NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Arthur Hill2 said:If my memory serves me right, this player's assist numbers were consistently hitting the under, with just one exception. I specifically recall a stretch where they hit the under two days in a row.

👋 I do seem to remember something from last year, though. Wade always seemed to land on the over when it came to assists.😉

graniteotter6 said:👋 I seem to recall something from last year. Wade was always going over on assists.😉

It seems even Sam Thomas3 can't help but dwell on the unpleasant memories. 🤣

Dwight is sitting at 16, just shy of that 16.5 threshold. Meanwhile, Atlanta's final possession was a total disaster—complete chaos. One guy and Richardson actually ripped the ball right out of Howard's hands. Literally. 🤣)

Westbrook is going to finish under 6.5 assists tomorrow because he’s just not that much of a playmaker. Against Dallas this season, he’s averaged 3, 3, and 4 assists. @1,85 feels like a steal to me.

Rookie center Lavoy Allen will make his first-career playoff start When The Sixers taka on The Bulls on Saturday AT 1

that means Spencer Hawes will start the game on the bench. Hawes Had double-digit rebounds in five of The First six Games of The season but since missing time with an Achilles injury has struggled. He has just one double-digit rebounding performance in his last 20 games.

Allen, in his first season out of Temple, has started 15 games and is averaging 4.1 points and 4.2 rebounds per game. Allen started The Last Two Games of The season , grabbing Nina rebounds against The Pistons and 12 against The Bucks.

A solid bet for Noah to grab over 10 rebounds 🙂

That’s just Westbrook for you.
Ideally, he’d play in Orlando; they’d be knocked out immediately, and I wouldn't have to deal with two headaches during the regular season.

I was going to ask what the plan is for today, but I see everyone is already busy setting things up for tomorrow 🤣

edit: Indiana is already at 1.25 😢

Singliram - Hibbert (-8,5+) over 1,85

I'm telling you, I've got a total feeling about this win!

James Howard63 said:Single bet on - Hibbert (over 8.5 rebounds) at 1.85

I mean, I'm pretty much certain they're taking this one.

Wait, just so you know, that isn't a points total—those are rebounds.
Anyway, if you want a smaller stake, betting on Memphis to win the NBA @25 is the move.

wiredcanyon39 said:Wait, those aren't points, those are rebounds.
Anyway, maybe Memphis takes the NBA @25 on a small stake.

I wouldn't bet a dime on that; seems pretty impossible to me. Today I'm leaning toward fewer assists for Westbrook, maybe putting Mel and LeBron over him and pairing them with the favorites...

Personally, I’m feeling pretty good about Deng staying under 15.5 points... he’s being heavily shadowed by a very solid Iguodala, and with Rose back in the lineup, that just means there are fewer shots going his way, period. If you look at the two matchups they've had so far this season, he’s only put up 14 total points against them..
What say you, experts? 😁

It’s a similar question to what we were asking about Buffon earlier—what do you guys think about Deng going under 14.5? Is he really going to hit that mark, or should we expect something else? I'm curious to hear your takes!
Is Noah really going to hit over 10.5? I mean, can you even imagine? It feels like such a toss-up, doesn't it? Just one of those wild calls where you're sitting there staring at the screen wondering if he's got that extra gear in him today! What do you guys think?
Do you really think he’s going to dominate under the rim more than Allen / Hawes? I mean, just think about it! It's such an interesting matchup to consider, isn't it?

Back after a quick break, diving right back into the NBA

Main ticket

Deng over 15.5 at 1.85
-Some people are doubting me here, but I’m taking him because Rose isn't exactly at 100% given his history of injuries, and honestly, his recent home court form makes this an easy over—he's been dropping 22 against DAL, 16 against MIA, 19 against NYK, 26 against BOS, 24 against HOU, and 20 against DET in his last six home games.
James over 27.5 at 1.85
-He's been chilling a bit lately with some rest, so he could easily step back up to that level where he was consistently putting up 27+ points. Look at the head-to-head matchups: 29, 20, 31 points. Hard to bet against that.
Anthony over 26.5 at 1.85
-I was actually expecting a higher line for him considering how insane he's been over the last month! He's been hitting 39 against ATL, 35 against BOS, 42 against MIA, and 29, 43 against CHI, so anything under 30 feels like a total surprise, especially since his shooting has tightened up to about 50%.
Durantula over 28.5 at 1.85
-I mean, what more do you need to say? The guy has been the league's top scorer for three years straight. Plus, with Harden being a question mark, Durant should get plenty of looks to hunt his shots. He's cleared this line in four of his last five games with 32, 32, 35, 29, 29, and his head-to-head numbers are 22, 23, 27, 30.
Nowitzki over 22.5 at 1.85
-Remember last year's playoffs? He was putting up 32.2 points against Oklahoma City. He hasn't played much recently, but he should definitely come out swinging today.

Stake ☕, Favorite

Rose under 23.5 at 1.85
-Man, he missed 27 games due to injury and everyone was wondering if he'd even play again, so I don't think they're going to push him too hard too fast. He should still grab enough shots to hit around 20, but I'm staying away from the over.
Bosh under 18.5 at 1.85
-This line feels a little too generous considering he's missed the last six games with an injury. In the last head-to-head when he was actually healthy, he put up 16 points.
New York Knicks over 88.5 at 1.85
-People are sleeping on the Knicks right now, but look at their current form! They've cleared this line 8 times in their last 10 games. And don't forget, Stoudemire is back, which completely changes the offensive dynamic.
Iguodala over 13.5 at 1.85
-Taking him based on the last five games where he's been rolling over the line with 14, 16, 19, 23, and 15.
Terry over 15.5 at 1.85
-He's had a couple days off, so he should be ready to perform like those previous head-to-heads where he scored 18, 25, 15, and 16. If he gets hot from deep early, this goes over without a doubt.
Wade over 22.5 at 1.85
-Even though he's dealt with injuries lately—missing 6 of his last 10—I'm riding with him because of those solid stretches where he dropped 18 against Chicago, 21 against NYK, 28 against NYK, and 20 against Boston. Someone has to step up and help James; we all saw how much of a disaster the rest of the squad is when James, Bosh, and Wade aren't there to carry them.

