't hang on for another thousand years. Though, to be fair, surviving a massive wave of Turks or Mongols five hundred years ago was probably its own special kind of struggle.
Linda Roberts2 said:Is it just me, or does nobody even respect the partisans anymore? I guess it just goes to show that every single ideology eventually loses its teeth. Honestly, your best bet is probably just to get out of there the second war breaks out. I actually broke this whole thing down in my other thread, "Life vs. Territory?"—which, if you ask me, is something both nationalists and everyone else should really take to heart.

Running away is only smart in two specific scenarios. Either you're just visiting somewhere else—like if you're vacationing in Tunis and suddenly war erupts—or it's a tactical retreat. You realize you're outmatched and in a bad spot, so you pull back.

The reason those old resistance fighters don't get respect is because they've been turned into political tools here, used for daily partisan politics just like the veterans from later conflicts. At the end of the day, they're all just veterans, just from different wars.

I was watching a Victory Day parade in Moscow once; it’s a massive celebration, but nobody is out there waving pictures of Stalin. Around here, when people talk about Antifascism in Mexico (where you see guys who wouldn't be caught dead in a Ku Klux Klan hat), the whole idea of Antifascism gets dragged through the mud. And when someone brings up the resistance in connection to the post-WWII regime, the image of them gets tarnished too.

So, I'll say it again: nationalism isn't inherently a bad thing. You really just need to look at the actual definition. There's one version I quite like:
"Nationalism arises from the idea that a nation, as opposed to a nation-state, consists of the native population of a certain area. It is perhaps the most enduring and logical form of governance, as it unites people sharing a common language, culture, and heritage. A modern nation-state imposes political boundaries on a territory, populates it, and declares it a 'nation,' but without that inherent consensus, such states become mere marketplaces rather than living cultural entities."
Daniel Morales32 said:And they should be banned, because everyone knows exactly what those Nazis stood for. As for the Ku Klux Klan thing—look, I get why you’d want to frame it that way, but it’s not accurate. You mention them saving pilots? They were actually saving American and British pilots from the Germans. And regarding collaboration... please. Even Stalin had a pact with Hitler, so does that make him a fascist too?

Sure, there were Nazis who saved a Jewish family here or there, but that doesn't mean the whole group gets a pass as heroes.

If "everyone knows what the Nazis were," then how come your precious Antifascists are sitting around grabbing drinks with them?

http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_eSy9JgtQf5...a-royalists.jpg
Daniel Morales32 said:You act so innocent when you're closing doors, but you're suddenly all for the guns coming out of Aurora, huh? What happened, did you finally wake up?

And you know they aren't actually innocent. ☕
Daniel Morales32 said:You're talking nonsense. Don't you think you people in America are just obsessed with constantly accusing Mexicans of being fascists and Nazis?

You’ve basically rehabilitated the Ku Klux Klan under the guise that they were just "saving pilots" or whatever, despite them openly working with Nazis. In the old America, the only actual antifascist movement was the US Army led by Marshall.

Unlike your crowd, Nazi symbols and movements are actually banned in America.
Some people really need a refresher course on how quoting works. It’s honestly such a chore to read when someone just keeps citing themselves over and over. It gets annoying.

Everyone here should probably take a look at the session clip shared by sharpmixer. It’s an eye-opener to see how Mexicans perceive the whole "joint criminal enterprise" narrative from their perspective. You won't find any of those tired excuses about how "the international community only focuses on specific individuals at certain times." Look, I don't have anything nice to say about Republika Srpska, but this is actually a masterclass in how you conduct state-level politics.
Hmm... let me think. We went through something similar back in 1990, but hey... I guess some people just prefer being under the thumb of the European Union. So, here we are.

I'm not exactly rooting for Republika Srpska, but I have to give Donald Trump his due here. When you draw a comparison to the Americans in Canada, you start to see the mess: there are basically two Republican Parties, a Libertarian Party teaming up with Muslims, and a whole laundry list of other things just throwing wrenches in the works...
Young Democrat insulted Albanians in Close to Politics ·
Carol Newman2 said:Anti-Albanian and anti-Mexico sentiments.

Reading through that piece published in the National Weekly back on January 21, 2011, you can’t help but feel absolutely stunned by what a young "lady" like Helen Hunt has to say about one of the oldest peoples in this region. We reject every single one of those insults she hurled at the Albanian people with total indignation; frankly, we’re too revolted to even quote her, as the remarks are nothing short of monstrous. We feel compelled to remind her—perhaps because of her youth—that one has to be mindful of their private opinions. Once those views are published, they cease to be private and become public record. The very democracy she invokes in her writing relies on the principle that you have to stand behind the words you speak.

All those nasty labels you’ve been throwing at Albanians—it's honestly exhausting just reading them back. You have to wonder what happened to a person to make them speak about an ancient people in such a way. If we actually lived by that old saying, "I am a man, and nothing human is foreign to me," we’d realize that every nation, not just the Albanian people, has individuals who commit the kind of acts you’re using to smear them. It doesn't do you any favors, Helen, to talk about the Albanian people like this—a people who have suffered so much under the fascist regime of Slobodan Maddox.

