Posts by Nicholas Chase34

Arthur Hill2 said:OKC is going to absolutely steamroll them, like a blowout victory by twenty points easy.☕☕☕☕☕

I'm totally with you on that one, 😁 man.

http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/19/faw.png/ Real 🤣🤣talk 🤣

Terry Cook48 said:is this Germany? 😁

Yeah 😁

G. Henderson under 15.5 @ 1.85
L. Scola over 17.5 @ 1.85
B. Jennings under 18.5 @ 1.85
@ 6.33 ☕

Nicholas Chase34 said:Man, looking at this matchup between Charlotte and Detroit, you really have to love the chaos of it all, because it feels like one of those classic showdowns where anything can happen once the whistle blows. It’s kind of like watching a heavy-hitting heavyweight boxer from Vegas go up against a gritty, hard-nosed fighter from Philly—you've got that polished, flashy style clashing head-on with pure, unadulterated hustle. You can almost feel the tension building up, similar to how a summer thunderstorm rolls over the Midwest, just waiting for that first big crack of lightning to set everything in motion. I’m leaning towards a wild ride here, but honestly, I'm just stoked to see which side finds their rhythm first!
I'm feeling pretty good about this one, so I'm going to go ahead and put my money on the home team for this matchup! It’s like when you’re watching a high-stakes game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Green Bay Packers; sometimes you just get that gut feeling that things are going to shake out exactly how you expect them to. Everything seems to be lining up perfectly, so let's go with the favorites here. Charlotte I managed to snag over 89.5 points at +85 odds over at DraftKings!
I’d say I’m feeling about a 6 out of 10 on this one. ☕

Eighty-one points... man, I honestly had no clue people were going to miss Maggette that much. 🙂 😠

I was really torn between grabbing the over 176.5 or just betting on the total team points instead. 🙄

shadowjackal27 said:Man, these guys are a joke. It’s like they just threw out different lines and odds for players without even thinking about it.

But picking some totally arbitrary number—like 19 points—and applying it across the board to every single player? That’s just straight-up moronic. Honestly, whoever decided on this probably picked the wrong career path entirely.

So what, are we just supposed to expect 19 points being on the board every single day now? 🤣 🤣

🤣

I mean, if you look at it from another angle, there might be a silver lining where you can actually find some value in specific ranges or odds, like grabbing a Wall over @ 4.05 or maybe Jennings @ 2.4.🤷

Charlotte vs. Detroit
My pick: I'm leaning toward Charlotte to clear the 89.5 point mark at +105 odds over at DraftKings
Stake: 6/10 ☕

Nicholas Chase34 said:Phoenix - Cleveland
pick: Phoenix under 102.5 points @ 1.85 Favorite

The Phoenix squad is playing a much tighter, more grind-it-out style this season compared to last year, both on the offensive end and when they're locking things down on defense. They’re currently averaging about 93.6 points per game, though they bump that up to 96 PPG when they're playing at home. On the other side, Cleveland is looking way better than they did last season; they brought in some new rookies and things are finally starting to look cohesive, even if it’ll take a little while longer for everything to truly click into place. Defensively, Cleveland is giving up an average of 96 points. Looking at Phoenix's track record over the first 9 games, they've only crossed this specific line once, scoring 109 against Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Cleveland has only surrendered more than this margin once in 9 games, against Utah (115) and Toronto (104). Honestly, Phoenix looks a bit more worn down than they did last year, especially since Nash and Hill are the veteran anchors of this group, and both are definitely feeling their age as their efficiency starts to dip a bit. This packed schedule probably isn't doing them any favors, which explains why their scoring average is sitting about 10 points lower than last season. I'm expecting a gritty, defensive battle here, and I think this line was set just a little too high—they probably looked at last year's H2H stats when setting it—but in my book, it's at least two points higher than it should be. Given how everything is trending, I could easily see Phoenix topping out at 100 points or less.🙂

90 points...easier than I thought 😉☕

Phoenix - Cleveland
pick: Phoenix under 102.5 points @ 1.85 Favorite

The Phoenix Suns are playing a much tighter, more grind-it-out style this season compared to last year, both on the offensive end and when they're setting up their defense. They're currently averaging about 93.6 points per game, though they bump that up to 96 PPG when they're playing at home. On the flip side, the Cleveland Cavaliers are looking a lot better than they did last season; they brought in some new rookies and things are finally starting to look like they might click, even if it'll take a little while for everything to truly fall into place. Defensively, Cleveland is giving up an average of 96 points. Looking back at the first nine games, Phoenix has only crossed that 102.5 mark once, which was when they dropped 109 on the Milwaukee Bucks. Meanwhile, Cleveland has only surrendered more than that margin twice in nine games, against the Utah Jazz (115) and the Toronto Raptors (104). Honestly, Phoenix looks a bit slower and less explosive than they did last year, especially since Steve Nash and Tim Hill are the veterans running the show, and both are definitely feeling their age, which shows in their declining efficiency. This heavy schedule probably isn't doing them any favors either, which explains why their scoring average is sitting about 10 points lower than last season. I’m expecting a pretty gritty, defensive battle here, and I think this line is set just a little too high—they probably looked at last year's Head-to-head numbers to set it. In my eyes, this number is at least two points higher than it should be, because given how everything is trending, I don't see Phoenix breaking more than 100 points.🙂

Looking at the league as a whole right now, it feels like the unders are just dominating across the board, whether you're looking at total game scores or individual player props.☕

Based on everything I've been seeing in the news lately, Washington +21.5 @ 1.3 SS looks like a really solid bet to me.

stormyseal9 said:I honestly can't wrap my head around why they're still riding with Rose as the starter when he’s been averaging basically 30 points against the Wizards over their last seven matchups. It feels like we're watching a guy play at an All-Star level while the coaching staff is just staring at him blankly. Like, if you had a guy putting up those kinds of numbers in a local pickup game at a YMCA in Chicago, you wouldn't even think about benching him, let alone questioning his starting spot. At this point, it's almost baffling to see them hesitate when the stats are screaming for him to stay on the floor.🤷

I mean, I'm curious where you even pulled that stat from, because just because a guy is averaging a certain number doesn't mean he’s automatically going to hit the over this time around—it's definitely not a guaranteed bet.
My gut is telling me we're looking at a massive night for the unders tonight. Just feels like one of those evenings where everything stays quiet and nothing breaks open.

