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Posts by Nicholas Chase34

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NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
James Taylor3 said:If he picks up Wade Jennings, I honestly can't tell if that over is actually going to hit.🤷

It’s pretty wild how much people on Reddit love to hate on Goozer.🤣

Exactly, because if Wade really starts controlling Jennings, that pick gets super shaky, so I probably wouldn't touch it unless I was just feeling lucky with some random underdog play.

Nah, Goozer isn't actually hated, people just love playing around with those funny nicknames based on his last name.🤣

He's basically the twin brother of Kevin Durant🤣 🤣

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NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
James Taylor3 said:I’m totally on board with what everyone else is saying, but just a heads-up on those Hoopstat numbers you're pulling. I never really dive into that specific site—maybe I should, honestly, but I usually just stick to my trusty little collection of two or three sites to run my analysis—but if I remember correctly, Nicholas Chase34 mentioned once that those stats actually factor in points from bench players too, not just the starters.😉

So, that means Gibson's scoring is going to be baked right into those totals.

Exactly, so they're looking at opponent points from X position regardless of whether it comes from a starter or someone coming off the bench.🙂

Boozer could definitely slide into the over here, because when you've got Rose out there, there isn't really anyone else stepping up to score, and you can't exactly lean on Korver since Philly actually defends the backcourt pretty well, so they'll likely have to rely more on their bigs inside.

http://www.nba.com/statscube/player-...01011;season=r

Philly isn't exactly an absolute powerhouse in the paint, so Boozer dropping about 15 points shouldn't be much of a stretch at all.🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
fadedcyclist4 said:I am totally on board with these two guys!!
These are my first two picks for today... DeRozan has been absolutely killing it over his last five games, averaging about 27, and there is this pretty cool stat where he averages 26 whenever his team wins, so I am really feeling a Bulls victory today. It seems like he realized he’s basically carrying the load lately, so he has started taking way more shots—around 20 a game—which is honestly plenty to clear this line.
Then you have Tatum against Houston, who, after playing Miami, has one of the worst defenses in the league against his position. He usually drops about 22 points from that spot, and he absolutely tore them apart last time; he had a couple of rough outings recently, so he really needs to find his rhythm again today.

👍

I am also eye-balling an over on Jennings' 20.5 when he faces Miami, because even in his last game where his shooting was pretty shaky at only 25% (going 5-for-20), he still managed to blow past the line by hitting 23 points thanks to getting to the charity stripe like crazy (going 12-of-13).

Since Jennings is playing at home now, he gets that huge energy boost from the crowd which usually helps him put up great numbers (averaging 21.5 PPG), and looking back at his season, he has only fallen short of this mark in just two of his eight home games so far. 🤷☕
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
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Best of luck out there! image
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Ronald James41 said:Hey guys, how much would you feel comfortable taking the Bosh over 17.5 points? I put together a parlay using a system bet, and since it’s riding on a $67 stake, which definitely isn't pocket change for a little wager, I'm just sitting here second-guessing whether to include this
one.

Hmm... looking at the rotation, once you factor in James and Wade as the primary scoring options, Bosh naturally ends up seeing fewer touches, especially if one of them gets hot—you could see that play out just like what happened against the Pelicans.

As for Griffin, he’s basically a crowd favorite who really feeds off the energy of his home fans, so you can usually expect his best performances when he's playing in front of a home crowd (he averaged about 24.6 points at home last season compared to 20.4 on the road). Also, keep in mind Blake already faced the Jazz earlier this season and put up 10 points (shooting 5-12 from the field in 27 minutes) during Utah's blowout win.

I'm feeling pretty lucky today, so I'm leaning towards D.Williams over 21.5 and Parker over 18.5... and why Parker? Check this out: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2jWAs3FKAg 🤷 ☕
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
New Jersey under 90.5 @ 1.82 juice
Confidence level: 8/10


☕
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Scott Jackson said:Hey everyone, just joined the group! I see you guys are huge NBA fans and love placing bets, so I figured I'd jump in on the action too... Today, I caught an eye on the total line sitting at 200.5 for the Lakers vs Charlotte game... Honestly, that feels way too high to me, like they're overshooting by at least 15 points... What do you guys think?

Which sportsbook is offering a line like that?

