Posts by Joshua Gonzalez33

He’s gonna go after Rudy over those free throws

Going with Kevin Love over 25.5.☕

shadowjackal27 said:What do you guys think about Nikola Peković over 17.5? 😕?
It's a high line, but still...

Just looking at how Sacramento handles defense at that position.

Sacramento's defense isn't bad, and DaMarcus holds his own—they're top half of the league. As for the over, it could go either way. It might hit early if it turns into a shootout, but it really depends on Kyle Lowry. If he drops 40+, it’ll be tough, but if he stays around a solid 30, Nikola Peković should clear the over.

p.s. wiredcanyon39, Demps Young isn't playing the same position as Rudy Gay, Sacramento doesn't have the worst paint defense in the league, and Detroit defends PGa pretty well. Everything else seems fine, and I'm with everyone on the picks except for Rudy Gay.

Nicholas Chase34 said:Now that Zach Randolph is back with the Memphis Grizzlies, I'm expecting them to absolutely tear through the Washington Wizards.
Zach Randolph and Pau Gasol are going to absolutely dominate the Wizards' frontcourt. I’m expecting at least 12 offensive rebounds from those two alone, because honestly, I don't see anyone on Washington capable of stopping them. So, I'm putting two picks on this:
Wall under 18.5 (who's already pretty much trash on the road anyway)
Rudy Gay under 20.5 With Zach Randolph and Pau Gasol on the roster, I don't think they're going to need that much help on offense.

I’m totally with you on the Rudy Gay under, but I have to disagree with Wall. You know how they say, "I hate to disagree, but..." Memphis just doesn't protect the paint well enough. I honestly think the lane is going to be wide open for the Washington players, so expect plenty of outside shooting and some quick drives to the rim. Personally, I see a huge chance for Wall over.

Wall over 18,5

As for everything else, I'd say:

Kevin Love over 25.5. It’s gonna be a high-scoring game, especially since they'll probably keep Nikola Peković on a short leash.
Luis Scola over 15.5. Defense is a mess right now and he’s feeling good, plus they're missing some key guys.
Dwight Howard over 22.5. He hit that mark the other night and I don't see why he wouldn't tonight. Miami's going to come out aggressive after that last loss, but they honestly don't have a center on the roster who can actually stand up to Dwight Howard.
Bynum Over 18.5. Utah is struggling hard with rebounding lately, and Andrew Bynum is playing out of his mind right now.
Rudy Gay under

And now we're already at 10

Nicholas Chase34 said:01:00, Steve Nash (Phoenix Suns) - Chris Kaman (New Orleans), pick: 2 @ 1.75 SS

Let's kick things off with our first matchup, Steve Nash. As the floor general for the Phoenix Suns, Nash is definitely in the twilight of his career, heading out to face the Los Angeles Clippers. He's up against one of the premier defenders in the league, Chris Paul. Paul is a beast defensively and usually keeps guys hovering around a 35.7% shooting clip. Nash has looked decent lately, but mostly against teams with weak defenses; when he runs into actual defensive units, they shut him down pretty effectively. Back on March 2nd against the Clippers, Nash only managed 6 points on 1-4 FG and 3-3 FT. At the end of the day, scoring isn't Nash's primary job—he's a playmaker meant to facilitate and set others up rather than hunt his own shot. He rarely hunts volume, which is why he lands under his totals so often. Looking at his last five matchups against CP3, he hasn't cracked the line once (12, 10, 8, 3, 6). Given he’s on the road and facing a lockdown defender, I think Nash stays under his average here. The second duel features Chris Kaman, who's been in decent, albeit slightly inconsistent, form. He struggles to string together big performances, but tonight's opponent should be perfect for him to thrive. He put up 21 points last night against the Lakers, who boast one of the best interior defenses in the league. Since the Hornets are pretty thin at center right now—with Kevin Landry, Emeka Okafor, and Smith all sidelined—Kaman is basically their go-to guy inside. He hasn't faced Washington this season, but back when he was wearing a Clippers jersey, he tore them apart. In his last three games against Washington as a Clipper, he dropped 19, 14, and 28 points while shooting a blistering 67.5%. Washington is sitting near the bottom of the league regarding center defense (#29). When you crunch the numbers, I think Kaman takes this one.

Solid breakdown, just two quick thoughts.

First off, might be better to try a double bet.

Nash under 13.5
Kaman over 15.5 @ 3.42—taking a little risk, but that price is too good to pass up.

Second, Patrick Mcgee is out, so they're definitely thin in the paint tonight. I'm with you there; he's already got 4 points, and if he keeps this pace up, we could be looking at a 20-25 point night.

Here's another value pick for me:

New York - Portland 1/2 @10.00

Both teams are in pretty rough shape right now, so I'd give the home team a 55-45 edge just based on the home-court advantage. That said, New York is actually showing some real potential in the first half—against Philadelphia, Chicago, and Milwaukee—so don't come at me later when things turn out differently...

Lawrence Castillo76 said:A Melo trade? Haha, I’m pulling for Smith on the New York Knicks.

I don't know, man. They've got Amar'e Stoudemire at the 4, and even if he isn't playing at his absolute peak, how do you bench a superstar like him? Plus, they've got Jamaal Jeffries, who is solid defensively.

