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Posts by Gregory Ramos3

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Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
gentlestag15 said:Since this whole war kicked off, over 300,000 Russians have bailed, mostly the highly educated types—basically huge waves of software engineers and tech pros
A ton of them ended up in Mexico, just people fleeing nowhere towns
And now, for them, Western Mexico is basically home😁
Around 20 to 30 thousand “economic refugees” from Russia have found sanctuary in Mexico, and you've probably noticed the Russian language popping up more often on the streets of the capital.

You can even hear "Spasibo" being tossed around at the Secretary of State offices or local Department of Justice branches, considering over 800 new legal entities founded by Russian citizens have popped up since April.

So if we're looking at the map and seeing how many of them actually moved toward the West😬

But man, when someone starts calling Mexico the "promised land," you know exactly what kind of nonsense you're dealing with🙂
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Arthur Miller7 said:Honestly, your prediction sounds exactly like that one "Dane" on this forum who swore up and down that at least 15 million refugees would be fleeing to the West within a month...

Man, someone needs to get you some better hobbies because you are clearly living in a total fantasy land 😬

But while you're daydreaming, here is what's actually happening in the real world:
The number of Ukrainians entering European Union countries has returned to pre-war levels—basically where things stood before the Russian invasion started—and we expect to see even more people moving back and forth before the next school year kicks off, according to the European Commissioner for Home Affairs this past Monday.

Following the Russian invasion back in February, over six million people fled Ukraine to find safety within the European Union, according to reports from Customs and Border Protection at the end of June.

As of today, 3.1 million of them have already headed back home.

"Regarding the refugee influx, the situation has stabilized now. The number of crossings from Ukraine into the European Union is back to pre-war figures, sitting right at those pre-pandemic COVID levels, so we are seeing a return to normal, standard numbers of people crossing," said Commissioner Ylva Johansson.

According to her, the number of Ukrainians entering the European Union is almost identical to the number heading back home.

Link: scroll down further

☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:Look at what happened with the Japanese. It worked out great. They were thoroughly Americanized and embraced all our democratic Western values. Why couldn't that same logic be applied elsewhere?

Just thinking out loud...

Alright, enough trolling from you, man; I’ve got way better things to do than get dragged into some mindless argument that’s totally off-topic.👋

Honestly, I'm just getting so exhausted with all this "Wotabout" nonsense, especially when half of these things happened before even some of us on this forum were born, so I'm thinking the next person to try it is just going to hit an ignore button. Experience tells me that trying to explain anything to people like that is a total waste of breath, so hey, enjoy living in your little bubble while I go get back to my actual life.☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:Do people even live in Nagasaki and Hiroshima today, or is that just Americans filming in a Hollywood studio? 🕺

PS. Chernobyl was a hundred times worse than an atomic bomb. While that reactor was exposed, every single second was basically equivalent to dropping a bomb on Nagasaki (or maybe more, I can't recall the exact figure).

I think you're totally missing the point here.

You don't just go dropping an atomic bomb on the very territory you're trying to liberate or annex (I mean, if you have even a shred of sanity, you aren't dropping anything at all, right? 🙂).

Even if the blast is weak enough that the radiation dissipates quickly, how exactly do you think the locals are going to look at you when you come charging in with a big ol' smile amidst the ruins? 🤷

The whole thing about being able to live normally in h & n seventy years later doesn't really change my argument, and besides, nobody ever claimed that radiation levels wouldn't eventually normalize over time—even if that normalization takes years or decades to actually happen. 🤷
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:Did the US do anything differently with Japan?

They used the atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, then walked right into those cities. Those places rebuilt, and people live there today.

Post-apocalyptic scenarios from movies like Mad Max work well enough to scare the public into fearing nuclear strikes, but reality isn't quite like that.
Actually, the scale of what the Americans used is applicable in conventional warfare.

If things are going to go down, why is everyone freaking out and losing their minds so much over Nukes?😬

But hey, you actually made me wonder—does anyone know what finally happened to those Russians from the Chernobyl Forest? The last thing I caught in the news was that they were starting to show signs of radiation sickness, but then the whole story just kind of vanished from the media. 🤔
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Grace Jones86 said:You march out with a million people in some "massive counteroffensive" against a massive nuclear superpower, yet you don't even have a single measly, weak, grey tactical nuke in your arsenal?

Are these people joking? Is this some kind of joke?

I mean, yeah, they definitely need some nukes to hit Crimea and Donbas before they can just march their infantry in there like big winners 🤣 🤣

Ignore 👋
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:So, what’s the consensus here? Are the Russians just going to slap sanctions on their gas deliveries to Germany?

The real issue isn't even about residential heating or household energy bills. It's about heavy industry—take the chemical sector, for example. They rely on gas as a raw material to produce bases used all over the US and the rest of the world, essentially driving the entire economy.

