NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Humphries with 15 shots...🙂🙂

how am I supposed to know when Deron’s actually gonna play and take some shots?

didn't even attempt a single shot in the third quarter... 🙂

and of course, Green was out there playing...

The line is sitting at 6.5.0.4 by quarters, so I suppose you might as well take the over on 16.5.😂

The score was 103-90 for the Clippers and Heat
Not quite enough, I guess.

Well, at least my analysis is flawless today; when I lose, I lose spectacularly.

Here we go again. At this rate, the crash is coming in about two weeks...

Carmelo Anthony's routine style was effective, but the Knicks simply couldn't compensate for those offensive rebounding lapses.

stormyseal9 said:the winner is Ellis😍,honestly man, I don't know why I'm even picking him when he basically buried me alive two days ago🙂

Going in today with some new picks, praying for a better outcome this time around🤷

Pierce over 18.5 at 1.85
-I'm riding with him because his form over the last 10 games has been absolutely insane, averaging nearly 22 points a game. Plus, look at that blowout against Philly—he dropped 17 points in just 29 minutes on the court! Since I'm expecting a grinder today, he’s gonna give it everything he's got, which means probably 35-40 minutes of floor time and about 20 shots. Just ten days ago, he put up 23 on Miami, so why wouldn't he strike again?
Deng over 15.5 at 1.85
-With Rose dealing with that injury again, his status is super shaky, which makes Deng my go-to guy for an over. He's been killing it at home lately too, dropping 26 on Boston, 24 on Houston, and 20 on Detroit while shooting over 50%. It's hard to ignore that momentum, right?
James over 27.5 at 1.85
-Wade is banged up, so even if he does play, I doubt he'll move the needle much. That means the heavy lifting falls squarely on LeBron's shoulders along with Bosh. He'll probably be looking to make up for that absolute disaster from ten days ago, too. He's had two days of rest, so he should be ready to show out. If he gets 20+ shots and keeps his efficiency up, 28 points shouldn't be a problem.
Jamison over 18.5 at 1.85
-After a rough patch through the last three games, he finally showed he hasn't lost his touch. A lot of that was thanks to all those guys being out—Irving, Varejao, Gibson, Parker—but he still managed to drop 34 on the Nets and 25 on Toronto. And today? He's facing a squad that's currently on a massive 12-game losing streak. How can he miss here?
Miami (-7.5) vs Boston 2 at 1.85
-Honestly, this feels like a gift from the sportsbook. Between the Celtics, the Spurs, and Memphis, the Celtics are easily one of the hottest teams right now, winning 8 of their last 10, including wins over San Antonio and Chicago. I don't see much changing since the last time they absolutely dismantled Miami.🤷

Just a standard parlay, high stakes

How long are we gonna keep doing this one-leg thing?🤷It’s way better to just stick to my own system, because if nothing hits now, I would've at least walked away with some profit two days ago.🙂Jamison, man, I love you, but that 7-for-19 shooting night was brutal. Still, if nothing else happens, at least Boston pulled through.😍

NYK blew a 10-point lead when they were actually up 9.5 against Henicap 🙂

Keith Moore21 said:I’m calling Jamison for over 20.5—and honestly, I feel like everyone else has already made their move on this one too.
I’m leaning towards Evans for the under 17.5—honestly, I think he's a lock, maybe even a bit of an easy one if things go his way... just my two cents, anyway. 😉 )
Dallas—and honestly, I have no clue why I added that +1.15 line to my slip, but whatever... I’m feeling pretty solid about a Mavs win here. Fingers crossed they don't completely blow it.

I don't know, maybe I'm just overthinking things—but honestly, looking at what Jamison is putting out there... it’s a lot. It's just a lot. I mean, I guess you could call it bold if you're being generous, but to me? It feels like they're trying way too hard to make a point that was already pretty clear ten minutes ago. It’s a bit much, isn't it? Just my two cents, anyway. 🙂 I haven't seen any posts from this user yet—looks like they're totally MIA for today. 🙄 I mean, honestly—if they hadn't missed like two more easy shots, we might actually be looking at a different result here. Just saying.

vividbison47 said:Man, I can't even... NYK just blew a 9.5-point lead against Henepin—well, it was basically a nine-point cushion, I guess—and ended up getting torched by 10. Just absolutely fell apart at the wire. It’s wild. 🙂

Man, the Knicks just dropped a tough one—lost by 12, finishing at 86 to 98. Just one of those nights where nothing really clicked, I guess. 😁

Keith Moore21 said:The Knicks blew a 12-point lead and lost 98-86 😁

🤣🤣🤣
Seriously?

Quick, someone drop some winning picks before the odds tank 😁

analoghound21 said:That’s it for me today... I'm out.

