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NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Started by Raymond Brown11 · · 👁 9 views · 241 replies

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Participants Raymond Brown11Lawrence Castillo76Christian Ruizstormyseal9Dana Baker2wiredcanyon39Matthew Rodriguez9Eric Fox7placidranger19Keith Moore21James Taylor3graniteotter6Nicholas Chase34analoghound21ruggedgull32Joshua Garcia8Arthur Hill2Drew Palmer66Alex Cookferalranger81Walter Reed3Frank Morgan30Jessica Johnson2lonedrifter68 …
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#61 ·
👋 I knew there would be more misses; I felt it in my gut immediately. 🙂

I’m honestly just counting down the days until the playoffs. That’s when they’ll finally crawl out from under their rocks—those players who aren't even considered part of the rotation during the regular season—and suddenly they're racking up assists and rebounds. Just pure magic, I guess.

At least the moderators sleep through the night, so we can just sit here and chat away as much as we want. No actual analysis required.
Jessica Johnson2 Jessica Johnson2 Member
20 messages
joined Feb 2010
#62 ·
28, that's it 🙏
lonedrifter68 lonedrifter68 Active Member
60 messages
joined Jan 2012
#63 ·
Hawks 🤦
ruggedcyclist7 ruggedcyclist7 Newcomer
9 messages
joined Feb 2015
#64 ·
And there goes Pau Gasol, jumping in at the last second... Jos Lee and I are grabbing coffee tomorrow to catch up on everything.
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#65 ·
wiredcanyon39 said:Status:
put down: 25 units
returned: 27.75 units
profit/loss: +2.75 units
Singles
Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks 1 @ 1.65 🙂
8/10

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers 2 @ 1.60 😁
6/10
Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks 2 @ 2.50 😁
3/10
Carmelo Anthony over 25.5 @ 1.85 😁
5/10
Gordon Hayward under 14.5 @ 1.85 voided
5/10
Parlay 1
1/10
Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers 2 @ 1.60 😁
Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks 1 @ 1.65 🙂
Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks 2 @ 2.50 😁
Carmelo Anthony over 25.5 @ 1.85 😁
@12.21

Man, if I had just thrown some cash on the Celtics too... 🙂
Status after Day 2
total wagered: 53 units
total returned: 58.10 units
net profit/loss: +5.10 units
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#66 ·
Nicholas Chase34 said:Watch out for those Celtics!! 🧐

They played a total grind of a game last night against the Miami Heat, shooting a massive 60% from the field, so I honestly think this is the perfect setup for a classic letdown performance on their end. Usually, the Celtics are 6-11 ATS when they're playing back-to-back, which is a pretty huge red flag that they struggle to find their rhythm the day after a big outing. This is actually their fourth game in just five days, too. On top of that, they've got five games coming up in the next six days, which is definitely going to have Doc Rivers scratching his head about rotation management. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks are coming into this one feeling super fresh since they had three full days off, which is a luxury given how crazy busy the schedule has been lately. I know most people are probably riding with Boston today because they've been looking so sharp, especially after crushing it last night, but my gut is telling me something else. I really think Atlanta is going to put up a hell of a fight, so I'm going to side with DJ Augustin and the crew here—they've shown a few times recently that they can definitely hang with the big boys.☕

Atlanta Hawks +4.5 @ Stanleybet

FT(OT) 88:86
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#67 ·
James Taylor3 said:There’s some talk that the Trail Blazers might have to play without Kyrie Irving for the rest of the season—since he's effectively out, and this injury isn't helping matters either.

I don't know—looks like Nicolas Batum won't be there tonight either, which leaves Portland pretty thin on defense and size.

In my estimation, if they sit both those guys, the lineup looks something like this:

Nelson Felton - Tim Crawford - Paul Matthews - DK Hickson - Dan Przebilla

Lee seems like a solid option, and Chuck Wright could potentially step up—he’s about 10 cm shorter than Matthews, who is actually a decent defender, but whatever...

I'm not sure where the limit is, but maybe it would be better to play more big men in this game. Felton and Crawford aren't defensive players at all, Hickson isn't anything special on that end either, so everything falls on Matthews—who handles a lot of assignments—and Thrilli, who can grab a board when needed, even if he's prone to individual errors.

Keith Moore21 said:199.5 🤷

James Taylor3 said:Oof, that's a lot. I thought it would be closer to 5 or 6 players, but hey, if the opportunity opens up, anything is possible.

Batum ended up playing, but the defense was still leaking everywhere. On the bright side, Nata Robinson dropped 19 points with great shooting. 🤣

Lee objectively outplayed Hickson, who proved to be a great addition offensively.

