Posts by Arthur Hill2

How many points did Wilt score, was it 100? Yeah, okay. ☕

🤣

Miami will be playing tonight without Bosh

S ☕

Roger Phillips said:LA Lakers-Miami 2 1.65

Tonight we have the Lakers-Heat showdown.
I am looking at a Miami victory because they are:
physically imposing, stronger than the home team, and they score heavily in transition, which doesn't suit the LA style.
Furthermore, LA struggles with perimeter defense, an area where Miami could exploit them significantly given their quality shooters.
Then there is the tip-off time at 12:30 PM, a slot that historically hasn't worked well for this squad; even though the Lakers managed to beat the Denver Nuggets on the final day last year, it’s about time LA took a loss at home, despite playing great in their own arena.
That recent loss to the Utah Jazz will serve as a wake-up call for Miami, likely sparking another winning streak.
It is very rare for Miami to drop two games in a row.🤷

We aren't seeing eye to eye here. I have a feeling the Lakers take it today. Setting aside my lack of sympathy for the Heat, my gut feelings regarding the Lakers effectively cancel each other out.

One must consider that the Lakers have dropped two home games this season, with a combined margin of only 3 points—those losses coming against the Chicago Bulls and the Indiana Pacers.
Miami, meanwhile, has already suffered two consecutive losses this season—if memory serves, those were against the Denver Nuggets and then the Clippers, both Western Conference matchups played on the road.

Bryant is locked in. I see that fraud Nicholas Chase lying to and deceiving the public; if Bryant doesn't go over, I'll put Denga in my avatar.☕(I assume Battier will be tasked with guarding Bryant since Wade is far too weak a defender for those last-second God is Jesus moments, but even that won't save them!!!!).

Strictly speaking, if Miami plays to their potential, the Lakers simply don't stand a chance. That is just the factual reality, damn it.

Good luck to everyone tonight. I'm putting the betting side on the back burner; tonight is just about the fun of it!

(p.s. If I had to pick one "lock" tonight, I'd say Rose in his matchup against Griffin or New York City with those beautiful odds against the Boston Celtics, but since I don't feel like writing a full analysis, just ignore this sentence.)

Jeremy Kelly3 said:Can someone please explain to me why the Charlotte Hornets are suddenly sitting at +2?
Did the Hornets just become an elite squad out of nowhere?

It’s always the same story. They set a low line like that... and then some mediocre team ends up pulling off the win.
The NBA is rigged, I swear.i

🤣

Tonight, strictly:



And Kobe Bryant over 🙂

One 🤦 for me.

I honestly figured the combination of the Celtics struggling with their form and the Nets dealing with those injuries would lead to a real grind, maybe even a nail-biter. Instead, we get a complete blowout.

At least the Bulls handle stuff like this routinely, so there's a small silver lining in that.

It’s honestly frustrating. The last time I checked the score, we were holding a comfortable six-point lead, and now, suddenly, we're down by twenty.

shadowjackal27 said:Man...

Where are you even getting this news?

I track all injury news on Twitter. That’s also how I find out about Ray Allen.
But is there some specific group or account on Twitter that updates injuries for every single team?
The way I do it is by typing things like "Ray Allen out" into the search bar to see if it's legit. But it would be so much more practical if there was just one central hub for updates on all players and all teams, right? Surely something exists, I just haven't found where...😁

In principle, every team has its own dedicated beat reporter. These guys hang around the tunnels before games and move through those inner circles; they pick up tips from coaching staff about who's actually playing, who's sitting out, or who's dealing with some random nagging injury.

Take the Chicago Bulls, for example:

http://twitter.com/#!/ESPN

It would be great if someone could drop a link to a place that tracks everything in one spot—not just some official CBS injury report, but actual, real-time info. 🙂

EDIT: Thanks Jeremy Kelly3, I already checked the Bulls fan outlook earlier; they should handle things easily tonight.🙂

I am feeling great about the Nets +6.5 spread, especially now that we know Ray Allen isn't playing. That is a massive advantage. 🙂

The Nets are on a serious upward trajectory. Deron is absolutely tearing it up—betting sites won't even list him because they're terrified of the odds. With Brook Lopez back in the rotation, he completely dominated against the Mavericks. Besides, the Nets already handled the Mavericks in their last matchup:

Lopez's third game back since missing the first half of the season recovering from foot surgery was his best effort. The 7-footer made 17 of 28 shots for 38 points - one shy of his career high - in Tuesday's 93-92 win at Dallas.