Personally, I'd be down for something like:

Howard + Turkoglu for Melo + Chandler

More than enough value in this triple for tonight:

Wade-Carmelo Anthony 1 @1.60
Chicago vs Miami 2 @2.30
Jeremy Lin over 15.5 @1.85
@6.80

-Chicago is dealing with a ton of injuries while Miami is coming in full strength. It’s looking like a total toss-up, so I can't pass up those 2.30 odds on Miami. As for the Wade-Carmelo combo, Dwyane Wade feels more consistent to me. I think the Knicks might actually find it easier to contain Jeremy Lin before they deal with Carmelo Anthony, so I'm leaning toward Wade. I like Lin here because he plays way better at home, and Portland's perimeter defense is honestly pretty terrible.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:I think the Warriors just pulled this move to get Bogut healthy. Monta Ellis could honestly tear through the Bucks

Looking at how things stand right now, this is a massive boost for the Milwaukee Bucks. They beefed up their paint and added a heavy hitter on offense.

Long term, if they can flip Jennings Elliss for some solid defensive help at the 3 or point guard, they win big. Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors offloaded a high-usage scorer and two decent bigs to land an SF they already had—he’s fine, just old and injury-prone—plus a center who’s probably the best defender in the league alongside Dwight Howard and Andrew Bynum, if he can actually stay on the court.

If Bogut bounces back fast, this trade works for everyone. It feels like the Warriors did this to protect their pick next year by staying in that bottom-10 territory. On the flip side, Milwaukee is looking like a serious threat to the New York Knicks, who have been all over the place lately. Without a major shakeup, I see the Knicks stuck at the 9th seed this season.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nba/recap?gid=2012031319

Larissa's pick was absolute trash.

John Myers55 said:Check this out: http://espn.go.com/nba/story/_/id/76...is-source-says

Just wanted to weigh in—looks like the Bucks are going to have some serious help under the rim now with Ilyasov and Gooden Udoh Brown. 😲😲😲😲 And you've got Monta Ellis running the backcourt. 😲😲😲😲 I’m calling it now: he’s going to grab a top 6 seed by the end of the season while averaging 120 points a game. 🤣

Terry Myers45 said:If what Mr. Bones is saying is actually true, then
Chicago(191.5)-Miami Heat might be too high. Last game was 190, before that it was 160, plus they're missing players today.

James is averaging 32.7 points in his last three games against the Bulls.
James L (-28.5+) Chicago vs Miami more??

Not necessarily. Fewer points doesn't mean less scoring if their defense takes a hit. For example, Deng is an elite defender and he's out, which makes things even easier for Miami's offense. I wouldn't touch this one.

Miami 2 points at 2.40, decent play, but if Rose is out, it's a lock.

LeBron James should probably be on the over unless he plays like garbage again—missing six straight shots yesterday.🤦

Arthur Hill2 said:Rosa is questionable, Deng is questionable, Watson is out, Hamilton is out, and we're looking at Heat 2,30.

Hard to miss the mark here 😍

Can't go wrong ☕

you see you can just 🤣

LeBron James 🙄

Finally.

graniteotter6 said:Gay isn't playing, he's listed out on the betting sites.
Let's hammer the Lakers with bets. ☕

Well, it's been about 4 or 5 hours since he failed the concussion test. Still, doesn't mean much to me—the Lakers are absolute beasts on the road.

Look what I missed.

Let's go with this:

Cleveland at Toronto, odds are sitting at 1.55.
Indiana vs. Portland, odds are at 1.60.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets over 204.5 @1.85
Sacramento vs. Golden State Warriors over 206.5 @1.85
LeBron James under 28.5 @ 1.85
Martin under 16.5 @1.85
Gasol over 14.5 @ 1.85
@53,74

Toronto's missing Calderon, while Cleveland is out here fighting for a Play-In spot.
Indiana looks way stronger than this. Portland is sitting at a miserable 6-14 on the road, so this line is honestly a steal.
Oklahoma City Thunder and Sacramento should take this one based on pure scoring power and how they're playing right now.
LeBron James is going under 28.5 since he’s sitting at 26.5 online and honestly just struggles against the Orlando Magic.
Martin’s numbers are down because he’s barely seeing more than 20 minutes on the floor lately—averaging under 10 points, plus he was dealing with that injury.
Gasol’s going through cleanly since he couldn't handle those bruisers last time, and now it's payback time. Plus, with Gay sidelined, Marc is probably going to see a few more shots.

🤣 What kind of clown am I, thinking 👍 Monta Ellis could drop 10 points in just 4 minutes 🤦

EDIT: He's at 12, now he's already hit 16..

Joshua Gonzalez33 said:Russell Westbrook under 24.5 @1.85
Monta Ellis under 23.5 @1.85
Carlos Boozer over 14.5 @1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge over 20.5 @1.85

@11.71

Regarding Rose, I'm hoping for a blowout, and DJ isn't bad on defense either. For Ellis, since Stephen Curry is moving back into the starting five and he averages around 22. Boozer because they're missing Luol Deng and Rip Hamilton, and Utah is terrible at defending the four. Aldridge because the Wizards don't defend the four very well; if he could drop 22 against Kevin Garnett, he can definitely do it against a weak Washington squad. Plus, this looks like a 200+ point game.

👍