An easy cover. If only they had played it that way—maybe went all in. 😬

EDIT: What happened to the text? These characters are unreadable. 😕
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#68 ·
James Taylor3 said:In the end, Nicolas Batum got some minutes, but man, his defense was just leaking everywhere. Of course, Tim Crawford and Nata Robinson went absolutely nuts with 19 rebounds combined along with some killer shooting. 🤣

Lee definitely outplayed DK Hickson, who actually looked like a solid addition on the offensive end.

The parlay hit without any drama. Man, I wish I had played that one—probably would've gone all in. 😬

EDIT: What even is this gibberish??? 😕

tsigi, what kind of language is that? 🤣
Congrats on the win, though—honestly, I didn't have the guts to put money on it...
And the Houston Rockets totally screwed me over. I mean, they couldn't even pull off a home win against the Utah Jazz? Gordon Hayward drops 29 points and suddenly everyone's happy? Please, give me a break. All that matters is that the Los Angeles Lakers won in Los Angeles, which is exactly when I needed them to win... the whole NBA is just insane sometimes. 🙂 🙄
Christian Ruiz Christian Ruiz Member
28 messages
joined Mar 2012
#69 ·
Christian Ruiz said:Carmelo Anthony over 25.5

Carmelo Anthony is absolutely heating up—he's been averaging nearly 30 points over his last five games. With about two weeks left until the playoffs, we have a massive matchup tonight between two teams fighting for that final playoff seed. I don't want to sound like a broken record because I feel like I've mentioned him twice on this forum already... but some facts are worth repeating. Carmelo has transitioned to the four spot or a high wing where he’s really finding his groove. Since DeAndre Chandler is dominating the paint, Carmelo can just use isolation plays to carve out space for his shot. Plus, considering he’s got a decent size advantage over most opposing power forwards, the edge is pretty clear. This style of play has made the Knicks look incredibly efficient lately. Facing the Milwaukee Bucks tonight, I could see him letting it fly. Ultimately, I think the importance of this game for both squads makes my pick even stronger. Carmelo is the leader; he's the guy who takes over when things get tough, which usually means he's getting at least 20 shots off. For me, that's enough justification alone—I’d take the over on these margins any day if a player like Carmelo is getting that kind of volume. On top of that, he seems to match up well against the Bucks; back when the Knicks had their full roster, he was averaging 28.3 points in three meetings against them. We'll see what Skiles has planned for his defensive assignment tonight, but if Ilyasov starts at the four for Milwaukee, he might be tasked with guarding him. While the defense is solid, I'm still expecting Carmelo to keep leading this Knicks charge right into the postseason... the margin feels safe by at least 2 or 3 points given the circumstances.

Carmelo Anthony #32 pts
wiredcanyon39 wiredcanyon39 Active Member
74 messages
joined Jul 2020
#70 ·
Status after Day 2
Invested: 53 units
Returned: 58.10 units
Profit/Loss:+5.10 units

Singles
San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies Under 197.5 @ 1.85
7/10
A little throwback to last year's playoffs—you know, the way that ended for everyone—and here come the Spurs again. They’re coming off a brutal game against the Los Angeles Lakers where they let Andrew Bynum drop something like 30 points, including 8 on putbacks. Kobe didn't play, so I guess this loss might actually sting even more; it's a real gut punch in their fight for the top spot in the West. Their defense has been looking sharp this season, which is basically the secret sauce behind their record, along with that depth coming off the bench. Plus, they're playing on a back-to-back, so I'll take that as an extra little edge for this bet. Meanwhile, Memphis is on a tear, picking up wins against the Miami Heat, Dallas Mavericks, and LA Clippers. Their defense has been lockdown, especially in the paint where it's tough to find anyone who can actually handle Zach Randolph, Pau Gasol, or Andres Speights.

Carlos Boozer vs Tim Duncan Over 1 @ 1.75
6/10
Carlos is facing the Miami Heat today, and honestly, they've been pretty weak at the 4 and 5 spots lately, so I wouldn't be surprised if Carlos puts up a decent number. Rose is just getting back from injury, so he probably won't be hogging all the shots, which might leave more room for Boozer to find his rhythm. Tim Duncan is looking good, but man, he's getting older, and these back-to-back stretches aren't doing him any favors—especially after that grind against Bynum yesterday. Memphis has one of the best interior defenses out there, so they'll likely try to shut Timmy down.

