Hey everyone, I’m wondering if there's actually an online sportsbook where you can build player parlays like you would at a local betting shop... From what I've gathered so far, most of them only let you bet on singles or won't let you combine multiple players from the same game... Is there anything like that out there?
I'm talking about online books that don't hit you with those manipulative fees...
Igoudala under 12.5? What do you guys think? He’s been scoring lately, but honestly, it’s about time he gets back to what he does best... playing lockdown defense... 🙂
stormyseal9 said:it all depends on the matchup. Some players just take more shots, so logically they score more🤷. Take Bryant, for example. With him out, Bynum is taking way more than 20 shots, whereas he used to cap it at around 15. Sure, he’s human and can have an off night, but 90% of the time, he's hitting the over. Granger is taking similar volume, but his efficiency has improved, and that's the key difference. Those games where he only dropped 18 points were mostly because he was resting—playing 25 minutes instead of 40. Then you've got teams that suit certain players perfectly regardless of their averages. You might see someone with a lower average still pumping points, like Bryant Phoenix who consistently drops 40+, or Henderson in Boston, where they play such lockdown defense that he hits the over without breaking a sweat. Stats don't tell the whole story. If it were that simple, everyone would just look at the numbers and win every time🤷.
Yeah, obviously. I'm totally with you on that. It's just that, for some weird reason of my own—call it the "law of the under"—I hate betting a player over if they've already hit three overs in a row... 🙂 That's it. Everything you said is spot on, and hey, come at me, I'm ready for the analysis... but I've got a gut feeling against the spread here. I think Philly is fired up and they're going to pull this off and cover the spread. Just a hunch. We'll see who's right... 🙂
stormyseal9 said:I think Dirk is on a hot four-game streak, though there aren't really any set rules for this kind of thing...🤷but when it comes to pure form, Granger is king. He hasn't dropped below 18 points in his last 12 games.☕
Nah, I think there are definitely patterns here. It’s incredibly rare for someone to consistently hit the over five games in a row... right?
Roger Phillips said:If you ask me, Dirk... three wins too many... d. Williams is definitely hitting the under. I’m calling it now... he’ll probably land around 6 or 7 points...😁
Thanks, but I already know that lunatic is staying under... and honestly, Griffin is playing like absolute garbage right now.
stormyseal9 said:If you see Kevin Durant at 27.5 in the HL, just take it. That line hits way more often than people think. Besides, Durant is averaging 28.8 against the Houston Rockets. Like I said yesterday, he’s taking a ton of shots from deep—around 20 per game...🤷I always bet the under on him at home because he rarely goes over🤷,but on the road, he consistently clears the over☕. Honestly, I think his buddy will drop 25+ easily since he's actually in better shape right now😉
That’s exactly why I took the 28.5. I think the under is more likely. They’ve played twice already and he put up 26 or 27. This time, I'm expecting even less. He isn't feeling it, and the West could really push back... even though I know he plays better on the road, and it might stay neck-and-neck until the end. If he gets hot, he'll hit 49 instead of 29... but still... 🙂
Joshua Gonzalez33 said:Derby Games 2317: Kevin Durant (Oklahoma City) (-27.5+) 02/07 11:55 PM... more @1,85 Kevin Durant is averaging 27 points, but he jumps to 29 when he's on the road. The main reason? He just isn't blowing teams out of the water away from home like he should. I’m expecting a high-scoring affair here. The line is set at 205, and honestly, I think both teams will blow right past that... The heavy hitters for Oklahoma City are Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, and you can't forget James Harden. I don't see Westbrook scoring much tonight, though. The Golden State Warriors have the second-best perimeter defense in the league, giving up only 16.6 points per game. Even better, their home defense against point guards is elite—they only allow 13.5 points from that position. That's incredibly low. So, if Russell Westbrook struggles tonight, who else is going to step up besides Kevin Durant? That alone makes this risk worth taking. But there's more... Golden State has the worst small forward defense in the league, giving up 21.8 points per game. At home, they give up as many as 23.4 from that spot. I think Kevin Durant is going to absolutely tear them apart tonight...
Post by: Bubreg ☕
I'd bet my left kidney that West stays under 23.5... 🙂
James Taylor3 said:Yeah, the Portland Trail Blazers have two solid defenders at that spot, Ben Wallace and Nicolas Batum. And if I remember right, Wallace absolutely shut down Kevin Durant in their last matchup. But then again, Durant has been the league's top scorer two years running. Once he gets hot, he can drop 50 on anyone...
Still, 28.5 is a decent line. Maybe playing the under isn't a bad move. 🤷
Thanks. Sure, anything can happen, but at least I have something to base my pick on... 🙂 Good luck tonight.
Did they go a little too far pushing the line from 28.5 up to Durant? This game's gonna be intense. Durant is playing better on the road, but Portland does a solid job covering Kevin... I see the lottery has him at 26.5? What do you guys think?
So, I've included every player offered in the sportsbook. All data from January 9th is in there, including last night's games. If you want to use it, just start adding your own data from today onwards. The numbers show how many points they went over/under by. Each number is a direct link to the box score on NBA.com for that specific game. The gray cells indicate away games where the player's team was visiting the team listed in the first column. At the very bottom, you'll find the total over/under for each player against all teams, and on the far right, the total over/under for all players against each specific team. You can find anything easily using Ctrl+F. Just type in the last name of the player you're looking for.
There's a million other things I thought about adding, but the sheet is already getting too massive. To do anything more advanced than this, you'd need to be a programmer and build actual software...
The table looks a bit empty, but that's mostly because I left space for every player to play four games against every single team—which doesn't happen in the NBA.😁
Hope this helps someone with their bets.
Nice work, this is actually a pretty sweet little tool, but man, there's a lot of work involved. I got a bit lost trying to wrap my head around it... 😁 once I get the hang of it, though...
So, does anyone know of a site that drops daily player trivia or interesting stats? I’m tired of hunting for this stuff manually every single day... like knowing LeBron averages 35 against certain teams, or Kevin Durant hits 24 against the Pacers and all that. If anyone knows a good source for this kind of info, let me know