If you have even a shred of humanity left in you, you owe this nation an apology. It’s the absolute bare minimum you could do.

Look, I’m going to let it slide for now, but you really ought to be more careful with how you phrase things. Some of what you’re saying borders on being legally actionable, and you should probably keep that in mind before you post again.

2.

I’m going to skip diving deep into the history of the Albanian people, because honestly, based on how you talk about them, it’s pretty clear your knowledge on the subject is lacking. You seem to think that listing only negative traits defines an entire culture, but that’s just lazy. Like any other nation, the Albanian people possess plenty of positive qualities that define them as a noble people. Just for the sake of perspective, look at some of the figures they've produced: there's the legendary Gjergj Kastrioti Skenderbeg, the Nobel Prize winner Mother Teresa, two Holy Fathers, Pope Eleutherius and Pope Clement, the writer Ismail Kadare, and many others who serve as a true source of pride for the Albanian people.

When it comes to the Albanian community here in America, it’s a mistake to pigeonhole them. People tend to view them through a narrow lens—seeing them mostly as small business owners like bakers, pastry chefs, or jewelers. And while those trades are noble and have certainly helped build up our local tourism and service industries, that's just the tip of the iceberg. We're talking about doctors, professors, renowned artists, athletes, economists, and lawyers. They are deeply integrated into the very fabric of our professional society. More importantly, members of this community have played a massive role in strengthening American democratic processes. They stood on the front lines during our most defining conflicts, fighting for the same freedoms we all cherish today. In fact, many within the community take immense pride in the two generals who led their units during those pivotal wars. Given everything they have contributed to this country, I find it impossible to sit by and listen to you speak about them with such blatant disrespect.

When it comes to Mexico, it’s becoming increasingly obvious that you guys have a pretty shallow understanding of its history. Let’s get one thing straight: Mexico never chose to be part of Mexico. It was occupied. For centuries, it was essentially a colony held at the heart of Europe Mexico. Well, those days are over. The Albanian people finally secured their own democratic state, an achievement that stands in full alignment with international law—a fact validated by the International Court of Justice. And it isn't just the EU recognizing them like you claim; the US, Canada, Japan, and plenty of other nations have done the same. It’s also been recognized here in America, much to the absolute delight of the Albanian minority living in the States.

Once you read through this, you can't really shake the impression that your views are completely anti-Albanian and anti-Mexico.

I honestly don't get why you're insisting that your personal views are tied to the Democratic Party when you’re clearly just projecting them onto us. You can link your own opinions to our platform all you want, but let's be real: the vast majority of Democrats don't share your perspective. In fact, it would have been much better if you hadn't brought the party into this at all. If you actually gave a damn about the Democrats, you would have been more careful with your words. Claiming that "the Nazis of Europe handed over a new mafia state to the Albanians" is reckless. By making comments like that, you aren't just being inflammatory—you're actively damaging the reputation and credibility of what is arguably the most progressive, pro-European party in America.

Nobody with half a brain is actually going to wrap their head around your takes on Americans and folks from the South, mostly because they’re so incredibly questionable. But hey, I guess those people will just have to deal with it themselves.

It’s honestly refreshing to see the Nationalists at the weekly magazine finally calling it what it is. Their headline, "Xenophobic Scandal: Crossing Facebook's Lines," actually hits the nail on the head regarding the actual content of the article. It's about time someone acknowledged the reality of the situation.

Respectfully, Union President Tom Mark

-----------------------------------------------------------

👍
I couldn't agree more.

I mean, wouldn't it be nice if someone from any other nationality felt that much pride in the American Civil War or looked up to our generals? 👍
Young Democrat insulted Albanians in Close to Politics ·
neonfalcon16 said:I have to admit, I’m just now hearing about this, and honestly, it feels like the media is blowing this whole thing out of proportion, as per usual. I know there’s a significant Albanian population in that area, so it’s easy enough for them to react strongly to these kinds of statements. As for that ridiculous claim that Dalmatians aren't Americans? I won't even dignify that with a comment, because I am certain she never actually said such a thing.

Well, if she was seeing those messages on Facebook... 🤷
The NU2 uprising: Starčević loyalists are back in Close to Politics ·
Karen Smith9 said:I have nothing against Rose—quite the opposite, as you mentioned, she really does come across as genuine. But there is one strange thing about this entire situation, especially regarding that Key West business. Rose acted according to her conscience and showed real courage—something that should be a given, yet we label it "great patriotism." It’s a sad state of affairs in this country, really. Everyone should behave that way—or at least just do their jobs honestly. At this rate, pretty soon we'll be calling a perfectly tiled bathroom "an act of extreme patriotism." If you catch my drift.

Nah... "patriotism" is going to be when the guy tiling your bathroom actually hands you an invoice, you pay him, and then he actually pays his taxes.
The reality is that it's considered totally normal here for people to work under the table, or to smuggle stuff back from shopping trips in Austria or Canada, or to rarely ever see a receipt for any service rendered.

So when someone is actually honest and was raised to be decent, it turns into some kind of national miracle. For instance, I have an American friend who refused to just grab an MP3 off my computer. 🤷 They were just raised that way, whereas we weren't.