Evans under 17.5. That's my play.
Dallas. Just... Dallas. Honestly, sometimes I look at that place and I can't even begin to wrap my head around it. It’s just one of those cities, you know? A massive, sprawling concrete jungle where everything feels a little too big, a little too loud, and way too much like someone's attempt at playing God with a highway map. You spend half your life stuck in traffic on some six-lane monstrosity that looks more like a parking lot than a road, staring at nothing but heat waves and exhaust fumes, wondering where it all went wrong. It's exhausting. Truly. But hey, that's just how it goes, right? Life's a mess, the roads are a disaster, and we're all just circling the drain in North Texas. Whatever.
@2,1275 I don't even know where to start with this one. Honestly, I'm just staring at my screen wondering why I bother. Everything feels like a loop lately, you know? Just one big, exhausting circle. Anyway, whatever. I'll get to it.

That’s probably enough for me today. I think I’ll just gracefully sidestep these two big matchups. Honestly, though? I’ve got this nagging feeling the Bulls are just going to steamroll through them without breaking a sweat. 🤷

The Heat aren't exactly cooking right now, and honestly? I think the Celtics might actually be playing at their absolute peak. But man, you can't ignore the elephant in the room—what kind of shape is Dame really in? You just don't want to gamble on that. 🤷

I don't know about the rest of you guys, but listening to what Lawrence Castillo76 is saying... man, I've got this gut feeling the Bulls are just going to cruise through today. Honestly, even if Rose isn't on the floor, they look solid. Everything's just lining up right now. It feels good. New York's coming in under 88.5.Or maybe... actually, let's just say I'm looking for any game that hits the under. Just keep it low. Simple. 🤷

I don't know, man. It’d make sense for this one to go over. I mean, look at these teams—there isn't a single soul on either side who actually knows how to play defense or even cares enough to try. It's just going to be total chaos. Honestly, it feels like one of those completely meaningless games, if you can even call them that anymore. Just pure, unadulterated nonsense. 😛 I don't even know where to start with this one. Honestly? I barely know where to begin. It’s just... yeah. Just one of those things. Cleveland. Honestly, what a place. You ever just sit there and think about how much grit is baked into the pavement? It’s like the whole city has this permanent layer of industrial dust and broken dreams, but somehow, people still stick around. I don't get it. I really don't. Maybe it's that Midwest stubbornness—that "we're still here" attitude that borders on a psychological disorder. It's gray, it's tough, and it smells faintly of lake water and old steel. Just... Cleveland. So, I guess that’s how it was supposed to go down. Or at least, that's the theory, right? Total mess. It’s sitting at over 99.5. Just... yeah. Over 99.5. 🤷

Alright, sweet. 🙂

Man, I gotta say... we really left some money on the table there. Could've cashed in way better than that if we’d actually played it smart. What a waste.😛

Kobe isn't in the lineup tonight, so you just know the Lakers are going to get absolutely steamrolled. 🤷

vividbison47 said:🤣🤣🤣
seriously though

let's get some winning picks in before they drop the odds on us 😁

The only player I'm actually feeling right now is Jamison under 20.5... he's on a back-to-back, and they're facing Indiana—who, let's be real, play solid defense. They cover the spot-ups and the pick-and-roll pretty well, so I'm thinking it might be a struggle for him to clear that number playing alongside guys like West, Hibbert, and Hansbrough...

edit:
@analoghound21/">@@analoghound21, you're definitely finding your rhythm again after the break 👍

edit2:
As for everything else, I'd probably put my money on Houston and Memphis... both teams are on a serious roll lately and playing really well, especially at home. Plus, they're going up against squads that struggle on the road (especially Utah, when you look at how they match up against Houston tonight)...

Singles
Bulls vs. Knicks, spread -9.5, odds 1.85
7/10 🙂
.Chris Bosh, under 17.5 points, odds 1.85
6/10 😁
Kevin Garnett, over 15.5 points, odds 1.85
4/10 😁
Luol Deng, over 15.5 points, odds 1.85
5/10 👍

Parlay 1
2/10
KG over 15.5, odds 1.85
Bosh under 17.5, odds 1.85 😁
Bulls vs. Knicks, spread -9.5, odds 1.85 🙂
Total payout @6.33
Parlay 2
1/10
Paul Pierce, over 18.5 points, odds 1.85 😁
Carmelo Anthony, over 25.5 points, odds 1.85 😁
Al Horford, over 18.5 points, odds 1.85 🙂
LeBron James, over 27.5 points, odds 1.85 😁
Total payout @11.71

Current status:
Bet: 25 units
Alright, we pulled it off: 27.75 units in the bag.
Profit/loss: up about 2.75 units. I guess we're moving in the right direction.

