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Posts by Joshua Gonzalez33

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Soccer Betting in Betting Forum ·
Joshua Gonzalez33 said:MLS 2012/2013

Bets #2 , #3

Total played: 1
1w/0v/0l
Unit status: +3.25


DraftKings-->Sonderjyske-Randers [HT or FT Draw @1.60] (5/10)
DraftKings-->Sonderjyske-Randers [1st Half Under 1.5 goals @1.40] (5/10)

Yeah, the new season is kicking off and nobody’s playing it too crazy yet. Randers brought in a new striker and left back, while Sonderjyske beefed up their defense with a solid holding mid and a decent center back. Randers also has a new manager—an Englishman who used to play center back and apparently loves a defensive setup, which helps these picks. Plus, looking at their last 7 head-to-heads, they've hit under 1.5 goals in the first half every single time, and it happened in 9 of their last 10 total games. Also, 8 of their last 10 ended in a draw. Good luck, everyone. ☕

🤦
Soccer Betting in Betting Forum ·
MLS 2012/2013

Bets #2, #3

Total played: 1
1w/0v/0l
Unit status: +3.25


DraftKings-->FC Dallas-Colorado Rapids [Half Time Draw @1.60] (5/10)
DraftKings-->FC Dallas-Colorado Rapids [First Half Under 1.5 goals @1.40] (5/10)

Alright, the new season is kicking off and nobody’s playing it too crazy yet. Dallas brought in a new striker and left back, while Colorado beefed up their defense with a solid holding mid and a reliable center back. Dallas also has a new manager—an Englishman who played center back himself and apparently loves a defensive, tight game, which plays right into these picks. Plus, looking at the last 7 matchups, they've stayed under 1.5 goals in the first half every single time, and 9 of the last 10 followed suit. Also, 8 of the last 10 ended in a draw. Good luck, everyone. ☕
Soccer Betting in Betting Forum ·
Joshua Gonzalez33 said:MLS 2012/2013

Bet #1

DraftKings--->LA Galaxy-LAFC [half-time or full-time draw @1.65] (5/10) 👍

First off, I’m not expecting much scoring from these two. Their offensive additions have been pretty underwhelming. I caught some of LAFC's preseason games, and they looked pretty toothless in the first half—if I remember right, at least two matches were deadlocked 0-0 at the break. They're missing Lasse Nielsen due to suspension, plus Kayke and Nicholas Thomas are out with injuries. LAFC hasn't changed much either; besides bringing in Thelander at center back, they've kept the same core. No major departures that I could find. On the flip side, the Galaxy brought in some young loanees, but the foundation remains the same. Last season they were busy in the transfer market, but this year looks thin. Both teams are sticking with their veteran coaches, so I expect them to play the same old way. And looking at their history, their last four matchups ended in a draw.

Total played: 0w/0d/0l
Unit status: /

Total played: 1 1w/0d/0l
Unit status: +3.25
Soccer Betting in Betting Forum ·
MLS 2012/2013

Bet #1

DraftKings--->LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders [Half-time or Full-time Draw @1.65] (5/10)

First off, I’m not expecting much scoring from these two this season. Their offensive additions have been pretty underwhelming. I watched some of Seattle's preseason games, and they were mostly scoreless in the first half—if I remember right, they had at least two 0-0 halves. They're also missing Lasse Nielsen due to suspension, plus Kayke and Nicholas Thomas are out with injuries. Seattle hasn't changed much either; besides that one decent center-back signing, they've kept most of the same squad. No major exits that I could find. On the other hand, LA Galaxy brought in a few young loanees, but the core remains the same. They were busy with transfers last year, but this year looks a bit thin. Both teams are sticking with their veteran coaches, so I expect them to play the same old way—and that usually means a draw, given how their last four meetings ended.

Total record: 0w/0v/0l
Bankroll: /
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Westbrook is going to finish under 6.5 assists tomorrow because he’s just not that much of a playmaker. Against Dallas this season, he’s averaged 3, 3, and 4 assists. @1,85 feels like a steal to me.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Bryan Adams6 said:James vs Melo? 1? 😕

Honestly, I think it's a lock for 2. 🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Atlanta-Boston 4-3
Atlanta’s got Johnson and Smith ready to go, plus if Zaza comes back, they'll be solid. Probably 4-2 for Boston if they can pull off a sneaky win on the road, but if it goes to 3-3, Atlanta takes it.

Miami-New York 3-4
There’s gotta be an upset here, and I'm leaning toward the New York Knicks. Melo is playing out of his mind right now, and Stoudemire really needs to step up and give it his all in the playoffs.

