Posts by Bradley Allen3

Indiana vs Toronto – I’m not overthinking this one too much. Toronto is dealing with those injury issues we already talked about, but there's more to it—they just ran a total marathon against Utah yesterday. They played three overtimes, and the starters are absolutely gassed. DeRozan played around 60 minutes, while Bargnani and Calderon both logged about 50. That's a lot of heavy lifting.

Brooklyn vs Cleveland – Cleveland is currently on what Americans call a road trip. This is their sixth and final stretch on the road, and they’ve been struggling with a 1-4 record away from home so far. Like I mentioned before, I don't expect much from them when they're playing on the road, so that's my stance for today. Brooklyn is still missing a key defensive piece in Wallace, but I guess I’m putting my faith in Williams, Johnson, and Lopez to step up and show what they can do. The Nets finally have a roster that commands some respect, and honestly, if they want to be taken seriously, they just have to win games like this.

Orlando vs New York– I’ve been watching various expert analyses, and most people are ranking New York as one of the top two teams in the league right now. Personally, I don't quite agree; I think they might be a bit overrated, but hey, that's just my take. They do win games by huge margins, though. I suppose with Kidd around, the responsibility and organization within the team are at a much higher level than they used to be. It’s a job for the veterans and experienced players, and so far, they seem to be handling it pretty well. As for Orlando, they're battling injuries; Nelson is questionable, and Harrington and Turkoglu are still OUT.

New York – Orlando – I guess you have to wonder if writing an analysis for this matchup even makes sense? I say that because they just played two days ago, and Orlando was a total disaster. They lost by 39 points to Brooklyn. Honestly, the situation hasn't changed much. Orlando is missing Turkoglu, Harrington, Nelson, and Jones, while Brooklyn is without Wallace and Brooks. If you need my previous take so I don't repeat myself -> I really don't have much respect for this Orlando squad. Some people disagreed with me on that, but I'll stick to my guns: in my opinion, they're just weak. They seem to rely entirely on those little lucky streaks that, I have to admit, look incredible at times. Sure, that can happen, but looking at a larger sample size, I see a lot of losses ahead for them. Brooklyn, on the other hand, is a team I actually like. I think they're well-covered at every position and have real potential to do something special. The downside for this group is that the last two games showed just how much Brooklyn misses Wallace, who got hurt in the season opener and probably won't play today either. They don't really have a decent replacement for his position, and I think it would be smart for them to find a solution. But, what am I even saying? I'm sure they've realized that themselves. Still, I suspect they'll be able to make up for not having a solid Wallace against Orlando.

J. Smith 14.5 over – J. Smith is basically the main guy in Atlanta now that Johnson moved on to a different club. It’s pretty obvious he’s in a bit of a slump, which you can tell just by looking at his stats—they're honestly kind of ridiculous right now. Naturally, I expect him to turn things around and fix those numbers soon. Right now, he's averaging about 17.3 field goal attempts and 3.3 free throws, but his shooting percentages are so low that he's only averaging 14 points. RIGHT NOW! That can't last forever, and I'd bet on a player taking that many shots to hit the over on a 14.5 line. I think in the last game, he took 19 shots and 5 free throws. So, yeah, I think 14.5 is just too low for him.

Oklahoma – Cleveland 1 – We all know Oklahoma is one of the top teams in the league. Maybe they're still finding their rhythm after that massive Harden trade, so the pieces are still settling, but I don't think there's much to overthink here. You shouldn't expect much from Cleveland when they're playing on the road. Since I felt comfortable betting against them when they went to face Golden State, I see no reason not to bet against them again today.

Bradley Allen3 said:Orlando vs Brooklyn, away win @1.75 – I honestly don’t have much respect for this Orlando squad. Some people here disagreed with me on that, but I’ll say it again: in my opinion, they're pretty weak. They just seem to be riding a wave of lucky plays right now. That happens, I guess, but if you look at a larger sample size, I expect them to see a lot of losses. On the other hand, I really like Brooklyn. They seem well-covered at every position and actually have some real potential. The downside for them is that the last two games showed just how much they miss Ben Wallace, who got hurt in the season opener and probably won't suit up today. They don't really have a decent replacement for him at his position, and it might be smart for them to find a solution soon. But maybe I'm overthinking it; they've probably already realized that themselves. Still, I think they can make up for the lack of a solid Ben Wallace against Orlando. Plus, Orlando is missing Mehmet Okur and Al Harrington again, and Rodney Nelson is a question mark. To me, it's a good value.

