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Posts by brightheron64

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Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:

Sure, it’s a full profile leaking out here. Sezmika caught what was almost certainly a secondary explosion of a pressurized mixture. Someone smart figured out exactly what kind of cocktail was sitting in that pipeline and its autoignition temperature at whatever pressure that pipe was under.
All they had to do was set off some modest cumulative charge—nothing massive—to hit that specific temperature once it breached the pipe wall, triggering the blast.

I guess I’m quite the expert myself.😁🕺 I’ll be accepting $50,000 for this consultation from any interested parties. And no, I don't take checks.


Oh, sure, this looks like a textbook case of a profile leaking out... Sezmika basically caught what was almost certainly a secondary explosion of a pressurized mixture, and clearly someone smart enough knew exactly what kind of mixture was sitting in that pipeline, along with its ignition temperature at the specific pressure the pipe was under.
All they really had to do was introduce some kind of low-yield cumulative charge capable of generating enough heat to trigger an explosion once it breached the pipe wall.

I guess I'm some kind of expert now, too...😁🕺[/I]

Are you thinking along the lines of a thermobaric bomb, but a water-based version? 😁
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Morgan Wright5 said:There isn't any concrete around those pipes, so I'm not sure where you're getting that from.

image

https://www.wermac.org/nordstream/nordstream_part4.html

It seems a bit tricky to set up a shaped charge there, wouldn't you agree? I mean, unless you're using something like an 18 kg one, but even then, you wouldn't see much of a hole unless you started stacking them up...

image
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Timothy Nelson5 said:Can you handle this one?

President Biden made it quite clear regarding the Nord Stream 2 Pipeline if Russia Invades Ukraine... he essentially stated that if we see Russian tanks or troops actually crossing the border of Ukraine again, then there simply won't be a Nord Stream 2 anymore, because we are going to ensure its end...
If the Russians decide to invade—and I mean actual tanks or troops crossing the Ukrainian border once again—then the Nord Stream 2 project is officially dead in the water. We will make sure it comes to an absolute end...

When people press him on the specifics of how he actually plans to pull it off, the President just looks them in the eye and offers this unwavering assurance, saying, "I promise you, we will be able to do that..."


I just finished watching this video, and I have to say, it really gives you a lot to chew on regarding everything happening right now... It’s one of those pieces that stays with you, making you look at the broader geopolitical landscape through a completely different lens than what we usually see on the nightly news... The way they break down the complexities of the situation in Ukraine and how it ties back to our own interests here in the States is honestly quite profound... It makes you wonder how much more of this tension we can absorb before the entire structure shifts under our feet...

According to the Omni calculator...

A magnitude of 2.1 on the Richter scale... that actually translates to about 21.3 kg of TNT...
A magnitude of 2.3 on the Richter scale actually equates to roughly 42.5 kg of TNT...

Just for a bit of perspective on what we’re looking at... a 5.5 magnitude earthquake in Washington, D.C., would be roughly equivalent to 2,681,688 kg of TNT, which is about 0.18 of the energy released by the Hiroshima blast...

If you're looking to wrap your head around how we actually measure seismic activity, I highly recommend checking out this resource on Omni... it provides a really clear breakdown of how the Richter scale functions, which can be quite helpful when you're trying to grasp the sheer magnitude of these events...

German... I’ve been thinking quite a bit about the mechanics behind a shaped charge lately... there is just something so fundamentally fascinating about how a concentrated burst of energy can be directed with such surgical precision through geometry alone... it really makes you wonder about the sheer physics involved when you consider how much force can be focused onto a single point... It’s about 27 pounds... just like back at Eben Emael...

image

The result—and just to clarify, this smaller hole is actually where the machine gun mount was seated, rather than being caused by an explosion itself...
image

No.

A 2 on the Richter scale is actually 1 ton of TNT.
A 3 on the Richter scale hits like 32 tons of TNT.
Just click the link if you want to see for yourself. ☕

Are we really suggesting someone dropped three separate payloads weighing between 1 and 3 tons each?
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Green3 said:Still hoping for a more colorful story, like the one boldbison40 put together.