Chicago-Philadelphia 4-0
As much as I like Phil, they're just too weak.

Indiana-Orlando 4-0
Indiana is just too strong—maybe even a contender—while Orlando is falling apart.

Memphis-LAC 4-3
I'm banking on home-court advantage across the board.

LAL-Denver 4-3
Whichever one of these two makes it through is basically the favorite to win the West. Denver is young, fast, and killer at home, but then you've got LAL with Kobe and maybe the most dominant duo under the rim in the whole NBA.

San Antonio Spurs-Utah 4-2
Home court will probably be the deciding factor, but I think the Spurs have enough juice to steal one in Salt Lake City.

Oklahoma City Thunder-Dallas 4-2
Dallas showed they can hang with Oklahoma this season, so this should be an interesting series. I'll go with Oklahoma though, since Dallas has been struggling lately.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Edward Brown4 (No content provided to rewrite.)
Not feeling this Johnson overload. Bradley should probably keep him on ice. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hUhaa-JJB9w

Anthony C (-27.5) is a total blowout. Expecting a massive comeback from the underdog here.

Spurs -6.5 vs Lakers 1.85... Kobe’s back. If the ball keeps spinning like it has the last few games, we might actually pull off a double.

Cleveland (+8.5) vs. New York (-1.85) Cleveland’s got key players on the injury list, but honestly, nobody seems to give a damn. Rough matchup.

Smith J. at -16.5 is a tempting play against Boston. Even though Bass is an elite defender, Smith always seems to go over when the stakes are high.


First off, you might want to rethink that take on Anthony. How can you be so sure it’ll be a blowout? Especially since we’ve already seen one of those "sure things" fall flat. Look, Amare is coming back, so if you're looking for a reason to bet the under, there it is.

Second thought—regarding the Lakers: how can you claim they’ll pull this off without Kobe if they're playing like they have been lately? They just got blown out by 15 or 20 points at home by the Spurs. Honestly, that’s one of the dumbest takes I’ve read in a while.

You’re totally off on that Cleveland-Knicks game. You're giving out wrong info—Irving is finally back for Cleveland, and as for everyone else? Either they’ve been sidelined for ages like Curry or they’re just replaceable bench pieces like Gee. As for what you said about the Knicks needing this win, they aren't fighting for the 7th seed; they already locked up a playoff spot, so of course they cruised last night. That "battle" for the 7th spot isn't even a race; it’s just the Knicks front office deciding whether they'd rather face Chicago or Miami.

Bottom line—cut the crap.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
rustyraven4 said:didn't want to mess around with the over/unders, so I just went off the lines:
Indiana - Milwaukee 1
They're on a massive run, and even though the Bucks are fighting for a Play-In spot, I think Indiana takes this one.

New Orleans - Houston
NOLA has nothing to lose, while Houston is in a dogfight for positioning against the Pelicans and the Suns.

Miami - Bulls
Probably won't see much from Sabonis, and honestly, the bookies could've bumped up that 1.50 odds a bit more.

Suns - Clippers c🤷
The odds looked good, so I took them.

fingers crossed tonight is like last night 😍


I usually just scan what everyone else is saying here to see if there's any public betting trends, but for real, I can't tell what you actually put down. You could've liked the odds on the moneyline, the spread, or the totals for all I know...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Grega's better than what Detroit's got going on.

Minnesota's missing guys like Jokic, Nurkic, or Love, and Grega’s just averaging about 16 anyway. Detroit’s actually looking decent after winning 3 of their last 5 at home, while Minnesota looks like they've gone 12 straight losses.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
James Campbell6 said:Wait, if Melo isn't playing starting PF, then Pierce won't have anyone to cover for him.
I remember how LeBron was guarding them against Miami, while Haslem was out there handling Fields.🤷

It really depends on when Novak or Jeffries get their minutes. When three of them are out there, they cover more than half the game, and even when they aren't, the rotation is still super weird. It usually ends up with someone getting stuck in an isolation play that just doesn't fit them.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
If you want a little bit of wisdom from me, here it is: just bet on what’s actually going to happen. It doesn't matter if it's an over or an under. For tonight, I'd look at these...

Carmelo Anthony over 27.5 @1.85
-He's on fire right now. He dropped 37 on Boston in his first game at MSG this season, and without Lin or Stoudemire around, he'll probably go out and grab 35+ again. Besides, Pierce isn't exactly known for lockdown defense, especially now that it's not the Playoffs.