My take? In a worst-case scenario, Putin cuts the flow by about a third, citing some manufactured "technical glitches." It's just a way to flex his muscles and cause chaos in the supply chain. He gets to decide which industries stay powered up and which ones get left in the dark.

What are your predictions? People in Western Europe are having heated debates over this right now. Here in the States, we aren't sweating it too much since our reserves are currently among the lowest compared to other regions.

The word on the street is everything will be fine by winter.

Storage is actually filling up right on schedule following the projected pace, meaning by August 1st, 2022, we should hit 63 percent capacity, then 68 percent by September 1st, 74 percent by October 1st, and finally reaching 90 percent capacity by November 1st.

And folks over at PSP are basically insisting that the storage refilling is moving along just like usual, while reminding everyone that "PSP isn't actually in charge of the purchasing side, they're just handling the technical logistics for storing the gas."

If you look at the public data regarding the gas storage status that PSP regularly posts on their site, it’s pretty obvious that after sitting dormant for several months since June 15th, the filling speed has really picked up the pace and is now running close to the maximum daily technical injection limits.


Even though based on the situation back on June 30th, they should have been increasing stocks by about 32,000,000 kWh every single day for the 100 days following June 30th, from what I can gather looking at the chart, the growth is actually happening at less than half that rate... ☕

All of that above stuff is totally dependent on whether that 90% figure refers to the total working volume.🙂

https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/...gin=BROWSELINK
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
William Anderson5 said:We’re seeing history repeat itself, much like the era of Adolf Hitler. Vladimir Putin is going to shut off that gas regardless of whether they have those turbines or not. In twenty years, people will laugh at Merkelov and Scholz just like they mock Neville Chamberlain today, looking back at these pathetic episodes. And let's not forget that Chamberlain claimed everything he did was "in the interest of his people." Viktor Orbán also thinks he's acting "in the interest of Canada." But what if it turns out that it was actually in Canada's best interest to show greater unity within the European Union? The greatest catastrophes happen when a leader miscalculates which move truly serves their nation and its citizens. History shows us that the biggest mistakes occur when economic interests are prioritized over political ones when they shouldn't be—in the end, the economy suffers far more than it would have if they had engaged in the economic struggle immediately, all while facing a massive political defeat...

I am totally with you on this one, I really think Russia is heading toward a major catastrophe in the near future. ☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Amy Rogers6 said:If Putin were actually the grandmaster strategist everyone claims he is, he wouldn't have messed with Crimea. He would have just slapped sanctions on Ukraine right after Viktor Yanukovych fled.

The people would have turned on the government during the first economic crisis, and then boom—they'd end up with another Russian puppet in Kyiv.

Bottom line: the guy isn't some genius.

He’s got a bunch of yes-men in his inner circle telling him Russia is still a superpower. He invaded Ukraine hoping to crush them in three days while assuming the West wouldn't do anything about it. That's the whole story.

We're talking about an army that ran out of fuel in the first few weeks, was eating food rations that expired back in 2015, didn't even have gear for night fighting, and so on...

What a freaking genius. Where did I even say that? Look, I’ve always said—and I still stand by it—that Russians are massive complex-driven types with an insane inferiority complex regarding the West. When I say they prepared, all I mean is they had a contingency plan for Western sanctions ready to go, and they actually pulled it off. If they hadn't, their economy would have imploded by now. That level of prep didn't just happen overnight when the invasion started.

Plus, those missiles are packed with Western tech—how exactly did they manage to pull that off if they wanted to be able to fire stuff like Iskanders? They knew damn well they’d be cut off from those components immediately, which means they must have stockpiled a massive supply back before February ended. And another thing—this whole attempt to build a payment system isn't some last-minute scramble. Why would they kick the entire process into gear if everything was running smoothly before the invasion?

The answer is dead simple—the Russians didn't just suddenly decide to invade back in February. That whole idea had been simmering in their heads for a long, long time.

For crying out loud, you only need basic common sense here, not a PhD in nuclear physics...

The way Russia fights is a whole different beast. They thought they could just pull off some Blitzkrieg move and sweep through Ukraine—kind of like how the US does things—but they don't have anywhere near the readiness or the coordination within their military branches to actually pull off massive operations like that. It’s not even a question: they got absolutely wrecked right out of the gate.

It’s honestly pointless to sit here debating what Russia could have pulled off back in 2014. They just don't have the chops to push through color revolutions when they're staring down the barrel of the West. Sure, the Soviet Union had that whole ideological framework thing working for them once, but that's ancient history.

I'm not even talking about all that—I’m talking about the facts that are sitting right there like an elephant in a glass house.

Russia’s been prepping this invasion for a long time. If they hadn't spent all that time getting ready, there's no way they could actually handle this much economic pressure.