That line is just straight-up inflated; if I were the bookie setting the spread, I would've put it closer to 185.5

Grab it while you can before they pull it off the board. 🤷

Android using Tapatalk
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Just one little public ticket for you guys:

Amar'e Stoudemire over 20.5
The Detroit defense looks pretty soft in the fourth quarter, which is usually when things get real, and most players really capitalize on that. Amare is struggling a bit with his jumpers right now because the New York Knicks just don't have a true floor general to run those Pick and Roll or Pick and Pop plays effectively, at least not until Baron Davis gets back on the court. That said, Mel is likely looking doubtful for this one, so the whole vibe really rests on Amare's shoulders—especially since he already tore it up against Detroit earlier this season, dropping 22 points (shooting 8-15 from the field and 6-8 from the line).

Joe Johnson over 18.5
The Hawks leader basically runs the show for them, and honestly, he shouldn't have any trouble against Toronto since he's always had their number.
Johnson, who leads the Hawks with 18.6 points per game, has averaged 30.0 in his last three games against Toronto.
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Al Jamison under 15.5
Trying to score against Kevin Garnett and Bass is like trying to run through a brick wall; Jamison is going to be totally neutralized.

Golden State vs Sacramento under 199.5 @ 1.85
Indiana vs New Jersey under 190.5 @ 1.85
The lines they set are just way too high, easily by about 3 or 4 points for each of these matchups.☕
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
fadedcyclist4 said:Goozer could definitely pull it off, honestly. Washington gives up a ton of buckets from that spot, averaging about 22 points allowed there, and the Golden State Warriors aren't doing much better in that department. Scoring 15 shouldn't be an issue at all...

From what I’ve been seeing in the stats lately, I think your numbers might be a little off, because the Golden State Warriors haven't actually been that bad at defending the small forward position this season. If you're sure about that, drop a link so I can take a look and see if my data is just missing something.🤷

Android
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
The biggest thing holding the Chicago Bulls back might just be sitting Luol Deng out, though we've got Tim Hardaway stepping up, and he’s really going to need to bring his A-game if we want to pull off this win. I’m personally expecting a massive performance from Derrick Rose, and honestly, I feel like we can actually hold our own against the Miami Heat—they look a little out of sync lately without Dwyane Wade playing at his usual level. 🤷 Go Bulls!

Android user
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
shadowjackal27 said:So, here’s the big question hanging in the air... are we talking about Dwyane Wade, LeBron James, or Chris Bosh for the over? It's a tough one to call!🙄

I’d say give Chris Bosh a shot instead, because trying to bet against LeBron James feels like a massive uphill battle when you consider how much the Chicago Bulls can actually lock things down defensively. I ended up taking the under on him myself, and honestly, it felt like the smarter play. 😁Honestly, when it comes to Dwyane Wade, I feel like it's a total toss-up. 🤷
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
POD:
The Matchup: Tony Parker vs Deron Williams
My Pick: Deron Williams @ 2.0

Al Jefferson is looking to stay under 16.5 @ 1.85
It's going to be a battle between Dwight Howard and Blake Griffin, taking them both at 2 @ 1.70
Going with the SS @ 3.7


Kevin Love should come in under 24.5 @ 1.85
Danilo Gallinari likely stays under 18.5 @ 1.85
Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors total points should be under 183.5 @ 1.85
Thinking about the HL @ 6.33


Good luck everyone! ☕
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Today's top plays:
Wall over 16.5 @ 1.85
Cleveland -3.5 @ 1.85
@ 3.42 Spurs

A few bonus bets:

Charlotte under 83.5 @ 1.85
Houston vs Washington under 198.5 @ 2.0
@ 3.7 Spurs


Good luck out there! 👍
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
@ Keith Moore21 I'll drop my player picks a bit later, for now just lean into the vibes:
Wall I’m feeling pretty good about taking the over on 16.5 here, honestly. It feels like one of those spots where the momentum is just building up, almost like watching a slow burn movie that you know is going to explode into a massive blockbuster by the third act. Everything seems to be lining up perfectly for it to blow past that number, so I'm riding with the over!
Anthony I’m leaning towards staying under that 26.5 mark, honestly. It feels like one of those games where everything just stays tight and controlled rather than exploding into a massive scoring spree.
Parker vs Jennings Duel 1
J. Smith I'm feeling pretty good about taking the over on 16.5 here; it honestly feels like such a solid play given how things are shaking out.
Igoudal I'm feeling pretty good about keeping this one under 14.5.
Martin I'm feeling pretty good about taking the over on 20.5 here, almost like picking a winner at a local dive bar when you just know the home team is going to bring the energy. It feels like one of those situations where everything just clicks, similar to how a perfectly timed play unfolds in the fourth quarter, so I'm leaning heavily toward seeing us blow past that number.

