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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by Mark Williams15 · · 👁 8 views · 197 replies

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Participants Mark Williams15lonedrifter68Arthur Hill2Jessica Johnson2wiredcanyon39James Taylor3ruggedgull32Alex Cookanaloghound21Dana Baker2Arthur Hayes6stormyseal9Alex Turner2Scott JacksonCarol Moore5Nicole Newman36Michelle Ruiz5Donna Martin11Frank Morgan30Joshua Gonzalez33James Campbell6graniteotter6Anthony Barrett37Jerry Grant51 …
ruggedgull32 ruggedgull32 Active Member
92 messages
joined Jan 2012
#61 ·
Frank Morgan30 said:Well, looks like I messed up again. Just me. 😳

Not really...🙂
So, I thought I was pretty smart betting on those Memphis and Detroit wins. Threw some action on Carmelo Anthony over, Gay over... then obviously Monroe comes along and ruins my whole night. Typical.
Just when I throw a Champions League over 2.5 goals bet into the mix, some miracle happens in the 90th minute, and then this guy greets me like that... haha. 🙂
I wasn't looking to grind out any singles or doubles today. I figured I'd just play a "fun" one and maybe take a loss... why bother?
Eh, it's fine. You can't win every single night.😁
crimsonangler1 crimsonangler1 Active Member
54 messages
joined Dec 2011
#62 ·
Regarding Granger 😠 I was wondering how Philly would tighten up their defense since they absolutely need this win—but damn, they’ve completely lost their minds. 🙂
As for Pierce, Carmelo Anthony, and Gay going over, while Gasol went under... ah, well.
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#63 ·
Jason Baker59 said:there's going to be some scoring today... Memphis-Minnesota will go over

Not likely.

Frank Morgan30 said:once again, I was just being too greedy😳

You weren't.
PHI-IND over 183
Granger over 19
Boston over 89
Min-Mem under 194
Pekovic under—why? He hits 16 by the middle of the third quarter and then struggles to get a single point for the rest of the game.🙂
Greed, I suppose. That's what it is.
ruggedgull32 ruggedgull32 Active Member
92 messages
joined Jan 2012
#64 ·
Another "big moment" happening with the sportsbooks here in the States. Everyone’s out today pushing player point totals—over/under stuff—leaving nothing left but the WWin options...
Yesterday it was Millennium and Premier Betting leading the charge, then today we got Sportplus and Bet Live jumping on the bandwagon...
While bookies all over the world are actually expanding their menus, these guys are just shrinking theirs. What a joke, honestly...
lonedrifter68 lonedrifter68 Active Member
60 messages
joined Jan 2012
#65 ·
They haven't dropped the lines for the Bobcats - Bulls game yet.

Anything 80.5 or higher, just take the under on the Bobcats by default. Though I'm guessing they'll set the line around 75/76.
Their spot in the standings says everything you need to know...

Same deal, I think taking the under 87.5 on Cleveland is worth it. It's high time Philly actually won a game. And where better to snap a losing streak than against these pathetic Cavs?

For this one, I'm taking Jamison under 19.5 (Philly defense should keep him around 15 points). Cleveland under 87.5 (expecting them at 82 max, though I doubt they even hit 80).
The -8.5 handicap on Philly. Fine, that's my least confident pick out of the three, but at the very least, a win at 1.30 or an ML at 1.55 should land.

