Posts by Eric Fox7

Casey White13 said:Honestly, those daily doses make me want to gag. 🙏 I'm just gonna hide my Facebook from my browser history. 🙏

I'll give them credit, though—the Average Bettor's Daily Dose actually has some pretty solid takes.

No shows 🤦

currently watching 5, and I've got about 10 more lined up on my watchlist

What exactly makes this an insult? 🤷

The latest video from Krankšvestera Lyrics 🙏

Full lyrics and description here 🤣

Has anyone actually sat down and counted this guy's impact:




🙏🙏🙏

President, musician, vocalist, DJ—the whole nine yards. 🙏

And now he’s just cruised through another election with 97% of the vote... 🙏

Absolute top-tier trash. 🤣

rustyraven4 said:Memories of Murder
Chaser
🙏

Absolute masterpiece 🙏
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0353969/?ref_=fn_al_tt_1

If you're looking for some great non-US stuff from lately: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt1305806/ 🙏

And one French classic for the road: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0387898/...nm_flmg_act_28

Look, I’m not saying they won't pull off an X—I'm just saying that even if they do, they haven't exactly earned their seat at the table yet

Kyle Torres60 said:May 23rd
Granada vs. Atletico Madrid Draw

Last round of the season—Atletico is basically locked into third, and a draw for Granada guarantees they stay up. Granada survives with a tie, no question.

I'm not sure where you're getting your data, but that just isn't right.

If we end up in a three-way tie between Granada, Eibar, and Almeria—all sitting at 35 points—Granada is the worst of the bunch and goes down.
And if it turns into a four-way tie involving Deportivo—everyone at 35 points—Granada is second worst and still gets relegated.

Plus, if they finish level on points with Almeria, Granada drops because of the head-to-head tiebreaker.
The only way a draw saves them is if they tie with Eibar, since their head-to-head looks better there.

jadewolf16 said:vandessyse😁

Man, you really are vandessyse 🤣

The Midwest

Seattle Sounders vs. Portland Timbers: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75 (Over 3.5 @ 2.15 — honestly, might be worth checking which one offers better value)

So, here we go again—another pick built entirely on the numbers, and clearly, the oddsmakers have already sniffed that out. The odds feel a little tight, especially since Seattle isn't exactly known for being a high-scoring juggernaut, but Portland? Man, their games are absolute fireworks. Looking at how these two have clashed lately, you really have to expect a shootout. Even looking at the league averages, the home side is averaging about 3.2 goals per game, while the visitors are sitting at a wild 3.6 over their last 30 matches.

In their last four head-to-heads, they’ve hit at least 4 goals every single time—and 5 out of the last 6 went over 2.5.
Portland has seen Over 2.5 in four straight, and 7 of their last 9 matches have gone over. But the real kicker? Their last two outings were pure madness—we’re talking 16 total goals between them (a 7:1 blowout followed by a 3:5 thriller). 🙏

jadewolf16 said:Kuban is sitting right in the sweet spot—honestly, it’s looking pretty tough for them to drop out of contention. I mean, if Zenit manages to catch a bit of a swell this weekend, they could easily blow right past them and take the whole thing. It's all about that momentum... No shot we’re making it to the playoffs.

Not really, though—not since they’re busy playing in the championship game. 🙂

Look, let’s not get bogged down in the specific numbers—I’ve lost count of how many times I’ve warned everyone about getting hung up on the amounts.

By the way, trying to call three or four 0-0 scorelines right on the money? That’s basically playing the Powerball at this point.
But if you’re hell-bent on playing it that way, wouldn't it be smarter to aim for a 1-1 draw? It's bound to happen way more often than a scoreless stalemate.🤷

12:00 Detroit Red Wings vs. Vegas Golden Knights @ 1.55 (1-2)

The Red Wings have basically been stuck in the basement of the league for ages now—just total chaos—while Vegas is doing everything in their power to make sure they don't end up in that same downward spiral.
They’re sitting just one point outside the playoff hunt after that lackluster performance last time, so those three points today are absolutely vital for them.