5/6 system, slightly higher stake than usual, SS

Good luck to everyone following along👍, and to everyone else too😉

I'm not really feeling these over bets for tonight, honestly. I mean, we saw margins like this back during the regular season, but this postseason stuff feels way more intense—it's like everyone is playing at a much faster pace defensively than before. 🤷

wiredcanyon39 said:I’m really not feeling these over bets for tonight. We saw margins like this during the regular season, but let's be real—this is the playoffs now. The pace of play and the defensive intensity are on a completely different level than what we've seen so far. 🤷

The margins stayed elevated even after two rounds; they didn't budge. That’s how things worked when Rose was dropping 30+ against the Pacers, and it was the same story with Howard. Someone actually jumped into the thread with that typical "Oh, you're betting over on players in this NBA league" attitude. It didn't gain much traction before dying out, but there it was.

Playing a more simplified role:

Noah over 10.5 rebounds. I'm projecting him to hit 12. He’s facing a rookie in Phile, which is a matchup Noah should be able to handle quite effectively. Furthermore, I am expecting a physical, grinding game with plenty of missed shots—which essentially creates more opportunities for Noah to rack up those boards.
Deng is under 15. I wasn't feeling that first option, honestly. But after giving it some thought and clearing my head, I’ve come to realize there are definitely enough elements there to justify this bet.
Wade vs. Rose. 1,95Rose isn't quite at 100% yet, and honestly, I think the odds look pretty good for us to take this one.

Good luck to everyone tonight! 👋

Honestly, if I'm looking at our main guys, I'm expecting them to step up and bump their scoring average by about 2-3 points during the playoffs.

Arthur Hill2 said:The spreads were climbing after two rounds and just wouldn't budge. That’s how it was when Rose went for 30+ against the Pacers, and Howard was seeing similar movement. Someone even tried to jump in with that whole "Oh, you're betting the player overs in the NBA now?" vibe. It didn't stick for long, but yeah, people will talk.

I’m playing it safe for a easier win here:

Noah over 10.5 rebounds (He's averaging 12 against Philly, and the matchup is a rookie he should be able to handle pretty easily. Plus, I’m expecting a gritty game with plenty of misses, which usually means more chances for Noah to grab some boards)
Deng under 15 (I wasn't feeling it after looking at the first line, but after thinking about it for a bit, I realized there's definitely enough there to justify this bet)
Wade in the matchup against Rose at 1.95(Rose isn't quite at 100% yet, and honestly, the odds look too good to pass up)

Good luck tonight, everyone! 👋

The main picks look solid for sure, but the others might actually hit—at least if you ask me. We'll see what happens.

stormyseal9 said:Nowitzki over 22.5 1.85

Was that right or did you enter it wrong? 🤷 Because it's sitting at 24.5 now.

From what I can see, only SS has rebounds and assists listed? Such a shame...
And while every other sportsbook is offering points for West and Hibbert, of course our SS doesn't have them.🙂 But hey, we've got George. 🤣 If he's the second-best player on the Pacers, then screw it. These two are going to kill them under the rim.
As for the OKC rebounders, it's just Durantula—Ibaka is giving nothing. 🤣
Hibbert over rebounds and Westbrick under assists absolutely nuked the odds...

And yeah, too bad there aren't assists for Wade; he’s had a solid average all season.

@ graniteotter6, what's the move? 😁
New York over, Nelson over assists, Hibbert over rebounds, Granger over points, Dirk over rebounds? 🤷

Noah over 10.5 rebounds.
Thinking Chicago dominates Philly's lineup today when it comes to rebounding.

Philly + 8.5

Even with a potential edge on the glass, I'm expecting a tight game, or at least one where Philly doesn't get blown out by double digits... ☕🙂
It's playoffs, though. Game one. Defenses are gonna be locked in. ☕

Where are the experts, Lin, Panda, Play...?
They've been MIA since the very first games. 🤣

Dana Baker2 said:Was that right, or did you just mess up the entry? 🤷 Because now it’s sitting at 24.5.

From what I can see, is it just SS getting the jumps and assists? What a waste...
And while every other sportsbook out there is offering points for West and Hibbert, of course our guy SS doesn't have them.🙂 But hey, we’ve got George. 🤣 And if he's really the second best player on the Pacers, then screw it. These two are gonna absolutely demolish them under the rim.
As for OKC's rebounders, it's just Durantula; Ibaka is giving me nothing. 🤣
The Hibbert over rebounds and Westbrick under assists combo totally nuked the odds...

And yeah, it sucks they don't have assist lines for Wade, since his average stays pretty solid throughout the season.

@ graniteotter6, what's the move? 😁
New York over, Nelson over assists, Hibbert over rebounds, Granger over points, Dirk over rebounds? 🤷

It was around 10 AM, and usually the margins or the odds start climbing later, so I always try to get my bets in first thing in the morning if I can🤷, because the longer you wait, the higher it goes, unless you're actually trying to play the under.😍