Just a quick heads-up, here’s a little sneak peek at the preview:
Minnesota vs Spurs
pick: San Antonio vs Spurs at 1.9 odds—honestly, looking at those numbers, it feels like such a juicy opportunity if you think they can pull it off.

It’s a total revenge game for the Spurs! They actually had their first showdown with this squad back on Jan 2nd, so you know they're coming in hungry to settle the score. The Spurs ended up dropping this one to Minnesota, finishing with a 96-106 scoreline, but honestly, it wasn't even that surprising given how things have been trending lately. There are just a few things I really wanted to highlight regarding this matchup...
Manu went down early in the second quarter and had to head to the locker room, which honestly threw everything into a total tailspin. It was one of those games where the whole rotation just felt broken, and nobody seemed to know exactly what they were supposed to be doing—especially guys like Kawhi Leonard, Green, and Jefferson. They were basically just wandering around the court trying to find their rhythm! But man, things have turned around so much since then. Tonight, the Spurs have been playing incredibly well without him, and it feels like everyone finally understands their role on the team.
Michael Beasley was absolutely grinding in that last matchup, putting up a solid 19 points, 5 boards, and 3 assists in a heavy 43 minutes of action, but unfortunately, it looks like he’ll be sitting out tomorrow's game!
Tony Parker really went through it during the last game, putting up just 11 points while struggling from the field at 3-of-11. It felt like he was just spinning his wheels out there, but honestly, I’m expecting him to come out swinging and be incredibly aggressive when he faces off against Rubio!

The Spurs are kicking off their three-game road trip tonight! We all know how it goes, though—that opening game is huge, and every squad enters the arena hungry to grab a win right out of the gate. Honestly, this one feels even more intense for the Spurs because there’s definitely a massive revenge factor at play here.

The Spurs are looking incredibly fresh heading into this road trip! Nobody on the squad had to grind through more than 30 minutes against the Hawks, so they should be feeling light on their feet, and honestly, that’s exactly what Parker was saying about it too...
"Honestly, it was just a solid night to catch my breath, especially getting that downtime at home while only logging 29 minutes," Parker said, coming off a 15-point performance that keeps his average sitting pretty at 17.6. "It felt great for my body to recover like that. I have a feeling once we hit the road, I’m going to be grinding much harder and seeing way more floor time if we want to keep stacking up those wins."

Looking at the other side of things... Minnesota is riding high after that solid win over Dallas, and man, can you believe the workload? Kevin was out there grinding for 43 minutes, and Rubio clocked in a massive 46! He mentioned he was absolutely gassed after the buzzer, so you know it was a battle. Honestly, I’ve got a gut feeling that Tony Parker is going to be dominating the paint all night long, which might just turn things into a total nightmare matchup for Rubio!
Ridnour ended up sitting out against Dallas because that knee of his is still acting up, which is a bit of a bummer. He’ll probably suit up tomorrow, but let's be real—he won't be at a hundred percent, so don't expect him to really shake things up or be a major factor in the game.
Minnesota doesn't even have a traditional center right now, but honestly, I’ve been totally blown away by how Splitter and Blair have been playing lately! They are absolutely owning the paint every single night. I just don't see how Darko or anyone else on that roster is going to be able to hold their own against these absolute BEASTS!

Portland Trailblazers vs Phoenix Suns
Since we're looking at the picks, I've been crunching the numbers and feeling pretty good about where things are heading. It’s one of those matchups where you really have to look past the surface level stats and see how the momentum is shifting between the teams. If you're hunting for that edge, just keep an eye on how the key players are matching up tonight—it's going to be a wild ride! Portland -9.5 at 1.85 odds.

Get ready for a revenge game! These two teams first crossed paths back on Jan 6th, and man, it was a total blowout—the Phoenix Suns vs Blazers ended up being a complete demolition where the Suns crushed them by 25 points. There are definitely a couple of interesting things I want to dive into here!