Also, it cracks me up seeing Griffin listed at 20.5 again. Same thing happened a few days ago, and the same way they've been placing him for weeks now—he just can't clear this line.
Last game he managed 3 free throws 🤣 (3/5), but I still don't trust him. Going with the logic that he'll miss plenty of free throws, and since he doesn't shoot threes, it's a value bet because he also has at least 2-3 guys who love taking shots.
Lawrence Castillo76 Lawrence Castillo76 Newcomer
2 messages
joined Apr 2022
#66 ·
Man, you’re telling me to skip Griffin today just because of who they're facing? Like, the defense on this squad is a total joke—I don't even know how they're supposed to contain him. Honestly, I’m expecting at least 5 highlight-reel dunks from him tonight, and the Clippers to clear 100 points, especially since I can't even remember the last time he dropped 20 on the road.
lonedrifter68 lonedrifter68 Active Member
60 messages
joined Jan 2012
#67 ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:My advice? Skip Griffin tonight. Honestly, looking at who they’re playing, defense isn't even in their vocabulary. I'm expecting him to drop at least 5 massive dunks and for the Clippers to clear 100 points, even though I can't remember the last time he actually dropped 20 on the road.

Not sure though.

For the over bettors, Fortuna has the line at 19.5. But whatever. He needs at least 8 or 9 buckets. I haven't dug into his stats against Denver or anything—just going off how he's been playing lately. I know Denver doesn't play much defense.
Then again, out of everyone handling the rock, Griffin is usually the one grabbing the most shots... but you've got factors like foul trouble and all that. It's basically a lottery. ☕
Mark Williams15 Mark Williams15 MemberOP
48 messages
joined Apr 2012
#68 ·
Memphis - New Orleans half/full time 1
Golden State - LA Lakers 2

New Orleans is down three players, and it looks like C. Kaman probably won't suit up either. Memphis is only missing D. Arthur.
Memphis is the much better squad here. I think they’ll run circles around them.

The Warriors are dealing with six players out, while only Kobe is sidelined for the Lakers. An easy win for the visitors.

That's all I've got for today's matchups.
silverridge3 silverridge3 Active Member
92 messages
joined Sep 2012
#69 ·
Lawrence Castillo76 said:Look, my advice? Just skip Griffin today. Honestly, just look at the team they're up against—defense is basically a foreign concept to them. I don't know how on earth that wood log Faried is going to contain him. I’m expecting at least five highlight-reel dunks from his side tonight, and the Clippers to clear 100 points, even though I can't recall the last time he dropped 20 on the road.

Taking the Clippers over 98.5 feels like a solid value bet to me.
Combined with a Philly win, it's sitting at 2.41 over at PSK. Or maybe, instead of Philly, I should just throw in a Lakers win??
What do you guys think!??
briskbison66 briskbison66 Member
19 messages
joined Mar 2012
#70 ·
Why isn't there any breakdown for Charlotte-Chicago? I get that betting the house on those 1.10 odds seems like a winning move, but still 🤷
Anthony Barrett37 Anthony Barrett37 Active Member
68 messages
joined Mar 2011
#71 ·
It'll happen sometime today...
Eric Fox7 Eric Fox7 Regular
320 messages
joined Jul 2012
#72 ·
briskbison66 said:Look, I get that betting the house on 1.10 odds sounds like a genius move, but still 🤷

It’s the exact same story we saw with those last two Bulls games 😉
Alex Turner2 Alex Turner2 Member
16 messages
joined Apr 2012
#73 ·
Will the coefficient drop within the margin, or will it hold—everyone is just waiting to see what the other bookmakers offer. 🤷
Scott Jackson Scott Jackson Member
28 messages
joined Jan 2012
#74 ·
Igoudala under 12.5? What do you guys think? He’s been scoring lately, but honestly, it’s about time he gets back to what he does best... playing lockdown defense... 🙂
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#75 ·
Look, after crushing it yesterday, there's no reason not to keep this momentum rolling in the same direction, right?😍