Doubles
Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks 2nd Half Over 2 @ 1.40
Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers 2nd Half Over 2 @ 1.45
@2.03
4/10
Dallas is fighting for a playoff spot, so every single game feels like a playoff game for them right now. As for the Warriors, they're coming off a loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. They're pretty far out of the playoff hunt, though, so I don't know... maybe they'll even start tanking for a better draft pick? Who knows.
The Timberwolves are dealing with a massive injury crisis right now—it's just one thing after another. They got handled easily by the Denver Nuggets yesterday, and I'm thinking the same thing might happen today against a Clippers team that's been pretty underwhelming on the road, even if they're feeling themselves after beating the Oklahoma City Thunder.
James Taylor3 James Taylor3 Newcomer
7 messages
joined Jul 2012
#71 ·
Keith Moore21 said:James Taylor3, what kind of nonsense is this? 🤣
Nice call on the win, but I didn't have the guts to put money on it...
And the Houston Rockets really did me dirty—they couldn't even take it from the Utah Jazz at home. Gordon Hayward dropped 29 points, honestly, give me a break... all that matters is they beat the Los Angeles Lakers in L.A., right when I actually needed a Lakers win. Of course... everyone in the NBA is out of their minds. 🙂 🙄

No clue—I was just posting the odds, then suddenly those hieroglyphics popped up. 🤷

The Houston Rockets, in my opinion, are alongside the Orlando Magic the most unpredictable teams in the league. 😁
Arthur Hill2 Arthur Hill2 Member
20 messages
joined Jul 2009
#72 ·
K.C. Johnson ‏ @KCJHoop Reply Retweet Favorite · Open
The big surprise at this point would actually be if Derrick Rose sits out. His ankle has been looking better for three consecutive days. #Bulls expect him to suit up against the Heat.

Exactly. If he isn't playing, there won't even be any questions about it later. Rose should be good to go.

I have no idea who is going to come out on top today, and honestly, I don't plan on placing any bets. Either way, I'll just end up losing my mind over the outcome. 😁
graniteotter6 graniteotter6 Member
49 messages
joined Jan 2016
#73 ·
Is Ljubica playing against the Clippers today?
It would certainly help a lot. I just hope they didn't overindulge last night after that spectacular fourth-quarter comeback.

The Spurs 🤦 have Memphis coming up next. Not a bet if you ask me.
Brenda Bishop74 Brenda Bishop74 Newcomer
1 message
joined Jan 2012
#74 ·
Kevin Love is out

Kevin Love certainly won't play Thursday against the Clippers. He ended up in a hospital near Denver after dealing with a minor concussion and some neck strain, so he's sitting this one out against Los Angeles.
Nicholas Chase34 Nicholas Chase34 Newcomer
1 message
joined Sep 2011
#75 ·
It looks like Kevin Love might be sitting this one out against the Clippers tonight.

Kevin Love is downgraded to expected to miss Thursday vs. the Clippers.

Honestly, I feel like it’s about time the Clippers finally get a win over the Timberwolves, especially since Minnesota has already knocked them around three times this season—but man, I really doubt they’re going to sweep the floor with them if they're missing Love from the starting lineup.

There’s even a chance we see Mo Williams back in action for the visitors.
Mo Williams is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Minnesota

The Clippers haven't suffered through four straight losses to Minnesota since that brutal nine-game slide stretching from mid-January 2003 to late December 2004, so they’ll definitely be hungry to snap this streak and grab their 10th win in the last 12 games.

Los Angeles (35-23) is still holding onto that slim half-game lead over the Memphis Grizzlies for the fourth seed and that sweet home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs, following their tight 100-98 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday.

Paul sat out their first matchup against Minnesota, but he usually brings the heat, averaging 21.3 points against the Timberwolves, which ties for his third-highest scoring average against any team in his career.
Amy Walker48 Amy Walker48 Newcomer
1 message
joined Jun 2023
#76 ·
Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers
It’s pretty obvious where this is headed: the Timberwolves have basically fallen out of the playoff picture entirely, while the visitors are steadily climbing into a better position. Given the latest news that Kevin Love will likely be sidelined, this should be a relatively smooth ride for the Clippers.

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies
Even though the Grizzlies are riding a great streak right now, every hot run eventually hits a wall. And honestly, who better to break it than the Spurs? After yesterday's unexpected stumble against a depleted Lakers squad, they absolutely need to find a win today. The Spurs have taken all three matchups between these two this year, so I'm expecting a complete sweep today.😁

LeBron James over 27.5
LeBron always shows up when he plays the Bulls. His career average against them is an impressive 29 points, and this season he's cruised past the 30-point mark in both of their meetings. I expect him to keep that momentum going; after those recent disappointing losses for the Heat, he’s going to have to step up and carry the load again today.

