Started by stormyseal9 · · 👁 10 views · 100 replies
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James Howard63 said:I'm taking Hibbert over 8.5 points at +1.85 odds.
Man, I am feeling incredibly confident about this one hitting!
stormyseal9;39189159 said:Back to the NBA after a day off
Main ticket
Deng over 15.5 @ 1.85
-Some people doubt him—whatever—but I’m taking him. Rose isn't playing at full strength given his injury history, and his recent home performance supports the over (scored 22 against DAL, 16 against MIA, 19 against NYK, 26 against BOS, 24 against HOU, and 20 against DET in his last six home games)
James over 27.5 @ 1.85
-He's been resting a bit lately, so he might be back to that level where he consistently drops 27+ points. In head-to-head matchups, he's put up 29, 20, and 31 points
Anthony over 26.5 @ 1.85
-I actually expected a higher line considering how incredible he's been this past month. He dropped 39 against ATL, 35 against BOS, 42 against MIA, and 29, 43 against CHI. Anything under 30 would be a shock, especially since he's dialed in from deep with a 50% clip now
Durant over 28.5 @ 1.85
-The guy has been the league's top scorer for three years straight. Plus, with Harden's status uncertain, Durant should have plenty of open looks. He's cleared this line in four of his last five games (scoring 32, 32, 35, 29, 29), and his head-to-head numbers are 22, 23, 27, 30
Nowitzki over 22.5 @ 1.85
-Last year's playoffs saw him averaging 32.2 against OKC. He's seen limited minutes recently, but he should step it up today
Stake ☕, Favorite
I'm stuck on Durant—he hasn't cleared the line against Dallas all season. Clearly, they're shutting him down effectively🤷
Or will he just lose his mind today and drop 40? Hm?
crimsonangler1;39192408 said:stormyseal9 said:Back from my day off and diving straight back into the NBA
main parlay
Deng over 15.5 @ 1.85
-I know some people are skeptical, but I'm riding with him because Rose isn't playing at full strength given his injury history, and honestly, his recent home court performance makes the over a no-brainer (over the last 6 home games he's dropped 22 against DAL, 16 against MIA, 19 against NYK, 26 against BOS, 24 against HOU, and 20 against DET)
James over 27.5 @ 1.85
-He’s been resting a bit lately, so there’s a good chance he steps back up to his usual level where he’s consistently dropping 27+ points. Looking at head-to-head matchups, he’s putting up 29, 20, and 31 points
Anthony over 26.5 @ 1.85
-I was actually expecting a higher line since he’s been absolutely killing it this past month—dropping 39 on ATL, 35 on BOS, 42 on MIA, and then 29 and 43 on CHI—so anything under 30 would be a total shock, especially since his shooting has leveled up to about 50% now
Durant over 28.5 @ 1.85
-I mean, enough said about him being the league's top scorer for three years straight, right? Plus, with Harden's status being a huge question mark, even if Harden plays, Durant should get plenty of open looks. He’s cleared this line in his last 5 games with scores of 32, 32, 35, 29, and 29, and looking at head-to-head, he's hit 22, 23, 27, and 30
Nowitzki over 22.5 @ 1.85
-During last year's playoffs, he was averaging 32.2 points against OKC. He’s played fewer minutes recently, but he should really turn it on today
bet amount ☕,Favorite
The thing that's bugging me is Durant, though... he hasn't cleared the margin against Dallas all season, so clearly they're shutting him down pretty effectively, right? 🤷
Or is he just gonna lose his mind tonight and drop 40? Hmm?
Sometimes the stats can be deceptive, but the momentum is definitely there and you have to assume he’s going to take 20+ shots. Westbrook isn't exactly clicking right now, and Harden is a massive gamble🤷, btw, Ruzica has improved by 10 points on 5-13 shooting, Deng is sitting at 9, and the only one struggling is Iggy😕
stormyseal9;39192476 said:crimsonangler1 said:Statistics can be deceiving sometimes—but look at the form. He’s going to take 20+ shots. Westbrook isn't playing particularly well right now, and Harden is a total question mark🤷. P.S. Tatum has improved—he’s hitting 10 jumpers out of 5-13, Deng is at 9, and apparently Iggy is the only one actually cooking here.😕
Yeah, Westbrook is completely out of it—someone needs to step up. And what are you even saying? The real question is how Harden is feeling. At this rate, he might not even see the rim once tonight.😁
crimsonangler1;39192500 said:stormyseal9 said:Yeah, Westbrook is totally losing his mind right now, so you're gonna need some serious grit to deal with that mess, and honestly, what even is James Harden doing lately? Is he even in shape? Like, does he even see the rim anymore when he shoots? 😁
Man, that foul looked absolutely brutal🤷, I mean, Ruzic is shooting like he's stuck at fifteen years old, but then you look at Oladipo today and he’s out there thinking he can just chuck twenty-five shots from anywhere, and you just can't compete with that kind of nonsense😍, some guys act like they have zero restraint and just swing wildly whenever they feel like it😉, and don't even get me started on Luol Deng, because after that, he couldn't hit anything if his life depended on it
Christian Ruiz said:Shawn Marion over #12.5
While Hurricane Sandy is tearing up the East Coast, we’re moving things out to the West Coast for the NBA season opener. I won't waste space rehashing all the massive trades and roster shifts—you can find much more detailed breakdowns on the specialized sports sites, and I'm sure people here on the forum have already covered it extensively. Let's focus on the current state of affairs regarding the Lakers vs. Mavericks matchup. Honestly? The Mavs are in deep trouble heading into this season. Dirk is out for at least a month following knee surgery, Kaman is also battling injuries, and according to the latest team reports, they’ve waived Delonte West—the guy James' mother knows—due to two incidents of misconduct in the last two weeks. Word is that Curry, who was cut by the Spurs and brought in just to fill a roster spot, might actually start at center against Howard. On top of that, Brandan Wright and Cunningham have both been dealing with injury issues. Looking at it objectively, it's going to be an uphill battle for Dallas in the early stages of the season. Then again, so many rosters have changed; everyone needs time to gel. Plenty of teams are facing similar growing pains, so we'll just have to see how the starting lineups shake out.
Shawn Marion is a cornerstone for Dallas even though the season hasn't even started, but I have to use this margin because, given everything mentioned above, it’s way too low. The situation in Dallas is what it is. Aside from Marion, their offensive options might fall to newcomers like Maya and Collison—maybe even Air Canada. With Brand fighting tough matchups under the rim, I'm convinced Marion has to step up today as the primary leader; after all, that's what's expected of him given his experience and value to the squad. The Lakers aren't exactly unscathed either—Bryant is predictably a question mark regarding his availability, and Howard is still recovering, though he should make his debut in the yellow jersey. Once we get more injury updates, we'll have a clearer picture.
gentleotter26 said:Kobe Bryant under 26.5 @1.85
Kobe Bryant hurt his right foot last Sunday (Oct 21) during a preseason game against the Sacramento Kings, so there’s even doubt if he plays in today's season opener. If he does suit up, I don't think we should expect heavy minutes, and he probably won't push himself too hard. He hasn't been practicing since then, and he might show up still playing through the pain. I guess this looks like a gift from the bookies, so maybe worth looking at $70. Last season, Bryant averaged about 27.9 points per game. The Mavericks were giving up around 92.6 points per game in the preseason.