The European Union is completely unprepared for this mess. Honestly, by pushing all these sanctions on Russia, they’re basically setting themselves up to fail. It doesn't even matter if the Russians win or the Ukrainians win—the EU is going to end up getting screwed regardless. And frankly, they barely deserve better when the entire Brussels bureaucracy is just a bunch of idiots clinging to their cushy, taxpayer-funded seats.


And that’s exactly the point—everyone’s just obsessing over whether Russia is going to crush them, if they're playing some insane game of 6D chess, if they'll eventually get shut down, or if Ukraine is actually going to pull off a win. It's all just noise.

Regarding that last bolded point—what’s actually new here? Honestly, the Russians have been playing this same blunt, "brute force" game throughout history. It’s always just mass moving against mass; they haven't figured out any other way to operate. They won't be ready for another 20 years, let alone be able to pivot and start following NATO standards overnight. If you want to look at where they *have* actually made progress, it’s their grip on the financial system, food production (aiming for total self-sufficiency), and energy control. All of that required serious groundwork, much of which involved strategic diplomatic maneuvering and securing energy guarantees long before the war even started.

What a total mess. It’s like I’m trying to write in Japanese or something—absolute nonsense. Screw this 6D chess bullshit, Vladimir Putin, and whoever thinks they have a better doctrine than everyone else...☕
Prika,

I totally see where you're coming from, but...

1. No matter how much they prepped, they clearly didn't account for how hard the West and the Ukrainians would actually push back. I mean, if they were seriously ready for this kind of reaction, they wouldn't have spent every single day screaming about sanctions, nuclear threats, and shifting objectives.

2. Even though the EU is totally unprepared, I still think they have enough financial muscle to eventually come out of this looking a lot better than Russia does. Like someone once said, getting off Heroin is a brutal process, but it's doable. 🙂
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Unknown
cosmicgull52 said:He is basically daring the West to meet them on the battlefield. Fine. LET'S GO. 🙂

Plus, now he’s going on about how this is such a tragedy for the Ukrainian people, even though he was originally claiming they weren't even a real nation to begin with. 🤔

Man, those Russians can be so indecisive sometimes, haha.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Gregory Ramos3 said:I’m all for it, honestly, but I just find all this propaganda about how Russia is going to turn into some medieval wasteland so hilarious, especially when they’re simultaneously warning us about gas shortages, rolling blackouts, odd-even driving days, or maybe even water rationing... I don't know, to me, that sounds pretty much like what people imagine the Middle Ages to be in modern times. But hey, we aren't backing down. In 10 to 15 years, all of this is going to pay off big time, though I haven't a clue exactly how or what we'll actually have by then.


You guys are honestly stressing way too much over all these announcements, forecasts, and everything else.

Recessions and crises just happen in cycles every 10 years or so, and if anything, we’re already pretty overdue based on our last one. It’s actually kind of wild how the timing of those recent Russian "special operations" lines up perfectly with the early stages of a recession and high oil prices per barrel. There was this one YouTube video doing a comparison—I think someone posted it here on the forum a while back.

Anyway, let’s be real: no developed nation on this planet is truly self-sufficient anymore, not in this crazy global economy where the journey from raw material to finished product involves a massive web of stuff you absolutely have to import from someone else just to make things work.

Time will tell who ends up getting screwed over more in the end, but personally, I’m leaning towards the idea that whoever has plenty of options to swap out their suppliers is going to bounce back easier than the guy who’s stuck relying on basically one single source that can dictate terms and rip him off whenever they feel like it.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Tyler Bennett73 said:Man, I still remember how the European Union and the USA were feeding us this whole fairy tale when those first sanction packages dropped—telling us Russia would be completely broke by mid-April. Well, guess what? It’s already been seven months, and the Ruble is sitting there looking stronger than ever while the Euro is basically in a death spiral. Look, I'm not saying sanctions won't do *anything*, but they're definitely going to trigger some massive backlashes. The real question is: how much is the European Union actually going to take the hit for all this? Right now, we're just seeing the winners rake it in: China, the USA, India, Turkey. Pretty soon, politicians are gonna have to deal with people losing their minds over shrinking wallets—and honestly, who knows? We might even see another "random" pandemic pop up this winter, just "coincidentally" appearing right when things get messy.

Haha, man, you better hurry up and dump your entire savings into Rubles right now, because if it gets any stronger, you might actually walk away with a profit!☕
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Matthew Young35 said:What nukes? As far as I know, Ukraine has five nuclear power plants—I might be wrong there.

I was talking about a realistic scenario: there was zero chance the Soviet Union or Russia would leave even a single usable atomic bomb in Ukraine, and at that moment, it served NATO's interests too.
Keep your nuclear fantasies for the folks over at the Krsko plant.