Blake Griffin over 19.5
The stats tell the story here: he's cleared this line in all three matchups against Minnesota this year (scoring 21, 30, and 26). I'm looking for another big performance today, especially since if Love stays out, his defensive job gets significantly easier, which means fewer foul trouble issues to worry about.

Greg Monroe over 14.5
It's a similar situation to Blake. In their three meetings this year, he has consistently cleared this number (hitting 19, 19, and 16). Since both teams are struggling a bit lately, I'm anticipating a wide-open game with plenty of scoring.

Lou Deng under 17.5
He's going to be preoccupied with defending LeBron, and with Rose returning to the lineup, there are naturally going to be fewer touches for him. We all know his struggles with shooting, so I don't see him hitting the over here.
stormyseal9 stormyseal9 Member
20 messages
joined Oct 2011
#77 ·
San Antonio vs Memphis under 1.85
-Both teams played last night and I seriously don't see them suddenly finding some crazy new rhythm overnight, especially not the Spurs who have hit a bit of a slump after that massive 11-game winning streak, and they're running straight into one of the best defensive units out there, plus the last 8 matchups between these two stayed under this line, so why wouldn't they?
Greg Monroe over 14.5 1.85
-I'm taking him purely because he's facing what is arguably the worst squad around, a team he's absolutely shredded in three meetings this season with scores of 16, 19, and 19 points, and sure, he hasn't been scoring as much lately just because he isn't forcing shots, but if he doesn't go off today, when exactly is he going to?
Carlos Boozer under 14.5 1.85
-It's pretty common knowledge that Carlos doesn't really show up big time against top-tier teams from the upper half of the standings, and now that Tayshaun Prince is back—and maybe even Rose will suit up too—it might be an impossible mission for him to get high volume since they aren't shooting as much, and looking at their 2 previous matchups where he only dropped 12 points on a 6-14 clip, it just makes sense.
Dwyane Wade over 22.5 1.85
-The guy was born in Chicago so he always brings that extra energy for these games, right? Like, remember last month when he dropped 36 points in that loss? That was his third straight 30+ point performance at the United Center, so you know he's hungry.
Dirk Nowitzki over 22.5 1.85
-The only time these two squads met earlier this season was back on March 10th when the home Warriors absolutely dismantled the Mavericks 111:87, and while Dirk Nowitzki led Dallas with 22 points, he struggled through a rough 6/17 from the field, so I'm expecting him to come out swinging today to make up for that loss and his mediocre stretch lately.

Just a standard parlay, the favorite here.

Good luck to everyone today!👍👋
rustyseal92 rustyseal92 Newcomer
6 messages
joined Jan 2012
#78 ·
Today, I find myself valuing LeBron James even more than his usual 27.5 points per game.
First off, it’s impossible to ignore that he dropped 35 points in each of the two games this season. Secondly, it seems quite clear that Lou Deng's defense is being overrated—Carmelo Anthony handled him with ease over the last two games, and it appears LeBron James isn't having much trouble with him either. Thirdly, while it's true that Dwyane Wade has returned from injury and is playing in his hometown, I suspect LeBron James will still be the one calling the shots.
Christian Ruiz Christian Ruiz Member
28 messages
joined Mar 2012
#79 ·
I really love the matchup for Thursday, even if the spread looks a little iffy at first glance
#tipkamanalizuzamoderatore #love [😍]
Keith Moore21 Keith Moore21 Active Member
56 messages
joined Jun 2014
#80 ·
James Taylor3 said:Honestly, if you ask me, the Houston Rockets and the Orlando Magic are probably the two most unpredictable teams in the league right now—just total wildcards. 😁

And honestly? I’m just gonna go out there and absolutely wreck them—total tulips, I swear. 🙂
Hey, let's go—hoping for some more wins today. 😁

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons I’m leaning toward Detroit going over 96.5—just a gut feeling, I guess. Maybe they'll find a rhythm early on, but hey, we'll see how it plays out.

The Charlotte Hornets are looking pretty rough right now—honestly, they're kind of a mess. They’ve got a massive injury bug biting them too; at least four guys are definitely out today, and maybe one or two more, though I guess DJ Augustin should be good to go since he suited up last game. Their defense? Man, it's non-existent. They're giving up about 100 points a game at home, which is just brutal. Looking at the head-to-head stuff this season, Detroit has basically steamrolled them every single time they've met. And keep in mind, in their last matchup, Detroit was missing Wallace Stuckey and Gordon Hayward—their heavy hitters—but both of those guys should be back in the lineup today. Plus, the Pistons actually had two days of rest since their last game on Monday... so, yeah, everything seems to point toward an easy Detroit cover. 😁

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