Watch out with Juve, they're missing Khedira, Marchisio, Asamoah, Mandžukić, and Morata today. Honestly, I don't think it's even worth placing a bet when the odds are this pathetic.
Look, my bad, I was clearly in a total state of delirium and completely blanked on that... so yeah, my apologies. 😬 But honestly, those two flares were totally overlooked and went completely unnoticed—it’s a completely irrelevant detail just so you guys can keep talking out of your asses. 🤦 🤦 🤦
silentsailor28 said:Jesse Campbell, seriously, take a breather with the insults. I'm telling you, not everyone out there is some malicious mercenary looking for a payday. Just think back to last year at Central Park during that Futsal match (09/06/2014)—for days leading up to it, the hype was all about how the public, the cops, and even God Himself were watching us, and we had to be on our best behavior. There were posters all over town saying no flares allowed, and every single person walking into Central Park got handed a flyer outlining the code of conduct. The very first guy to light a flare was someone who’s been riding with the group for 25 years, as far as I know. Is he a mercenary too? Or just some old-timer who ignored the group's stance and broke the rules? It hurts way more when one of your own stabs you in the back than when some random outsider does it.
On 09/06/2014, not a single flare was lit at Central Park.
Tottenham Hotspur-Qarabag FK ah-1,5 2 @ 1,80 Marathonbet (3-1) Tottenham Hotspur has landed themselves back in the Europa League by finishing 5th in the Premier League, but let's be real—they don't exactly have massive ambitions in this competition this season either. It’s common knowledge that they almost always play without most of their starters, and this year looks to be no different. With Eriksen, Mason, Bentaleb, and Dembele out due to injuries, plus Lloris, Kane, Chadli, Dier, and Vertongen expected to sit out of the starting lineup, the squad is looking thin. They entered the league looking pretty unconvincing with a 1-3-1 record and only scoring 4 goals, and honestly, they didn't even have a soft schedule (facing United, Stoke City, Leicester City, Everton FC, and Sunderland AFC). Anyone who has actually watched them lately can see one thing clearly: Tottenham Hotspur has zero ideas when it comes to creative play, and since Kane isn't in that insane form he had last season, goals are coming at a snail's pace. You can also really feel the absence of the injured Eriksen and Dembele, who are absolutely vital for driving the play forward. Looking at the dry statistics, Tottenham Hotspur has been decent enough in Europa League group stages in recent years, though if you look closer, they only managed to beat a weak Asteras Tripolis by more than one goal at home in six matches (alongside Beşiktaş JK and Partizan Belgrade).
Their first opponent this season will be the champions of Azerbaijan, Qarabag FK. These tough guys had some bad luck losing to Celtic FC in the Champions League 3rd qualifying round (0-1 and 0-0), but they went on to knock out a solid Young Boys in the playoffs for this tournament with a 1-0 and 3-0 win. In their domestic league this weekend, they beat Hazar 1-0, their main title rivals, moving up to 10 points after four rounds (3-1-0). Last season, when they made their Europa League debut, nobody gave them a prayer, but these gritty Americans proved everyone wrong. In a group featuring Inter Milan, St. Etienne, and Dnipro, they finished with a 1-3-2 record (6 points), with only Inter Milan beating them by more than a single goal (1-0). Gurbanov is still sitting on the bench for the visitors, and predictably, he's going to roll out the same tactic he used last year: a granite defense that he specializes in, followed by lightning-fast counter-attacks. If Tottenham Hotspur couldn't create many chances in an wide-open Premier League even with their first string, I have no idea how they're going to break down a Qarabag FK bunker today while missing so many key players. I'm betting the visitors won't lose by more than one goal tonight, and for the brave souls out there, maybe try the x2.