On the other hand, the Boston Celtics are seriously considering a complete roster overhaul. Rumors are swirling that the Boston front office is looking to shop for Rodney, Chris Paul, and Kevin Garnett. These whispers are starting to impact certain individuals whose names are being tossed around in major cities across the USA.

The Nets are going to steamroll them like a bunch of amateurs. 🙂

Nicholas Chase34 said:04:30 Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat, tip: James over 26.5 points @ 1.85 Bwin

Settling in here in Oregon where we're looking at one of the most exciting matchups on the schedule tonight. It’s the home team Portland Trail Blazers taking on a heated Miami Heat squad. Portland is well known for having an incredible home-court advantage; their fans really know how to set the tone and create an intense atmosphere. There is one player currently on the rosters who absolutely thrives in that environment at the Rosa Garden. I'm talking about LeBron James. Throughout his career playing there, he has averaged 30.4 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 7.1 assists, shooting 49.7% from the field and 46.9% from deep (15-of-32). http://www.oregonlive.com/blazers/index.... In his last four outings in Portland, James has been averaging a massive 39 points. Batum and company are going to struggle against a physically dominant LeBron James. This looks like the perfect opportunity for him to bounce back after a slightly subpar stretch recently. Generally speaking, LeBron tends to play better on the road, averaging about 2.4 more points away from home than he does at home. To make matters even better for him, Chris Bosh won't be in the lineup, which gives James even more freedom in the offensive sets. Therefore, the over 26.5 feels like a very realistic solution.

👍

I came in here intending to write up my own analysis, but since you beat me to the punch just to show some support, this is an excellent pick. 👍

rustyseal92 said:LeBron James is averaging 39 points over his last four games in Portland.
This is a lock. It's as solid as they come.

I agree. He's been absolutely incredible this season. 😉

I’m thinking both PGs could go over in today's San Antonio Spurs-Chicago Bulls matchup:

Tony Parker, who won the NBA All-Star Skills Challenge last weekend, put up a team-high 21 points in that game and has been averaging 22.3 points on 59.2 percent shooting over his last three matchups with the Bulls.
The Spurs Playmaker has also averaged 23.0 points while shooting 63.8 percent in his last three home games against Chicago.

That performance helped the San Antonio Spurs win 10 of its last 12 home matchups in this series. One loss stands out recently, though, when the Bulls pulled off a 98-93 win on Jan. 25, 2010, driven by Rose's 27 points.
The reigning Most Valuable Player is currently averaging 34.0 points and shooting 59.0 percent through his last three games against the Spurs.

Carlos Boozer might go under; he always seems to struggle whenever he's facing elite teams.🙂

The handicap really killed it. A weak three-pointer, maybe something like 3/18, just wasn't enough. Blah.

Tip 1.
Balance 0.00

I decided to take Chicago -13.5 tonight against the Hornets. I won't list all my picks here since most of them are essentially random selections, but this one is solid. Rose is playing at an elite level right now. While the Hornets have been on a bit of a roll lately—picking up three wins in their last five games—I expect Chicago to cover this spread easily, likely winning by about 16 or 17 points. The Hornets will be missing their top guy, Gordon, which hurts. There's talk that Reggie Hamilton might return for the Bulls, though rumors suggest they might sit him to keep him fresh for the Spurs game tomorrow. In their last matchup, the Bulls dominated in New Orleans, walking away with a 23-point victory.

Unit Stake: 5/10

Odds: 1.85

(I've decided to start keeping my own independent log outside of the SPAT analyses. I want to track exactly how much of what I write on this thread actually holds water. 🤣)

This Milwaukee squad is really starting to grate on my nerves; I can already see them heading straight for a massive slump against the spread 😁.

I doubt there’s any significant money on the line here; this feels more like an exhibition game 🙂

And we still have the best defensive coach in the league sitting on the Eastern Conference bench 🤷

Schumpert isn't going to be part of the competition. Who exactly gave you permission to act like a 🤦
?

Morrow, strictly because he’s rocking that Dražen jersey ☕

Bosh covered the spread and won his matchup (I think)

Tricky 🙂