Atlanta vs Miami, away win @1.45 – Atlanta is a decent team, but they aren't exactly anyone Miami should be worried about. I don't think we need to say much about Miami. I feel like we all know what they're capable of since they get so much media coverage. Assuming they stay healthy, I think they're much more powerful than Atlanta.

New York vs Dallas, home win @1.40 – Dallas is playing unexpectedly well this season, especially considering they're without Dirk Nowitzki. Of course, New York is also playing great; they actually set a record this season by starting 3-0, which is the first time they've opened like that since 1999. With the home crowd behind them today, I think they might even push it to 4-0. It's worth noting that Shawn Marion, who is huge for Dallas, won't be playing tonight either. So far, New York has surprised us all with their defense, while Dallas has relied on their offense. I'm hoping the Knicks can find whatever it takes to pull off the win in front of what I'm sure will be a wild crowd.

👋👋👋👋

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets 2 @1.75 – I honestly don't have much respect for this Orlando squad. Some people might disagree with me on that, but in my personal opinion, they’re just pretty weak. They seem to rely way too much on those little gimmicks that, I have to admit, work for them occasionally. Of course, that can happen, but over a larger sample size, I expect them to see a lot of losses. On the other hand, I really like Brooklyn. I think they've got good coverage across all positions and have the potential to actually build something special. The downside for this group is that the last two games showed just how much Brooklyn misses Ben Wallace, who got hurt in the season opener and probably won't play today. They don't really have an adequate replacement for his position, and I think it would be smart if they looked for a solution. But, what am I even saying? I guess they've realized that themselves. Still, I think they'll be able to make up for the handicap of not having a tough Ben Wallace against Orlando. Orlando is also without Mehmet Okur and Caron hậu today, and Nelson is questionable. To me, it's a good coefficient.

Atlanta Hawks – Miami Heat 2 @1.45 – Atlanta is a solid team, but I wouldn't say they're anyone the Miami Heat should be afraid of. There isn't much point in saying too much about Miami. I feel like we all know everything there is to know about them since they're probably the most heavily covered team in the media. As long as they aren't dealing with major injury issues, I think they're a lot more powerful than Atlanta.

New York City Knicks – Dallas Mavericks 1 @1.40 – Dallas is playing unexpectedly well this season, especially since everyone knows they're playing without Dirk Nowitzki. Then again, New York is playing just as well; they actually broke a season record by starting the year 3-0 for the first time since 1999. With the home crowd behind them today, I think they might even push that to 4-0. It's worth mentioning that Shawn Marion, who is so important for Dallas, won't be playing today either. So far, New York has surprised us all with their defense, while Dallas has been the opposite with their offense. I'm hoping the Knicks can find the right solution to win today in front of what I'm sure will be a wild crowd.

Favorite sportsbook

Jrue Holiday over 16.5 – I took him at 14.5 yesterday, but they’ve already bumped the line up today. Even at a local spot, it’s sitting at 17.5 now. One thing that feels a bit off to me, though... in the main book, the Jrue Holiday over 16.5 is at 1.95, while in the HL, it's 15.5 at 1.60. They aren't really in sync, I guess, but whatever. It's the same matchup as yesterday, Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks, only since Philly is playing at home today, they should probably perform a bit better. I'm hoping Jrue Holiday stays on that same level he was at last game (27 points).

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves – The Brooklyn Nets look solid; they seem a lot stronger than they were last year. I don't think we even need to go into detail about what Deron Williams, Joe Johnson, or Brook Lopez bring to the table. The only real downside is that Gerald Wallace is a question mark today after twisting his ankle on that flashy defensive play last game. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves are dealing with some injuries. They'll be without their top guy, Kevin Love, today; Ricky Rubio is out too, and J. J. Barea, who played so well during their win earlier this season, likely won't suit up. I suspect that might be too much of a burden for them, though I'm not entirely sure how they'll hold up against the intense atmosphere in the Nets' arena combined with facing a better roster...

Dana Baker2 said:I won't weigh in on the Celtics because I’d probably be biased, but I know what to expect there. 🤣

I think Washington is a much better squad than Cleveland, so maybe there's value in taking them at -2. I'm not sure where the line sits, but if not the spread, then at least a moneyline play.
Still, it's the season opener, so we really need to see how everyone's conditioning looks.

What I wouldn't suggest is betting on Washington, mostly because their starting playmaker (Wall) and starting center (Nene) aren't playing today. The thing is, those are exactly the guys you rely on to carry the load, so this game feels like a total wildcard to me.
But yeah, if Washington has a full roster, they are definitely the more talented team compared to Cleveland... I guess.