Ship names, crew lists, small boats, specific dates, unloading times—he’ll claim he got all that intel straight from Kaliningrad.

Just to add some context here. The Americans found the Russian explosives already in place and started poking around them, trying to get a look at the tech and reverse-engineer their methods. Something clearly went sideways, and then we saw explosions hit three out of the four positions.
So what now? The wolf finally caught the sheep.
Maybe the Russians put that there as some kind of failsafe during the pipeline installation, a little ace up their sleeve. Then the Americans showed up, started poking around, and well... here we are.


Can you handle this one?

President Biden made it quite clear regarding the Nord Stream 2 Pipeline if Russia Invades Ukraine... he essentially stated that if we see Russian tanks or troops actually crossing the border of Ukraine again, then there simply won't be a Nord Stream 2 anymore, because we are going to ensure its end...
If the Russians decide to invade—and I mean actual tanks or troops crossing the Ukrainian border once again—then the Nord Stream 2 project is officially dead in the water. We will make sure it comes to an absolute end...

When people press him on the specifics of how he actually plans to pull it off, the President just looks them in the eye and offers this unwavering assurance, saying, "I promise you, we will be able to do that..."


I just finished watching this video, and I have to say, it really gives you a lot to chew on regarding everything happening right now... It’s one of those pieces that stays with you, making you look at the broader geopolitical landscape through a completely different lens than what we usually see on the nightly news... The way they break down the complexities of the situation in Ukraine and how it ties back to our own interests here in the States is honestly quite profound... It makes you wonder how much more of this tension we can absorb before the entire structure shifts under our feet...

Timothy Nelson5 said:Force of the blast A 2.1 to 2.2 on the Richter scale is roughly equivalent to an explosion of 1,500 to 2,500 kg of TNT.

That’s... well, it's probably about 7 to 10 times more than what your average heavy torpedo puts out.

Even the pipeline itself could probably be torn apart by a simple 10 kg shaped charge placed directly against the pipe.

So, if this was actual targeted sabotage, a relatively small mine would have done the trick.

It seems unlikely that someone just went out and planted such a massive amount of explosives right now.
I guess it's much more likely that this was set up a long time ago—maybe even before the pipeline was even laid down there.

According to the Omni calculator...

A magnitude of 2.1 on the Richter scale... that actually translates to about 21.3 kg of TNT...
A magnitude of 2.3 on the Richter scale actually equates to roughly 42.5 kg of TNT...

Just for a bit of perspective on what we’re looking at... a 5.5 magnitude earthquake in Washington, D.C., would be roughly equivalent to 2,681,688 kg of TNT, which is about 0.18 of the energy released by the Hiroshima blast...

If you're looking to wrap your head around how we actually measure seismic activity, I highly recommend checking out this resource on Omni... it provides a really clear breakdown of how the Richter scale functions, which can be quite helpful when you're trying to grasp the sheer magnitude of these events...

German... I’ve been thinking quite a bit about the mechanics behind a shaped charge lately... there is just something so fundamentally fascinating about how a concentrated burst of energy can be directed with such surgical precision through geometry alone... it really makes you wonder about the sheer physics involved when you consider how much force can be focused onto a single point... It’s about 27 pounds... just like back at Eben Emael...

image

The result—and just to clarify, this smaller hole is actually where the machine gun mount was seated, rather than being caused by an explosion itself...
image
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
mistyharbor13 said:Honestly, I feel like if the Ukrainians just announced they had a nuclear weapon, things would change instantly. It might be a total bluff... or maybe it isn't... but even then, I guess the Russians would probably think twice before making another threat...

Sent from my smartphone via Reddit


That wouldn't really be a bluff so much as just selling smoke and mirrors.