Dinamo-Arsenal ah+1,5 2 @ 2,47 Pinnacle (2-1) Dinamo is making their third appearance in the Champions League in recent history, and once again, the bookies are being generous by giving us decent odds against them. So, let’s get into it… The Chicago residents have basically set the gold standard for negative records in the most elite club competition on the planet. Back in the 2011/2012 season, they went 0-0-6 with a goal difference of 3:22, and then in 2012/2013, they managed 0-1-5 with a 1:14 differential. Only scoring four goals across twelve matches is terrifyingly low. Honestly, I think Dinamo actually had a better squad during those two seasons than they do right now—especially the defense, as weird as that sounds. In the qualifiers, they had some absolutely insane luck, both with the draw and on the pitch. They struggled early on against Fole (a 1-1 draw at home), and then dealt with Molde (after a 1-1 draw at home in Denmark, it ended 3-3). By the fourth qualifying round, the draw swung heavily in Dinamo's favor, landing them the easiest possible opponent: the Albanian side Skenderbeu. On the field, it was painfully obvious that those guys weren't even mediocre by European standards, let alone capable of posing a serious threat (even if they did hold a 1-1 draw at home until the final minutes). Long story short, Dinamo blundered through the qualifiers on pure luck. Arsenal are the first ones coming to Maksimir to hunt for prey. The English side started the new season with massive ambitions, which they've mostly been meeting so far. They had a draw with Chelse in the Super Cup, followed by a shocking 2-0 loss to West at the Emirates in matchday one, but they’ve picked up 10 out of 12 points in their last four matches (including a draw with Liverpool). Even though they have another game against Chelse this weekend, I don't think Wenger is going to overthink this; winning a Champions League opener is huge, and there isn't a more perfect opponent for that than Dinamo. At the time I'm writing this, it's known that Hector Bellerin and Aaron Ramsey won't be traveling to Chicago. Unless there are some other major absences, I don't see what kind of miracle could save Dinamo from losing by at least two goals. Out of their 11 losses in previous Champions League appearances, only one wasn't covered the handicap—that was the match against Real Madrid, which was basically a career-defining moment for everyone on that pitch (0:1). It's highly unlikely we'll see a repeat of that given the 2.47 Pinnacle is offering us here.
brighthound8 said:Exactly. And that’s with a -3 point penalty and a yellow card to boot. If they don't fix this by the second round, we're looking at an automatic disqualification—which means every opponent scheduled against the disqualified player gets a win based on their own prediction score. (The base 8 points plus whatever you actually picked)
Man, you're being pretty intense—take a breath, will ya? 😉>
Inter Milan Under 2.5 @ 1.85 MarathonBet (1-0) Even though both Milan clubs have been stuck in a massive slump over the last few seasons, this remains one of the biggest city derbies on the planet. Both sides were busy during the transfer window, though if you ask me, Inter handled their business a bit better. They brought in Miranda, Murillo, Kondogbia, Stevan Jovetić, Ivan Perišić, Filip Ljajić, Felipe Melo, and Tella, while Milan went out and grabbed Mario Balotelli, Bacc, and Luiz Adriano. Both squads clearly prioritized fixing an attack that was absolutely struggling last season, but despite all those new faces, I’m still sticking with the under. Given the sheer number of new players they've signed, it's perfectly logical that Inter isn't clicking yet—but then again, neither is Milan. Looking back at their Matchday 1 clash against Fiorentina, they barely created a single scoring chance, which makes it obvious that it's going to take some serious time for Siniša Mihajlović to get his pieces in place, just as it will for Roberto Mancini. That said, Mancini currently sits at a perfect 6 points (Milan has 3), but those narrow 1-0 and 2-1 wins against Capri and Atalanta aren't exactly anything to write home about. This derby has been about so much more than just a game for years now; you go into it 100% focused and play it safe. In their last nine head-to-head meetings, the under has only failed once—and that was way back in 2012. Considering the tactical philosophies of both managers, I seriously doubt we're going to see an open, end-to-end game with endless chances and goals. Milan is likely to show up with a tight 4-3-1-2 formation, and I expect Inter to do the exact same thing. I really think grabbing that 1.85 on the under at Marathon is the smart move here.
Werder Bremen-Hoffenheim BTTS @ 1.50 bet365 (1-3) We're looking at the total opposite extreme in this matchup. The Bundesliga has been a high-scoring powerhouse for years, and these two clubs are the poster children for goal-fests. Offensively, they belong near the top of the table, but defensively? They're playing like they're in a relegation battle. Despite that, they always charge forward because their managers insist on playing hyper-aggressive formations every single week. Sure, Hoffenheim is a bit weakened upfront after losing Firmino, Modeste, and Schillipock last season, but their system isn't changing—they'll probably just score slightly fewer goals by the end of the year. Meanwhile, Werder Bremen brought back Pizzar, one of the greatest players in their history, though we don't know for sure if he'll actually suit up today. They've played 15 games total, and only three of them didn't end with both teams finding the net—ten of those were in a row! They frequently turn these matches into absolute goal festivals, so even 1.50 feels like a decent value. In the first three rounds so far, both teams have seen BTTS hit twice already.