Detroit is on a brutal ten-game losing streak; honestly, I think their last win was way back in the fall. 🙏
Historically, Vegas has had the upper hand, though they've managed a few draws here and there, but my gut says Vegas settles this one today.
Might be worth looking at the spread—remember, the last time these two met, Vegas pulled off a late comeback. 1/2 @ 30 (DraftKings) (1-1/1-2)

Eric Fox7 said:Talking about those "underdogs"—it might be worth looking at Persepolis; they desperately need this win, and the Uzbek side is basically out of the running already.
@ 1.40 isn't huge, but there might be a connection there somewhere.

Actually, I think it’s even more interesting to try for an exact 1-0 score (or at least a handicap X).

Bunyodkor has gone through four straight 0-1 losses in the Champions League.🙏

18:05 Persepolis-Bunyodkor 1 @ 1.40 (2-1)

We're talking about the Asian Champions League again.
The Iranians are hungry for that second round—the Uzbeks have been knocked out ages ago.
Throw in a massive crowd of at least 100,000 fans in Tehran, and a single goal seems like a pretty solid bet.

Well, that’s exactly the point. That's why I've mentioned a few times now that we're basically talking about a gray area—cases where people actually get penalized are incredibly rare, if they even happen at all.

I feel like we’ve gone over this at least twenty different times already.

So, look—technically, it’s against the law, but people just find ways around it by using services like PayPal to handle their deposits and withdrawals.
Not that I’ve ever actually heard of anyone getting busted, even when they were moving money through a foreign currency account instead of a standard checking one.

Mark Murphy79 said:There’s actually a theory here that isn't totally crazy. Locomotive can't go into European competition. Why? Because then UEFA would be forced to step in regarding the relationship between Dinamo and Locomotive—and UEFA's whole thing is staying out of domestic league business as long as it stays within the national federation's jurisdiction. Once you hit the European stage, you're stepping outside that bubble.

I don't buy it, though—we heard these exact same rumors back when Los Angeles FC was playing in the tournament.

Tyler Scott8 said:What exactly does the Atlanta United board gain from helping out Zadar??

Just my two cents here—take it or leave it, I'm definitely not claiming to be an expert.

As everyone knows, there are basically two factions in the MLS right now: the establishment crowd and the anti-establishment rebels.

The Atlanta United management—even if the hardcore supporters (looking at you, Atlanta Ultras) aren't exactly thrilled with how things are run—is trying to fight the main power players by using smaller, secondary allies. They're essentially trying to counter the big league bosses with guys who act as buffers, even if those buffers aren't exactly "clean" characters. In fact, the fans have been screaming for them to just play fair instead of bringing in these shady middlemen who helped get the club to its current state. So, a team like Zadar works perfectly for them because they don't really have any other "allies" left in the league. There's even chatter about bringing back one of the old-school managers to help steer the ship. 🤦
On the flip side, the coach is still in charge, but to me, it seems pretty obvious he'd rather see a team like Istra stay up in the standings. Player swaps with Istra happen constantly—guys like Radonjić, Špehar, Ježina... it's a revolving door. He clearly prefers them over Zadar or maybe even Portland, even though they've collaborated more in the past. Last season, it was blatant how certain teams were being pushed, especially after Portland basically gave him the middle finger by refusing to take some loaned players.
Now the real question is whether another backroom deal is brewing under the table.

Portland has the toughest schedule coming up (away games against Rio and Atlanta), but they're hosting Istra.
Zadar has to go to Pula, and their final match is against Los Angeles.
Istra has three extra points in the bank, but they also have a home game against Dinamo, so watching how the coach handles that will be interesting—if Istra picks up even a single point there, I'd call that a massive value bet.
My gut feeling? I think Istra pulls it off and stays up, though man, this is a tough one to call.
Portland would need to snag at least two wins (against Istra and Slaven) to feel safe, while Zadar—in my opinion—will likely drop points in Pula, and they've got brutal matchups against Rio at home and in Koprivnica. To top it all off, they'll have that showdown with Locomotive in the final round, assuming everything hasn't already been settled by then.

driftingotter47 said:it's like a broken movie theater—nothing happens for ages, then everything hits at once

driftingotter47 said:man, don't be ridiculous, you see winners popping up at our local DraftKings every ten minutes🤣

Not really. Between state lotteries and the big national ones, there's a drawing happening basically every five minutes

🤣

Keith Rodriguez27 said:

🙂

Not bad, though I think I prefer this one: