NBA Betting: Vol. 2

Now is the moment to settle up.

Utah - San Antonio 2 2,30

Those Mormons... ☕

Dropped from 6'3" to 5'5" in just an hour. Nice. 🙂

28 points in the last two minutes of Indiana vs. Toronto!😲🙂
I have never seen anything like this in my life.
It really sucks when you're playing the under. 🤣 And man, they were off to such a beautiful start...

I suppose I should mention that the under depends entirely on how Toronto performs. 🙂
If Kleiza hits 18, you'll see that reflected in the score immediately.

On unrelated matters:
Four days in a row now, and the streak continues...

Gasol went through. Thanks for the heads-up and the breakdown.🙂

wiredcanyon39 said:I'm in a bit of a rush so here's the quick version🙂

DK Griffin - Lee 2 1.85🙂
Memphis - LA Clippers 1 1.55😁
@2.8675
Utah Jazz - San Antonio Spurs under 209.5 1.85 😁
Pau Gasol over 17.5 1.85 😁

I was still kind of torn between the under and the head-to-head matchup, but honestly, I guess it doesn't even matter since those singles actually pulled through for me.😁

Dana Baker2 said:It’d be way better if people didn't drop their picks here before 8 or 9 AM. Most of us are playing through apps anyway. When everyone dumps them at once, things get crowded, and I'm looking right now at DraftKings seeing half the odds have already tanked since this morning because everyone's jumping on. Plus, you never know when some solid last-minute intel might drop.

Someone already pointed out that the odds aren't moving because of this forum—it's because American bettors are shifting the margins and coefficients, and then our guys just follow suit.

I don't even bet online, and honestly, plenty of folks here don't either. People usually don't start posting their picks until around 6.👍

Nicholas Chase34 said:Monroe I’m leaning toward under 15.5 at FanDuel. Just a gut feeling, really. Everything feels a bit off today, but that's just life, I guess.
Against Howard... playing away from home too. Honestly, it’s getting ridiculous. In the last three matchups against him, he’s dropped 4, then 7, then 10 points. Just absolutely tearing us apart.

analoghound21 said:So, yeah, I finally pulled the trigger on him over at Staples. Man, I’m telling you, it’s gotta be under 14.5. Anything else is just wishful thinking at this point....fingers crossed we're both still pulling through. 🙂

Besides him, I also picked up... I’m calling it now: Gasol is going over 17.5. Just feels right. I don't even know where to start with this one. Honestly, my brain is just a fog of bad decisions and lukewarm coffee today. It's like... you think you have a handle on things, right? You think you've got a plan, maybe a little bit of momentum, and then—bam—reality hits you like a freight train in Chicago. Just total chaos. Anyway, I'm rambling. Sorry. My head's just not all there. Griffin’s under 21.5.

@6,33Look, since this is my first parlay in over a month, I’m not exactly dropping a mortgage payment on it or anything. It's a small stake, nothing crazy. But still... man, it would be nice to actually see one hit for once.😛

I went with Gasol for my over 17.5 line. Honestly, I think he’s a much better bet than that skinny little neurotic wreck they call a player. 🤷 Man, I dropped 30 on the Suns last game, then went out to the Crypto.com Arena just over a week ago and put up 21 against the Hornets—and that was even with Bryant taking like twenty shots himself. Then, during that road trip about halfway through the third month, I dropped exactly 18 on them, again while Bryant was hogging 20-plus possessions. Honestly? I think Pau needs to hunt for about 20 shots tonight. Throw in a couple of free throws and we might actually have a shot at pulling this off. 🤷

Honestly, when it comes to Bryant, I’ve got my doubts about whether we'll even see him step foot on the court tonight.