Which is why this feels so much more convincing, even if it is just a strategic move:

Sunday The United States would respond decisively to Any Russian Use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine and that IT Had spelled out to Moscow The "catastrophic consequences" it would face.
"If Russia crosses this line, there will be catastrophic consequences for Russia. The United States will respond decisively," Sullivan told NBC's "Meet the Press" program.
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...ne-2022-09-25/
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Drew Booth60 said:With their demographic crisis looming, China actually has its best shot at a conflict with Taiwan—or even potentially with the USA—right now. Tech-wise, they've surged way past Russia and are sitting just a notch below the USA, though honestly, they've even overtaken them in a few specific niches lately. They’ve built up this massive new navy and air force, much of which was developed by essentially reverse-engineering Western and Russian tech through theft and espionage—and if you look at modern Chinese alternatives to Western gear, they're incredibly close to the originals. Plus, thanks to the war in Ukraine, Russia has become almost entirely dependent on China, which gives Beijing a solid energy fallback if the US Navy ever decides to blockade the Pacific routes.

The USA has been ramping up military support for Taiwan for quite some time now, which is making any future invasion a much tougher nut for the Chinese to crack. This means China might feel like they have to settle the Taiwan question militarily right now while they still can. Of course, that doesn't mean it'll be a walk in the park—especially if it leads to a direct clash with the USA. Even with the home-field advantage, American military power is stout enough to at least prevent Taiwan from being taken, which would be a massive defeat for China. If Beijing wants to be a true global superpower and a real alternative to the USA, they have to prove they can at least run their own backyard.

The USA is definitely in a stronger position than China right now, but the big question is whether the Chinese will take the gamble or just pivot away from military action entirely to try and destabilize America and seize the mantle of hegemony through other means. Man, what interesting times we're living in.

Let's not be quite so pessimistic...

But honestly, if we've already lost control over our gas, oil, wheat, and cooking oil... and then we look in the basket to find everything else—from high-end computers down to basic garlic—is slapped with a Made in China label... well, then we really are heading straight for disaster... 😲
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Morgan Wright5 said:I suppose an electrical engineer or a mechanical engineer could always find work in service or rentals, but you can't really flip that logic around, which I think is where the real issue lies.

That’s just how it seems to you. 😉 But magic buttons don't actually solve everything. 😁

Can you even fathom a technical director who can't manage to put together a simple twelve-line cost estimate in Microsoft Excel? Believe it or not, those people actually exist...

Now, that doesn't necessarily have anything to do with the war. Or does it? 🤔
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
feralnomad35 said:https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...er-2022-09-07/

So, I was just reading this and thinking about how much things are shifting lately. Basically, Nigeria—which, let’s be real, sits on some of the massive gas reserves globally—is stepping up to strike deals with the European Union to ramp up production. They're looking to beef up supply specifically to fill that huge gap left behind by Russian gas.

It’s pretty wild to watch the fallout in Europe unfold like this; honestly, it looks like we'll end up having Africans pumping that stuff out even more affordably than the Russians ever did.

Well, if there were an option to just drop an LNG tanker right there, drill a hole straight into the Nigerian soil, and fill it up to the brim... that would be wonderful. But based on what little I know about Nigeria... it's a total wildcard. Honestly, it reminds me of those stories you hear about Venezuela...

Who knows, maybe one day it actually happens...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
bluemason3 said:Look at Venezuela—they’ve got massive reserves and yet they’re a failed state, whereas Japan is a powerhouse economy despite having zero domestic energy sources or even any major pipelines, relying almost entirely on ExxonMobil imports instead.

Honestly, I couldn't care less whether Russia collapses or not, because frankly, I'm just too preoccupied with what our own immediate future holds here in the States...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Does this fall under the category of sanctions too? 🤔

Chermak reportedly used money from Russ to snag a massive villa in a luxury spa town for about $14 million...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Nancy Gomez26 said:If you're scavenging for fuel on a beach, it implies you're living in a climate where winters are mild and fleeting—places where you barely need any fuel to get through the season.

That’s just how you see it, though. Have you ever actually dealt with a freezing gale when it's 32 degrees or even 23 degrees Fahrenheit? Or those moments when you have to move the vegetables from your balcony garden into the fridge just so they don't freeze solid?

Down in Split, everything was built with the mindset that thermal insulation, concrete, and high-quality siding were basically optional because, hey, we live in such a warm climate, right?

