NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Terry Cook48 said:I don't really follow basketball or the NBA very closely... could someone please explain why you're picking these specific games and what "PO" actually stands for? Thanks!

PO stands for Playoffs.

If you want a little bit of wisdom from me, here it is: just bet on what’s actually going to happen. It doesn't matter if it's an over or an under. For tonight, I'd look at these...

Carmelo Anthony over 27.5 @1.85
-He's on fire right now. He dropped 37 on Boston in his first game at MSG this season, and without Lin or Stoudemire around, he'll probably go out and grab 35+ again. Besides, Pierce isn't exactly known for lockdown defense, especially now that it's not the Playoffs.

Parker under 17.5 @1.85
-His last four games were 8, 14, 13, and 4—and that 4 was against the Lakers. He's struggling, and ever since Ginobili came back, he's taking way fewer shots. Statistically speaking, the under hits more often than the over anyway, so I'll take that.

total @3.42 , pretty solid.

The Lakers at +3.5? Are you guys serious? Last time out, Bynum and Gasol absolutely bullied them on the boards. I honestly don't see why we wouldn't see a repeat of that dominance.

Bynum 20.5 over? Honestly, I don't think anyone can stop him right now. Duncan is just too old, and is Pop really going to sit there and let them get eaten up without sending a double team?

Joshua Gonzalez33 said:If you want me to share a little bit of wisdom with you all, here it is: it’s worth just betting on what’s actually going to happen, whether it’s an over or an under. For example, tonight you should look at these...

Carmelo Anthony over 27.5 @1.85
-The guy is in incredible form. In his first game at MSG this season, he dropped 37 on Boston. With Lin and Stoudemire out, he’ll probably go out there tonight and hunt for another 35+. Besides, Pierce isn't exactly known for lockdown defense, especially now that it's not the Playoffs.

Parker under 17.5 @1.85
-His last four games were 8, 14, 13, and then that 4—which was against the Lakers, of all teams. He's just not feeling it lately, and ever since Ginobili came back, he's been taking way fewer shots. Plus, statistically speaking, the under hits much more often than the over, so I’d rather take that shot.

Total @3.42. Pretty smart, right?

But wait, why isn't Melo playing starting PF??? If he isn't, Pierce won't be guarding him!
(I know when they played Miami, LeBron was on him and Haslem stayed out to cover Fields)🤷

Memphis-Minnesota under 194

After that unexpected loss to the Knicks—where, frankly, the scoring was embarrassingly low—we’re heading out to chase a win in the coldest major city in the States.
We all know how Memphis operates: they clog up the paint and swarm perimeter players like Conley and Allen, basically buzzing around them like wasps to force those turnovers.
Looking at Minnesota, it seems like Beasley is the only one showing any real flashes of brilliance since coming back from injury, which is probably why he was one of my favorite players to watch last season... I think the picture is pretty clear here.

Good grief, Pierce is averaging 32 points against the Knicks, so I’m taking the Garnett over.🤣

Yeah, whatever.

Granger hits 4 threes and he's already at 16 points... 🤣 meanwhile I'm sitting here with my nice little under.

I know now that whenever I bet against him, no matter the context, I'm basically handing money away by default.🙂

But fine, clearly I just love it when he ruins my day.🤦

Same deal with that easy loss on the Indiana under. The Sixers haven't played defense in ages, yet here I am taking that pathetic under on the Pacers.🤦 🤣

Expect some drops today... Memphis-Minnesota going over, and Carmelo Anthony under if Boston doesn't step it up☕

Jamison 0-10 ☕

Hmm, Garnett hitting two free throws... that's going to cost me and my parlay. Plus, this blowout isn't looking like a good move either.

The Knicks were hitting 70% of their shots—absolutely clinical—while Cleveland couldn't even scrape together 35%.

James Howard63 said:Philadelphia (h-3.5) - Indiana 2 1.85
...

Philadelphia 97 - 102 Indiana

So, let me break this down for you guys;

First half ended at 47:42 in favor of Indiana.
It was such a toss-up, honestly! Just totally even play from both sides.

The Sixers actually stepped up their offensive rebounding compared to that matchup against Orlando yesterday, which was great to see, and their shooting percentage looked pretty decent too! They weren't really getting much out of Vučević, Meeks, or Holiday, though—just zero points from those starters. Iguodala & Young were carrying the load with 10 points, and Brand held his own.
Hawes had 4 turnovers, though.

But man, Indiana just had control of the rhythm here, and their defense? Absolutely locked in.
Granger dropped 11 and Hill added 10.
They shot about 47% overall, with 46% from beyond the arc.
And George was everywhere with 4 steals!