Singles? Or maybe just some solo plays I've been eyeing. Honestly, I can't quite put my finger on it yet, but there's definitely something brewing there. I guess we'll see.
Boston vs. Atlanta—looking at these odds, I'm seeing a 1.65 for a Boston win. It feels like the books are leaning pretty heavily toward them, which isn't surprising, but I guess we'll see if they can actually pull it off. Maybe.
8/10
I mean, that spread is probably just because this is a B2B game for Boston, but honestly, they’ve been playing out of their minds lately. They actually went out and took down the top home team in the league yesterday, and they're creeping up toward that third seed. It’s gonna be a total grind against Indiana, especially since they're trailing by two games, but looking at how they're clicking right now? I guess it’s definitely within reach. Also, if I'm remembering correctly, Rondo has been putting up these insane numbers—like, he's hit double-digit assists in like 17 games straight or something. Pretty wild. As for the fifth seed, Atlanta is basically in a dogfight with Orlando, but given how much Orlando has been struggling to show anything meaningful on the court lately, Atlanta might just pull it off. Though, man, trying to do that while facing a Celtics squad that's absolutely heating up? That sounds like a massive uphill battle.

Philly takes down Toronto 2-1, and honestly, the odds at 1.60 felt like a bit of a toss-up, but I guess it played out exactly how you'd expect.
6/10
Philly is basically fighting for their lives to clinch a playoff spot right now. Every single game is massive. They’re sitting at seventh, but man, the Knicks and Bucks are breathing down their necks—and since those two are facing off today, Philly might actually get some much-needed breathing room if one of them slips up. They’ve got Toronto on the schedule next. Honestly, the Raptors have been playing pretty decent lately; they aren't quite as bad as their Eastern Conference standing suggests, I guess. Though, I wonder how much they even care about winning if they’ve already lost the playoff race... I mean, everyone wants that top lottery pick in the draft, right? Philly’s been dealing with a bunch of issues lately, just struggling to find a rhythm, but I’m thinking Toronto might try to shut them down with some heavy defensive pressure. That said, I wouldn't be surprised if Iggy manages to shut down DeRozan. He might actually be able to handle him.

Man, I don't know about this one... Bucks vs. Knicks, looking like a 2.25 spread? I guess we'll see if Milwaukee can actually pull it off, but honestly, it feels like a toss-up. Maybe they've got the edge, maybe they don't. Just one of those games where you're sitting there scratching your head before tip-off even happens.
3/10
I honestly wasn't planning on touching this one, but man, that line is just way too juicy to pass up. This whole thing feels like a total toss-up between two teams that are basically neck and neck right now. The Knicks have been playing some seriously solid ball lately—I mean, even with that loss at the United Center yesterday, they seem to have a real momentum going. They’re facing a tough Bucks squad tonight, and if I'm being totally honest, the only real edge the Bucks have is the fact that the Knicks are on a back-to-back. Their defense has been kind of shaky, but ever since Coach Woodson stepped in, the Knicks have really leveled up their game. If they can just lock in defensively like they have been in these last few outings, I think they actually walk away with a win in Milwaukee. Maybe I'm overthinking it, but that value is just sitting there staring me in the face.

I’m leaning toward Melo to go over 25.5 points here, maybe around +110 or so if you can find it. I don't know, feels like he's due for a big night. Just a hunch, I guess.
5/10
Look, I’ve said it before: this is a massive game for the Knicks. With Ja Morant and LaMelo Ball sidelined, Melo is basically going to have to carry the whole load today. Honestly, looking at how the Bucks consistently give up 100 points like it's nothing, I feel like he could easily slide into the over. Since he's the primary scoring option and everyone's gonna be feeding him the rock, I'm guessing he lands somewhere around the 30-point mark tonight. Plus, if things get tight in the fourth quarter—which, let's face it, usually happens—the offense is definitely going to funnel even more touches his way. That feels like a solid little edge to me. 👍

Alright, let me see if I can get this parlay to actually land for once... I've been staring at these odds all morning. Here's my ticket for today.
1/10
Philadelphia takes it, maybe 2-1. I’m leaning toward a Philly win here, though honestly, looking at the odds around 1.60, it feels like one of those games where anything could happen if someone catches a bad bounce. Still, my gut says Philly pulls through.
So, looking at the Boston vs. Atlanta matchup... I'm seeing lines around 1.65 for a Boston win. Honestly, it feels like a bit of a toss-up if you ask me, though the odds lean toward them. I guess you could say they're favorites, but man, anything can happen in a game like this. Maybe? Who knows. Just my two cents.
Milwaukee vs. New York—looking at a 2-2 deadlock right now. I’ve got them sitting at 2.50 odds. Honestly, it’s anyone's game at this point, but maybe there's some value there? Just a thought.
I’m thinking Melo for the over on 25.5... maybe? I don't know, looks like a decent play at +105. I guess we'll see if he can actually hit that mark tonight.
@12,21

Potential Lakers injury updates
Date Pos Player Injury Status
04/11/12 C Andrew Bynum Ankle probable Wednesday vs. San Antonio
04/10/12 G Ramon Sessions Finger probable Wednesday vs. San Antonio
04/10/12 G Kobe Bryant Shin downgraded; expected to miss Wednesday vs. San Antonio

Here is a site if anyone needs it
http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pag.../injuries.html