So, saying this today might come off as incredibly cynical, but...

BREAKING NEWS
Natural gas finally reaches Split

April 16, 2019

By the way:

Snow in Split on February 3, 2012.


Snow in Split on February 26, 2018.


Snow in Split, April 6, 2021.
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Terry Hernandez10 said:The world's major powers are slapping price caps on Russian oil—to which the White House responded: fine, then there won't be any oil.

Meanwhile, MBS is just sitting there rubbing his hands together in anticipation... 😁

He's probably already put a deposit down on a brand new superyacht...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
About twenty years ago, I used to have a wood-burning furnace for my home heating.

There was something quite peaceful about it... you'd head out for a nice long walk with a couple of heavy-duty bags, just wandering along the coast to gather whatever driftwood the tide had washed up onto the beach. 😬
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Anthony Hill5 said:Once again, those relentless critics of Vladimir Putin and the war are being tossed out of hospital windows. I suppose this marks the 1,001st time we've witnessed such a convenient disappearance, wouldn't you agree?

https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-l...#liveblog-body

The Sultan sends along the Katul-ferman and a silk tie...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Well, if we're looking on the bright side, at least with this whole global warming situation, we won't have to worry about the cold anymore...
Russia's invasion of Ukraine: Part 5 in War in Ukraine ·
Matthew Young35 said:Post-1948, Russia had virtually no influence in America.
They don't have much today either, aside from some media support over in Mexico City.

Well, that explains why we went with the MiG-21 instead of the Mirage III...
"Because it was cheaper!"
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Paul Anderson7 said:Russia doesn't actually have an economy; they just have a massive export business for raw materials.

It’s because they're being led by a bunch of fools driven by nothing but pure greed.

They seem much more interested in following the lead of those Middle Eastern oil giants than, say, taking a page out of the Norwegian playbook...
Joe Biden, President of the United States vol. V in Political Scene ·
Jesse Harris6 said:It’s a perfectly civil statement—no insults, no profanity, no cheap provocations, and zero nationalism.
If we were talking about any other minority group, I'm sure he would have unleashed a massive barrage of insults instead.

Take this, for instance?

The head of the United States Senate stated to the Associated Press that it's unreasonable for the United States of America to refuse to cooperate in the investigation...

And I'd still be wrong?

For heaven's sake, you could just completely ignore Bernie Sanders and move on with your life...
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
Jonathan Martinez11 said:France has a ton of their nuclear plants undergoing maintenance right now, so they've gone from being major exporters to importers at the absolute worst time.
The shutdown of several nuclear reactors duo to corrosion issues Has contributed to The French electricity price increase as Power production Has dramatically decreased in The country

Only 24 of the 56 reactors operated by energy giant EDF were online on Thursday.

France, which traditionally exports electricity, is now an importer.

Well, that's just how things go in France; they always seem to find a way to make things complicated...

In fact, they only recently received those essential components from Russia needed to actually build out the fusion reactor...

ITER fusion project gets power supply equipment delivery from Russia
The delivery, from St. Petersburg, was of equipment for the power supply system "without which it is impossible to obtain the first plasma at the reactor" and included "switching equipment, busbars and energy-absorbing resistors for power supply and protection of the superconducting magnetic system of the ITER reactor", which Rosatom said was the most expensive and complex of Russian obligations under the ITER project.
https://www.world-nuclear-news.org/I...ry-from-Russia
Sanctions on Russia in War in Ukraine ·
We could all take turns singing praises about those so-called sanctions...

Just look at a few examples—countries like the US, where over 100 million dollars just vanishes through various "gas tricks." And that’s just the tip of the iceberg regarding what we've actually uncovered.
But what about the ones who stay quiet and keep it all under wraps? I can't help but wonder when we'll finally bring this level of scrutiny to a global stage...

It’s always been the same story—the little guys get caught up in notions of empathy, generosity, or good intentions... while for the real players, it's nothing more than a distraction, a sporadic game of Monopoly where they always seem to come out on top.