FC Luzern-Grasshoppers over 2.5 @ 1.72 (Unibet) & over 3 @ 2.15 (Pinnacle) (3-3)
Grasshoppers kicked off this season with Pierluigi Tammi taking the reins. Even though he played as a defender back in his playing days, his coaching philosophy is clearly all about outscoring the opponent rather than sitting back and defending. It’s absolute madness—they've seen 37 goals fly into nets in just 7 league games (that's an insane 5.3 per match!), and if you throw in their cup match, we're looking at 42 goals in 8 outings! That attacking trio of Tarashaj-Dabbur-Ravet-Caio is firing on all cylinders, fueled by veteran service from Kallstro and Bašić. Dabbur has been on the radar of big European clubs for ages now, but for the moment, he's still tearing it up with Grasshoppers. This high-octane, attack-first style of football has become a massive hit with the American fans watching them, propelling them to 2nd place, though they're trailing FC Basel by 5 points. Now, FC Luzern is a side that has spent years hovering in the top half of the table, but breaking into that elite tier alongside teams like FC Basel is a massive mountain to climb (pretty much the same struggle the visitors face). They’re currently sitting in 3rd, but they're trailing Basel by a whopping 10 points. That said, they're riding a wave of four consecutive wins (counting one cup win and a friendly), and their goal production is nothing to sneeze at—scores like 5-2, 2.5-2.5, 1-0, and a gritty 1-0 away win against a tough Lugano side. They are clinical, but they tend to concede when facing the heavy hitters (giving up 3 to Basel and 2 to Zurich), so I have zero doubts that Tammi's crew will find the net during their charge. I decided to split my play here with two options: over 2.5 goals, and over 3 (which gives me a push/refund if we land exactly on three). Looking at the stats, Luzern has hit the over in 6 of their last 10, while Grasshoppers have smashed it in 7 of their last 8. Sure, both meetings between these two last season ended on the under (1-0 and 2-0), but let's be real—the context was completely different back then. If you look further back, 75% of their matches hit the over, so there's a clear trend of high-scoring affairs here, which only strengthens my conviction. Honestly, I don't see what could possibly happen to stop this game from staying well above Grasshoppers' current seasonal average.
Just ignore those provocateurs; they’re just looking for a reaction. Let them suffer in silence. It is absolutely pouring rain out here—it feels like someone opened a fire hose over the stadium—and the entire grandstand is basically washing away. Yet, does anyone have the sense to duck under the cover? Not a single soul. Instead, the whole squad stays out there on the pitch, getting drenched at halftime right along with us... honestly, what else can you say about Real Madrid? They’re just built different.