DeRozan over 16.5 @ 1.85
-With Bargnan and Calderon both sidelined, he’s basically being handed the keys to the offense, so why wouldn't he go off? He’s been dropping 22.3 points over his last three, and when he faces these guys, he’s averaging a cool 25 points over their last five matchups. It's a lock.
Parker under 18.5 @ 1.85
-Man, he played heavy minutes yesterday—nearly 40 minutes!—dropping 29 points on 14-20 shooting. I’m expecting him to see way less court time today, which means fewer opportunities to shoot. Plus, in their matchup about 20 days ago, he only put up 10. Expect a cooldown.
Paul over 19.5 @ 1.85
-Let’s be real, Denver isn't exactly known for locking anyone down on defense, so I expect him to slice through them like a hot knife through butter. This kind of opponent is perfect for him; he’s already dropped 25 and 36 against them in his last two outings.
Pierce over 18.5 @ 1.85
-He was absolutely unconscious yesterday, putting up a massive 43 points! I honestly don't get why they lowered the line for him when he's clearly in such beast mode. Since Allen is out, he's going to have even more freedom, and if you ask me, he'll probably clear this easily.
Bynum over 20.5 @ 1.85
-Even against a tough San Antonio Spurs squad yesterday, he put up 21 points on 8-16 shooting while getting some rest in the fourth. It stands to reason he’ll hit at least that much against a struggling Golden State Warriors team, especially since Bryant has been out for seven straight games. Ever since Kobe went missing, he's been sitting at a 23.3 average.

Same stake as yesterday, standard play.😉

Bosh over 17.5 @ 1.85
-Wade is looking questionable for today, which tells me James and Bosh are going to be hogging all the shots. Given how he’s been playing lately—dropping 24 and 30 in his last two—I'm riding the over here.
Jennings over 18.5 @ 1.85
-Since Ellis joined the rotation, he’s been averaging 18.4 points over 17 games. He should be able to tear it up against a weak Washington, D.C. team, especially with Neno and Booker both out of the picture.
Milwaukee Bucks under 106.5 @ 1.85
-Yeah, yeah, they went over this number in their last two matchups, but I’m calling the under. Washington has actually tightened up their defense lately; nobody has even cracked 103 points against them in their last five games.
Boozer over 15.5 @ 1.85
-Deng is out today, and Rose will likely be out too, so Carlos is going to have to step up and take responsibility against one of the worst teams out there.
Westbrook over 24.5 @ 1.85
-He just had his absolute worst game in 12 months, barely scraping 9 points on 4-16 shooting. You know he's going to be hungry to make up for that disaster. Besides, Phoenix is a team he consistently eats for breakfast—he’s averaged over 50% shooting and 24.3 points over his last four.
Garnett over 16.5 @ 1.85
-He cleared the over last night with 20 points, and I think we see a repeat performance today. With Howard and Davis both sidelined, there’s nobody left to stop him, and he’s feeling good.
Denver vs. LA Clippers Under 1.85
-That total feels way too high to me. The LA Clippers are notoriously low-scoring on the road, and they're playing great right now with 8 wins in their last 10. I'm expecting something in the 190 range max.🤷

6/7 system bet, standard play.☕, SS

Good luck to everyone following along, and to the rest of you too—hopefully, we can collectively bleed the bookies dry!☕
Anthony Garcia12 Anthony Garcia12 Member
15 messages
joined Jul 2010
#76 ·
Looks like Wade and Bosh aren't playing tonight...😛
Alex Turner2 Alex Turner2 Member
16 messages
joined Apr 2012
#77 ·
The king is going over—it seems so.--
lonedrifter68 lonedrifter68 Active Member
60 messages
joined Jan 2012
#78 ·
Charlotte at 83.5🤣☕

Pairing that with James over 27.5☕

If those two sit, it’s a lock..
Jessica Johnson2 Jessica Johnson2 Member
20 messages
joined Feb 2010
#79 ·
Yeah, if they’d just set a total line for the Hornets' points too, that’d be killer ☕ honestly thinking I might have to take the under 181.5 for the game, plus an over on LeChorn... but gotta wait and see ☕
Anthony Garcia12 Anthony Garcia12 Member
15 messages
joined Jul 2010
#80 ·
lonedrifter68 said:If those two end up being out, that’s a pretty solid bet...

http://sports.yahoo.com/news/wade-bo...sFQX.AbhbNPKB4

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