Roger Wright94 said:Red Bull had the advantage in SA and Miami given their car concept and the tracks. Those were races where Red Bull victories were predicted in advance.
If you want to believe Max won those races solely because of Leclerc's mistakes, go ahead.
In reality, Red Bull didn't have any advantage—that's what I'm talking about. Maybe in theory, sure, but in theory, many people didn't even suspect they'd get crushed like this in Austria.
So, you think the pre-race statements from analysts and experts saying a stronger Red Bull was EXPECTED are proof of Red Bull's dominance on that track? Okay, great argument, really top-tier stuff.🤦
Fine, let everyone weigh the strength of that logic themselves.
By the way, plenty of analysts and experts (not just forum users) were predicting Red Bull dominance before Austria, and Ferrari was right there with them. So much for pre-race predictions.
But hey, if that's the only argument you could come up with, there you go.
I’ll say this, just for those actually reading:
In that race (SA), Leclerc led most of the way ahead of Verstappen without Verstappen being able to put any real pressure on him or make a move. That lasted maybe 20 laps. Despite the fact that the track has a massive straight, where a significantly faster car—especially one with a huge straight-line advantage—would easily close the gap and stay glued to the back, nothing happened. Similarly, Perez was just cruising behind Sainz without any pressure or attacks. The gaps between all of them weren't particularly drastic, which tells us clearly enough that the car pace on that track was neck-and-neck. After the last VSC (about 10 laps from the end), Max attacks Leclerc, they battle for 5 laps, and finally, Leclerc makes a mistake and Verstappen passes. In the final 3-4 laps, Max can't even pull away despite having overtaken him, and the race ends with a 0.5-second gap. And let's not forget, Perez was just circling behind Sainz until the end, unable to do a thing.
It couldn't be ANY CLEARER that the car pace in that race was equal, and that if Leclerc had held his position for 30 laps—including those 5-6 laps after the VSC—he could have stayed ahead for another 3 if he hadn't messed up.
These are just the direct facts of what happened during the race, so let everyone judge the actual power balance of the cars. Clearly, some people have their own version of reality in their heads, but I'm writing this for everyone else. We have actual eyes on the ground on one side, and pre-race analyst quotes on the other.👍
And likewise, I'm challenging you and your buddy here who claims Red Bull is faster in pace: name the races where we actually saw that, and explain what you saw on track to support it. Because I've already laid out my thoughts on every single race, and I'm ready to present detailed facts for every one of them (just like I did above regarding SA) where it's plainly visible that Ferrari had better pace in the vast majority, with a few equals. You avoid doing this because it's obvious Ferrari has the better pace.
Roger Wright94 said:I can't even! I honestly don't recall a single race this year where Max was actually better than Leclerc when things got wet... 🤔
Maybe my memory is failing me, so feel free to correct me if I'm wrong, but I recall two races and three qualifying sessions held on wet tracks. Aside from that Monaco race, we had Italy, which was a pure masterclass in Max Verstappen's driving ability since both qualifying and the race were on a wet surface. It was total dominance; he left everyone else in his dust, while Leclerc struggled against Sergio Perez and kept hitting the walls. Qualifying in Italy was another display of power in the rain—he put Leclerc eight-tenths behind him and left Perez nearly two full seconds back. Then there was the dominance in Canada during qualifying, where his closest rival, Alonso, was seven-tenths back, and Carlos Sainz was even further behind (the same Sainz who later proved in the dry race that the car was actually faster). Leclerc didn't compete there due to an engine change, and Perez struggled just to make it into Q2 before eventually crashing into the wall. Finally, there was Silverstone qualifying where he finished second. He usually dominates most wet qualifying sessions, but Leclerc was brilliant in the rain there, pulling off some crazy maneuvers on track, leaving Max Verstappen to finish just a few thousandths behind Sainz by sheer bad luck...
So, when you really look at the numbers, here’s how Max Verstappen has fared in the rain this season...
Race results: 1st in Imola, 3rd in Monaco...
Qualifying results: 1st in Imola, 1st in Canada, 2nd at Silverstone...
Leclerc in the rain...
Race results: 7th in Imola, 4th in Monaco...
Qualifying results: 2nd in Italy, 3rd at Silverstone, and a total disaster in Canada... just as expected.