Look, given where we are in the season, I honestly doubt they’re going to take any big risks with him tonight against the Hornets—especially since Charlotte has already dropped both their games against us this year. He didn't even get much action against the Suns, and we all know he's never had a good time playing them anyway. Plus, look at the schedule: they’ve got San Antonio coming up next, then Denver, then Dallas, and then back to the Spurs again. Honestly? This feels like the perfect window for the coaching staff to just sit him down and give him a breather while they can. 🤷)

Money talks. Or rather, it screams. Cash in hand... ka-ching. 😁

Not a bad start. 🙂

Dropping some food for thought today, so let me know what you guys think:
A. Jamison (Cleveland) (18.5) over (Irving’s banged up, which honestly just helps his shooting numbers)
J. Wall (Washington) (15.5) over (Looks like Howard is sitting out again too, so there shouldn't be any real threat of getting ramped at the rim)
C. Anthony (New York) (24.5) over (He's hot right now and there's a massive rivalry brewing, plus they're missing Lin and Amare)
D. Rose (Chicago) (22.5) over (Pure revenge for the last matchup. That line is way too low—caught me off guard when I saw it. Definitely worth a single bet)

Current lines from DraftKings...

ruggedgull32 said:Dropping some food for thought today, let me know what you guys think:
A. Jamison (Cleveland) (18.5) over (Kyrie's out injured, which helps his shooting numbers)
J. Wall (Washington) (15.5) over (looks like Howard is sitting tonight too, so no threat of getting rimmed out)
C. Anthony (New York) (24.5) over (he’s hot right now and there's a huge rivalry here, plus they're missing Lin and Amare)
D. Rose (Chicago) (22.5) over (looking for payback after the last matchup; honestly, I was shocked by how low this line is set, definitely worth an individual bet)

Odds from the local sportsbook...

He rolled his ankle during a game at Madison Square Garden, and even though he toughed it out through overtime, he was in a walking boot by Monday. It’s still listed as a game-time decision, but knowing him and Coach Thibodeau, they aren't going to roll the dice. Rose could easily end up sitting out this chance to get revenge on the Knicks.

The over on 9.5 points for this matchup against the Knicks is a play worth considering. If Jalen Rose actually takes the floor, he’s still clearly struggling to find his rhythm and playing out of sync with himself. On the other hand, if he sits, we’re looking at C.J. Watson stepping into the starting lineup, and he’s been dealing with those nagging ankle and elbow issues lately. As for Carmelo, I’m confident he’ll breeze past that 25.5 line without much trouble.

I have absolutely no idea what happened with Rose's injury. Nothing significant stood out during the game itself. It was likely just something minor. Expect an update from the KC around 7:00 or 8:00 PM, following their shooting practice.

Yesterday was killer. I’m getting the unit count started on this thread today—yeah, I know, I'm a little late to the party, but there's still plenty of season left to make moves 😍
Singles
Chicago Bulls vs. New York Knicks -9.5 (2) @ 1.85
7/10
Check out the footage from two days ago where the Knicks pulled off that wild overtime win thanks to Melo playing out of his mind in the clutch. I’m expecting another nail-biter today, honestly, but I just don't see Chicago blowing them out. Rose is just getting back into the rotation, so he’s probably not quite at that playoff-ready level yet. Deng hasn't been looking great lately either, and neither has Rip—he's been dealing with those nagging injuries and needs some time to find his rhythm again. Like I mentioned before, the Knicks are right in the thick of that Eastern Conference playoff hunt, so every single game feels like a Game 7 battle for those 7th and 8th seeds. Melo is absolutely cooking right now, though; I’d almost be tempted to take his over, but I think staying safe is the move. I'm just not seeing a blowout or a double-digit win for the Bulls here.

Chris Bosh Under 17.5 @ 1.85
6/10
Miami is definitely looking for some revenge against Boston tonight. I think they take the W, but the odds are way too thin for me to touch it. Bosh has been struggling lately; he rarely hits the over these days, and the last time he did, it was mostly because the volume was just forced. Plus, with Wade likely returning to the lineup tonight, Bosh is probably going to see a dip in shot attempts. It’s also the usual story when these two teams meet: KG absolutely bullies Bosh in the paint. Even though Kevin has been looking solid recently, I think he might stumble against Bosh, who hasn't been able to rely on those free throws he used to knock down effortlessly.

Kevin Garnett Over 15.5 @ 1.85
4/10
Like I said above, KG has been on fire since Allen moved to the bench. He’s taking more shots and, naturally, he dominates Bosh whenever they face off. Miami is one of those teams that really struggles defensively at the center and power forward spots because their depth there is pretty shaky. Because of that, I’m leaning toward the Celtics attacking the paint through Kevin more than usual tonight to hunt for the win.