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Israel-Wales 1 1,97 Pinnacle (0-0) After that gritty win over Cyprus on Thursday, Wales are sitting right on the edge of qualifying for the Eurozone. They can bridge that gap tonight if they pull off a win; doing so would put them a massive 8 points ahead of Israel, keeping them safely in first place above a powerhouse like Belgium (who could close in to +3 if they beat Cyprus today). There is pure euphoria sweeping across the island right now, and people are already hailing this group as a golden generation, even though they haven't mathematically clinched their spot yet. But honestly, who can blame them? This is the first time in forever they've had a shot at the World Cup—it’s been since 1958!—and they’ve never even made it to a European Championship in their entire history. This current Wales squad undoubtedly has the talent, but their real superpower is their team spirit and how much heart they leave on the pitch. They are incredibly tough to break down, too; they've only conceded two goals in seven qualifying matches. The Israelis are praying for a miracle to spoil the party for the Welshmen tonight, but pulling that off is going to be an uphill battle. You have to hand it to them for picking up those 12 points, but let’s be real: if Canada hadn't completely collapsed and fallen apart, Israel would be nowhere near third place or even in the hunt for qualification with three games left. The other teams in the group, Cyprus and Andorra, just aren't in the same league as tonight's visitors, and Israel knew exactly how to exploit that. Bale might be struggling to find his best form over at Real Madrid, but when he puts on that national jersey, he’s always elite and finds a way to score—he was the hero again in that narrow victory against Cyprus. He isn't alone, either; there's a whole lineup of guys who consistently show up, including Ramsey, Kan, and Gunter (both from Reading), King (Leicester City), Edwards (Wolverhampton Wanderers), Davis (Tottenham Hotspur), plus Williams and Taylor (both from Swansea City)... Most of the Israeli squad is made up of players from Maccabi Tel Aviv, and frankly, most of them are just average. Wales remains undefeated with a 5-2-0 record, having fought to draws against Canada and Belgium while absolutely dismantling Israel 3-0 on their own turf. Like I said, the visitors capitalized on two easy opponents and a terrible Canada side to scrape together those 12 points. Still, I don't see them having much of a chance today because Wales looks fantastic; they are so disciplined defensively, and you can always count on Ramsey and Bale to cook something up in the attack, if not a goal. With odds this high, you have to take this bet, because every single piece of evidence points toward a Wales victory today.
bluebear42 said:09.16. LA Galaxy – Arsenal, 4:00 PM 09.29. Bayern Munich – LA Galaxy, 3:00 PM 10.20. LA Galaxy – Olympiacos, 3:00 PM 11.04. Olympiacos – LA Galaxy, 6:00 PM 11.24. Arsenal – LA Galaxy, 3:00 PM 12.04. LA Galaxy – Bayern Munich, 3:00 PM
The Champions League youth schedule. All the home games are being played over at Hitrec-Kacijan, and I really hope we actually show up and support them in an organized way. Let's make sure Machado and the rest of that crew see exactly what they're missing out on.
casualskipper65 said:I couldn't agree more. The Czech side doesn't need to rush anything, whereas Hajduk is basically backed into a corner where they have no choice but to go on the offensive. In that first match, those guys showed they have killer counter-attacks—really fast transitions from defense to attack—and honestly, they look physically much stronger and more athletic than Hajduk. I’m certain they’ll find the back of the net at least once, and I believe Hajduk can score too, though I'm still torn between just playing both teams to score or upping the ante with over 2.5 goals...
I'm on the fence too, but I think I'll pass on being greedy and just stick to both teams to score.🙂
James Taylor3 said:Come on, someone actually explain themselves here. Give me some reasoning! 😉
I honestly think we’re going to see plenty of goals today. Hajduk doesn't really know how to play anything other than wide open, aggressive football, so there's a real chance they concede early on. But if they can manage to grab an early lead? Man, the fans will absolutely go wild, and they could easily run right over those guys from the Czech Republic. On the other hand, it’s pretty clear that Slovan is a nightmare on the counterattack. They aren't going to let any of Hajduk's mistakes slide without punishing them. If they manage to grab an early lead, Hajduk is going to have to open everything up to chase the game, and that's exactly when those guys from the Czech Republic could step in and cruise to an easy win. I don't know, I just have this gut feeling that we aren't looking at a nail-biter here. It doesn't feel like one of those toss-up games where anyone can walk away with it; instead, I'm expecting one side to just pull away and win by a solid two or three goals. It might actually be worth just playing both handicaps. 😬
Ili Over 2.5 goals in Germany at 2.55 odds. ☕ (Odds: 1.95 at SS; 1.83 at bet365)
I’m on board with everything that’s been said here, obviously. I actually wrote up an analysis for the first leg—my bets were on Hajduk with a goal handicap and both teams to score—where I laid out my full reasoning on both sides. Hajduk is going to come out swinging from the very first minute, and I truly believe they’ll find the back of the net at least once (though I’m leaning toward more). In the Czech Republic, it was really just those tiny little details that were missing. Slovan looks dangerous moving forward, but their defense is shaky, much like Hajduk's. I'm expecting a high-scoring affair given the unrealistically high...😲...odds.
This is pure chaos 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣 🤣 I honestly don't know how you people still have the energy to go toe-to-toe with Mamić's agents. Seriously, hats off to you 🙏 🙏