The facts speak for themselves, again. Out of five wet qualifying sessions and races, Charles Leclerc hasn't been able to touch Max Verstappen once. And let's not forget the actual FACT that during those qualifying rounds, Max absolutely demolished the field—leaving his closest competitors nearly a full second behind in both Italy and Canada. Those are easily the biggest gaps we've seen all season. It was just a pure masterclass in handling the rain...
It’s funny how you managed to forget everything else except Monaco—conveniently claiming you "don't recall" those moments—just so you could obsess over the idea that Ferrari's pit wall was solely to blame for Monaco. You conveniently skipped over the absolute disaster in Italy and those qualifying sessions in England. Not to mention Leclerc's own struggles in the wet and his mistakes during the race in Italy and at Silverstone. You just want to pin it all on Monaco, the Ferrari strategy, and Leclerc's car, while ignoring he's arguably the best driver out there when it rains... 🤦
I've laid out the facts again. Honestly, I'm doing it more for everyone else at this point; I don't have any illusions about convincing people who clearly have such short memories...
Roger Wright94 said:If I had even a shred of doubt left about Charles Leclerc, this year's Monaco race officially wiped it out...
All things considered, it was a brilliant performance by the guy from Monaco... 🙏Literally.
He hadn't finished a single race in Monaco until this year. Considering it's his home race, that kind of pressure is brutal...
The Monaco race was one of the weaker outings for Charles Leclerc this season—though honestly, saying that feels a bit silly when you consider how many other drivers have struggled just as much...
But honestly, he drove way too conservatively. His key laps were a mess—which everyone here has been pointing out for a while now—and that’s exactly why he lost out to Max Verstappen. His coordination with the pit wall was non-existent; he just sat there assuming the crew would handle everything perfectly. In a chaotic race like that, where some guys went straight to hards on a soaking wet track, he really should have been much more engaged...
Once again, you’re just dumping all the blame on the pit wall, while Carlos Sainz showed way more grit and intelligence—he knew exactly what he wanted, and that’s why he nearly pulled off the win.
You keep dodging these facts by focusing exclusively on the team's mistakes.
I get where Charles Leclerc is coming from, given his history at this track, the home crowd pressure, and how much he struggles when it rains (which we’ve already proven with the other examples above). The guy was probably driving the whole race just trying not to slam into a wall and embarrass himself again. In a way, I get it, and I don't blame him too much, but those are the standards for an average driver on an average team. He needed to show some teeth during the critical moments.
I have no idea why you’re quoting heavy hitters from the forums; obviously, this place is full of terrible predictions. Honestly, most of what you cited were just trivial half-guesses about someone crashing, and the odds of that actually happening are usually pretty slim.
My only issue was with the guy predicting Red Bull dominance at Indianapolis, mainly because that same person is dead serious—as far as I can tell—about claiming Red Bull has better pace this season. So, I mocked that ridiculous prediction, which also seemed to be made with total sincerity, hoping they’d realize what a fantasy world they’re living in. They didn't. And since I won't have time to go back and forth later, let me just say: I wasn't asking for an apology for a wrong prediction. You don't apologize for that; you just admit you completely missed the mark...
Roger Wright94 said:The rain in Monaco is beside the point.
In Monaco, Leclerc outclassed Max Verstappen in every single timed session. We're talking 3, 4, or 7 tenths ahead, whether it was dry or wet.
It’s funny how you and graniteharbor502 look at all that and conclude that three poorly driven laps by Leclerc are the sole reason for his bad result.
Did it ever occur to you that there might be a reason?
But I see the logic. It feels "normal" to you because it's Leclerc (not Max). To you, it’s perfectly expected that a driver who is overwhelmingly dominant for 200 laps would suddenly mess up three vital ones.
There is a reason and an explanation for those three laps. A rational, realistic reason involving external factors.
I don't know what it is (I'm just guessing), but I know it definitely isn't Leclerc's driving. That would be absurd and nonsensical.
You don't know the reason, but you're certain one exists??🤣
Fine, so you'll justify every mistake Leclerc makes. Because clearly, he never drives slow or messes up; it must always be an "external factor." Why are we even debating this?
As for the rest, I've told you multiple times: I don't care about Free Practice. Those sessions don't matter. Only qualifying and the races count toward the points. I’m surprised that since you lack any real arguments, you didn't try pulling 1,500 laps from pre-season testing out of thin air. 🤣 Not enough from the 200 Monaco FP laps?🤣