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Posts by mellowotter36

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The start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine (Part 1) in War in Ukraine ·
gentleharbor3 said:Really interesting lecture by American neorealist John Mearsheimer
who visited the University of Chicago back in 2015, about a year and a half after Maidan.
He lays out a very clear, well-argued case
on why the West is actually responsible for what’s happening in Ukraine and explains exactly how everyone played their part.
It’s an easy watch. He breaks down all the necessary elements
needed to grasp the broader context
of the conflict and the competing interests in that part of Europe. If you know English, give it a look...

[/I]

The West is to blame because they act as if life is somehow easier over there than in Russia, especially in the countries caught in Russia's orbit. I think even the pro-Putin Americans see this—after all, not a single member of their families ever headed East looking for a better life; they always looked toward the West.
The start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine (Part 1) in War in Ukraine ·
https://twitter.com/IAPonomarenko/st...44191474528258

Word is Ukrainian air defense managed to take down an Il-76. That’s devastating. Think about how many people were on board?
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
ruggedjackal46 said:The death toll in the USA is ten times higher than what we're seeing in China. What kind of leadership does that even suggest?

Sweden has a death count roughly equal to our current infection numbers. Look, countries like Sweden or Germany can afford to take those kinds of risks because they have robust healthcare systems capable of absorbing a massive surge in patients. Our healthcare system is already straining at the seams; they're turning away people who don't even have Coronavirus just to keep up. What on earth would happen if we had 20,000 active cases instead of 2,000?

Honestly, this whole situation is a tectonic disaster. It’s a complete wreck for the economy, and it’s just as messy for politics, especially now that the crisis management team has basically become an unquestionable authority. No matter how you slice it, it's a total mess.


America actually has significantly more hospital beds per 100,000 people than Sweden does. I can't Google it right this second, but I remember seeing that data on Eurostat. Sweden has one of the lowest numbers of hospital beds in the EU.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
restlesssurfer97 said:
“The American Wuhan,” the town of Heinsberg right near the border with the Netherlands, was actually one of those very first hotspots where this whole coronavirus thing really started kicking off.

So here’s why: people in Germany just love their carnivals, and they went ahead and held theirs in Heinsberg on February 15th this year. Right after that, they hit this massive wave of infections—like a full-blown epidemic that eventually spiraled into the global pandemic we all know. They clocked 1,281 confirmed cases and saw 34 people pass away out of a population of 250,000, with just over 550 folks having recovered at that point.

Since the outbreak in Heinsberg happened about two and a half weeks before the virus really started spreading through the rest of Germany, scientists jumped on it immediately to launch the "Heinsberg Protocol." The whole idea was to deep-dive into how the virus evolved within that specific community so they could figure out lessons to apply to the entire country. They focused their lens on the Gangelt area, which has about 12,529 residents, and studied 1,000 people from 400 different households who filled out questionnaires and were tested for antibodies like IgG and IgA.

On Thursday morning, they finally dropped the first set of results from this study covering 500 of the participants, and honestly, some of these findings are pretty interesting:

- they found that 14% of those who caught the virus had developed immunity
- about 2% are currently infected
- the infection rate sits at 15%, counting both current and past cases
- the mortality rate is 0.37%

Yawn. ☕

If there are only 500 people surveyed, how can the mortality rate be 0.37%?

One out of 500 is 0.2%. Two out of 500 is 0.4%. So how does that math work?
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
So, you're saying tourists would be actively avoiding Italy, yet your solution to fix that is to suggest measures that would basically turn us into a carbon copy of them?
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
Oh, please. Right now, I’m actually feeling a sudden urge to head out to Sweden and Belarus.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
Anthony Jackson2 said:And yeah, I’ll keep calling you out. Prove to me that the person who spread it was actually being irresponsible, rather than it just being pure luck. Go ahead, I'm waiting.

I live in a house with four other people—three of them work, so 4 out of 5 of us are out every single day, interacting with the world, hitting the grocery store or the pharmacy. The odds of me catching this thing while walking through a park are way lower than the odds of someone in my own house bringing it home from work or the store. So, what's the actual point of quarantines, locking apartment doors, and all those other idiotic measures? You guessed it: nothing. (I wrote that because I knew you wouldn't catch on.)

Besides, the fact that the virus made its way back to China proves these measures were a failure, especially since they aren't sustainable in the long run anyway.

Only 62 new cases in China? That doesn't sound like an outbreak to me. If things were actually returning to total normalcy, then yeah, it would probably resurface.

Until we find a vaccine, the "new normal" is definitely going to involve mandatory masks indoors, temperature checks before entering shops, cafes, and restaurants, and restricting movement for high-risk groups. Honestly, I don't see any other solution right now.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
restlesssurfer97 said:Last week they were all bragging about how low the mortality rate was, and now look—they just opened up a new assisted living facility in Miami. All ten of the positive cases are already on ventilators, and honestly, who knows how many more people are going to test positive soon. This whole thing is unfortunately headed straight for a total disaster.

According to San Diego, nobody is on a ventilator yet.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
Anthony Jackson2 said:It exists—but it comes with strings attached.