Parlay #1
2/10
KG Over 15.5 @ 1.85
Bosh Under 17.5 @ 1.85
Chicago Bulls -9.5 (2) @ 1.85
@6.33

Parlay #2
1/10
Paul Pierce Over 18.5 @ 1.85
Melo Over 25.5 @ 1.85
Jamison Over 18.5 @ 1.85
LeBron James Over 27.5 @ 1.85
@11.71
Paul Pierce is in beast mode and always shows up big against Miami. Same goes for LeBron; he’s been playing great lately, and let's be real, that Celtics rivalry provides all the motivation he needs. As for Jamison, the Cavs are playing without Kyrie, so they’ll probably lean heavily on him. And Melo? He’s hot. Without Lin and Stoudemire, he’s facing a Bulls squad he dropped 43 points on last time they met. Maybe he hits 26 or more tonight.

Lawrence Castillo76 said:Batum's spot is looking shaky if he can't shake Jamal, and check out this tweet from Jamal Crawford: "Must win 2nite!" lol what a dude. On the flip side, Lowry is heading back to Houston on Friday and that’s just two days away, while Dragic has basically become untouchable—he's easily Player of the Week in the West. Here's what he had to say: "Thank you guys!!!! I couldn't do it without my teammates. Let's get to the playoffs." Even though I hate playing Portland at home, I'll probably have to take the mid-range 3.5 on the road; don't want to overdo it because I gotta save some cash if word gets out that the Spurs trio is out, or at least two of them.

Stayed up way too late eating junk, and somehow ended up seeing this. Everyone's jumping in, nice work. Keep this energy going.☕

Alright everyone, let’s find a solid single for tonight so we actually have something worth watching. Last night, Gasol hit the over without any issues... and Griffin was right on the edge of it too, but it's all good. We'll get there. 😁

If Irving isn't even hitting the floor tonight against Cleveland, you might as well stop playing it safe and hammer Jamison over + Carmelo over for some actual juice 🙂

Dana Baker2 said:Can you believe this absolute madness? Indiana and Toronto just dropped 28 points in the final two and a half minutes... honestly, my brain can't even process that kind of chaos. Just pure, unadulterated insanity right at the buzzer...😲🙂
I swear, I have never seen anything like this in my entire life...
Look, at the end of the day, we really just need to see an under here... if that even happens... 🤣 Man, things were really looking up for a second there... everything was finally starting to click, and then—well, you know how it goes...

Another over played by mistake... went down like a total routine, yawn... ☕ 🤣

I just scrolled through the play-by-play... and honestly? It was a total wash—just a straight-up toss-up from start to finish... 🙏

Man, I actually managed to pull off a double with the Suns and the Jazz—was feeling pretty good about myself for a second there—but then Orlando comes along and absolutely nukes my night... typical.

I'll probably end up watching the Knicks game tonight too—and honestly, I’m thinking about pairing that with a Mel Over bet... might be worth a shot...

If Rose doesn't go, Deng should hit a light over 15.5. His last five home games have been 23, 9, 20, 24, and 26.
Rose against the Knicks went 32-32-29.😲

Anyway, I'm looking at Terry over 15.5. Honestly, the only thing that kills him is an early blowout—which isn't out of the question when you're facing the Kings. 😁 We all know how "elite" the Kings' defense is, and Terry’s already dropped 23 and 21 on them (though he played fewer minutes there because it was a total blowout). Thornton is out, so Fredette will likely be playing shooting guard.

EDIT: And D-Will over 20.5 actually looks solid. Philly is in a total slump—four straight losses—while the Nets are riding three straight home wins. He already put up 34 on the road this season. Plus, Wallace probably won't play.

Walter Reed3 said:Anyone got a fix for today? Honestly, I don't even care about the odds—even a tiny 1.01 payout works for me if it's a sure thing. Just looking for something solid to lock in. I just hit the books on the latest betting lines for Kevin's big game. The sportsbook is sitting at a 21.5 margin, and they're requiring a minimum of five legs to get the parlay rolling. Just a heads-up for anyone looking to play!

Anyone know if the over on Kevin hit?