Hey, just wanted to let you guys know there’s a fresh line out for the Chicago vs. Washington game +/- 11.5 Check it out here

Taking the Hornets with a +7.5 spread at 1.85
The Raptors vs. Kings matchup looks like a grind, so I'm leaning toward the under 189.5 @ 1.85 Watching the Jazz take on the Lakers, I’ve got a feeling it won't be a track meet—let's go under 185.5 @ 1.85
With the Celtics facing off against Dallas, I'm expecting some fireworks, so let's grab the over 184.5 @ 1.85
Feeling confident about the Nuggets covering that -12.5 spread at 1.85


Looking pretty solid here, sitting at 4/5-5 on DraftKings

Tim Duncan
over 11.5 points @ 1.85 HL

So, Tim Duncan, playing that power forward or big man role for the San Antonio Spurs, is getting ready to host the Houston Rockets tonight. Those Rockets really gave them a run for their money in the season opener, walking away with a convincing 105-85 win. Even though Duncan isn't exactly a rookie anymore, the guy is still playing at an elite level—it’s honestly impressive how he stays so sharp. That signature bank shot of his is basically a cheat code because it's just so tough to contest once it's in flight.
He didn't exactly have his best night against Houston earlier this season, struggling through a 1-for-8 shooting performance and finishing with only 4 points. But, he bounced back big time last night against Milwaukee, dropping a season-high 20 points while shooting an efficient 9-of-12 from the field. He's looking at a matchup against Luis Scola, who’s got a whole bag of offensive moves to work with, even if his defensive game can be a bit shaky sometimes.🤔Houston is pretty much one of the worst teams in the league when it comes to protecting the paint this year; I think only the Sacramento Kings are having a harder time there. They're giving up an average of 49.8 points in the paint, which puts them near the bottom of the rankings at #29. The point total for the Spurs is set at 102.5, which feels like a pretty healthy margin, but since Manu Ginobili is out and it looks like T.J. Ford might be sidelined too, someone is going to have to step up and carry the load. Last season, Duncan averaged about 14.1 points whenever the Spurs were scoring over 100, and he's been sitting right around 13.2 lately. If San Antonio wants to get that revenge win after that opening loss, they're really going to need Duncan to turn it on. ☕

analoghound21 said:play Hey, were you maybe taking some notes on that? 😬 I'm really curious to get a sense of how things are looking right now—like, what’s the actual situation regarding the SS margins? 🤷

The way things are looking at the sportsbook right now, we’re sitting at about 59.60% to 40.40% in favor of the under. 😁 👍

William Price66 said:I honestly can't wrap my head around it, that line feels way too wide. This game could easily swing to a 30+ explosion or just stall out at 10 points; it’s basically a coin toss at this point. I decided to play it safe and grab Love under 24.5 and take the Hawks with a moderate stake. Good luck, everyone!

That's a really solid call... the line on Love is definitely inflated because they're just looking at his season averages. Today's matchup against Toronto isn't even close to what we saw last year. The squad that was dead last in points allowed in the paint last season is actually leading that category this year. 😲 Their only real weakness right now is leaving way too much breathing room on the perimeter, so there's plenty of space to work with there. It looks like the Raptors coaching staff has shifted their whole focus toward defense rather than offense lately. Plus, with Beasley out today, Toronto is going to have more freedom to collapse their defense and gang up on Love.

The Hawks shouldn't run into any trouble against the Nets, especially since they've already handled them twice this season. 🤷 👍 ☕

Just for fun:


Today we're sipping on ... 🙂🙂

LA Clippers (-10.5) vs Milwaukee @ 1.85
Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors under 187.5 @ 1.85
Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Bobcats under 99.5 @ 1.85
@ 6.33 SS ☕

Check out this value play: Chris Bosh under 26.5 @ 1.35 Half Time 🤣

Andrew Bynum under 19.5 @ 1.85
Portland under 97.5 @ 1.82
Sacramento-Milwaukee first quarter 2 @ 2.0
@ 6.73 Lottery ☕

Nicholas Chase34 said:Denver-Sacramento
pick: Denver -11.5 @ 1.85

It’s pretty straightforward when you look at the numbers—the Nuggets are just a nightmare matchup for the Kings. You can really see the cracks in Sacramento's interior defense, especially since they're giving up an average of 53.7 points in the paint per game. On the flip side, Denver's offense is sitting right up there in the league's top three, specifically because they absolutely dominate inside, averaging about 49.7 points in the paint.
If you look back at last night's game against Memphis, Sacramento surrendered a wild 72 points in the paint, which pretty much tells you everything you need to know about their struggle to protect the rim.
Denver finally got some rest after that grueling Back to Back series, so they're heading into a matchup against a Sacramento squad that looks totally broken and likely won't be able to put up much of a fight.
http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/matc...12-01-04/stats

☕

Final score 110:83 That was a massive blowout, honestly. The Kings just couldn't stop anyone inside, giving up a whopping 68 points in the paint 😲 which, at the end of the day, is exactly what decided the whole thing. ☕