He thinks the quarantine placed on Murter is illegal—which, honestly, isn't hard to argue with. Under the Public Health Service Act, you can only forcibly quarantine individuals, not entire regions—and that call has to come directly from the Secretary of Health, not some FEMA directive. Plus, the Law also mandates that anyone forced into quarantine has to be compensated—another detail they seem to be ignoring.

Actually, Section 47 of that act states that movement can be restricted or prohibited within infected or immediately threatened areas.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
Anthony Jackson2 said:So, while Canada is busy drafting actual legislation regarding travel restrictions—

it wouldn't surprise me if those getting slapped with fines for breaking quarantine or leaving their homes end up suing the government for a payday.

We actually already have the Public Health Service Act that allows this kind of thing, so the real question is: should this have been debated in Congress, or can a Cabinet Secretary just decide to do it on a whim?
Anthony Jackson2 said:Look, for the record, you don't actually know the death toll—we've already established that.

The average number of flu deaths in the US is around 14,000 annually, looking back since 2013.

🤦

Which, frankly, doesn't mean a damn thing to them.

What did we establish? I don't even remember posting here in the first place.

Over the last month, from the coronavirus in the Chicago area, 1,617 people have passed away. Between 2012 and 2019, the total number of deaths in March looks like this: 879, 768, 811, 956, 914, 887, 890, 886. Even if you count every single natural death as a COVID death, your theory still doesn't explain this massive anomaly.
Anthony Jackson2 said:Just so we're clear—back in 2018, 16,000 people in Italy died from the standard flu, and even with these inflated COVID numbers, they aren't anywhere near that yet.

Let me set the record straight. In the Chicago area between 2012 and 2019, about 850 people passed away during the month of March. In just the last thirty days, 1,617 people in the Chicago area have died from coronavirus alone.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
http://hr.n1info.com/Vijesti/a494357...eizbjezna.html

Scientist Ivan Đikić joined a live N1 studio session via Skype.

"The absolute priority is stopping the spread. Isolation is unavoidable, and we have to stay on top of hygiene. If we actually stick to this, we can see much better results than some other countries," Đikić said.

"There isn't an effective cure yet, and there's no vaccine for this virus. All we have left is a timely epidemiological defense. If we isolate those spreading the virus, the number of cases will drop, which frees up the healthcare system by preventing massive surges, ultimately lowering the death rate," Đikić told N1.

"Even though these measures might seem overly strict to some, they are exactly what we need to rein in the pandemic and save lives," the scientist added.

"Thousands of scientists worldwide are racing to develop a vaccine, but even with the most optimistic forecasts, we're looking at 12 to 18 months before we have something safe," Đikić noted.

More details coming soon...
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
Honestly, maybe we should just let urbanhawk17, Anthony Jackson2, and Paul Sanders5 handle the measures to stop this virus. I have this gut feeling they might actually be better epidemiologists than the professionals who have spent their entire lives studying this.

Look, I'm no expert, so I'm definitely not going to second-guess the medical pros. I’ll just point out one thing: those people who were looking to get out of places like Washington, D.C. already made their move last week (I was right there with them). So, I really wonder if these new rules will even achieve what they're aiming for.

And then there's that guy who couldn't care less whether a thousand people end up suffocating in a hospital hallway...
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
ironpanther5 said:So, a buddy of mine just told me they’re completely out of flour at Walmart. 🤣
The crew is out there hauling around like they’re prepping for a month-long apocalypse, lugging about 45 pounds of pasta, rice, and canned goods. 😁

Even the masks are gone from Home Depot. But honestly, I haven't seen anyone wearing one on the street or on the subway yet.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
It’s reached a level of recklessness that is honestly just sickening. I don't understand why it's such a struggle for people to grasp that not everyone wants to be sniffed or touched by a dog. And don't even get me started on those owners using retractable leashes that give their pet ten feet of freedom to wander everywhere... I completely agree that an owner needs to keep their dog right at their side when passing others.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
It’s basically just privatizing companies that can't turn a profit—industries that are completely reckless and packed with way too many employees. Pretty much that.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
brightpilot6 said:If we follow that line of reasoning, we’d essentially be looking at deporting nearly half the population of the country.

Walking in lockstep with those paramilitary insurgents 🙏🙏

A total atrocity.


It’s not the same thing. Is it? There is a massive difference between having a war break out on your own doorstep and putting on a uniform, versus flying in from another country just to boost the morale of drunken insurgents after a battle in occupied territory where things went south. No matter how much you try to twist the narrative, context matters.
Bad Boys in Fans ·
Robert Cooper60 said:It’s honestly depressing that they only allow 300 tickets for a section that big.
Because of security or something?

It isn't about security. They just limit away fans to 5% capacity. It's the exact same story we saw when Hajduk played and Torcida didn't even show up to the stadium.

And then you read headlines about how clubs similar to ours are barely breaking even.
Offside Chat Archives (2014-2021) in Soccer ·
It's a decent enough show. It just feels like it's missing those gritty, low-life characters—you know, like that agent in the tracksuit who’s just out there trying to hustle for his 5%.