I actually cashed out early on and stopped following the action... but man, the betting margin they had on him was just straight-up hilarious. 🤣

Dropped 25 in.

stormyseal9 said:After taking a much-needed day off to just chill, I am officially back in the fight today—full throttle, baby!😉

Man, I’m telling you, Ellis is absolutely killing it lately—we're talking over 17.5! And that height? 6'1" exactly. How does he keep doing it?!
Man, when I saw that margin, I didn't even blink—I just jumped on it immediately! I mean, look, I know I got burned last time against the Blazers because they missed that crucial bucket midway through the second quarter, but honestly? That was just the coach making the call to sit our star guy to keep him fresh for the massive showdown against the Thunder. You gotta play the long game, right?
Man, I’m telling you, if Lawson stays under 17.5, he’s basically sitting at 6'1" max—and honestly, who actually believes that? You look at his frame and you see a guy standing 6'1", maybe 6'2" on a good day with some heavy sneakers, but 1.85 meters? That's like... what, 6'1" in American measurements? Are we kidding me right now? How can anyone look at this kid and think he's anything else? It's just ridiculous!
Honestly, this team has been playing a constant game of "hot and cold" all season long, right? I mean, they can barely string two decent performances together without completely falling apart! And don't even get me started on their home games—they shoot way less often at home than they do on the road, constantly hovering under the line. Plus, we really need to keep in mind that Gallinari is back in the lineup today, which honestly just makes an over even less likely if you ask me. Why does it always feel like we're fighting an uphill battle with these projections?
Man, if Griffin’s sitting at under 21.5, that’s only like 6 feet 1? Are you kidding me? He's barely hitting 6'1" if he's lucky! How is anyone supposed to take those stats seriously when he’s basically a short king in a league full of giants? It just doesn't add up, right?
Honestly, how many players can even look Memphis in the eye without folding immediately? It’s insane! I mean, think about it—Dirk Nowitzki, one of the absolute greatest to ever touch a basketball, was out there playing his heart out, and even he had to admit that was easily some of the toughest, most relentless stuff he's ever dealt with in his entire career. Like, seriously, how do you even prepare for that kind of intensity? It's just on another level!😍Man, look, he dropped like 20 points in both of those head-to-head matchups, and that was back when he was actually playing at a high level! He was in way better shape then than he is right now, you know what I mean? It’s honestly ridiculous how much his game has fallen off lately!
Man, I’m telling you, Duncan is absolutely crushing it—over 14.5? He’s sitting pretty at 1.85! Are we even watching the same game right now? Because from where I'm sitting, he's playing out of his mind!
So they’re back at it again, right? They’ve got the second game in just two days against the exact same squad, and honestly, who even schedules stuff like this? It’s absolute madness! I mean, look at the guy—he was absolutely unconscious yesterday, dropping 13 buckets while shooting 5-of-10 from deep. Just pure heat! And now, looking at the matchup for today, you really have to wonder... could he actually pull off another monster performance like that last time they headed out to Salt Lake City? Remember that? He went absolutely nuclear and dropped 20! If he finds that rhythm again today, it’s going to be a total bloodbath!
Man, I’m telling you, if Minnesota stays under that 103.5 mark, we’re looking at a total smash hit, but seriously, can anyone actually believe how wild this line is sitting right now? Like, 103.5? Are we even talking about the same game? It feels like such a massive gamble, almost too good to be true, and honestly, I’ve been staring at these numbers for an hour just shaking my head because it feels like a complete setup!
Look, that spread is just way too wide if you actually look at how these guys have been playing lately—I mean, they’ve only cleared that line twice in their last ten games, so where's the logic in that? And don't even get me started on the head-to-head matchups this season! We saw scores like 95 and 127, and honestly, in this second matchup, both teams are basically playing like there isn't a single defensive player on the court. It's absolute chaos out there!🤷

The stakes are getting lower, SS. Seriously, what happened? Is everyone just losing their edge or what?