I'm talking about nuclear warheads, not power plants, 😉
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Jack Hill2 said:Oil prices have tanked; it hit $98 today. The last time crude was under $100 back in early April, fuel prices were $4.00 at the pumps. Now I can't even get by on $4.50?

It’s that old pattern where exchange prices climb and fuel follows, but when oil drops, they claim there isn't a direct link... 😁

One should also consider that ExxonMobil is seeing record profits this year. In the United Kingdom, they just announced a 25% windfall tax specifically targeting oil traders to recoup those massive gains.

I mean, look, you gotta realize that if you grab some oil today, you aren't exactly getting to pump that cheaper fuel tomorrow, right?
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
placidtiger142 said:Just got back from a homeowners association meeting over here in Germany. Some guy was saying natural gas prices jumped from maybe 1.8 cents or 1.08 cents up to almost 10 cents per kWh or whatever the hell they measure it by
.
Man, we are getting absolutely screwed this winter. It’s not even just about heating; we might not even have hot water because they’ll be cutting it off—maybe leaving us with two hours a day or some nonsense. And the extra bills? They're gonna be astronomical.

This doesn't look good at all. We don't even realize what's coming for us.

The idea that there will actually be enough gas and everything else is a total pipe dream. Honestly, props to anyone heating their place with wood. Everyone else is just asking for a massive beating.

Over in Swabia, they’re already starting to drop hints, but of course, they won't tell us the real truth or show the actual projections right now. They don't want to trigger a panic or total chaos, so they're just going to drip-feed the bad news bit by bit.

I'm certain as hell that fuel prices are going to hit at least $10 by the end of the year, if there's even any left to buy.

I wish I could be an optimist, but honestly, being optimistic right now is probably the worst thing you can do.

We need to seriously gear up for the worst. That way, if things don't work out, we aren't totally crushed, and if they do, at least we can survive the winter a little easier.

Being convinced that everything will be fine and that nothing will run out is incredibly dangerous in times like these...

I mean, let's be real, you guys were basically living the dream with those dirt-cheap gas prices back in the day, but since Germany was so heavily reliant on Russian gas, I'd say you can pretty much kiss that era goodbye now. 🙂

Right now in NYC: $0.15So, I'm looking at about 6 cents per kWh, though that’s actually being offset by a little 0.10 cent subsidy. Honestly, I really should dig through my old files and find some past utility bills to see what the rates looked like before this recent price hike hit, because even if things had doubled—which, let's be real, they definitely didn't—it would still mean we were sitting at around 3 cents per kWh back in the day.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko claimed this past Saturday that Ukraine tried to strike military sites on Belarusian soil just three days ago, though he insisted they intercepted every single projectile, according to the state news agency Belta.


Man, that Pancir system must be pretty legit if it actually managed to neutralize every single one of those projectiles ☕{{extra filler to match tone}}
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
hollowdriver13 said:https://twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/st...Cz7a_Ut-gqAAAA

So, Russian state media is out here claiming they’ve taken down 1,000 Lockheed Martins over Ukraine 🙏. 🙏 🙏

I mean, seriously? What kind of math are they using? They're claiming to have shot down more TB2s than Lockheed Martin has even manufactured in total. 🙏

They’re basically saying they downed every single one ever made three times over 🤣 🤣

Honestly, these guys are absolute legends at being delusional, though—they never fail to deliver that signature dose of pure fiction and nonsense we've come to expect from them 🙏 🙏

It would be pretty hilarious if a massive amount of people weren't actually losing their lives because of this level of stupidity 😢
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Justin Mendoza16 said:☕Like, if they aren't being hit—then why can't they pay their bondholders? They just announced they can't pull it off for the first time in 40 years, and all those guarantees are basically worthless now...

From what I've been digging up in the news, this is the first time in 105 years this has happened; the last time they dealt with something like this was way back in 1917.😉

This whole thing was pure Sarcasm aimed at some of those statements floating around the forums and the media from people who are pretty much pro-Russian.🙂
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Dmitry Medvedev, the Deputy Chairman of the United Nations Security Council, claimed on Thursday that under certain circumstances, sanctions against Moscow could actually be viewed as an act of aggression and even serve as a justification for war.

“I want to emphasize once again that in specific situations, these kinds of hostile measures can be classified as an act of international aggression. They might even be seen as a 'casus belli'—basically a justification for going to war,” Medvedev said, making sure to add that Russia has every right to defend itself.

Oh yeah, because those sanctions are clearly doing absolutely nothing at all, right? Total non-issue, I'm sure! 🙄
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Man, we really need a poll back here, because now I’m totally lost on what the vibe is—I can't tell if we're dealing with a fresh batch of trolls or just the same old troublemakers 😢

Honestly, it's just way easier for me to get a handle on who I'm actually talking to when I can see how they voted 😬