Then, the second half starts and Philly comes out absolutely firing! Holiday & Hawes really started dragging the squad along. On the other side, Indiana's Hansbrough was looking sharp with 7 points and a couple of big offensive boards.
The absolute turning point was in the 4th quarter when Granger absolutely drained two straight triples to push it to 85-77! Hibbert came up clutch with some vital offensive rebounds, too. Philly spent way too much time burning possessions, and Indiana basically just cruised to the finish line like pros.

In the end, those steals and Indiana's killer shooting (they went 13-24, a massive 54%!) combined with their usual rock-solid defense made the difference.
Philly just seemed to lose their focus in that final stretch, dropping a few key turnovers, and honestly, that’s what cost them the whole game.
Granger finished with 24 points; total man of the match vibes right there!

P.S. If you ask me, I really think Philly needs to go out and find themselves a legit center. No disrespect to Brand at all, but the years are definitely catching up to him.
When he's on the floor, it feels like Philly just can't run their fast-break transition game like they want to.

Good grief, now Parker is actually looking like he might blow things up... 🙂

Both tickets hit—Indiana just barely covered the over 😉

Alex Turner2 said:Both tickets hit! Indiana was screaming for that KH over 😉

Congrats man, but me? I'm just sitting here waiting on Duncan to drop two buckets so I can actually cash this thing😉, surely he won't screw me over during these last 8.40 minutes, right?🤷

James Campbell6 said:Wait, if Melo isn't playing starting PF, then Pierce won't have anyone to cover for him.
I remember how LeBron was guarding them against Miami, while Haslem was out there handling Fields.🤷

It really depends on when Novak or Jeffries get their minutes. When three of them are out there, they cover more than half the game, and even when they aren't, the rotation is still super weird. It usually ends up with someone getting stuck in an isolation play that just doesn't fit them.

stormyseal9 said:Mad respect to Chiro, man, seriously—his tickets prove that it doesn't matter how many parlays you throw at the wall if they're actually legit🙏, and honestly, I could use a win at the local sportsbook just to feel alive again🤷

Granger over 19.5 @ 1.85
-As the season winds down, the Pacers are just clicking better and better, right? They pulled off their fifth straight win last night—ninth in their last ten! Plus, they managed to rest the starters, with nobody logging more than 26 minutes. Even with limited action, Granger dropped 19, including being deadly from deep at 5/7 from three. I’m expecting total commitment from him today, and even though Iggy is guarding him, this isn't even a shadow of that Philly defense we saw earlier in the season (remember when they absolutely demolished their opponent 111-94 thanks to his 20 buckets?)
Bynum 20.5 over @ 1.85
-Since their best player is sitting out again today, he's definitely going to hunt for shots and aim for that 20+ mark, just like he did in all five games they played without Bryant. He'll be looking to make up for that mediocre performance a few days back where he only dropped "just" 16 points (on 7/20 shooting) and grabbed 30 rebounds
Garnett over 16.5 @ 1.85
-Tradition is heavily on the side of the Celtics here; they've been crushing the Knicks with a 10-1 record over their last 11 matchups. A huge part of that is Garnett, who's looking sharp and got some rest in the last game, so he should be ready to go (he's been averaging 15, 18, and 15 points in his last three outings this year)
Duncan over 14.5 @ 1.85
-Because of that early blowout yesterday, he only played 11 minutes but still managed 13 points (5/8) and 2 boards, so he’s gonna be fresh today. In their last loss, he put up 14 (7/14)
Indiana over 89.5 @ 1.85
-You only have to look at their last ten games to see they've been consistently clearing the 100-point mark, with the exception of the matchup against Boston. Besides, Philly just doesn't play defense like they did at the start of the season anymore; lately, opponents are blowing past this margin constantly. To me, the oddsmakers are totally sleeping on this one🤷

Small stake on Sportplus😛

It's funny, isn't it? Every time I scale back my bets and play it safer than usual, I end up hitting! But hey, you gotta take the wins where you can get them, and it's still not pocket change, right?🙂👋👋🎉🙂,hope some of you guys caught a few winners along the way

I put my money on San Antonio spread 2, Anthony C. over, and caught Bayern live when they were up 1-0 at 1.6 odds. Everything hit. 🙂

No, let me add my two cents...

Philadelphia (h-3.5) - Indiana 2 1.85

Played out exactly as expected. Thanks for the masterclass, well done!🙏

Looks like I'm the only one who blew it again. 😳