I’m seriously sitting here wondering who’s gonna try to pull some nonsense on me today. Seriously, who's it gonna be? I'm just waiting for the inevitable moment someone decides to mess with my head.😉

And the winner is Ellis! Honestly, can we just take a second to soak that in? It’s about time!😍Man, I don't know what kind of dark energy is messing with my head right now, but I’ve got this heavy, nagging feeling driving me to post even though I felt like I was totally done for two days ago. Like, seriously, what is actually happening to me? Is it just some weird psychological glitch where I feel compelled to get back out there after I thought I was completely buried? It’s driving me insane!🙂

Alright, here we go again—another day, another round of grinding through these shifts, just praying that today actually brings some wins instead of the usual headache! I’m heading back into the trenches with a little bit of hope in my pocket, fingers crossed that things actually pan out better this time around, you know? Who knows if luck's on my side today, but hey, what else can you do besides charge in there and hope for the best?🤷

Man, I’m telling you, if Pierce is pulling in over 18.5 at 1.85 odds, we are looking at something absolutely massive here, right? Like, seriously, are people even watching the same game as me? You look at those numbers and you just have to wonder if anyone actually knows what they're doing with these lines! It's wild!
I’m taking him because man, his form lately has been absolutely insane—we're talking an average of nearly 22 points over the last ten games! And did you see that absolute demolition against Philly? He dropped 17 points in just 29 minutes of playing time, which is just ridiculous if you think about it. I mean, seriously, how do you even defend that? Since I'm expecting a total grind today, he’s gonna have to dig deep and give it everything he's got, which basically means he'll be out there for 35 to 40 minutes eating up shots like he's at a buffet—probably around 20 attempts minimum. Plus, don't forget, just ten days ago he went out and put up 23 on Miami. He's heating up, and I am definitely riding this wave!
Man, I am telling you, Deng is absolutely killing it right now! He’s sitting there at 1.85 meters—which is plenty tall enough for what he does—and he’s already clearing that 15.5 mark? Are you kidding me?! How is he even doing that?! It feels like he's just on another level entirely lately, honestly. Just absolute madness!
So, since Rose is back on the injury list again—seriously, does this guy ever stay healthy?—his playing time is basically a huge question mark right now, which honestly makes me think Deng is the absolute smartest play for the over. I mean, just look at how he’s been tearing it up lately! In his last three home games, he was absolutely cooking, dropping 26 on Boston, 24 against Houston, and 20 on Detroit, all while shooting a ridiculous 50% from the field. How can you bet against a guy on a run like that? It’s almost too easy!
James is looking at a solid 6'1" and weighing in at well over 200 pounds—honestly, that's a massive frame for someone in his late twenties!
So, Wade is basically a massive question mark right now because of that injury, and even if he actually steps onto the court, let’s be real—is he even going to make a difference? I mean, it feels like the whole weight of this game is just falling squarely on James' shoulders, with Bosh having to step up and help him carry the load. And honestly, you know they're probably gonna be looking to make up for that absolute train wreck of a performance from about ten days ago, right? He’s had two days to rest up, so he should be ready to show everyone what he's actually capable of today. I’m expecting him to hammer home at least 20 shots, and if his jumper is actually working, that should be more than enough to bail us out and get us at least 28 points.
Man, I’m telling you, if Jamison hits over 18.5, I am absolutely losing my mind! Seriously, 1.85 odds? Are you kidding me right now? You're really gonna tell me that kind of value isn't sitting right there on the table just waiting to be grabbed? It feels like a total gift, but you know how this goes—you get too excited, you lean in, and then boom, everything goes sideways. Is it a lock? Who knows! But man, looking at those numbers, I can't stop thinking about it. Why does it feel like we're constantly walking a tightrope with these lines? It's driving me crazy!
Look, after that absolute disaster of a stretch over the last three games, he finally looks like he hasn't completely forgotten how to play basketball, right? I mean, let's be real, a huge part of why he's suddenly finding his rhythm again is because the roster is such a mess with all those guys sidelined—you've got Irving, Varejao, Gibson, and Parker all out, so it's basically an open lane for him to go crazy. He dropped 34 on the Nets and then followed it up with a solid 25 against Toronto, so he’s clearly got that scoring touch back, and now he's staring down a team that's currently sitting on a pathetic 12-game losing streak, so if he doesn't absolutely tear it up today, what are we even doing here?
Miami (-7.5) vs. Boston | Odds: 2.18
-If you ask me, bookies should just be giving this one away for free, honestly. I mean, look at the Celtics! They’re absolutely tearing it up right now after taking down the Spurs and Memphis—they’ve won 8 out of their last 10, and let's not forget two of those wins were against San Antonio and Chicago. I seriously don't see how much things could have changed since the last time they absolutely dismantled Miami piece by piece. How can anyone think otherwise?🤷

Just a standard parlay, high stakes.