Look, we’ve all seen how much the Blazers struggle when they're traveling, and honestly, looking at these numbers is almost painful. It was a total disaster—Wallace finished with just a single point, Matthews managed 8, and even Aldridge only put up 14. They were shooting a measly 32% from the field, which is just straight-up ugly basketball. If they play like that again, it's going to be a long night, but if they actually find their rhythm, the Blazers are going to be on a completely different level tonight!
Back on Jan 6th, things were still feeling a bit raw for the Blazers since they were basically just finding their rhythm and figuring out how everyone’s pieces fit together—especially with Felton stepping in as the new PG and Jamal coming off the bench to shake things up.
The Blazers are still feeling that sting from that emotional heartbreak against the Warriors, but honestly, this is the absolute perfect setup to bounce back and get some revenge!
Once this game wraps up, the Blazers are heading into a two-day breather, which honestly feels like exactly what they need to recharge the batteries. You can bet they’re going to come out swinging and play their hearts out just to make sure they finish things on a high note!
The Blazers are sitting pretty at 8-1 at home right now, which is honestly one of the most impressive home stretches we've seen in a minute. It’s not even just that they’re picking up wins, though—it feels like they’ve been absolutely steamrolling teams the second they step onto their own floor!

It’s looking pretty rough, honestly. Pacers at 2.0 odds, man. Honestly, looking at those numbers, it feels like such a solid play if you're feeling bold about them today. Looking at this matchup against the Celtics, who are stuck in that tough back-to-back grind, Indiana actually has a serious edge here. They’ve already taken down Indy twice recently, and what really stood out in those games was how they absolutely dominated the glass, pulling down a massive 35 offensive rebounds between the two contests. That extra cushion gave them way more opportunities to get shots up—we're talking a 79-66 win in the first one and then a 94-83 victory in the second—which is a huge tactical advantage for the Pacers. If there's any reason to be cautious, it's just that Indiana hasn't exactly been the most reliable squad when playing on the road, but the momentum is definitely on their side. 🤷 ☕
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Eric Fox7 said:Yeah, honestly, I don't get why they're only breaking down just 7 games at a time.🤔

It feels like they've started messing around like the Lottery🙄

I can't pull up the full breakdown of the spreads because even the Americans haven't posted them yet; once they finally drop them, they'll show up in the offer.

http://scoresandodds.com/

👍
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Orlando vs Boston
I’m feeling pretty good about this one, honestly—it feels like one of those gut feelings you get right before a big win. If you look at the matchup, everything just seems to be lining up perfectly for our side. It's kind of like when you're watching a game and you can just sense the momentum shifting before anyone else even realizes it's happening. I've been digging into the numbers and checking out the latest trends, and there's just this undeniable energy pointing toward this specific outcome. It's not just about the raw stats, either; it's about how the teams are clicking right now, almost like a well-oiled machine finally finding its rhythm after a rough start. So, if you're looking for where to put your energy, my pick is: Orlando Magic -7.5 @ 1.85 SS

To put it simply... it's finally payback time.🙂
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
92 Denver Nuggets are absolutely cooking right now 😲
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Honestly, this one is a total must-try: Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 @ 3.35 bookmaker
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Pacers +9,5
Kobe Bryant
vs LeBron James 1
Carmelo Anthony under 26,5
Durantula under 28,5
D-Will under 18,5
Wall over 16,5
Ellis over 22,5

NBA Betting Parlay
☕
NBA Betting: Vol. 2 in Betting Forum ·
Keith Moore21 said:I honestly think Chris Bosh could easily hit the over tonight (set at 21.5 for the Secret Service), since he’s playing with so much grit lately and looks like he's in peak form. He’s getting way more trips to the free-throw line because he's playing tougher, plus his three-point shot is finally coming along... and they're facing off against the Detroit Pistons, who are basically a sieve when it comes to defending the paint. They're actually one of the bottom five teams in the league for points allowed in the restricted area, especially when you look at how much they struggle against big men or power forwards. Since that's the exact spot where Bosh thrives—averaging about 25 points against them—it's a perfect matchup. Miami isn't exactly tearing through the league right now either, so I don't see them running up a massive score, which means Bosh should get plenty of minutes to work with...

I'm totally on board with that pick 👍

Just a little heads-up for anyone digging through the stats on HoopStats: when you're checking out how good or bad a team is at defending a specific position, the numbers usually factor in both the starters and the guys coming off the bench, though honestly, the raw number alone is usually enough to give you a pretty solid read on how shaky their defense really is. 😉