Parker under 17.5 @1.85
-His last four games were 8, 14, 13, and 4—and that 4 was against the Lakers. He's struggling, and ever since Ginobili came back, he's taking way fewer shots. Statistically speaking, the under hits more often than the over anyway, so I'll take that.

total @3.42 , pretty solid.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
LeBron James under 27.5 @1.85
Henderson under 14.5 @1.85
Pierce over 19.5 @2.00
Evans over 17.5 @2.00
Anthony over 25.5 @1.85
Chicago vs New York Knicks 2 @4.00

@DraftKings

LeBron’s been under lately—only dropped 49 total points against the Celtics over their last two games.
Henderson has hit the under in his last three (12-8-14), and he usually struggles more on the road than at home.
Pierce put up 23 against Miami in the first one; his last three were 17-24-22, though that 17 came in way less than 30 minutes since they were up big.
Going Evans just because of the odds and the fact that Thornton is out plus Kidd is just getting back into the rotation.
Anthony—you saw him the other night. Don't see why anything would change today, let alone him scoring more than 15.
The Knicks won the other night and they're feeling themselves. They're missing Rose, so the odds are just too good to pass up.

Catch you guys tomorrow to count the cash. 😍
Soccer Betting in Betting Forum ·
Real Sociedad vs Real Betis, Under 2.5 goals @5.25 Bet-Live

Real Sociedad usually keeps things tight at home; when they win, the visitors struggle to find the net. Their home record is 7-4-4.
Real Betis tends to go quiet on the road when they're losing. Away from home, they're sitting at 5-0-10.

Looking at Real Sociedad's recent home run: 2-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0...
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Just noticing everyone's piling into KLOVE all at once. Not trying to be a buzzkill, but this smells like a massive public bet to me. 🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
analoghound21 said:Nobody’s even talking about Indiana. Honestly, I think they finally get their revenge today after losing the last three matchups (two at home and two this season). If they don't strike now, when will they? 🙂

So, if I were actually putting money down today, here's what I'd pick...

Indiana vs. New York: Home win @1.50
Cleveland vs. San Antonio: Away win @1.25 (Spurs could easily end up with the best spread in the league; even though they face the Celtics tomorrow, I don't see them dropping this, especially since they had two days off)
Memphis vs. Golden State: Home or Draw @1.25 (just a safety net—I have a weird feeling this one might go to overtime 😬 ...it's Memphis' second game in a back-to-back-to-back situation; they finally got some payback against OKC yesterday, but they've got the reigning champs tomorrow. James Taylor3 already gave his take, and Tony B. is on it 🙂)
@2.34 total return

Not really feeling a New York win. Indiana looks good and they're on a roll. Bucks are tightening up, Celtics are out of the picture... personally, I'm leaning towards an away win over a home win.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Henderson over 12.5 @1.85 - Allen is out.
Monroe over 15.5 @1.85 - likely missing Nene.
Williams over 22.5 @1.85 - Utah has one of the weaker playoff defenses in the league.


@6.33

Chicago-Denver 2 @3.20 (Honestly, Denver is just too dangerous; they could take Chicago even if Rose was playing)
NJN-Utah 1 @1.90 (after that 4OT heartbreak)


@6.08
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:Jefferson is playing tonight. Arenas in Memphis? Hahaha, they don't stand a chance.

If Conley wasn't such a superstar, maybe Arenas would actually be an extra luxury for them.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Arthur Hill2 said:They're definitely looking thin in the fourth quarter without Rose.

Obviously Deng's going over, he's on my ESPN fantasy team, so he basically has a legal obligation to deliver. 🙂

🙂

Rough night. Getting killed by that Philly under was the worst part.
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Boozer Over 15.5 @1.85
-Looks solid to me. Deng is dealing with an injury and Rose is still out, so I think Boozer and Korver will be doing all the heavy lifting for Chicago tonight.

Igoudala Over 11.5 @1.85
-Line feels too low. With Maggette listed as doubtful, Iggy should have an even easier time getting his numbers.

Charlotte +15.5 @1.30
-A lock in my book. Expecting a low-scoring affair, maybe around 170-180 total points. If Philly gets ahead, they'll likely lean on the bench, which should help Charlotte stay within 15. Plus, Charlotte's last 12 home games saw them stay within 9, and their three recent losses were all by fewer than 10.

Cleveland @2.40
-Pretty evenly matched teams here. NJN is struggling right now—they just dropped games to NOH, losing 94-90 and then 94-102.😕

Charlotte-Philly Under 184.5 @1.85
-The line seems way too high, especially since it's already a couple points lower outside.